I’ve gotten a few emails asking me to go over who is left for the Phillies to sign, which guys I think will sign, etc. I don’t know for sure who is going to sign and how much they will cost. But I will do my best to outline which guys I think are going to sign, which guys won’t, and who is kind of in limbo. The signing deadline is August 15th at midnight, and the Phillies have traditionally left it late on a number of guys. This year proves to be even more interesting, as the draft and the subsequent signing process could look very different at this time next year. So in short, I don’t think anyone knows what to expect. The Phillies could blow things out of the water and sign everyone, or sign only a few. That’s what makes this fun. So check below the fold and we’ll get to it.
First, you can check the updated signing matrix here.
The no doubters
Larry Greene Jr, OF (1S) – Greene will sign, and I expect he will sign for close to slot. I have no idea why its taken so long, but it will get done, so I’m not even wasting more time thinking about it.
Roman Quinn, SS (2) – See above. Quinn took BP at CBP today, it appears to be just about done. No idea why the delay, but it doesn’t really matter.
All signs point to “yes”
Kenny Giles, RHP (7) – Based on what I’ve been told, this is gonna get done. Its not a slam dunk, but both sides should find middle ground. He’s been impressive this summer. I expect it will take $250K or so to sign him. That’s a guess.
I’d say 50/50
Jake Overbey, SS (10) – Despite the comments from Marti Wolever, I think this one actually still has a chance. From what I’ve heard, things didn’t go that well for Overbey’s brother at Ole Miss, and that might impact his willingness to sign. Who knows, maybe he goes to school, but I think they still have a chance here.
Ryan Garvey, OF (15) – We thought he was signed a while ago, but that was bogus. I still think, based on the comments from the elder Garvey, that Ryan does have an interest in signing. I don’t expect it would take crazy money, probably around $300K. Another guess. But I’m hopeful here.
Mitchell Walding, SS (5) – The Phillies normally don’t make a point to flush top 5 round picks down the drain. Last year, they offered Scott Frazier 7 figures, which he turned down, leading them to spread that money around in the later rounds. I think they definitely want Walding, I know they are doing their work on him this summer, and I think there’s a decent shot here.
Jesen Dygestile-Therien, RHP (17) – I think the consensus is that he’s a project, he could take quite a while to develop, but the Phillies like his arm and his projection. I have no idea what kind of bonus it might take, or how he’s pitched this summer, but he seems like the type of guy the Phillies have followed for a while and know what it will take. May depend on how much money is spread elsewhere.
Braden Shull, LHP (27) – Maybe this is more hopeful than anything, but I read something about the Phillies having him in for a workout before the draft, or maybe I’m thinking of someone else. Either way, he fits the bill for what the Phillies love, and they said that they wanted to add LHP if possible in this draft. Shull is probably are most appealing arm outside of Giles.
Not feeling confident
Riley Moore, C (21) – I wish Moore was up in the “all signs point to yes” group, but I just don’t get that sense. He’s a highly rated C prospect with a big college commitment, and I think it would require substantial money to get done. The Phillies may still have it in the budget, and he may be a priority target, but not much has been said about him this summer, which leads me to not be optimistic. I hope I’m proven wrong.
There are a number of prospects that are kind of interesting in the remaining group, but the only guys that stand out are Hayden (36), Ponto (39), and Tomassetti (46), but all seem like good bets to attend college. I have no feel for any of these guys right now. Things could certainly develop in the next few weeks and alter the path. But for now, the above guys are the ones I’ve kind of locked in on.
I hope this answers some of the questions you had.