Hot or Not 10 June 2011

Some obvious talking points: A horrible week for the Lakewood rotation, Vance Worley is back where he needs to be, nice work by the top of the organization in the ‘pen, and Joe Savery slumping.

Hot Starting Pitchers: Vance Worley (2W, 13IP 5H 0ER 2BB 15K); Brian Gordon (W, 6IP 3H 0ER 1BB 11K); RYan Edell (W, 13.2IP 10H 2ER 0BB 10K); Trevor May (5IP 4H 1ER 4BB 7K).

Not Hot Starters: Ryan Feireabend (3IP 9H 8 ER 2BB 3K); Mario Hollands (2.2IP 10H 7ER 2BB 1K); Ervis Manzanillo (2IP 4H 5ER 2BB 3K); Garrett CLaypool (3.2IP 7H 7ER 2BB 4K); Nate Bump (10IP 14H 11ER 3BB 5K); David Buchanan (3IP 6H 5ER 3BB 4K); Josh Zeid (4.1IP 5H 5ER 3BB 4K)

Hot Relievers: Justin DeFratus (W, 5.1IP 1H 0ER 2BB 10K, 1SV); Scott Mathieson (4IP 2H 0ER 1BB 4K 1SV); Drew Carpenter (5IP 5H 0ER 0BB 6K);Michael Schwimer (4.2IP 2H 0ER 2BB 9K); Phillipe Aumont (3IP 3H 0ER 2BB 4K). Honorable Mention: Jordan Whatcott, Jacob Diekman

Not Hot Relievers: Tyson Brummett (3.2IP 7H 6ER 2BB 4K); Chase Johnson (5IP 10H 7ER 1BB 4K) ; Jake Borup (5.1IP 6H 4ER 1BB 4K). Honorable Mention: CHance Chapman

Hot Hitters(10 AB Minimum): Miguel Alvarez (.538); Brian Gump (.462); Jeff Larish (.435, 4 RBI)Derrick Mitchell (.417, 2HR 6 RBI 2 SB)James Murphy (.389); Mike Spidale (.385);Josh Barfield (.375, 4R, 2 SB); Paco Figueroa (.364); Sebastian Valle (.353, HR, 4 RBI). Honorable Mention: Darin Ruf, Domingo Santana, Troy Hanzawa

Not Hot Hitters:Joe Savery (.063); Niuman ROmero (.143) Edgar Duran (.154); John Mayberry (.158; Matt RIzzotti (.160))Zach Collier (.167);Tagg Bozied (.167); Leandro Castro (.174)

61 thoughts on “Hot or Not 10 June 2011

  1. In the Not Hot categories, the also rans should be referred to as Dis-honable mentions.

    I knew Josh Zeid would stumble a bit since he was double-jumped. Worley did and Stutes did. They had different paths to the big leagues: Worley as a starter and Stutes as a reliever. Most of us are pretty happy with the way these two turned out. And anybody who isn’t happy with them, can come talk to me. I’m wondering which way Zeid will go or will he fizzle out entirely.

    1. In the Not Hot categories, the also rans should be referred to as Dis-honorable mentions.

      I knew Josh Zeid would stumble a bit since he was double-jumped. Worley did and Stutes did. They had different paths to the big leagues: Worley as a starter and Stutes as a reliever. Most of us are pretty happy with the way these two turned out. And anybody who isn’t happy with them, can come talk to me. I’m wondering which way Zeid will go or will he fizzle out entirely.

    1. Next year, we better see Schwimmer, Stutes, Bastardo, DeFratus, Madson, and Contrares in the bullpen. Then, let Herndon, Aumont, Mathieson, and Zagurski (Because we need another Lefty) fight for the last spot.

  2. Anyone remember Joe Roa (i.e. the “Roa Constrictor”)? He went something like 25-0 at Scranton a few years back. Gordon could be the new Roa. Great at Triple AAA, no shot at the bigs.

    1. That seems really cruel somehow. To know that no matter how well you do, you’ll never get a shot. I mean, I guess that happens in real life, but oftentimes you think of sports as somehow being just about your performance and not about YOU, which is clearly not the case.

    2. If Gordon can hit two homers in a game, he would instantly become the most dangerous hitter in Philly . . .

      1. Nevermind, I was thinking of Robert Person. So many early aughts awful Phillies SPs, so little time.

    3. Joe Roa is exactly who I was thinking about. And Roa did got a shot at the big, but struggled in his few starts

  3. Every time it seems Baez has finally earned his dismissal, he comes out and really helps the club. Last night, he went 2 2/3, giving up just 1 run which was really on Sardinha, who got a perfect throw from Brown and had the runner out by a mile, but could not handle the throw. The other night against the Reds he throws 5 scoreless innings. As for Herndon, I don’t think this kid can be ruled out. His sinker can hit 95 and his slider is developing nicely. Remember, when the Phils took him in the rule 5 he was in double A. I don’t think you can judge him on his perfomance last year. It seems this year the Phils rushed him to big leagues, but after spending some time in triple A, he seems to have refined his game. Last night’s loss was not his fault. Polanco made an uncharacteristically awful throw, so the run was unearned.

    1. even with that throw, i think howard should’ve handled the hop. overall, it was just a horribly played game by a team that doesn’t look anything like a WS contender right now.

    2. One of the problems last night was that , with Kendrick starting, the Phils don’t have a long man in the bullpen. In a game with a weather delay or a starter that goes out early, this is a big disadvantage as they run out of pitchers, especially when the game goes into extra innings. The solution: bring back Worley, who has pitched great in his last two AAA starts. You can’t blame Herndon for last night, but if Worley returns, Herndon would probably would have to go down to LHV. A side benefit of this is that Worley is hitting .250 while Herndon has struck out 3 times in 3 ABs.

  4. The Gordon thing blows my mind. I’ve covered him since his junior year in high school and watched him throughout the minors. I stopped thinking of him as a prospect a long time ago and he was always kind of the second guy on that HS team behind Ryan Langerhans and had always been close, but never quite all the way there.

    To see him playing this well after a position change at this age, it’s the kind of stuff Disney makes movies about. I really hope he gets a chance, even if its just once chance, with the big club.

      1. There is a story on Philly.com about him today. It mentioned he works around 89-91 mph with his fastball and he added a cutter this year. Not sure what his other breaking pitch is but he must have something.

  5. Gordon has made the Majors before, so the fairy tale has already occured, but I agree he deserves at least a chance to pitch in the majors.

    1. True, but to play the best baseball of his life now is the hook. It’s the Joe Savery story, but different.

  6. Courtesy of RotoWorld

    Tyson Gillies has been activated from the disabled list and assigned to High-A Clearwater.
    Gillies was shut down early in spring training with lingering hamstring problems after missing most of last season with the same issue. The 22-year-old will be looking to recapture his form from 2009, when he hit .341 while stealing 44 bases.

  7. I love watching Buchanan pitch with the Lakewood BlueClaws, but unfortunately I don’t think he will be with them much longer.

    1. Where does Buchanan go? CLR and Cosart gets the jump? Is he, are the Phils ready for that?

      1. I think Cosart is hurt right now; some sort of blister. He also hasn’t been showing the extended dominance (at least in my view) to warrant such a promotion yet.

        1. Oh yeah, the blister. They could move Pettibone up, I suppose. Didn’t Lamar call him the “most complete” or “well rounded” in one of the Philly papers recently? And he said JRod had the best stuff, but the other three were fun to watch and power arms or whatever?

          1. I think he said the opposite about Julio Rodriguez. He said his stuff wasn’t as good as the other 3 pitchers.

        2. pitching tonight. Some of you guys crack me up. Are all pitchers suppose to dominate every game? If so wouldn’t the other teams be expecting the same from their pitchers at same level. You can always see the people that have never played the game…especially pitching.

  8. Saw Mathieson last night 8 pitches at 99, some 97s and 96s. Early he was 92-95 so looks like he is back
    Splitter looked really good on the strikeout. Like to see him get a fair chance in Philly

    1. A fair chance to continue giving up runs yet again? No thanks. Just another guy with a hard straight fastball and no secondary pitches. A dime a dozen guy.

  9. I was watching some college baseball and the broadcaster said that some players led their teams with three or four homers because of the change in bats. Apparently, a player named Kyle Moran of UNC is considered a stud for hitting just 9. This could be good news for our guy Martinez.

  10. Are K rates and strikeout totals inflated in leagues where the pitcher hits? Just estimating, I’d think it’d be worth 1.5K/9IP, if not more. This could account for a rookie pitcher(like Worley) sustaining a high K rate in National League starts, and a disparity between K/rates for NL starters and relievers, who face more pinch hitters.

    1. You’re overstating it a bit. Pitchers have struck out 729 times in 2234 PA this year. That’s about a 33% strikeout rate. DH’s have struck out 652 times in 3695 PA, or around a 16% strikeout rate. At most, it inflates their K rates by somewhere around 0.5 K/9 or so.

  11. Ok thanks- I just made up that number after seeing Halladay’s 78 career strikeouts and estimated pitchers striking out about 40% of the time, or about twice out of every 5 at bats. It does inflate strikeouts, K/9 and strikeout to walk ratios, but not nearly as much as I guessed. Although it skews stats for NL pitchers vs AL pitchers, that disparity is well established. You’d also think pitchers strike out more often than non-pitchers when facing a strikeout artist, so perhaps top pitchers exploit that weakness at a greater rate. If the average dictates 20 extra Ks per 40 starts, perhaps a Lincecum or Halladay(or any pitcher with a high K/9) gets 40 extra Ks per 40 starts, which would be a very significant figure. Felix Hernandez’s AL leading 8.88 K/9 would be tied for 8th in the AL(with Halladay). This probably factors into contract discussions more than anything.

    1. Is there a hint of sarcasm in your remark? It looks like everyone including 2 mascots and a hot dog vender had Es last night. On the plus side, Collier went 3 – 7 in the double header. He also had 3 SBs giving him 17 on the season. Mattair played 3rd and had a hit. He’s been out a long time. I’m assuming he’s in LWD because there’s no room on the CLW roster. Gillies saw his 1st game action in CLW and was 0 – 4 with a K. He moved James to the 2 hole in the order and into RF. If Gillies is fully back, speed-wise, an OF of Gillies, James and Castro would be the fastest around. Savery played LF last night but when Castro’s in there, teams will be hard pressed to squeeze a base hit in.

  12. Rosenberg is the hottest. At his age he needs to move up. Sorry Mr. Bass.
    Who hasn’t seen enough of Romero and Baez? Raise your hands.

  13. What happened to Valle? He is on the 7 day DL. We need him healthy. I also saw Altherr is now on Williamsport roster. They should have a good outfield with Dugan, Hudson, Eldemire, and Altherr. I did read in article on Dugan that he played a lot of 1b in XST. So maybe he plays there some.

    1. Looked like Valle took a foul tip off his left wrist earlier in the week and Eldemire was walking around at the end of XST with what appeared to be a wrist problem.

      1. Thanks RB…is Eldemire ever going to be healthy. I saw some video on him after the draft and thought this kid could the system a good right handed bat in the outfield.

  14. Friday’s action

    1. OF – Domonic Brown (Phillies) – (.250) 1 for 4 with a HR (2), RBI (7) and a K
    3. OF – Jon Singleton (Clearwater)- (.260) –1 for 3 with a run and a BB
    7. LHP – Jesse Biddle (Lakewood) – (3-6, 4.13) – 4.2 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 4 BB and a K (loss)
    9. OF – Tyson Gillies (Clearwater) – (.000) – 0 for 4 with a K
    11. RHP – Julio Rodriquez (Clearwater)- (8-3, 2.41) – 7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB and 5 K’s (win)
    12. 2B – Cesar Hernandez (Clearwater) – (.228) 2 for 4 with a SB (7) and K
    13. OF – Domingo Santana (Lakewood) – (.276) 3 for 5 with a 2B (11)
    17. C – Cameron Rupp (Lakewood) – (.217) – 0 for 3 with a K
    18. OF – Jiwan James (Clearwater) – (.252) – 0 for 3 with a BB and 3 K’s
    22. RHP – Phillippe Aumont (Reading) – (1-5, 2.43, 4 SV) – 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB and 3 K’s
    24. 1B – Matt Rizzotti (Reading) – (.307) – 1 for 3 with a BB and K
    26. OF – Leandro Castro (Clearwater) – (.276) – 0 for 0 with a run and SB (10)
    27. OF – Miguel Alvarez (Lakewood) –(.305) – 0 for 4 with 2 K’s

    Others:

    1B – Cody Overbeck (Reading) – (.273) 2 for 4 with a HR (18) and 2 RBI (46)
    3B – Carlos Rivero (Reading) – (.267) – 1 for 3 with a HR (6) and RBI (25)
    3B – Geancarlo Mendez (Lakewood) – (.271) 1 for 4 with a K
    3B – Travis Mattair (Lakewood) – (.333) – 1 for 3
    SS – Freddy Galvis (Redding) – (.256) – 1 for 4 with a K
    OF – John Mayberry (Lehigh Valley) – (.174) – 1 for 4 with a K
    OF – Derrick Mitchell (Redding)- (.279) – 1 for 4 with a run
    OF – Steve Susdorf (Redding) – (303) – 0 for 1
    OF – Joe Savery (Clearwater) –(.314) – 0 for 4 with an RBI (21)
    OF – Zach Collier (Lakewood) – (.255) – 3 for 9 with a run, BB, 3 SB (17) and a K
    OF – Anthony Hewitt (Lakewood) – (.249) – 1 for 8 with 3 K’s
    RHP – B.J. Rosenberg (Reading) – (2-1, 2.17) – 7 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 3 BB and 4 K’s (win)
    RHP – Justin Friend (Clearwater) – (1-2, 0.98, 19 SV) – 1.0 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB and K (save)
    RHP – Garett Claypool (Lakewood) – (1-3, 2.69) – 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 4 BB and 6 K’s

      1. No one “knows” why. We have strong reason to suspect that:

        primarily – he is there because the Phillies’ staff – the team’s strength – feels more comfortable with the way that he calls a game. Something that virtually no one on this site is at all qualified to judge, and certainly no one better able to judge than the starting pitchers on the staff. Given that the team is relying so heavily this year on that staff, that comfort level IMO should be respected.

        secondarily – for a guy pressed into duty after the main back up went down, he is quite well offensively. There are people around here who don’t understand the value of BB, but those people who do realize the value of BB appreciate that he has been just fine offensively. Granted, he may not be able to maintain his insane BB rate, but again, we are talking a back up catcher here. The offensive expectations for that role are pretty low.

        And the knock on him is what … he doesn’t do a great job of blocking the plate. Period. That’s really the only coherent criticism of him.

        Look, I think he criticism of Baez and Romero is disproportionate (Romero in particular would be a valuable player if only Manuel would use him appropriately), but it’s understandable. And Martinez’ continued presence on the roster baffles even me. Sardinha, on the other hand is just fine for a backup catcher. Criticism of him is not nearly as irrational as the weird Francisco hate, but it’s still odd. Even if you prefer Kratz, it’s not as if having Sardinha on the roster is inexplicable or irrational.

      2. I, for one, have no clue. Its very clear that Kratz should be in Philly. He is better both offensively and defensively.

        1. Gregg, unlike some of the two anons here, who are either pure trolls or profoundly mentally disabled, you have sometimes contributed positively to these discussions. So let me ask you, serious, not trying to be snarky.

          (1) Do you have special expertise regarding watching catchers call a game?
          (2) Have you watched Kratz do so?
          (3) Do you have any reason to doubt that Halliday, Lee, Hamels and Oswalts judgment regarding how Sardinha calls a game?
          (4) Failing 1 to 3, do you have any evidence that the traditional baseball wisdom regarding the high importance of the skill of calling a game is wrong?

          Look, I’m a numbers guy, and I have no blind allegience to traditional baseball wisdom when there is evidence to the contrary. But the key word here is evidence. And I’ve never heard anyone on this site even attempt to explain why the team is wrong to give the back up (not starting) cathing job to the guy who they believe to be better at calling games.

          I’d also think you wouldn’t be very happy to be associating yourself with the idiot brothers anon. I know I would certain reconsider my opinion if I ever agreed with them. If they said the sky was blue, I’d look out the window first before agreeing.

          1. To larrym, I will start reading your comments again when you go back to commenting on baseball rather than personal attacks calling people trolls and mentally disabled simply because they have an OPINION that happens to be different than yours. A site like this is meant for people to discuss and debate opinions that will often times vary. To resort to name calling and insults when someone disagrees with you seems inappropriate and not what has made this site what it is today. You may want to try the comments section on philly.com…

  15. Saying the only thing a catcher is bad at is blocking the plate is like saying the only thing bad about my wife is that she cheats on me, other than that she’s great!!!!

    1. That statement makes no sense at all. If blocking the plate was a catcher’s ONLY duty, that would make sense. A catcher’s primary duty is calling a game. A starting catcher might have to block the plate, 10-15 times all year. The guy has botched 2 plays at the plate. Get off that.

      1. That’s ridiculous – 10-15 times a year? He has screwed up 3 plays at home plate already and he has played in what 10 games maybe? Its how he screws up that is the most insulting – its like he’s scared to get anywhere near the plate when a runner is coming. Its a fundamental lack of effort from a guy that shouldn’t even be in the big leagues.

        1. to the other anon your 100% right. did someone say sardinha hits? what does he hit the clubs after the games?and criticizing baez and romero is unfounded? what games does the above lunitic watch.

  16. JC Ramirez has been not lately. Has anybody seen him pitch lately. Is he fighting injuries or is he pitching too much to contact?

    1. Saw him last night…couldn’t get the breaking ball in for strikes and opposition was sitting fasball. Couldn’t even get the fastball over 90MPH…I’d have to think there is an injury……..

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