Monthly Archives: May 2014

The Case For Taking Nick Gordon

There has been a lot of noise that the Phillies are in on a HS position player. The two names are a pair of shortstops in Jacob Gatewood and Nick Gordon. Gatewood is the boom bust hitting prospect of the draft, if he hits and plays defense he is Troy Tulowitzki, if not he is a mistake hitting 3B who may never get past AA. More interesting is Nick Gordon (Tom Gordon‘s other son).

Nick Gordon compares favorably to 2013 first round pick J.P. Crawford. Both have their greatest strength as their ability to play shortstop. At the plate Gordon brings plus speed (he is not a burner like Dee), plus hit potential, and fringe average power. Gordon has an edge in arm with Gordon hitting the low-90s as a reliever. Crawford in retrospect was much more polished than we thought and it remains to be seen how Gordon looks in pro-ball.

All of this should add up to the Phillies passing on Gordon due to the presence of Crawford.  But lets just explore a scenario where the Phillies have Nick Gordon as the top player on their board in front of a pitcher. Continue reading The Case For Taking Nick Gordon

Box Score Recap – 5/4/2014

Tyler Henson hit for the Big Wheel, y’all. Two home runs, a double and a single, plus he drove in seven runs and scored twice. That’s a pretty nice day’s work. The Reading Fightins put up 15 runs on 18 hits, with home runs from Aaron Altherr (2) and Tommy Joseph (5). Jesse Biddle gave up 2R on 3H, 1HR, 3BB, 6K in 7IP. That’ll do, I guess, though three walks after the five he allowed his last time out didn’t do much to allay my main concern about his game.

Milwaukee’s 2012 1st Rounder Victor Roache hit three home runs off of Clearwater pitching. He led the NCAA in dingers in 2011 and hit 22 last year in his pro debut in Low-A. Ethan Martin worked a scoreless inning as he began his official rehab assignment on the way back from a shoulder ailment, allowing no hits and a walk with no Ks.

And on to the main event, a nine round slug fest, between a bunch of crabs and a bunch of tourists. Sounds like a day at the beach, right? Well, not if you’re a pitcher! *makes fake rimshot noise by tapping desk and going “psshh” with mouth* Lakewood beat Asheville 14-11, outhitting the Rockies’ affiliate 22-15. J.P. Crawford led the hit parade with a 4-5 day, including his third home run, and also drew a walk. Also going yard were Dylan Cozens (3), Willians Astudillo (2), Andrew Pullin (3) and Samuel Hiciano (3). All five men, plus Carlos Tocci and Mitch Walding had multi-hit games. All nine Blueclaws had hits.

Continue reading Box Score Recap – 5/4/2014

Box Score Recap – 5/3/2014

Perci Garner with the line of the night – He struck out nine, walked two and allowed just two hits in six scoreless innings. Like many others, I’ve been waiting for them to turn him loose in the bullpen. If he manages his starts this well going forward, though, he’ll probably stay in the rotation for a while.

Cesar Hernandez was 3-4 with his third long ball of the year, and Ken Giles allowed one BB and struck out two in a scoreless ninth in that Reading contest. Sebastian Valle‘s home run lifts Lehigh Valley and David Buchanan to a victory. Cesar Jimenez, Justin De Fratus and Luis Garcia each took scoreless turns out of the bullpen to lock down that victory.

Samuel Hiciano pulls off what I believe is the first “Zach Green Special” of the year – that’s 2-5 with 2K and 2 XBH, for those who don’t recall – Hiciano was 2-5 with a homer, a double and two strikeouts, and is now OPSing near .800 in a reasonable league for his age. His K rate is just below 25%, which is about as high as you’d like it for a power hitter, and he’s got 10 XBH in just over 100 PAs. I remain intrigued. J.P. Crawford, Mitch Walding and Dylan Cozens each added multi-hit games as Lakewood starter Tyler Viza and reliever Keivi Rojas pitched well enough to allow their offense to come back against Asheville’s bullpen.

And finally, Clearwater was rained out again and again. Both games of their double header in Daytona were sacked by rain for a second straight day. The whole series was a washout, as The Threshers start a traditional three-game Sunday thru Tuesday set at Brevard County today.

Continue reading Box Score Recap – 5/3/2014

Box Score Recap – 5/2/2014

Maikel Franco was 2-5 with a double and Jim Murphy hit his second home run of the year in support of Jonathan Pettibone, who allowed 1R on 4H, 1BB, 5K in 5IP. His bullpen backed him up well, throwing four scoreless innings, including two from Phillippe Aumont, who allowed one hit and had one K. Tyson Gillies left the game in the third inning after diving back into first on a Ronny Cedeno line drive. @TomHousenick says it sounds like trouble with his left wrist. We’ll have to wait and see how that pans out, but figure a guy with Gillies luck will probably miss a ton of time that someone with reasonable karma on their side would not.

Cesar Hernandez went deep, Aaron Altherr had two hits, including a run-scoring double off of a rehabbing Doug Fister, and Cameron Perkins was on base twice. Unfortunately, Hoby Milner gave up four bombs to Harrisburg. That’s not a recipe for success, in case you were wondering, but it does beat…

Mark Leiter Jr. couldn’t escape the first inning. He recorded just one out while allowing six earned runs. He left the bases full, but Carlos Tocci threw out a runner at the plate trying to tag on a flyball out off of reliever Julio Reyes. Neither Reyes, nor Delvi Francisco, nor Cody Forsythe could stop the bleeding, however, as Asheville put up 14 runs on 16 hits and four Lakewood errors. I’m not the kind of guy who likes to tell people how to do their jobs, but were I, I would suggest they do it “better”. Damn, I should be a manager.

On the bright side, four Lakewood Blueclaws had two hits a piece – Dylan Cozens had two doubles, Andrew Pullin had a single and his second home run, Samuel Hiciano had a single and a double, and Willians Astudillo had two singles.

Continue reading Box Score Recap – 5/2/2014

Lakewood Observations

Nothing is as good for observations as seeing games in person.  This week we got the next best thing from the Lakewood team, a video broadcast of their series against the Lexington Legends.  It is impossible to glean everything from a single series and a single video feed, but you notice plenty of things that don’t appear in a box score.  I didn’t have time to watch all 7 hours of video, but I did watch all of the offensive trips to the plate and all of Drew Anderson‘s time on the mound.

J.P. Crawford – He is everything he is talked up to be.  The patience is there at the plate.  He and Tocci are attempting a decent amount of bunts in sac bunt situations, however the goal seems to be get hits, not sacrifice, and in game 2 of the series Crawford placed a bunt perfectly between the first and second baseman.  The power is not there yet, I won’t be able to say how much it will be there later, but the contact is there if the strength can get there. Continue reading Lakewood Observations

3 Phillies on John Sickels Top 150 Prospects

After delays due to a concussion (they really aren’t a joke), John Sickels has released his list of the Top 150 prospects in baseball.  Sickels ranks Maikel Franco #35 (B+), J.P. Crawford #60 (B+), and Jesse Biddle #78 (B+).  You can read Sickels’ entire list here http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/5/1/5640414/top-150-prospects-for-2014-baseball-john-sickels.

Box Score Recap – 5/1/2014

Maikel Franco went 3-5 with a double and a home run, his second on the season. It’s a little early to assume he’s turned a corner from the trash fire that was his first three weeks of the season, but he’s got three doubles and two home runs compared to only two Ks in his last five games, and is OPSing over .800 in his last ten. Encouraging, if nothing else.

Luis Garcia closed things out for Lehigh Valley, allowing a hit and recording three ground ball outs. I could bang the drum again on pushing him to the bigs, but you can just go back and read it again – everything’s the same except all the stats are bigger except for the goose-egg in front of the “R” would now be only a goose-egg in front of an “ER”. I realize Garcia’s not the Savior of the big league bullpen – we all know that’s Ken Giles, (praise be His Name) – but he’s probably got a better shot at not making me yell at my TV and wake up the dogs than Jeff Manship or Shawn Camp.

And a couple notes on Lakewood. Glad to see Drew Anderson shake off the rust – he allowed 1R, 4H, 1BB, with an encouraging 7Ks in 5.2IP in his second start of the year. Deivi Grullon and Jan Hernandez both hit their first full-season home runs, and J.P. Crawford continues to get on base – his OBP sits at .402 after getting on four times in yesterday’s twin bill. He’s got 10BB and just five Ks in his last 10 games. I remain, as always, down with JPC. But I feel like you already knew that, because you’re aware of my ways.

Continue reading Box Score Recap – 5/1/2014

Checking in on Severino Gonzalez

Ever since his breakout last year, Severino Gonzalez has been a source of much discussion. There have debates not just about his ceiling and profile, but also about how that profile fits into the value scale of a major league team. Last night Severino made his 6th start of the season, and while it is too early to write any conclusions in stone, we can start to look at emerging trends.

So lets start with the overall stats:

G IP ERA FIP BABIP HR/9 BB/9 K/9
2013 25 103.2 2 2.23 0.31 0.43 1.91 10.33
2014 6 34.1 3.67 3.23 0.311 0.52 1.83 6.82

Continue reading Checking in on Severino Gonzalez

Box Score Recap – 4/30/2014

Ken Giles finished up his month with his seventh save, allowing 1R on 1H, 1BB and 1K. He ended the month striking out 25 of the 50 men he faced. Math tells us that’s a pretty good rate of…uh…carry the two…err…Fifty Percent?!?!?! That can’t be right. In all seriousness, the fact that he only walked four of those 50 is almost as impressive, and even more encouraging than the Ks, which we all assumed he’d be able to produce at a high level.

Cameron Perkins continues to hit – I feel like I say that every couple days. He had two doubles last night, and 11 for the month of April, and averaged an XBH every 7PAs or so. Impressive. I’ll guess he’s in line for a promotion to AAA by mid-June at the latest if he doesn’t fall off a cliff, or get swept away by a flood, as it were.

And poor Anthony Hewitt – guy had a really bad April, capped off by ye olde golden sombrero last night. He struck out 22 times in 17 games in the month (48PAs), for a Giles-esque 46% K Rate. Props to Hewitt for how hard he must have worked, and how hard we’ve heard he works, to improve over the years just to make it to AA, but I have a feeling we’re witnessing the end of his Phillies career right now.

Continue reading Box Score Recap – 4/30/2014