One of my 2013 sleepers, Edgar Duran, had quite a night – particularly if you stop reading the box after his 2 steals and before his error. Big time offense and 6 scoreless from the bullpen helped the Iron Pigs fight back against Pawtucket. An OK start from Mecias, who struck out 6 in 4IP. And any game where Brody Colvin faces 23 batters and only walks 2 is probably a positive at this point.
Here’s the affiliate Scoreboard from MiLB. CLR was off.
http://www.milb.com/scoreboard/index.jsp?sid=milb&org=143&ymd=20130408

Time to start up the 2013 Asche bandwagon; 2-3 with a 2B, HR and a walk! Not much else notable in the box scores. Quinn didn’t have an error last night at least.
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A couple more hits for Hernadrez and a 3-run shot for Josepeh (but 2 more PBs). I think this is the first year I’ve ever found myself looking at the AAA box score first.
No errors for Quinn- he needs a string of errorless games to get a bit of confidence.
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Gonna have to keep an eye on Duran, a definite breakout candidate.
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Everybody crosses the plate in LHV … nice to see them put up some big numbers! Ruf gets the start at 1B … any first-hand reports regarding his left field defense in the early going?
Good game from Pointer: two doubles, a walk and a SB.
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I can go from what I saw in the first game where he fielded two fly balls and another ball got hit to LF for a double. He looked better than I thought out there, though I think his arm has a little ways to go. I just think a lot of people expected too much, too soon from him in LF. Just give the guy another month or two and he’ll be just fine.
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Nice start to the season for JC Ramirez. Friend with a terrific effort in relief of Rosenberg. Stutes looking better but still walking too many. And in other news, former Phils’ farmhand and ‘Baby Ace’ Julio Rodriguez made his first appearance/start of the season for the AA Bowie Baysox. Here’s his line : 2.2 IP 2H 6R 6ER 7BB 2K 1HR, 3 wild pitches, a balk, and a partridge in a pear tree. Count our blessings?
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Don’t look now but that Hewitt kid is hitting .400
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… with only two Ks. God bless SSS!
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Obviosuly, we are all familiar enough with Hewitt not get excited about a SSS. However, it might excite me at least a little if someone were to tell me that he has multiple hits off breaking balls. However, I suspect he is seeing a ton of fastballs since it is early in the season and EL teams might not have a book on him yet.
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Exactly my thought. Early in the season a lot of pitchers will throw the fastball. Sometimes it’s too cold to get a feel on the ball to throw a good off speed pitch. At some point opposing coaches will tell the pitcher that he’ll fine him if he throws a single fastball to Hewitt. It’s not like he’s going to take a walk or anything.
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Yeah, I’ll look at Hewitt’s stats at the end of April and if the K rate is down and the other numbers are respectable, then I’ll start at least paying more attention to him. I’m also curious about his RF defense, didn’t he have like 400 errors last season? I don’t recall seeing him commit one yet this year but maybe I missed it. Still not sure how he committed so many errors last year playing the OF. Gotta love April, so much hope…
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Gillies and Collier are MIA to start the season.
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Collier needs to be dropped in the lineup. They want him to get ABs but a statue would get more hits. Gillies… I just don’t know. I didn’t expect anything from him so I’m getting exactly what I expected. Cartwright shouldn’t be a leadoff guy. Let’s throw Kyrell Hudson into the discussion. he’s hitting .091 with 8 Ks in 5 games. He makes Hewitt look like a hall of famer. There’s two things I never expected to say in the same sentence: Hewitt and HOF’er. I think we need to start counting the runs produced minus unearned runs given away by Quinn. I’m giving him some slack for a number of reasons but it is something to keep an eye on.
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Interesting fact: Collier is 1 for 23. His one hit was a bunt and he was caught stealing 2nd. Yikes!!!
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Nice to see Asche and Joesph tally homers and I agree Duran might be someone to watch for. His hot start is definitely nice to see even if I was sorta writing him off with the rest of the position playing slop in Reading.
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Maybe someone out there can tell me about Duran’s SS defense in 2012. I have heard essentially “good enough to stick” at SS from a couple people who watched him consistently in 2010 and 2011 – wonder how he looked last year.
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I was at the Iron Pigs (AAA) game last night. Tommy Joseph looked like he knew what he was doing at the plate, but he was no short of TERRIBLE behind it! It seemed like he was only willing to stab at the balls to his left or right with his glove and not slide to either side in order to block pitches. I am not sure if he was charged with any pass balls, but if he wasn’t, the scorers were quite generous. He let at least three base runners advance on missed balls let alone the five by my counts that he let go by him when no one was on base!
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I would take Valle over him in the field any day
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Oddly, Valle and Joseph had the same number of passed balls last season (11), although Valle’s number included about 25 more appearances behind the plate (75 to 100). Joseph is more than halfway to his number from last season in 70 fewer games.
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weird, wonder if he should of got more time behind the plate this offseason; playing on the same winter ball team as Zunino, and getting limited starts during spring he didn’t get that many reps.
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I believe we’ll see a September game this year with a starting lineup that looks like this….
1 Revere CF
2 C Hernandez 2B
3 Ruiz C
4 D Brown LF
5 D Young RF
6 Ruf 1B
7 Asche 3B
8 Galvis SS
9 Morgan P
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no.. just no
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That’s a loss right there.
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aint nobody taking Ryan Howard
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Is he pathetic? What is going on with him? He gets worse every day. He has to be “in his own head” terribly.
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the league adjusted to Howard a few years ago. Hes yet to make any adjustments to the league and im pretty sure hes not capable of doing so.
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Let me first say that I’m not ready to jump to conclusions about Howard based upon 7 games.
But even that aside, your narrative falls short. Through 2011, he remained quite a good hitter. His decline as a player through that point was primarily a function of declining ancillary skills (defense, base running). It’s true that he never came close to 2006, but in retrospect that year was out of the context of his career.* Aside from that season, his wRC+ varied little through 2011 – a high of 139, a low of 120, and 124 in 2011. He appeared to decline as a hitter during that period, but that was mostly an illusion of context.
Then in 2012 he was awful. Many people – even myself – assumed that that was mainly injury related. While some people had IMO exaggerated expectations of the extent to which he would bounce back from that, even those of us somewhat skeptical of his continuing value expected a rebound now that he is healthy.
And he may still do so. But so far he looks as bad as 2012 if not worse. The key metric that should be of concern is K rate, always high but spiking upward to over 33% in 2012. So far in 2013 it’s just as bad.** And if this is the new normal, the explanation can’t be merely that “teams adjusted.” They adjusted years ago without nearly the same poor results.
*I don’t entirely discount the “opponents adjusted” narrative, but such adjustment occurred relatively early in his career, and, whatever limitations he had as a player, he remained a feared hitter even after that.
**HIs BABIP is also on a downward path. I don’t have an explanation for that. Certainly this year he’s had some bad BIP luck, but the 4 year trend line is unmistakable. You might attribute this to the adjustments that teams made – chiefly in terms of positioning – but those adjustments predated his declining BABIP by several years.
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hit a bomb today!
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I think the comment that the league has adjusted to Howard and that Howard has not adjusted back is correct. I see the same two issues with his at bats this year that have hampered him for much of his career. First he swings at way to many bad pitches. Its hard enough to swing and hit strikes let alone pitches out of the strike zone. Howard swings at a bad pitch almost every at bat. He is a sucker for the slider inside and low. With two strikes he can’t stay off the high fastball. Many of his strike outs are because he swung and missed at pitches way out of the zone. Second, with no runners on the overload defense has taken away at least 4 solid hits this season. Problem is he continues to be a dead pull hitter. In his first at bat on Tuesday he pulled a high outside pitch. He hit it hard, but right at the second baseman who was playing in short right field.
His homerun was an outside corner fastball that he hit to left center field. He is a much better hitter and threat when he swings at strikes and goes to left field on outside pitches.
You have to wonder what goes through his mind when he is hitting. It seems to me that he just does not recognize an offspeed pitch or is so locked in to hitting a fastball that he continues to get fooled. If I was the opposing team I would not throw him a strike.
Unfortunately, I just don’t have the faith in him that I once did. I think this is one contract we will all be sorry about.
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Larry you dont think theres a correlation between his rising K rate and scouting?
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2012- 33.9%
2011- 26.7%
2010- 25.3%
2009- 26.5%
2008- 28.4%
It seems after his achilles injury, the Ks really rose. His strikeouts are frustrating, but his biggest problem is hes not putting up the power numbers he once was. In 2007 his K rate was 30.7% but he hit 48 HRs and had a BB rate of 16.5%. I’m concerned about his strikeouts, but I’m more worried about his power decline, specially after the injury. At the end of the year we’ll have a better idea of where his career is headed.
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November, 2016….The End
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No. The pattern doesn’t fit. It was an abrupt increase long after the point where adjustments would have been made.
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ehhh Roman Quinn 1-4 on a bunt single and 3 Ks… Hey but he had no errors that’s always good to see from Roman. He has also hit in every game this year.
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Another hot start to be skeptical but hopeful about: Chace Numata in Lakewood. I think a lot of us were questioning why he was starting there instead of Lino.
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Not too sure about another hot start. Numatta with 1 error and 4 pass balls last night… Yikes!
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Actually just wrote profile on him, still new to catching (was SS in HS) and can be mistake prone but there is plenty to like
https://phuturephillies.com/profiles/infielders/c-chace-numata/
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My point was that IMO 1 error and 4 pass balls in 1 game does not constitute a hot start. To your point, I agree that there is some upside with Numatta, but at what point is he no longer considered new to the catcher position. He was signed in the in 2010 as a fairly high round pick and has been worked at catcher since 2010 – his entire pro career. I am sure that he has gotten plenty of instruct from the coaching staff and coordinators since that time. He has played close to 100 pro games since signing and based on the results, with good speed and above average arm he may project better as an outfielder.
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Or a pitcher….he can bring it up there.
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21 walks allowed in our 3 games yesterday, that’s awful. 9 + 8 + 4. That’s just too many free passes. I don’t think it was much better the night before either.
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Have Collier and Hewitt swapped jerseys and not told anyone?
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Watch the pointer kid, he has all the tools
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It would be great if Pointer made a resurgence. We were excited last year, he played below expectations, but now a year later he shows dramatic improvement. A nice candidate for a guy no one is looking at to through himself back onto the prospect radar.
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video of roman quinn’s inside the park homer today:
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Lord, he’s fast.
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Wow, just wow, he may be faster than Michael Bourn at that age, wow.
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He makes it look rather effortless as well. Very smooth, gliding strides.
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sweet swing and good sound of ball off his bat.
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I figured the ball got stuck in the outfield with a poor through to the cutoff since they were just starting to fumble with the ball when Quinn crossed the plate.
He was quite fast around the bases, not even a throw to the plate.
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I had Quinn at 14.1 and 14.0 in two tries from crack of the bat to touching the plate, and I saw someone else had it 13.98 … That’s frikkin moving
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Quinn’s offensive skillset may be so advanced that it forces him through the system at a rate his defense at SS can’t catch up to. Sort of like Wil Myers at catcher. There was a chance he could have stayed at catcher, but he would have needed more time in the minors. Putting him in the OF let his bat move through the system quicker.
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or just like Dom Brown
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As long as he keeps hitting, they’ll try him for at least a few more seasons at SS. No reason to give up the project when the potential payoff of getting his bat in the middle infield is so huge. I doubt he’ll need a ton of reps in CF to be ready if a switch does occur.
Now if he continues to struggle at SS and it bleeds into his plate appearances (a’la Singleton a few years back), they might be more inclined to make the switch earlier.
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Saw some of the extended spring games today and there wasn’t very much good news. When I got there Franklin Vargas had just loaded the bases by HBP, he then got a K, but in the next AB threw a wild pitch and then a walk which put him over his “inning pitch limit” so they just end the inning, happens a lot down here during minor league ST games. Manuare Martinez didn’t look good in his outing either. Kevin Walter pitched a scoreless inning but did allow 2 base runners. Only saw Zach Green bat once, a hard hit grounder that he legged out for an infield hit, but saw Cozens K twice. In the other game Larry Greene K’d twice and Pujols made good contact twice but didn’t get any hits out of them. There’s video of Vargas, Walter, Green, Greene, Pujols and Cozens at: http://www.youtube.com/user/TheGkita
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Walter looks good. Any sign of Shull?
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Haven’t seen him pitch yet, but I have seen him around.
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thx for the vids as always
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HOWARD for 4 more years, wish baseball had a amesty program like hockey, cause he is just getting worse at his pitch selection., have no faith in him,
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Larry Greene looked awful at extended spring I heard, I feel like we will all be disappointed with that 1st round draft pick wasted on him.
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Package him now in a trade while youth is on his side.
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Give us a guess on what you think you might get in return …
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Begins with an S and ends in -tanton.
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I don’t know … he’s 45 and hasn’t pitched in the big leagues in six years. He’d be just another lefty in our pen.
Oh, you meant Giancarlo?
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Why are we still hung up on Stanton? We don’t have the ammo so people should stop daydreaming. If the Cards offered Oscar Tavares for Stanton, that still won’t be enough.
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Every thread that begins with a trade proposal will always find its way to Giancarlo, so I was just preempting the usual buildup.
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