Open Discussion: Week of April 3, 2022

This is the courtesy thread for comments and discussion about the Phillies and other BASEBALL topics.


Several Phillies had “a day” today.  Nola looked sharp striking out 9 in 5.1 innings.  He allowed one hit, a second-inning home run by the 2020 first overall pick Spencer Torkelson.  It wasn’t your garden variety two-strike HR as the two battled to a 3-2 count and the HR came on the 11th pitch of the at bat.  It was great to Nola pitching like we know he can as he goes into an opening day start.

Bryce Harper (first overall pick in 2010) went 3 for 4 with a double, 2 HR, and 3 RBI.  He missed a third HR when the wind held up his towering drive in the fifth inning that died at the wall.

Mickey Moniak (first overall pick in 2016) went 2 for 3 with 2 HR and 3 RBI.  He won the battle between first overall picks with Tigers’ starter Case Mize (first overall pick in 2018) with a towering shot that landed in the pond between the ballpark and Route 19.

Jose Alvarado looked fine.  He threw more balls than strikes (8-7) in his first game action of the spring.  But, he threw 5 pitches over 99 mph (2 of them over 100 mph).  We should hear Monday that he feels good and can start the season in the bullpen.  That’ll be welcome news.

This Phillies team is built to score runs.  The starters, when healthy, are formidable.  And, we should be able to take heart that most of the bullpen runs this spring were given up by guys who aren’t making the opening day roster.  Alvarado, Falter, Nelson, C. Sanchez, Jones, Familia, Hand, Knebel, and Dominguez all have posted ERAs under 3.00.  Yeah, small sample, but reassuring at the very least.  Right?


The opening day roster is still in question.  The Phillies are still mulling over a 16-pitcher staff and 3-man bench versus a 15 and 4.  The early season relaxed option rules give them some options and the DH eliminates the need for a lot of pinch hitters.  I mean who are you going to pinch-hit for in this lineup?  Third base? Maybe CF in certain situations?  Certainly not for RF, LF, DH, C, 1B, 2B, SS.  Have you noticed Didi Gregorius intentionally going to left field this spring?  He’s been trying almost every at bat it seems.

The starting rotation seems set – Nola, Eflin, Gibson, Suarez, Wheeler.  (fingers crossed)

The bullpen is still in question due to injuries and an absence – Knebel, Familia, Hand, Dominguez, Alvarado, Jones, Falter, Sanchez, Nelson, Brogdon (?), Norwood (?).  Coonrod and Sherriff look like they might start the season on the IL.  They have 23 pitchers on the 40-man roster.  Three have been optioned (Crouse, McArthur, Morales) and none look opening day ready.  Two have been moved to the 60-day IL (Emanuel and Romero).  The eighteen remaining leave no margin for error in selecting a 16- or 15-man staff with some of those 18 questionable.

The catcher is Realmuto with Stubbs as backup.

The infield is Hoskins, Segura, and Gregorius who has looked really good all spring.  (Should mention that I’ve been to every home game, a couple of away games, and watched all televised games thru April 1st plus a couple after.)  Third base comes down to Bohm vs. Stott with Camargo likely as the utility infielder.  I’ll come back to this.

The outfield is a platoon of Schwarber and Castellanos in LF and as the DH.  Harper in RF.  And Vierling and Moniak platooning in CF.

Congratulations to Mickey, Matt, and the Moniak family on his selection.  I heard this Saturday night but held off posting it in last week’s comments until I was sure Mickey and his family found out and Matt had a chance to “in your face” us if he chose.  He showed his class with a nice announcement in the comments section Sunday morning.

Depending on the number of bullpen pitchers, a 3-man bench looks like Stubbs, one of the CF, and an infielder (Camargo/Maton).  A 4-man bench looks like Stubbs, one of the CF, and both Camargo/Maton.  This assumes that Bohm is the starting 3B and Stott is assigned to Lehigh Valley.

WHY???  Well, there is that service time manipulation thing to consider.  But, the reason the Phillies might pose is actually valid.  Stott only faced Triple-A pitching for ten games last season.  He had a great 2021 season at 3 levels plus a solid showing in the AFL, plus an excellent minicamp, plus an excellent spring.  However, Stott has just 9 starts at 3B including college, the AFL, and the minors.  They could easily make the case that he needs more reps at third and some Triple-A at bats.  However, more to the point, the spot on the 40-man roster that is needed to move him to the active roster might have to be spent on a reliever.  Seriously.

Four relievers are still among the NRIs – Bedrosian, Bellatti, Maples, and M. Kelly.  Of those, Braden Ogle looked the best.  Oh, he’s not there.  Then Bellatti.  Kelley looked good today.  Maples didn’t and hasn’t come close to the upper 90s arm he’s supposed to have.

And, there’s always the possibility that DD signs another FA or trades for another arm.

If Stott wins the job, Bohm goes to TripleA and plays primarily first base.  Not outfield.  He’s not cracking the Phillies outfield for at least four years.  And, have you seen him catch a pop up?  Scary, very scary.

Now, two more things about the 40-man slots.  First, god forbid, I’m afraid that Joe is going to find a way to get Torreyes onto the active roster.  He’s been reassigned to the minors and is still managing to get into every game it seems, twice in the outfield recently.  He may play a lot of possible positions, but none of them well enough to be a defensive replacement for any starter not named Bohm.

And, finally, one or two 40-man spots could become available from a move that no one knows of or has considered.  I’ve heard that Herrera’s contract isn’t guaranteed.  I vaguely remember that some player with a major league contract was released before the 2021 season at no (or little) cost to the team.  I think that this is possible when a free agent is signed.  If true, then Camargo could also be at risk.

Moniak and Vierling along with the bullpen needs have made Herrera’s contract expendable.  (Hah! So, Dave and Joe, we did have a CF option internally.)

Also, shedding all or part of even these two contracts and replacing them with first-year players’ salaries sheds some salary if they try to get under the cap to save the draft pick penalty.  This speculation is contingent on the contracts not being guaranteed.


Phillies’ Opening Day roster (28)

  • Pitchers, Starters (5) – Zach Eflin, Kyle Gibson, Aaron Nola, Ranger Suarez, Zach Wheeler
  • Pitchers, Relievers (10) – Jose Alvarado, Connor Brogdon, Seranthony Dominguez, Bailey Falter, Jeurys Familia, Brad Hand, Damon Jones, Cory Knebel, Nick Nelson, Christopher Sanchez
  • Catchers (2) – J.T. Realmuto, Garrett Stubbs
  • Infielders (6) – Alec Bohm, Johan Camargo, Didi Gregorius, Rhys Hoskins, Jean Segura, Bryson Stott
  • Outfielders (5) – Nick Castellanos, Bryce Harper, Mickey Moniak, Kyle Schwarber, Matt Vierling

Lehigh Valley and Reading played a game Sunday night.  They provided the following rosters.

If you have trouble reading –

  • Lehigh Valley (34)
  • Pitchers, Starters (5) – Hans Crouse, Colton Eastman, Michael Mariot, James Marvel, Ricardo Sanchez
  • Pitchers, Relievers (14) – Mark Appel, Aaron Barrett, Cam Bedrosian, Tyler Cyr, Kyle Dohy, Nick Duron, Joe Gatto, Jakob Hernandez, Dillon Maples, Scott Moss, Jake Newberry, Braden Ogle, Tyler Phillips, Jeff Singer
  • Catchers (3) – Edgar Cabral, Donny Sands, Austin Wynns
  • Infielders (9) – Daniel Brito, Ali Castillo, Dalton Guthrie, Darick Hall, Drew Maggi, Nick Maton, Yairo Munoz, Will Toffey, Ronald Torreyes
  • Outfielders (3) – John Andreoli, Jorge Bonifacio, Justin Williams

 

  • Reading (30)
  • Pitchers, Starters (5) – Josh Hendrickson, Adam Leverett, James McArthur, Jack Perkins, Noah Skirrow
  • Pitchers, Relievers (12) –  Mike Adams, Julian Garcia, Nick Lackney, Brian Marconi, Erik Miller, McKinley Moore, Francisco Morales, Bubby Rossman, Matt Seelinger, Billy Sullivan, Zach Warren, Braden Zarbnisky
  • Catchers (3) – Jack Conley, Logan O’Hoppe, Vito Friscia
  • Infielders (6) – Sal Gozzo, Jonathan Guzman, Josh Ockimey, Wendell Rijo, Madison Stokes, Kevin Vicuna
  • Outfielders (4) – Matt Kroon, Hunter Markwardt, Simon Muzziotti, Jhailyn Ortiz

Jersey Shore was supposed to fly out Saturday, but heavy rain postponed their flight.  They won’t fly out until Monday.  Many of their players attended the Phillies game Sunday.

Possible rosters for Jersey Shore and Clearwater probably won’t be available until Tuesday or Wednesday.  However, based on who was at the game and a lot of guessing based on the Triple- and Double-A rosters and who I’ve seen practicing in which groups this spring, they might look like this.  Note that a lot of guys are repeating levels.

These are incomplete.  I’ll continue to add names below over the next couple of days.

  • Jersey Shore (32)
  • Pitchers, Starters (6) – Mick Abel, Ben Brown, Cristian Hernandez, Griff McGarry, Christian McGowan, Dominic Pipkin
  • Pitchers, Relievers (13) – Erubiel Armenta, Andrew Baker, Carlos Francisco, Jonathan Hughes, Ethan Lindow, Tyler McKay, Jhordany Mezquita, Carlo Reyes, Jason Ruffcorn, Matt Russell, Andrew Schultz, Victor Vargas, J.P. Woodward
  • Catchers (3) – Karl Ellison, Nick Matera, Andrick Nava
  • Infielders (5) – Luis Garcia, Casey Martin, D.J. Stewart, McCarthy Tatum, Nicolas Torres
  • Outfielders (5) – Jared Carr, Carlos De La Cruz, Baron Radcliff, Johan Rojas, Ethan Wilson

 

  • Clearwater (32)
  • Pitchers, Starters (6) – Gabriel Cotto, Rafael Marcano, Gunner Mayer, Oswald Medina, Micah Ottenbreit, Andrew Painter
  • Pitchers, Relievers (12) –  Malik Binns, Alex Garbrick, Tristan Garnett, Buddy Hayward, Victor Lozano, Fernando Lozano, Tommy McCollum, Matt Osterberg, Rodolfo Sanchez, Jared Wetherbee, Cam Wynne, Gabriel Yanez
  • Catchers (3) – Arturo De Freitas, Anthony Quirion, Micah Yonamine
  • Infielders (7) – Alexeis Azuaje, Jamari Baylor, Wilfredo Flores, Lee Hao Yu, Freylin Minyety, Kendall Simmons, Rixon Wingrove
  • Outfielders (4) – Yhoswar Garcia, Marcus Lee Sang, Felix Reyes, Jadiel Sanchez.

Most of the guys below are injured/rehabbing or DSL guys I expect will play in the Complex League.

  • Complex Team(s), Unassigned, Injured, Rehabbing, and RL (82)
  • Pitchers (55) – Jose Acuna, Samuel Aldegheri, Aidan Anderson, Chase Antle, Konnor Ash, Andrew Bellatti, Albertus Barber, Carlos Betancourt, Trevor Bettencourt, Andrew Brown, Blake Brown, Jean Cabrera, Tyler Carr, Eiberson Castellano, Starlyn Castillo, Joel Cesar, Ty Collins, Sam Coonrod, Jonas De La Cruz, Emanuel Kent, Jaydenn Estanista, Ethan Evanko, Jordan Fowler, Maikel Garrido, Kyle Glogoski, Jonathan Hennigan, Sam Jacobsak, DJ Jefferson, Estibenzon Jimenez, Michael Kelly, Keylan Killgore, Taylor Lehman, Dillon Maples, Jordi Martinez, Jake McKenna, Alex McKenney, Daniel Mejia, Juan Miranda, James Norwood, David Parkinson, Jose Pena, Corey Phelan, Nicoly Pina, Mark Potter, JoJo Romero, Austin Ross, Brett Schulze, Parker Scott, Eduar Segovia, Ryan Sherriff, Christopher Soriano, Tom Sutera, Manuel Urias, Spencer Van Scoyoc, Giussepe Velasquez
  • Catchers (9)Edward Barboza, Colby Fitch, Freddy Francisco, Oscar Gonzalez, Herbert Iser, Rafael Marchan, Adony Mejia, Rickardo Perez, Jackie Pertuz
  • Infielders (10) – Erick Brito, Chris Cornelius, Aldrem Corredor, Matt Goodheart, Albert Jerez, Scott Kingery, Ronald Torreyes, Wilson Valdez, Randy Vasquez, Uziel Viloria
  • Outfielders (8) – Christopher Burke, Jefferson Encarnacion, Yemal Flores, Odubel Herrera, Leandro Pineda, Josh Stephen, Gavin Tonkel, Jordan Viars

If you are into the numbers, that’s 210 players below the major league level, 212 when that roster drops from 28 to 26.  That’s quite a bit above the offseason limit of 190 stateside minor league players and the 180 in-season limit.


Key Dates:

  • April 1, 2022: Lehigh Valley breaks camp
  • April 2, 2022: Reading, Jersey Shore, and Clearwater break camp
  • April 5, 2022: Lehigh Valley season opener at home v. Columbus
  • April 7, 2022: Phillies final spring training game (at Tropicana Field)
  • April 8, 2022: Phillies season opener at home v. Oakland
  • April 8, 2022:  Clearwater season opener at home v. Fort Myers
  • April 8, 2022:  Jersey Shore season opener at home v. Aberdeen
  • April 8, 2022:  Reading season opener at home v. Somerset

Transactions:

4/03/2022 – C Chris Burke assigned to Phillies
4/03/2022 – RF Felix Reyes assigned to Phillies
4/02/2022 – OF Leandro Pineda assigned to Phillies
4/02/2022 – 2B Alexeis Azuaje assigned to Phillies
4/02/2022 – 1B Rixon Wingrove assigned to Phillies
4/01/2022 – Phillies signed free agent LHP Ricardo Sanchez to an MiLB contract
4/01/2022 – Clearwater released RHP Dallas Dyar
4/01/2022 – RHP Aidan Anderson assigned to Philadelphia
4/01/2022 – 3B D.J. Stewart assigned to Philadelphia
4/01/2022 – SS Randy Vasquez assigned to Philadelphia
3/31/2022 – Lehigh Valley released SS Cash Case
3/31/2022 – Jersey Shore released SS Jose Tortolero
3/31/2022 – C Nick Matera assigned to Phillies
3/31/2022 – OF Baron Radcliff assigned to Phillies
3/31/2022 – LHP Ethan Evanko assigned to Phillies
3/31/2022 – LHP Kyle Dohy assigned to Phillies
3/31/2022 – SS Casey Martin assigned to Phillies
3/31/2022 – Phillies optioned C Donny Sands to Lehigh Valley
3/31/2022 – RHP Michael Mariot assigned to Reading
3/31/2022 – RF Jorge Bonifacio assigned to Reading
3/30/2022 – Phillies signed free agent RHP Michael Mariot to an MiLB contract
3/30/2022 – Phillies signed free agent RF Jorge Bonifacio to an MiLB contract
3/30/2022 – OF Carlos De La Cruz assigned to Phillies
3/30/2022 – 2B Nicolas Torres assigned to Phillies
3/30/2022 – Phillies traded SS Kervin Pichardo and cash to San Diego for RHP James Norwood
3/29/2022 – RHP McKinley Moore assigned to Jersey Shore
3/29/2022 – C Adony Mejia assigned to Phillies
3/29/2022 – C Karl Ellison assigned to Phillies
3/29/2022 – 3B McCarthy Tatum assigned to Phillies
3/29/2022 – CF Yemal Flores assigned to Phillies
3/29/2022 – CF Marcus Lee Sang assigned to Phillies
3/29/2022 – Phillies traded CF Adam Haseley to Chicago White Sox for RHP McKinley Moore
3/28/2022 – SS Erick Brito assigned to Phillies
3/28/2022 – Clearwater released RHP Dylan Castaneda
3/28/2022 – Clearwater released RHP Jose Ulloa
3/28/2022 – Clearwater released 1B Joe Genord
3/28/2022 – FCL Phillies released LHP Tyler Adams
3/28/2022 – FCL Phillies released SS Edgar Made
3/28/2022 – FCL Phillies released SS Guarner Dipre
3/23/2022 – RHP Yoan Antonac released
3/23/2022 – RHP Ji Tae Lee released
3/23/2022 – LHP Manuel Silva released
3/23/2022 – LHP Jaylen Smith released

469 thoughts on “Open Discussion: Week of April 3, 2022

  1. This lineup 1 thru 7 alone is capable of setting franchise records offensively. Add 2 productive rookies in Stott and Moniak? Huh…WOW!!

    The bullpen, as most are, should be a revolving door as in past seasons BUT I think it may be stronger than what is IMO a fairly thin starting rotation. Yesterday’s version of Aaron Nola would be great x25 outings this year. Eflin in a contract season? Let’s hope he stays healthy.

    What’s left? Gotta catch the ball and make plays. Very encouraged by Didi’s spring, especially in the field.

    1. …oh, and don’t be the least bit surprised if Dombrowski moves Alec Bohm for a pitcher. Like, soon. That solves the Stott-to-40man problem real quick.

      1. Bohm to San Diego for Chris Paddack. Hosmer’s salary may get dumped before opening day, and Bohm could be their cheap option for 1b.

        1. ” Hosmer’s salary may get dumped before opening day”….?
          He is guaranteed plus-$50M over the next 4 yrs.
          Some team will have to bite the CBT bullet.

  2. Loved how you started 1:1 theme at beginning of your Discusdion. Appreciated that you allowed Matt M to make the announcement of Mickey making the team, class!
    Thanks Jim.

  3. Heart you are correct. wingrove pinch ran for Hoskins yesterday. I had to get some work done outside and turned the tv off. I don’t know if he batted or not.
    gm

  4. Nola did not pitch from the stretch yesterday. Wonderful job mixing his pitches and locations.
    Couple well hit balls by Harper, Hoskins & Nickie C had chances to leave park too but were cut down by crosswinds.

    1. On Nola and Harper.

      I cannot believe anyone ripped the way Nola pitched yesterday. If all of our pitchers pitched that way, with this lineup we would win 110 games. It was the best I’ve ever seen him pitch. And, by this I don’t mean it’s the best stuff I’ve ever seen him have (he’s had better obviously), but he seemed to have a wider and more varied set of pitches than I’ve ever seen before and his pitch sequencing was phenomenal. If he keeps doing that, he’ll return to being one of the best starting pitchers in baseball. I am really optimistic he’s going to have a great bounce-back year.

      As for Harper, I think many are getting to the point where we take his greatness almost for granted. My point last year was not just that he was having a great year, but that he had improved substantially. He’s just a much better hitter than he was when he joined the team and he’s at his peak. But it’s annoying that he’s now overlooked. MLB rated him the top 5 player in baseball and, while you could debate his exactly placement, it would seem pretty clear he’s in the top 10. But when they did the in depth piece on him and the other player they introduced, other than summarizing his year with a short video piece, THEY ENTIRELY IGNORED HIM. They spent 5 minutes talking about Juan Soto (who is obviously phenomenal), and literally said not one word about Harper. I was dumbfounded. Bryce, I hope you stick it to all of them again this year and show that your second MVP was no fluke.

      1. Nola maybe trying to throw his cutter FB more this year…he just started experimenting with it last year …throwing it last year at less than 2%
        He may have perfected it over the off-season….if so..look out.

      2. LOL I hear you catch….if we were once called the microwave generation I’m not sure what we are today

  5. I wondered how many times 3 1:1 picks have been on the field at the same time let alone faced off against one another…

    1. Actually more than you think. Read an article written by Rosenthal that indicated there have been 4 regular season ML games where 3 #1 overall picks homered in the same game.

      Was the first time in any game any of the HRs came off an #1 overall pick as the pitcher. Couldn’t find the article with a quick look

  6. I’ve searched for IronPigs & Reading exhibition boxscore from last night without any luck. Found a stream of game on YouTube from Radio but “cringe”.
    Any help?
    Thx.

  7. This is the by far the most excited I’ve been for a season to start. For a small moment in time … this must be what a Dodgers fan feels like? Team spending, players developing… and somehow avoiding top prospects in trades. I will take it.

    Moniak,Stott, Sir A on top of schwarber& castellanos, really looking forward
    To this “playoff window.”

    1. To qualify that statement since the golden era, the 4 aces season. This feels like the bat version, an embarrassment of riches

      1. Of all the NL teams, the Phillies were the only ones, other than the Dodgers, that seemed to embrace the DH by putting together a truly dominant AL-type line-up. I mean, when Rhys Hoskins hits 7th and there’s some good hitters behind him, you’ve got the makings of an historic offense. This year is going to be a blast!

        1. You’re right, this is a true AL type team that went out and spent the money (now 4th in payroll). If everybody stays healthy, there will be a lot of high ERAs in the NL East.

          1. There may be high ERAs in the NL-east , especially if deGrom and Scherzer cannot go 30/32 starts apiece this year and has even Mike Soroka taken the mound for the Braves yet!

            1. The Mets are in a bind with Jacob deGrom. He’s starting to get seriously hurt and he turns 34 in June. He’s owed $35.5M this season and $32.5M in 2023. I don’t think his body will hold up throwing 97-98 much longer.

              The Mets also gave Scherzer (38 in June) 3 years, $130M. He’s been incredibly healthy his entire career. He’s had 11 seasons of 30+ starts, and 1 at 27 starts. He’s due to break down in a hurry.

              Another question is how much longer can Charlie Morton go. He’s already 38.

        2. First I wanna thank all you guys for your terrific insights, while I post infrequently I am an avid reader I probably check this site 10 times a day seven days a week so thank you! I I have to agree with what’s being said, in my view this is the best offensive team that we’ve had since the 1993 Phillies. No disrespect to the 2008 group they were great but if you recall that 93 team just ground pictures into the ground. I think the first five hitters in the lineup all scored 100 runs and more than a few of them had over 100 walks. I can see a similar type of thing this year and can’t wait for launch on Friday.

  8. Congratulations to Micky and family. They endured alot and hopefully now will reep the benefits of the hard work that’s put in by all the ballplayers. Now just keep moving forward and have fun playing the game. Looking forward to a great season by all.

  9. Hinkie NL East forecast:

    1 Braves 92 wins
    2 Phillies 89 wins (make playoffs)
    3 Marlins 84 wins
    4 Mets 81 wins
    5 Nationals 61 wins

    * Dave Dombrowski deadline move: Phillies acquire Patrick Corbin and Tanner Rainey from the Nationals.

    * Bryson Stott makes the opening day roster & finishes top 2 for NL ROY, and lands the Phillies a draft pick.

    1. I’m sorry, but I want no part of Patrick Corbin. He’s still owed almost $60M combined for 2023 and 2024. He’s durable, but he’s coming off -1.2 WAR last season.

      1. Agree on Corbin. Nats owe him almost the same amount the Phillies have left of Wheeler’s contract.

        crazy.

        1. Looking at his career #’s he appears to be a guy who’s really suffered from the whole “sticky ball” crackdown. His career WHIP was regularly around 1.5 except for 2 years during the peak of the sticky stuff period when his K rates also spiked. My guess he’s lost a lot of spin on that slider and it’s no longer as deceptive.

          1. His fastball is way down too. He used to be 95-96. Now he’s hovering in the 90-92 range.

            1. I’m bullish on Corbin bouncing back. And there are multiple ways to consummate deals. Mike Rizzo would put down some money/salary relief to make the deal happen, and probably get a better return. Tanner Rainey is another bonus (a live arm, who has a love/hate relationship with the K-zone, and is under team control for 4 more seasons).

          2. In my opinion, Corbin’s problems the past two years weren’t necessarily spin-related because his off-speed spin was never great to begin with. He lost command of his sinker and became more predictable by throwing more fastballs with his slider. To paint a picture, his metrics the third time through the lineup were similar to Vince Velasquez. His release point was off but he seemed to figure that out later in the 2021 season. We’ll see how much that helps if he can consistently arm slot.

            I don’t think the Phillies have any interest in him for a variety of reasons. Depending on the circumstances, I could see the Phillies trading for a pitcher at the trade deadline that is under contract beyond this season (not unlike Gibson last year) in order to protect themselves from potentially losing Gibson and Eflin after this season. But I believe they’ll have much better options.

            1. 3 more years of Corbin? No thank you! He’s an anchor, not a flotation device. Now, if Washington releases him, sure, he’s worth a shot, but right now? Even at a reduced cost, he’s far, far too risky for this team.

    2. Hinkie, while not trying to be a homer, I see the Phillies going past 89 wins. I’ll do a deeper dive, refresh the win/lose rates on division rivals … but I can see 94 wins, +\- 2. I think the lineup gets them 88 wins. I believe the bullpen is fixed enough to cut down on the blow leads/saves. The defense gives some back, but overall it’s a boost to the win column. Then add in Gibson for a full year, Suarez in the rotation from the start … I see 94 wins. I think Nola and efflin can balance each other out, who’s ever peaking vs struggling. You also gotta factor in the new mentality of the team… they know it’s time, and they are loaded.

      Let’s hope I’m right. They should be damn good either way.

    3. I agree with you on the Mets. I think they are over rated and I bet that Max and Jacob have very few starts this year. IMO, the Phillies are a team built to win in the regular season. They will feast on most pitchers. I definitely see them making the playoffs unless we have a lot of bad luck w injuries. Whether their approach will work in the playoffs is to be seen, but it will be a fun season. A lot of offense and the culture will be fun to watch.

      1. Anything can work in the playoffs. Just get in and hope. If Cody freaking Ross can have a 189 wRC+ in the playoffs and hit two homers in one game against one of the best pitchers ever… well, any of Harper, Schwarber, or Castellanos can do so as well.

        Heck, maybe even Mickey will decide he wants to haunt an opposing team for years to come.

  10. Amazing how the Angels ate $28M of Upton’s last year. These numbers have gotten really out of hand. I think about my measly salary and now pension after teaching 10 year olds for over 30 years. Do you think it will ever end?

      1. I mean… I think that’s what anyone working wants. There definitely is not room for infinite growth, though. At some point, the owners will run out of things to monetize without turning viewers away. And at that point, they’ll either stop trying to milk even more profits, or they’ll continue and people will give up on the sport. So either way, the profits will either stagnate or drop. When that happens, player salaries will stop growing.

  11. Looking at how the Phillies can save money for 2023, obviously letting Didi walk into FA will save his $15M. Unless Nola gets hurt, his $16M team option will get picked up. Gibson will likely hit FA taking his $7.6M salary, but most of his money will be taken by Suarez entering arbitration. As I much as I want Gibson to replicate his 3.5 WAR last season, that likely won’t happen. And I think the Phillies can have Sanchez/Falter/Crouse take Gibson’s spot in 2023.

    The biggest issues are

    1. Eflin’s impending FA
    2. Jean Segura’s $17M team option

    No doubt, Eflin has had injuries. If he gets injured again, you let him walk. But he’s in line for a massive payday if he can produce. Can the Phillies sign Eflin and possibly Nola? I don’t think that’s doable.

    If the Phillies had a prospect waiting in the wings at 2B, this is a no brainer. But Stott is likely taking SS, and even though Maton has showed some punch, asking him to replace Jean might be a tall order. If Jean can stay healthy and produce, it’ll likely get picked up.

    This means the payroll for 2023 will be quite similar to what it will be for 2022. The Phillies have 5 guys making $~20M+ (Harper, Wheeler, Realmuto, Castellanos, Schwarber).

  12. Nice for me to see that John Andreoli will be in LHV. I don’t expect to ever see him up with the big club but I’ll be happy to follow his stats for the year.

    Got to watch him play at UConn for 3 years playing along side George Springer, Nick Ahmed, and Scott Oberg. Matt Barnes was the ace of the staff those years.

  13. Ansinger and Ripken were discussing Phillies last night on MLB. Ripken likes Braves. Ansinger likes Phillies for NL East. Ansinger thinks Phillies have the best lineup in the NL. Ripken likes Dodgers best.

    Ansinger thinks this year because of the lockout pitching will not be nearly as good as some might think. Plus, injuries and he mentioned Mets already in that. That is why he thinks Phillies may be able to outscore teams like yesterday. Called yesterday a Home Run Derby.

    The MLB preview show for anyone interested is Wednesday evening. I just saw the CBS power ranking and Phillies are 12 to start season.

  14. Why the MLB can’t figure out a way for every team to begin playing the season on opening day this Thursday is beyond me.. The teams that start playing on Friday feels like the MLB bridesmaid opener..

    1. Previous opening day was supposed to be earlier. They kept the remaining schedule and it just so happened that the Phillies had a day off on Thursday before a 13 game stretch. Unfortunately, the Phillies now instead start the season wtih 13 games in a row.

  15. For years I have been shaking my head at how bad our prospect building has been. How can one franchise be so consistently bad? I have been an open critic of Johnny Almaraz. I hated his philosophy, particularly with pitchers. But it has been perplexing to me how bad he was at judging hit tools. But Mickey’s potential breakout due to a Kevin Long swing change has given me pause. Maybe the issue all along has been our developmental approach, not our drafting?

    I read the below article this weekend. It is a good article but here are the money quotes:

    “In the past, he would step with his right leg and stride across his left leg. That isn’t happening anymore. Instead, being closer to the plate enables him to plant his right foot after a shorter leg lift, clear his hips, and rotate his upper body through the ball”

    “I always knew I would kind of cross-stride and cut myself off,” Moniak said. “I’ve done work in the past to try to fix it. But I mean, [Long] got me right from Day 1. I feel like I’m seeing the ball better. I’ve got a lot more time up there to be able to adjust to pitches and still be on the heater.”

    It’s spring training and a small sample size, but I really have been struck with the question, how could it have taken so long and so much failure at the minor league level for anyone to notice this?

    I am just a dad coach, but even I know that when a player is struggling, you always start from the ground up. Footwork is critical in all aspects of baseball. How could prior developmental staff miss something so obvious?

    The article goes on to note that KL watched over 1,000 PAs of Moniak during the break and was ready from Day 1 with the adjustment. I find this to be a truly head scratching revelation. WTF have other hitting instructors been doing?

    As a Phillies fan I am extremely excited about the prospect of a home grown productive player. I truly hope this change plays out long term. That KL has unlocked Mickey. That would be amazing. I also think that KL deserves and immediate raise.

    https://lancasteronline.com/sports/mlb/how-one-little-adjustment-has-turned-around-the-phillies-outlook-on-mickey-moniak/article_4fa1cc54-a412-5f8f-8005-7cd37769b94f.html

    1. I’ve stated this numerous times in the past: Phillies first round picks were always a collaborative task (Klentak/Manuel/Gillick/Almaraz/etc).
      And the developmental staff was just as much (maybe more to blame) than the picks themselves. IIRC, Matt Moniak once stated Johnny A was unhappy with what the development staff did with Mickey’s swing. Matt M can correct me if I’m wrong on that.
      Yes. Kevin Long may end up being the most impactful Phillies signing this winter.

      1. Sure, you have been saying that, but without any real evidence. The Mickey/KL case study is the first very real example. Again, it is still spring training and small sample size, but he looks different. His approach is different. his plate coverage is different. and it is just remarkable to me that it took this long for someone to figure it out.

    2. V1, I feel the frustration. I raised a similar question in last weeks open discussion. I think it’s a combo Of 5 things – player’s ability, Player’s acceptance of instruction. Coach’s ability, and coach’s approach/pitch. Also, how many conflicting instructions throughout their careers. It’s got to be maddening for a new coach to contradict a previous one. Not to mention, bad advice maybe given, but good immediate results are produced, but are not good long term once the competition improves.

      It’s tough. I do believe the Phillies likely missed out on some talent due to 1 or more of those components failing or being subpar, for whatever reason. Not saying I know for sure, but:

      Dom Brown
      Jesse Biddle
      Escheleman

      More recently
      Kingery
      & possibly Bohm

      It just makes you wonder, for sure. The answer isn’t likely the same across the board, but .. I hope it’s addressed to the point it is minimized. You gotta think it’s derailed a few careers over the last 10 years. I’m sure it happens in every organization, so the question is, is it happening more or less in the Phillies organization.

      Touché subject for sure, but again, I’m not looking to place blame, but to identify and do better going forward.

      For what happened with Moniak, I gotta believe both kingery & bohm have adjustments that can be made, to get them back to where they were or projected to be. I can’t give up in them 2 just yet.

  16. The #3 prospect, 21 Year old Julio Rodriguez, has made the opening day roster for the Mariners. I don’t know if their starting rotation will hold up, but they are clearly going for it.

    1. A good sign that a lot of big time prospects are breaking camps with their Big Clubs; Witt Jr, Hunter Greene, Julio as you mention and I’ve caught a lot of that kid in ST he’s a sleeper stud as well as a bunch of others.

      I like to look at the MLB holistically and the better the rest of the league is the more I enjoy baseball.

      1. DMAR……the dangling carrot is an allure……the draft choice award if they finish in the ROY-Top Three voting

  17. Hinkie and V1..yes no doubt johnny would call me from time to time and tell Mickey to go back to doing what he did in high school and quit having these guys messed him up! Crazy. I guess Kevin long just kind of got him back to more of the way he was in high school and even all the way down to Little League. It’s funny because in Little League he had 28 home runs including all stars and 25 of them were to Center or to left-center. Kind of seeing that this spring so maybe he’s unlock the old Mickey!

    1. Well, it is wonderful to see. We are all rooting for him. Clearly DD saw our developmental staff as a real issue because he cleaned house. But it is really remarkable to see such a huge change so quickly. All the best to him for a great season.

      1. Thanks for clearing that up, Matt.
        Loved the one AB today where Muckey (facing a LHP) fell behind 0-2. He then battled back to see a full count before delivering a single to LF. Excellent plate discipline, and didn’t try to do too much on the 3-2 pitch.

  18. Matt…kinda like the saying if it is not broken don”t fix it. I see that all the time with this youth travel stuff today. All these guys start getting in the ears of these kids who are doing great and then the kids have no idea what they should be doing. Too many voices too often. My grandson deals with them way too much IMO.

    1. That’s part of the climb for these kids. Deciphering what’s good advice vs okay to bad. Making the Majors is no easy task, and a lot of hurdles are in a players way.

  19. I did see last night on Donnie Baseball where Mattingly even though he was hitting for high averages the Yankees were concerned he had very little power. Mattingly mentioned Pinella was still with Yankees and one day in batting practice out in the filed Lou suggested a slight difference to his weight transfer with his legs. Mattingly tried it and all of a sudden, he started hitting home runs as well hitting for a high average. Point is he got the info from someone very clued in rather than maybe someone who wanted to be clued in.

  20. Looking at LHV roster 5 of the 8 position players have come over the winter from other organizations, most of the players on Reading have also come from other organizations. Not sure if they can help if we have injuries in Philly.

    1. The LHV outsiders’ may be there fro the sole intention of the Phillies to help the big club n an emergency, since they may have experiences the Phillies may need in an emergency.
      The 3 or 4 Reading club ‘outsiders’;…may be there to augment and take some pressure off the prospects like O’Hoppe, Muzziotti, Guzman, Ortiz et al …I do not see them being called up to help the big club.
      The pitchers are a bit different,

    2. Yup, any bright spots in the org are in A ball or lower with maybe a few exceptions. We know that though, the org really struggled for awhile to stock the farm system. Ideally, these kids in A ball will keep developing and this will only be an issue for this season

      1. Without injuries our non- pitchers are set for a couple of years so A ball player are the level we need to be ready.

      2. … what?

        Moniak, Stott, Marchan, Suarez, Sullivan, Dohy, Falter, Singer, Crouse, Ogle, Morales, O’Hoppe, and Muzziotti are all young guys at AA or higher and have (varying degrees of) legitimate chances to contribute to the team either this year or next (some will contribute by being included in trades, most likely). And most of them are even home-grown.

        1. My guess LHP Erik Miller will be one of the first guys called up..I think he’s in AA to build up innings and arm strength. Of all the non-40 man roster pitchers, MLB Pipeline had him standing out in Phillies ST..

            1. This move surprises me. Miller and Morales both going to the pen is a subtle large statement by the club. Both could get to the majors this year in the pen if they pitch well. However, we have no starting pitcher prospects above A now other than maybe Crouse, who also looks like a pen arm to me.

    1. rocco…he decided to move on, he elected free agency back in Nov/Dec….and assume still waiting to get picked-up as a free agent. May be tough at 25 now, and he had some medical ailments in the past. Have not seen if he has been picked-up as of yet.

  21. @catch22hman

    I was the dude who you may be referring to who “criticized” Nola yesterday. Even though I would not call it that…I did say he pitched great. But as you said in your post, ST is not about wins and losses. I did see two separate times that Nola threw a meatball over the plate with 2 strikes. Thats all I said, and it is somewhat worrisome. Yesterday, one was hit a mile and the other the batter missed. It is also the Tigers. Other teams will be more likely to have runners on and less likely to miss that pitch.

    Forget results, I am with you 100% for most of yesterday he looked great…but that is always the problem with him, he looks great for 90% of his start but when its the 5th inning and he has 2 on and 2 out and a 1-2 pitch, hes been hanging that two strike pitch too often. I dont care how good he is the rest of his starts, that is something he has to stop doing and I did see him do it twice yesterday. It was the thing he did last year that led to most of his trouble

    Again, I hope that he pitches like he did yesterday all season, but lets not ignore that one issue that turns dominant outings into mediocre outings. Yesterday, it only hurt him once, and nobody was on base that time. Just wanna see him put batters away without hanging the ball in the strike zone, thats all

    1. “I don’t care how good he is the rest of his starts…”

      Well that’s a bad opinion to have. I’ll let you in a secret: all pitchers perform worse each time through the lineup. The longer they’re out there, the more time the opposition has to adjust and the more chances there are for the pitcher to make a mistake.

      The reason nobody was on when he made that mistake was because he made so few mistakes that the hitters could take advantage of. That’s the difference between front of the rotation and middle/back. Front end guys still make mistakes, but the damage is limited because they make so few of them it’s hard to string together base runners to score. The overall performance is way more important than any single pitch.

      1. What I am saying is that last year, he would look electric for 90% of games, and then in the big spot with 2 on and 2 strikes, hed give up a homer and boom, 3-0 bad guys. We all know that Nola can get guys out and sometimes looks like a legit Cy Young type guy…but he HAS to not throw those 2 strike meatballs. That is the point i was making…he can be jacob degrom for 90% of starts but if he makes that killer mistake and his line ends up 6 ip, 3er and not 6 ip, 1 er…thats the difference between good dude to have in the rotation and legitimate number 1 or 2 starter on a contender. All im saying…hes just gotta avoid the the 2 strike meatballs or it can ruin the rest of his start

        1. Dan D (please consider changing that user name – it’s more than a little disturbing) – there really is something to what you’re saying. Nola has had a problem with putting batters away, suddenly losing effectiveness and and throwing bad pitches at the worst possible time. There’s something to your points. My point is that I saw him pitch yesterday in a way that suggests he can move beyond many of those problems and perhaps develop into a much better pitcher.

        2. Maybe, D-squared, what you are writing is totally on-target but also maybe it might be really really difficult for a pitcher to get MLB batters out at any time, and we need to readjust expectations such that ANY time a starting pitcher gets to see the lineup a third time with less than 3 runs it is a major achievement. Leave it at that, otherwise the bull pen will be maxed out by July. IMO that was the hugest benefit of Suarez and Wheeler last year.

  22. 2 more mickey mo hits today…and a sb….this may be real lol. 60 to 1 on fan duel to win ROY just sayin

    1. Here is another site’s odds:
      NL …..
      Seiya Suzuki (OF, Cubs) +350
      Oneil Cruz (SS, Pirates) +460
      Hunter Greene (P, Reds) +650
      Bryson Stott (SS, Phillies) +900
      CJ Abrams (SS, Padres) +950
      Joey Bart (C, Giants) +1500
      Alek Thomas (OF, Diamondbacks) +1700
      Brennen Davis (OF, Cubs) +3500
      Roansy Contreras (P, Pirates) +4000
      Seth Beer (1B, Diamondbacks) +4000
      Matt Vierling (OF, Phillies) +4000

      1. Good players this year. Suzuki is gonna be fun to watch…im not sure how i personally feel about guys who were stars in other pro leagues winning ROY but rules are rules, he is eligible and will likely win. I thought my 60 to 1 longshot on Moniak for $10 was fun…of course it probably wont happen but ive spent $10 on worse things.

        Abrams has some real good value there too.

        1. Yeah…Abrams looks to be a solid candidate for sure…..with Tatis out for awhile he will get a long look out there.

        1. Top Ten…..2022 AL ROOKIE OF THE YEAR ODDS
          Bobby Witt, Jr. +310
          Spencer Torkelson +450
          Adley Rutschman +600
          Julio Rodriguez +600
          Shane Baz +1100
          Jeremy Pena +1200
          Riley Greene +1500
          Reid Detmers +2000
          Joe Ryan +2500
          Vidal Brujan +2500

    1. does it look V1, like the ball got stuck in his glove….. as we have all seen many times with many players, or do you think he was trying to see how close he could make the play?

      1. Always an excuse with Bohm. That’s not what it looks like to me. To me, it looks like a stiff athlete who has trouble gathering himself after bending while charging a ball so he takes an extra step to help him stabilize before he throws against his momentum.

        Watch this play. nearly identical play. you can’t see the difference in athleticism?

  23. v1, Opening Day is Friday, and I have no clue what they are going to do. You make logical sense, and hitting wise and fielding wise it seems to be a fairly easy decision, so why do I think they do the opposite?

    1. matt13….Jim Salisbury had this to say about it.

      “What gives? Had the Phillies become concerned about what an assignment to Triple A might do to Bohm’s confidence? Had they become concerned about what an assignment to Triple A might do to his trade value?”

      1. Matt Gelb also notes that they might keep both Bohm and Scott with the big club to start the season and try to juggle at-bats.

      2. Yes, Romus, Salisbury has valid points. These were my concerns too. I was afraid the Phillies would remember how he pouted and pretended an injury when he was optioned last August. He and his father (very much like Lindros’ father) were pissed at the demotion. I believe a point was made when he wasn’t recalled until the end of the Triple-A season. Of course, they would be afraid of a repeat. From a business side, I was concerned that they would consider the loss of value if they did option him and move him to first base.

        1. I think you have to move Bohm, all things considered. He simply has no future here, no position, nothing but hopes of redeeming his bat.

          1. I’ve been making the point for months that his value as a hitter is his value as he has essentially no added value in the field. Now, since he’s not hitting, he has little trade value, but he could have value to the organization (as a player here or in a trade) if his hitting rebounds. I would send him to AAA and still have him work with Long when he can. He has to play every day and that’s not going to happen in the majors.

  24. If I am in charge I send him down and keep him down until he hits his way back and finds a position regardless of hurt feelings. He has not earned a spot. If they don’t it will not end well.

  25. Looking at the numbers, and Scott Kingery is still owed $6M (2022), $8M (2023) and $1M buyout for 2024. And he has generated 0.6 WAR in his Phillies career…

    1. Well here is an interesting twist. A response to your earlier post as well. Assuming Moniak & Stott are for real, you shift the 1 “dead spot” in the lineup. We where expecting that to be CF this year, after last year. Doesn’t look that way anymore. Stott replaces Didi. Segura is replaced by Kingery or Maton. Now the 1 dead spot but Both give defensive flexibility. Either you accept Camargo as your 3B or Bohm develops and takes over for 2023.

      That’s a lot of money saved, with prospects bunching up to trade. What do you do with Rojas now? (If this scenario plays out) castellnos back to 3B? With Moniak in LF & Rojas in CF?

      Will see, a year is a long time but they seem to have money saving options out there

      1. Castellanos may not go to third on any regular basis, its been 5 years since he was there , when in Detroit, and he said only now goes over there prior to games to get his ‘reflexes going’…a warm-up.

      2. The Phillies could platoon 3B with Bohm and Stott. Not ideal, but you hope that Bohm can get it done with less pressure. Otherwise, he’s on his way down to Lehigh.

        If Moniak’s adjustments pay off, then you don’t have to rush Rojas. He could essentially spend the next 2 years in the minors. Then you evaluate again in 2 years and trade 1 of them.

        Castellanos is not playing 3B for any amount of time.

        Another question is that Hoskins will be a FA in 2024. Personally, I think he’ll walk and the Phillies can shift Schwarber or Realmuto there.

        1. Agree…..I think Hoskins may test the free agent market…especially if he rakes these next two years at the plate
          I am sure the Phillies will make him an offer on a LTC, either half-way thru this season or right afterwards, as a sign of goodwill….but it will not be to Boras’ liking.
          The negative aspect for Boras and Rhys…..he will go into free agency in his age31 season…..so he may be only looking at a max 3 year length contract anyways.

        2. No, whatever you do, you don’t send Realmuto to first. His value is as a catcher. You’re better off trading him than playing him at first in my view. We don’t need another Joe Mauer situation.

    2. I wonder if the Phillies are planning to give Kingery until midseason to get ready in case Segura is traded. That’s a lot of dead money for a relatively young man who may only need time to regain form after being poorly deployed under the previous regime.

      1. ….problem is, Kevin Long is with the big club, and Kingery’s biggest offensive deficiency is identifying balls in and out of the strike zone. So, I would have him hanging around CBP with Long until he’s ready for rehab action.

      2. Guys, stop the Kingery stuff. They aren’t dumping him because there’s no upside to that, but they aren’t planning ANYTHING around him. He’s returned to being a lottery ticket. He’s not part of the roster strategy now or anytime until he makes himself relevant again.

    3. Yeah, but he’s a sunk cost and has been for a while. Nobody wants him, so they are doing the right thing. Have him work with Long and then send me to the minors when ready. If something positive happens, then great. Otherwise, the downside is already built into the team’s projections, so no harm if they have to let him go.

  26. as a KU basketball and Phillies baseball fan I’d just point out that the last time KU won a title the Phillies won the world series the same year, so hoping for a repeat in 2022.

      1. no, but the handle is in honor of him. good memory by you. That ’98 team he was on losing to Rhode Island in tournament, then the Sixers passing on Paul Pierce for Larry Hughes in the draft, both still painful to recall.

  27. Looking more like Moniak will get the starts in CF vs RHPs, except for when he’s in RF on days Bryce is DH or rests.

    Talk of Bohm, Stott and Didi shifting daily to afford everybody PAs tells me that a midseason/deadline trade is more than likely. Valid point that sending Bohm to play 1b in AAA diminishes his value enough to minimize any return for him in a trade.

    And let’s not sleep on Nicky Castles getting reps at 3b on occasion, especially against tough LHPs when Girardi opts to sit Stott and/or Didi. I’m positive we’ll see Bohm at 1b or dh on those days, switching off with Hoskins.

    And then there’s the inevitable injury, which will settle some of the juggling.

    1. Bohm’s situation, if not massaged properly, could turn into an Adam Haseley..2
      In three weeks when the rosters are back to normal, Bohm may be forced to go to LHV, especially if still struggling…….but if Stott starts slow, then who knows what happens by then.

  28. At some point, Alec Bohm needs to grab a job on the team by his play. I get that these are human beings with feelings that matter, and the mental part of the game is crucial to a player’s success. The is nothing wrong with going back to LHV and earning a spot by dominating there. If he is going to fall apart by going down after not performing well enough to earn a spot, how can he ever be counted on in a Pennant race or an even more tense situation? I want him to succeed and I want he and Stott to be major contributors for us going forward, but I can’t argue that he has earned the starting 3B job, and sitting on the bench is a waste.

    1. Alec’s path to an MLB Job is his bat and his bat only. Like the rest of you I have seen enough at 3B and its nothing to be ashamed of for him. KB eventually moved off of 3B to LF

      Castellanos moved off of 3B to the OF and that wasn’t great either. Obvious these guys know he won’t be able to handle OF either as he has never once been sent out there that I can recall.

      1B ok maybe passable there and maybe able to improve there with more reps but it won’t be this season unless Hoskins goes down.

      The Phillies hold all the cards so they should do what is in the best interest of the team. If he’s going to pout for being sent down shame on him.

      1. Hoskins…..he may be the reason they hold on to Bohm. Many insiders have reason to believe Rhys will be traded as early as the upcoming off season. Bohm would have more value to the Phillies than on the trade market if his bat works and he’s relegated to 1b.

  29. mark, I believe that Hoskins is underrated by many on this site, and around the league. I predict a big season from him. I also believe that if Bohm cannot play 3B he gets traded. I hope he can, but I see Stott as the future SS, moving to 2B only if Luis Garcia proves to be a good Major Leaguer. I think the future 3B, if not Bohm, is not in the organization presently. I know v1, and others, have well documented their opinions of Bohm as a 3B. I can’t argue with them, I can only hope he figures out a way to play 3B. But, if not, I don’t think he plays here as a 1B>

    1. Matt its not a matter of Hoskins being underrated as much as it is can they sign him for a reasonable amount

      He’s decent enough at 1B; Really good as a DH but DD has committed us to Schwarber and Castellanos for the next 4 years each. Plus you have Realmuto who you might want to find some ABs out from behind the plate.

      I do appreciate how DD is going for it and without giving up anything in prospect capital but….

      I’m mindful that this could all go terribly wrong.

      Its not personal towards Rhys but he’s not Freddie Freeman , he’s not Paul Goldschmidt and from just a pure DH standpoint he’s not J.D Martinez.who was ranked 4th best DH last year at age 33.

  30. Unlike most of you, I’d rather start the year with Bohm at 3b and Stott in LHV. They can always swap spots in a month if need be. Let Stott get off to a good start. Remember this is our 8 hitter.

    1. Haha. So much for that thought. They both made the squad. Who will go from the 40? I see that Knapp was cut by the Reds. I wonder if he’d play at LHV for awhile. If so, maybe they cut Sands. Putting Sherriff on the 60 day is possible, cutting Odubel or Maton is next option. Sherriff is away on a “personal” matter. Is there a non 40 spot for that kind of leave?

    2. I’d want both playing every day Murray. I would have been ok with DD sending either one of them to LHV to start

      this is a bit peculiar to me

      1. If you think it thru, Camargo I’d the guy who will lose playing time. They will probably sit one of their regular 7 (exclude CF platoon and C and include DH) every day after the first few days until they have days off. Seems like an odd plan to me. I’d rather just rest guys at DH.

      2. Stott had to make the opening day roster. Not only has he played well (for the past year), but (because of his prospect status) he qualifies as a guy who could net the team a draft pick (or two … or three) if he gets enough ROY votes. That new draft pick rule is the reason why many clubs are scrapping the service time manipulation game this spring.

        1. That may be the case. I have looked and looked and looked for a comprehensive explanation as to how that draft pick compensation rule works and I could find nothing. The mechanics of that are quite important in determining the cost/benefit of keeping a young player on the roster.

          1. To get into the weeds and sort it out, you may have to wait until the CBA is published.
            And I am not positively sure, but that may not be until after July 25th since MLB and MLBPA agreed with that one clause, to wait until that date to decide on an international draft, if approved, then the QO for MLB free agents go away -which is what the union wants……and MLB finally gets its international 20 round draft..

            1. Broadly, the new rule allows a team to receive a draft pick (probably after the comp A selections/36-40 range) if they have a top 100 prospect on their opening day roster, and that player finishes top two for ROY (both leagues). That same player could also net their club additional picks in their two other pre arb years if they finish among the top vote getters in MVP and Cy Young races (from what I understand).

            2. Thanks, that makes sense. I didn’t understand the concept of receiving multiple picks, but now I do – as there are multiple “pick events” over several years as a young player goes from being a rookie to his pre-arb. years. Now, this definitely incentivizes the team promoting the player to play that play A LOT and, personally, I think this what it’s going to happen with Stott. I don’t think he’ll play much (or at all) at second, but he’s going to play third and short a lot. If he turns into the player I think he can become, I’d be surprised if he plays in fewer than 140 games this year.

  31. Per Matt Gelb, Stott and Bohm have been informed they are going North and have made the team. JoeG has told upper management he can make it work, providing enough ABs for everyone. No offense to him, but I don’t see how. The phrase “at least through April” was used, A 40 Man Roster spot has to be created for Stott.

    1. Maybe it’ll turn out JoeG doesn’t know what he’s doing carrying both Bohm and Stott, but it seems that with 13 games in 13 days and a short spring, they can get everyone in the game. I just hope they don’t sacrifice their best lineup on days it can be out there just for the sake of getting guys ABs. That would not be a win-now move. If that’s what they’re planning to do, someone should have just been sent to the minors. That said, looking forward to watching both guys play and seeing them continue to get in work with K Long. Hopefully both can continue to progress (and same for Moniak and Vierling) and for once the Phillies could have a good problem on their hands regarding young players.

      1. Think there’s concern in the organization about running players out there every day with the short ST and almost not open dates in April. Expect to see everyone getting days off every 3 or 4 days which is why they can get away with carrying both Bohm and Stott for the 1st month.

  32. I don’t give up on bohm at this point, same with Kingery and Maton. Especially after Moniak’s “ah ha moment.” Hopefully it is contagious. Hard for me to believe that Bohm was hitting over .300 for 150ish at bats, but all the sudden can’t hit mlb pitching anymorE. Same with kingery’s previous success. They have struggles for sure, but Both of them are worth more to the Phillies than trading them. Maybe kingery because he can provide salary relief but .. even still you’ll get less than a bag of mixed equipment for them. Hold out and see if they can figure it out. That’s a lot of baseball people to be wrong if so.

    1. Kingery is sort of a forgotten man. If he comes back, great, but I’m not relying on that and he has no trade value.

      Bohm is in a whole different situation. I’ve thought about this and the only way keeping Bohm makes any sense is if Kevin Long thinks it’s essential that he keeps working with Bohm for him to progress. I think that’s what’s really going on here.

  33. Just saw that Pedro Severino was just suspended for the Brewers for positive drug test. Apparently, he’s trying to get pregnant since the drug, Clomiphene, is used to induce ovulation.

  34. Good story line is Brogdon throwing with decent velocity. Jim said not to worry – looks like he may be right . . . again . . . dagnabbit! LOL!

  35. Funny, bad rebuild story – remember when we actually cared about Maikel Franco’s and Scott Kingery’s service time?

  36. catch, I believe I saw 94 for Brogdon today. I know Familia and Hand also pitched today, and Eflin looked good. There is a Roster. 15 Pitchers, Jones, Brogdon, Sanchez, Falter, Nelson, with SerA, Alvarado, Knebel, Hand and Familia.

      1. Agree with three of the four going ….Garcia want to hold on…his defense is the best of the infielders……sub another prospect in there, possibly a pitcher.
        Think the Guardians of the Galaxy will want another prospect pitcher to add to Painter…..maybe Miller.

      2. Me. I say no. If you want to spend your most valuable assets, get a starting pitcher. That’s what they need now to go deep.

        1. You use your assets to acquire Wins. Jose is a 6 WAR player. I doubt very seriously they can acquire an SP anywhere close to a 6 WAR player.

          1. The Phillies have plenty of offensive wins and they need to develop young players. But to win and go deep in the postseason, you need to balance that hitting with pitching or you end up like recent Yankee teams where you hit the living daylights out of the ball, but get beat every year in the playoffs by teams with better pitching and don’t make the WS. I am also concerned about trading the young prospects they will need for a player that will be super expensive next year. You can’t have a team full of $20 million plus players. They need Stott to develop and they will need guys like Painter in the not-to-distant future.

      3. I’d do that deal for Ramirez in a heart beat. I’d push the chips all in and play to win this year given the lineup they now have. There hasn’t been a repeat winner in MLB since 2000. Play to win this year and deal with the future in the future.

        Besides, a move like the one proposed IMO doesn’t really downgrade the future.

    1. Ramirez just signed a 5-year extension with the Guardians so those trade rumors appear to be going nowhere.

      1. Oops…..do not see that…..I guess they let Lindor go last year, they were not about to let Ramirez go.

  37. v1, I usually balk, no pun intended, at trading Painter, but I think I would definitely do that deal, and the Guardians are the ones who say no.

    1. matt13….Ramirez is a free agent next year, a rental for 2022…if you ask me …it could be too much…they cannot afford to pay him….I would hope the Phillies could.

      1. v1, Romus, I think a lot of Garcia. I just don’t know how highly the rest of the league holds him so I thought he may be viewed too dar away from the Majors. I don’t know how much they care about getting Didi for a year, so I thought they would view Bohm as a gamble and think Painter and Garcia may not be enough. I think it’s worth the risk for us, hoping to re-sign Ramirez. Stott replaces Didi and is our long time SS, Ramirez re-signs and is our long term 3B, Garcia is blocked, so I make the deal. I wouldn’t offer more and don’t know if substituting Miller is better or worse for us. I like him.

    2. I wouldn’t hesitate to trade EITHER Abel OR Painter in the right trade…probably Painter NOW since he’s further away than Abel. I would also offer Bohm, but I don’t think San Diego will offer much more since Ramirez is a one year rental. Didi plus $10M might also appeal to Cleveland’s budget constraints. Do it…

  38. Got to keep in mind that the pitching staff worked against the Pirates B team. Or are the Pirates already a B team so the Philles played their C team.

    And using the word “work” in the first sentence: Brandon WORKman is again available so tell DD to jump on this opportunity before some other team does.

    1. I have a lot of respect for Andy Knapp. He was drafted as a hit-only catcher. Like Cody Asche, he has a beautiful swing and actually a very good eye, but the guy has shown no ability to hit quality big league pitching – he seemingly never connected on a good pitch. But he hung in there and made himself a very good defensive catcher so he had a path for in the big leagues. For that reason, I root for him.

  39. .

    Five lefties in the BP. I love that.

  40. …enjoy while it lasts…two of those lefties will likely be sent down come May 1.

        1. I think Falter will need to go down in May to be stretched out. He’s this club’s best SP option if/when one of Wheeler/Nola/Saurez/Eflin/Gibson gets hurt.

          1. … and I’d also rehab JoJo Romero as a SP for this year (at least). The club lacks SP depth, JoJo is capable of four pitches (FB/CH/SL/CB), and IMO it’s safer to have a pitcher throw every 5th day (instead of every other day) coming off TJ.

            1. That’s interesting. The Phillies moved Miller to the bullpen this year because they felt that a reliever’s preparation would be easier on his arm than the daily routine a starting pitcher endures. He may return to a rotation after this season. Depends on how his arm responds.

  41. .

    Best Defensive Catcher

    1 Drew Romo, Rockies
    2 Rafael Marchan, Phillies
    3 Patrick Bailey, Giants
    4 Shea Langeliers, Athletics
    5 Adley Rutschman, Orioles

    1. Wow…Marchan ranked second…knew he was a good defender back there but did not realize how others rated him.

      Strangely, O’Hoppe has a few better tools than Marchan in specific particular areas…I believe his pop-up time is better and from what I have heard and seen his framing is also very good.
      Marchan may have a stronger and accurate arm.

      Wonder how Dave D will handle both of them going forward…assume one may be involved in a package deal

      1. It’s almost certain that one will, at some point, be traded and the other will likely become Realmuto’s targeted replacement. O’Hoppe has the inside track, but it’s still far from settled. They literally have the time this year to let those players dictate their futures in the minors so I expect that’s what will happen.

        1. I love what O’Hoppe has done, but (and I’ve posted this many times) offensive numbers don’t always translate from MiLB to MLB (Andrew Knapp looked like the next Ted Simmons in AA [.360/.419/.631]). Defense almost always translates. I also think Marchan’s offensive numbers stand a good chance to improve. As he matures, he should get stronger. As he adds strength, he’ll improve his exit velo. Higher exit velos = higher BABIP. Also gotta’ like the fact that he’s a switch hitter.
          I understand the FO loves O’Hoppe’s intangibles, but I’d keep Marchan, and use O’Hoppe as a trade chip at some point.

          1. One team that could be interested in one of them…Yankees.
            Wells is their best prospect as a catcher…..offense is exciting, but his defense is limited….ala Gary Sanchez, and not sure Cashman wans to go down that road again.

            1. Yeah. The Yankees could use a good young catcher.

              BTW … this summer’s draft is strong with college backstops.
              And while I’m on the subject of the draft … I figured I’d spotlight a few college bats who could be in play at 1-17 ⤵

              Kevin Parada … owns a top 10 bat, but may slide (although unlikely to 1-17 [but one can dream]) because of his defense. The switch-hitting Georgia Tech catcher owns a dazzling .374/.476/.691 slash line this year. He’s launched 11 HRs, and has owned the K-zone (19 BB, 5 HBP, 14 K). Parada may/will probably end up a 1Bman/DH. The 20 YO, 6’1″/200 former California prepster is not even an average defender behind the plate. In a season-and-a-half as a Yellow Jacket, he’s committed 10 errors, 9 PBs, and has thrown out just 14% of base stealers … but man(!), can he hit!

              Brock Jones … is a mucho athletic LHH CFer with an incredible pedigree. He’s a former HS All-American in both baseball and football. The 6’0″/200 Stanford Cardinal gave up college football after last season, and was projected to be a top 10 pick for this summer’s MLB draft after a 1.099 OPS as a soph. Unfortunately for him, Jones is off to a subpar junior season: .259/.427/.435. Despite the slow start with the bat, Jones is still a dominant defender (plus range, plus arm).

            2. Chase DeLauter … is a 6’4″/230 OFer from James Madison U who made a name for himself on the Cape last summer when he slashed .298/.397/.589 and led the league with 9 HRs (all with a wood bat). He also BB’d more (21) than he K’d (18).
              The good news for DeLauter: he’s off to a tremendous 2022 (.413/.563/.733). The bad news for DeLauter: he’s done most of his damage vs less than stellar pitching (JMU is a member of the Colonial Athletic Association). In the one early season series that meant the most to scouts, he came up small. DeLauter went 0 for 5 (5 Ks) vs FSU’s Parker Messick and Bryce Hubbart. Messick and Hubbart are both LHPs, and are going to go in the top two rounds of this year’s draft.

              Dylan Beavers … is a kid who has been mocked to the Phillies by at least one outlet recently. The 6’4″/205 LHH OFer looks a lot like Christian Yelich in the box. And he put up Yelich-like numbers (.303/.401/.630 18 HRs) in his soph season. He played for the Collegiate National Team last summer. This season, Beavers has registered a .270/.368/.604 line. He’s belted 10 homers in 111 ABs.

            3. Then there are a couple of Florida Gator OFers who should be available at 1-17 …

              Jud Fabian … is back in school after being picked in the second round (BoSox) last summer, but not coming to terms on dollars. The 6’2″/190 CFer has always been a three outcome prospect, but this season he’s managed to cut his K-rate down to 17% (was 29% in 2021). Fabian is slashing .265/.429/.677. He’s totaled 30 BB/HBP vs 24 K, and he’s hammered a dozen dingers. Fabian has always been an abv avg defender in center.

              Sterlin Thompson … is Fabian’s less famous teammate, but is probably a better prospect. The 6’4″/195 LHH COFer is off to a .348/.414/.616 start to the 2022 season.

          2. I know your position on the Marchan/O’Hoppe competition and I get your point about the defense translating, although that’s true with O’Hoppe too.

            In any event, within the next year (perhaps even this year), I expect Marchan to be Realmuto’s back-up and we can see how both guys develop. But when you look at all the great catchers in baseball currently (and even in the past) they were all hitters (nobody waxes poetic about Jerry Grote or Charlie O’Brien). Defense alone, even great defense, makes you a back-up and it’s really not clear how much Marchan will hit. But good news is that there is a runway for this decision that will allow both guys to show what they have.

  42. We always talk about whether or not players should take a team friendly deal, but there’s risk for both parties too.

    Obviously we focus on the highest profile hits: Acuna and Albies. No need to revisit that.

    But what about the misses:

    Gregory Polanco 5 years, $35M -> -0.3 WAR those 5 years
    Scott Kingery 6 years, $24M -> 0.7 WAR so far
    Ricky Romero 5 years, $30.1M -> 4.5 WAR all from 1 crazy year then fell off of the map
    Rougned Odor 6 years, $49.5M -> 1.4 WAR

    If these guys didn’t sign their deals, their teams would have just let them walk into FA or even cut them before they even reach that point.

    Remember Domonic Brown? Imagine if he signed a team friendly deal after his breakout 2013 season. He ended up banking just under $5M for his career.

    1. Or Jonathan Singleton, who got 5 years and $10 million before he was too far in (and it seemed like a great idea at the time).

      I sort of agree with you. I think, for hitters, you usually need to wait until the player has had a full season plus to see if the hitter can adjust to the league’s adjustments to him, before you pull the trigger on a long-term deal.

      1. Singleton had drug issues which I think impacted his ability to play baseball. I wonder if the Phillies knew of them before he got shipped out to Houston.

      2. The Phillies offered Hoskins an LTC the same year they offered one to Kingery. It came after he posted 2.2 WAR in 2017. Depending on the length and dollars, it may have been worth it for the 6.0 WAR he provided since.

  43. Phillies making relievers of former young starting arms rather quickly…perhaps a new philosophy in the organization when it comes to pitchers.
    I thought making Morales a reliever was a a year or two premature, now I see Dom Pipkin and Ethan Lindow are also going that way.
    Perhaps the org wants them to work on specific areas and someday go back into a starting rotation or maybe they can get to the majors faster in a relief role

    1. The pitcher also needs to buy into converting into a reliever. I heard that Morales wanted to be a reliever.

      Obviously the money is better for starting pitchers, but you gotta make it to the bigs first. The money for relievers are getting better. I mean who would have thought that Jake Diekman would hang around and bank almost $18M in earnings? Diekman has made more than Jake Thompson, Alec Asher, Jerad Eickhoff, Nick Williams, and Jorge Alfaro combined!!!

    2. You know, going to the pen does not necessarily mean a guy has to be stuck there forever, although that’s the trend in baseball. A lot of successful organizations have done well converting relievers to starters. Corbin Burnes was a reliever prior to 2020 and Pedro Martinez also started out in the bullpen – as did Ranger Suarez.

      1. Yeah……that could be the individual plan for these guys….get to the majors first, then once there try to make the transition back into the rotation…and they already know what it takes to start.
        The Phillies have been drafting …the these last few drafts…college relievers in the bonus pool rounds.
        Some may have been starters as freshmen, but then made the change in their 2nd or 3rd year.
        I like to see how these guys pan out…..Dohy, Warren, Sullivan, Schultze et al

  44. So much for any dreaming of a Ramirez trade. The Guardians opened up the wallets, and re-signed him. If I had to guess, aside from always needing a TOR, 3b may be the position we will need to fill down the road. I am penciling in Rojas to be our every day CF in a couple of years. Looking forward, very much, to how this season plays out. I like the Offense, for sure, and I like the Clubhouse vibe. I am happy with how Eflin has looked, and optimistic on Nola. I think Didi is better defensively at SS, and Stott at 3B than what we had last season. I feel a Playoff spot coming.

  45. Looks like today’s grapefruit league finale lineup will be Friday’s opener vs RHP Montas:

    Schwarber dh/lf
    Realmuto c
    Harper rf
    Castellanos lf/dh
    Hoskins 1b
    Gregorius ss
    Segura 2b
    Stott 3b
    Moniak cf

    1. I think MM should be between Castellanos and Hoskins. Maybe he’ll earn it, hope his hand is ok.

      1. I’m optimistic on MM but way to early to be putting him in the middle of the line-up. Let him settle into the bottom of the order and go from there

        1. Agree. Leave them at bottom Stott and MM. Better than Michael Martinez and Don Carmen hitting at the bottom of the order.

        2. It was mostly to keep the lefty/righty going, as it is you have 3 lefties in a row 8,9 and 1. Plus I like Stott with his projected high OBP ahead of Schwarber.

          1. Yes, I know that was the idea but no need to add that pressure to his plate. I might be inclined to switch him and Stott for the reason you noted of Stott probably being a better OBP guy.

            1. Vierling will be in there vs LHPs..that will mix it up.
              Three lefties in a row vs a RHP like Montas is an ideal set-up
              Have to assume the starting opponent pitcher will go at least 4/5 innings…if not knocked out….at least twice thru the lineup.

  46. I saw the Ramirez news. Also, the Red Sox vs Yankees for Thursday is postponed already for weather. I hope Friday is good for all of you guys. It is raining here in Indiana today. Looks like one of those all-day rains. Usually a couple days later what we have is in the East.

  47. Non baseball question, Why does a guy like Larry Anderson, John Kruk, drive up to philly, I would send my car by transport and fly home, I did that ride to Florida twice, Its really long and boring, All you see is signs for South Of the Border, My friend moved and sent his cars ahead, they were there when he got there,

    1. Sometimes you need that alone time and also the flying part isn’t for everyone along with the boarding process. I get it.

      1. When you are a Phillies’ icon you will be pestered all the way; need the alone time.

    2. I’ve done the trip 100 times – I picture these two smoking stogies with the windows down listening to Kruk’s country music and Larry talking up a storm….its a great getaway – wholly predictable and not challenging, other than the time, in any way. Maybe stop in Savannah for a nice restaurant, too…..

  48. What’s more impressive – the Stott 11 pitch BB? Or the Moniak bomb that followed? Gonna be fun debating it if this summer is full of these questions!!

    1. Listen, the longer this goes on with Moniak, the more likely it is that it’s real. And it’s not crazy for guys to make some adjustments and then take their game to another level. That’s what happened to Josh Donaldson (who was stuck in AAA at ages 24 and 25) and Justin Turner (who turned the corner with the Dodgers at age 29), so who knows? But, man, things could not have gone much better this spring for Moniak and Stott. They totally deserve the promotions.

      1. Hope your right on the kid, but remember Palm tree ??? what he did one spring

        1. Ron “Palm Tree” Stone- that’s a long way back Rocco. There were never any great expectations from him, but he did tear it up every spring.

    2. If people stay healthy, this lineup is going to mash. There’s almost no weaknesses in this lineup. The Phillies are going to score a crazy amount of runs. If Stott has a .360+ OBP and Moniak has a .470+ slugging, watch out.

      1. I think at least one, and perhaps even two, of our position players are going to hit more than 45 homers. We could easily have 3 guys who hit 40+. Man is this going to be fun to watch. It’s about time!!

  49. Moniak was hit near his right pinkie with an up and in fastball from Yarborough. Not certain how serious it is. He left the game immediately.

    1. Don’t like to hear that. He’s on a tear. Hopefully nothing serious, nor does it linger.

        1. Hearing about OFer’s injuries, I started thinking about Roman Quinn. He was signed by Miami and had 1 hit in 12 ABS with 6 K’s this spring. 1 single .350 OPS.

          1. He’s worth wild just for late inning defense if he could stay healthy. Bonus if you could make him the ghost runner but .. gotta stay healthy. I wish him well. Hope he tears it up against the braves, Mets, and nats … and stinks against the Phillies

        2. Excellent news!!! MattM, Thank you for posting on this site. From a fan’s perspective, hearing from the parent of a player is absolutely priceless. I am very happy for you. Having two boys myself, I can only imagine how proud you are. I wish you and Mickey nothing but the best.

        3. Mark i live near stadium, If you need ideas for good restaurants, that are local and not tourist traps, let know, Romus loves Popi Its near the stadium on 20th street, great crab cakes,

          1. I need to try that place, Rooco. Matt, if you want the feel of a good old Philadelphia diner (very northeast American – something that would be a nice treat I think for a Californian), the Penrose Diner is about a 5 minute trip from the ballpark and it’s very good and the atmosphere is sooooo Philly. You’ll feel as if you’ve just walked into a scene from a Rocky movie or Silver Linings Playbook (the diner in that movie, which no longer exists, was about 5 minutes from my home in the suburbs). Decent prices, good food, big portions – classic Philly servers.

            1. ok, great..thanks catch! I am staying at the courtyard naval yard so I will be close.

            2. Cheesesteak, not Pat’s or Gino’s, go somewhere else. I suggest Jim’s on South Street.

            3. The courtyard in naval yard has a Dic Nic roast beef and pork, you should try that, and i know they have cheesesteaks,

            4. Matt – are you just staying the weekend? I’m going to the game on Monday night, so if you’re there that night I’ll try to find you in 121 to say hello. Otherwise, please enjoy and know that, for all of our critical deep dives into our many prospects we always, always, always, want ALL of them to do well. Hope springs eternal and you should be so proud of your young man – not really because he’s a major leaguer (although that doesn’t hurt), but because he’s hung in there and done everything to give himself the best chance to succeed while handling himself like a man. That is something to be proud of!

  50. For the younger guys there’s going to be a process where the league makes adjustments and the player needs to react/adjust to those adjustments.

    Not the case with Bryce Harper. He looks like he’s picked up where he left off the second half of last year. It’s hard to imagine any hitter playing much better than he has and is. He has achieved full mastery. It’s almost impossible to pitch to him. He doesn’t swing at balls and he hits the ball where it’s pitched and can drive virtually every single ball in the strike zone out of the park. Man is he incredible!

        1. I was getting the vibe perhaps a certain young right handed hitting 3b might get moved before Fri, that’s all.

  51. Phillies mashing today. Five HRs thru 8 innings.

    Solo HR w/ 2 out in the first by Harper,

    2-run 2-out HR by Hoskins in the first,

    2-run HR by Moniak after a Stott walk in the second,

    3-run HR by Harper after a Schwarber walk and Realmuto single in the second,

    and a solo shot by Camargo in the eighth.

    Suarez 3.2 innings of no-hit, no walk ball with a web gem after his glove was knocked off on a line drive. One strike out..

    Roster relievers (Knebel, Falter, Alvarado) yield one run in 2.1 innings on 2 hits, 0 walks, 3 K.
    Kelly (2K) and Anderson each throw perfect innings. Evanko mops up with a run in one inning on a walk, HBP, hit, and K.

  52. With Moniak kick rear and taking names, MLB is going to need to rework those farm system rankings. Better hurry up, because Mickey looks like he belongs.

  53. Stott’s number has been 73…I’m sure it won’t be on Friday. Anybody have an idea? Jersey sales will be quite brisk, along with the temps. I’ll guess #5.

  54. mark, I heard #5. Mickey hit a laser for his HR, and I think Bryce is ready for Friday! Ranger looked really good and put everyone on notice he is gunning for a Gold Glove. Nice way to end ST today. Matt M, congratulations again and have a great time Friday!

  55. Thanks guys! so excited. I am hoping he can play but either way I’m just glad to be there in take in the festivities after the spring he has had. He has been hit in the hand before but it was always on the top of the hand on the chicken bones which is always sketchy. This hit him in the fatty part of the bottom of his hand between his pinky and his wrist So pretty in encouraging I think. thanks again for all the well wishes. If you’re at the game come say hi I will be somewhere behind the plate up a few a couple sections!

    1. The projected A’s starting pitchers are Montas (RH), Irvin (LH), Jefferies (RH). So Mickey should be in the starting lineup Friday and Sunday.

      1. Lets say he has a great opening day…2+ hits or a HR….i may be pro-leaving him in vs Irvin. I mean come on, I know hes going to have to learn to hit lefties and that is very tough at this point, but weve seen Cole Irvin and his 91 mph junk….Id consider rewarding him with a start vs a LHP if he has a big Friday

        1. I understand that thinking but Vierling is also a promising piece, he needs a shot as well.

    2. Matt, you and your son have earned every minute of enjoyment on Friday. Here’s hoping for a great season for Mickey!

    3. the family section has been in section 121 the last couple of years. will you be sitting there?

  56. Rafael Devers has turned down Boston’s offer. You wonder if Boston is willing to give Devers Jose Ramirez money…

    1. Devers is only 25 and will be a FA at 27. My guess is it would take something in the $200+ range to extend him

      I think they were saying Ramirez would have been age 31 when he reached FA

  57. I thought Alverado was excellent in his inning. 8 pitches, 2 ks. 1 ground out. If he can have that kind of control most times he will be awesome.

    Also, just for fun. Maybe someone has mentioned but if so I missed it. Over/Under for Phillies Home Runs this season. Is 400 total too high?

    1. Don……Twins have the team record- 307 HR in a season and the Yankees just behind them with a total of 306 homers.
      ……..400 may be a little too high.
      Here are the top ten teams:
      Twins……307-2019
      Yankees….306-2019
      Astros……..288-2019
      Dodgers…….279-2019
      Mariners…….264 -1997
      Rangers….260-2005
      Os……..257-1996
      Blue Jays….257-2010
      Athletics…..257-2019
      Cubs……..256-2019

      …..maybe over/under 280

      1. By the way 307 is INSANE – it’s like having each of the hitters in your batting order average 34 homers, which is nearly unfathomable. I can’t even believe that happened.

        1. Look at all the 2019 teams- six of them …Verlander was right…the balls were ‘juiced’ that year. The commissioner had to come up with some excuse in the manufacturing of the baseballs from their Costa Rica plant.

          Phillies record is 225…Ryan Howard had a huge year that season…I think this team can top that Phillies record.

          1. Agreed – this team should pass that record if the hitters remain mostly healthy. This should be the best power team in Phillies history and it might not even be close. As to whether this would be the best hitting team in Phillies history, the 2007 team was as good as I’ve seen (892 runs!!!!) and this team has a chance to be better at bat than that team, but they will be tough to beat. To put a finer point on this, the 2007 team AVERAGED 5.5 runs a game. So for every game where they scored 3 runs, they’d have another game where they scored 8.

            1. Granted runs may be plentiful, but still could come down to the pen…especially thru May:………blown saves (BS) in 2021…34…tied with Nats.
              League average in 2021 was approx. 25,
              ..if the Phillies can get down to the league average of last year….9 less than 2021,….that should really put them in the play-off contention thru Sept.

            2. Romus…I totally agree on the BP. I have stayed up so many nights in recent seasons with Phillies leading only to see the BP give away the win late. I hope that does not happen this year but only time will tell. I agree that if Phillies can get to the average BP then their playoff chances are greatly enhanced. Good points on your part.

      2. I can see these realistic ranges with 81 games at CBP…
        Schwarber 35-40
        Realmuto 20-25
        Harper 35-40
        Castellanos 30-35
        Hoskins 30-35
        Gregorius (healthy) 15-20
        Segura 10-15
        Stott 10-15/Bohm 10-15
        Moniak 20-25/Vierling 10-15
        That’s a max of 280, not including players not listed. I’ll be thrilled with anything over 250. No reason 240 can’t be reached.

        1. My predictions:

          Schwarber – 38-52 (yeah, 52)
          Harper – 37-55 (yeah, 55 – the only thing that will keep Harper from a second straight MVP is Soto or Acuna, Jr.)
          Hoskins – 33-45
          Castellanos – 23-33
          Realmuto – 17-24
          Segura – 8-15
          Gregorious – 14-25
          Stott – 10-17

          It’s very hard to predict how many homers the part-time or platoon players will get. It depends so much on playing time and who know with that?

          Bohm – 6-12
          Moniak – 7-22
          Vierling – 4-12
          Camargo – 6-20

          1. …and whether the ball will be juiced this season, or petrified for the pitchers…??

      3. i just saw all the top teams in Home Runs since league started, Yankees number one, Phillies out of top ten,

        1. rocco….those Yankee teams from the era of Ruth/Gehrig (mid-20s) thru Mantle /Maris era ( mid-60s) was the bulk of their HR power….and let us not forget the short RF porch of 297ft for their left-handed batters for those years.

      4. Thanks Romus. I knew you would know. I had no idea. So 300 is just under 2 HR per game. I threw 400 as around 2.5 a game. I think then something from 260 to 300 is possible.

    2. Very true. Most pitchers need good command (ability to locate the ball precisely in the strike zone) to excel – even a guy with great stuff like Wheeler needs that. Not so with Alvarado. His stuff is so wicked that he merely needs to have good control to succeed. I mean, really, who else can throw a 102 mile an hour sinker? It’s absurd and I’m glad they have him.

      1. He looked almost unhittable yesterday. If he can just throw strikes or close to strikes. What a weapon. Plus only 8 pitches to retire 3 batters.

        1. The2 strikeouts came against a rookie league player and a Class A player. A couple of over-matched, young (20, 21) players. Still, better than seeing them tee off on him.

          1. True Jim. My point was he was throwing strikes. At times that can be a real challenge for him. I know these were the young kids but 100 is hard for the front line guys to barrel up as well.

  58. Jayson Stark said this is best Phils offense since 09 and he thinks we score 800 runs. He says as long as we stay healthy we win 86-90+, biggest concern wad Wheeler, he was really positive about the pen.

  59. Heard that Roman Quinn hurt himself cleaning out his locker when released by Marlins.

  60. Speculation on what 40 man roster move will be made, supposedly by noon…Matt Gelb suggests the trade route was being tried.

    1. mark…trading a day before the season starts probably will not effect any of the projected starters…wy mess with what chemistry they have going on right now.

      The one exception…Alec Bohm…..maybe I am wrong, but he seems to be the only position player on the 28 that would be available in a trade.

      1. Fringe guys like Herrera, Ortiz, Muzziotti, and Maton are likely being discussed.

        Ortiz is blocked at the corners for at least 4 years. What do you think about starting to play him some at first base for when Hoskins is traded or becomes a free agent?

        1. Yes…that would be a very good idea for Ortiz…..for sure, as big as he is, he is an exceptional athlete and should quite ably handle the position.
          And I forgot…..the others on the fringe that may find new homes.

  61. My predictions for 2022:

    AL WEST
    Houston
    Seattle (WC#1)
    Texas (WC#3)
    Los Angeles
    Oakland

    AL CENTRAL
    Chicago
    Detroit
    Cleveland
    Minnesota
    Kansas City

    AL EAST
    Toronto
    Tampa (WC#2)
    New York
    Boston
    Baltimore

    NL WEST
    Los Angeles
    San Diego (WC#2)
    Arizona (WC#3 – surprise of the NL)
    San Francisco
    Colorado

    NL CENTRAL
    St Louis
    Milwaukee
    Chicago
    Cincinnati
    Pittsburgh

    NL EAST
    Atlanta
    Philadelphia (WC#1)
    New York
    Miami
    Washington

    WORLD SERIES: WHITE SOX over DODGERS in 6.
    *Only teams to with 90+ Ws…CWS, LAD, TOR.

  62. Marchan was recalled and placed on the 60 day IL. As I predicted, Stott will wear #5 and take his spot on the 40 man.

    1. When I saw this in Gelb’s tweet, I thought what a clever solution. Really clever. Like when did the Phillies become clever? Who thought of this? New hire? Intern? Someone in-house who now has a voice? Preston? Dana? Corrine? Sorry. I’m just impressed and a little annoyed that I didn’t think of it.

  63. Tomorrow at 3:05 can’t come soon enough (2:05 if you’re counting the pregame shows). High hopes, baby. Let’s go Phillies.

    The one thing I’m concerned about is SP depth. Are there any realistic FAs that could be signed for depth (I haven’t heard a peep on Hamels, but doubt he’s viable anymore or anytime soon, at least. Yes, I know he wouldn’t be “depth” he’d want a slot in the rotation)? There’s always the trade market, but I wish DD could pull something on that front before a starter goes down (let’s hope that doesn’t happen). I’d prefer the depth there waiting rather than the uncertainty of who we can get when we’re desperate.

    1. Falter will there but you’re right, we need depth. My guess is they know this too and will be working on solutions the first few months of the year.

    2. If you want to sign a QUALITY 6th starter, where are they going to play? This depth player is not going to be the long man because the work would not be consistent. This depth player would have to agree to play at Lehigh. Not too many players would agree to that unless they are itching to get back to the majors. And would the Phillies be willing to pay significant millions for a depth pitcher to be at Lehigh?

      Your best bet is to have some young player with options (i.e control) that’s hovering at AAA looking for an opportunity. The Phillies have Crouse/Falter/Sanchez. That’s decent depth.

      1. It’s depth if one of those guys develops into a real starter, but it’s a bit risky. Still, you can’t have everything.

        1. Exactly, you can’t have everything. How many teams have a 6th starter at AAA getting paid millions?

          1. The lack of starting pitching depth is a direct result of the poor job of drafting/developing prospects over the last few years. As you note, they are not going to pay a veteran big money to pitch in AAA even if they could find the guy willing to do so.

          2. Phillies can sign one of these guys to a minor league ..opt at on June 1st.
            Brett Anderson (34)
            Jake Arrieta (36)
            Trevor Cahill (33)
            Johnny Cueto (36)
            Mike Foltynewicz (30)
            J.A. Happ (39)
            Matt Harvey (33)

            ….Folty or Happ would be the ones I would target.

            1. Not sure if they would be interested. Might be better for them to stay available pending injury needs for all teams vs. signing minor league deal with any particular organization.

              Also, I did see somewhere that Cueto just signed.

  64. Agree. IMO, SP depth is my biggest concern (even more concerning than defense).
    And when I saw they added Marchan to the roster to only put him on the 60 day IL, I laughed. What a clever move to add Stott, and keep Sands. This FO/DD is 5 steps ahead of the old FO.

    1. You guys are all right, of course. Can’t spend millions on a capable, established SP to toil in Lehigh Valley. But my curiosity is, why couldn’t the Phillies flip a J. Ortiz and another hitter/guy that is blocked or a low-level pitcher for a young, not necessarily established pitcher who is still ML ready and could be better depth than what we have. That’s what I’d like to see DD do, although I wouldn’t love to see Ortiz moved. It was just an example of my thinking.

      1. Every team would love to have a young controllable pitcher at AAA who’s not established but who is ML ready. It’s likely those type of pitchers are prospects and not all teams will have those. Not only that, you won’t have that type of pitcher at AAA every year either. It’s like asking for a 22 year old Aaron Nola at AAA. Not too many of those to go around.

        Not sure how much you value Jhailyn Ortiz. He’s 23, starting his 6th year in the system, and he’s the 13th best prospect in the Phillies system. He won’t be the centerpiece in any deal. I’m not even sure he can bring back a Hans Crouse type in a deal, and you’re looking for better than that.

    2. You guys may not like it but DD already made his SP depth moves – Marvel, Mariot, and Sanchez. In addition to Crouse, Eastman is also available. LHV was assembled to be their depth at all positions. McArthur and Perkins maybe from Reading? Now, a long-term injury might necessitate a trade, but I think what we see is what we get. Although, I think they’ll be watching the waiver wire for anyone they feel can help or who is an upgrade.

  65. Wonder why Ke’Bryan Hayes settled for 8/$70M with the Pirates? (I understand why the Pirates did, but huh…) Maybe the old man told him to take it and run.

    1. As mentioned previously, there’s risk for the Pirates too. And $70M is a boatload of cash, anything can happen. I mean, Ozzie Albies is getting $35M (up to $45M). Not including this year, Segura has banked $65M. Michael Conforto, who’s still a FA, has banked $26M.

      That’s why Juan Soto passing on $350M is outrageous.

    2. mark…..the Pirates bought out 5 years of control….pre-arb ’22 and ’23 and then his three arb years……free agency before the extension would have been 2027.,,,now it is 2030,
      It is a win-win for both or a bit risky for the Buccos if he does a decline like Scott Kingery

        1. Apparently he valued that future security.
          I am sure he got some fatherly advice from a former player.

    3. I wonder why Byron Buxton settled for 7 years and $100 million with the Twins, which is selling himself way short. Sometimes a huge paycheck, lifelong security and being rich for sure is worth the downside of not being outrageously rich.

      1. I have no issue with Buxton taking $100M. $100M is a crazy amount of cash and Buxton has had his share of injuries. He could just as easily dive for a fly ball, mess up his shoulder again and never be the same.

        1. Yup – understood, but if he bet on himself and won – double that amount, at least.

      1. Bryan Reynolds has to know his days with the Pirates are numbered. Just a matter of when he gets traded.

        1. If Moniak and Doobie are out for over 40 games, does Dombrowski revisit the market or trust Vierling can handle the load?

          1. It’s turning out to be an audition for Vierling.

            At this point, you need to roll with Vierling and see what he can do. Moniak and Herrera will be back.

            Does this mean Muzziotti makes the team because he can play CF as the backup?

            1. Why not Muzziotti!
              He is as capable a defender out there in CF as anyone.
              I can live with him batting in the 9-hole vs righties.

  66. My prediction for record. Assuming healthy enough. No major loses to pen or SR.

    (Drumroll) 91 wins, a +8 jump.
    Here is my logic.
    Phillies lost 9 walkoffs last year. With Knubel & Sir A, let’s drop that to 5. +4
    They had 12 walkoffs themselves. Let’s say that’s too lucky even with this offense – 10. So -2
    They were shutout 10 times. With this offense, let’s cut that to 5. Let’s Assume they win those with combination of 1 run losses. +5 in win column. We are at 89 for those counting.

    Onto team vs team records
    3 teams I see improving records against
    CIN by +1
    Marlins +2
    Now that assumes some of these converted victories don’t overlap. So I’ll focus on TB. They went 0-4 against them last year. Let’s make it 1-3 this year. We are at 93. Put a bad luck factor of -2 wins in there, and I’ll settle at 91 wins.
    Final answer. I will say I could see better second half, rhe offense winning more games than expected … max I see is 96, but a lot has to go right. Worst I see is 87. I’ll expect to see them at 91+ wins if things go reasonably as planned. I know the defense stinks but … I think the improved bullpen and lineup mask a lot of those issues. We shall see, going to be a very fun year. Two everyday prospects to watch in Stott & Moniak.

    This offense should be better than any Phillies lineup I’ve ever seen in my lifetime. It’s the equivalent of the 4 Aces. (Assuming Stott & Moniak aren’t just ST MVP’s)

    1. Really! Last at bat of the spring in a situation that never should have occurred. Typical spring training last game most of the Minor Leaguers are still in Florida because their season would start after the MLB, but this year because of the lockout minors started already and MM might not have played or only batted once. Also his first at bat was against a righty and the one that he got hit was against a lefty, he shouldn’t have been in there.

  67. I had a long post, probably got flagged for rambling.

    Prediction – Phillies 91 wins, make NLCS.

    This team is better than the 08 team, at least that’s what I’m thinking now, after Stott & Moniak’s spring. Yeah the defense won’t be tops in the league but … the improvements imo outweight their weakness.

    1. The 2008 team had better defense and a better bullpen.

      The 2022 team has more offense and a better starting rotation.

  68. I agree, Guru, about the D and BP, but that ’08 team had great offense, and Harper gets knocked for D, and I think he is pretty good, but Werth was outstanding in RF. We have no one close to Victorino in CF, Rollins vs Didi is a huge mismatch, and Chase made himself into a terrific 2B. The BP setup guys were terrific, and Brad Lidge was perfect. I hope this team performs offensively like I hope we will, and if any of the young guys, let alone 2 out of 3, establish themselves as really good, that will be huge. Also, the 2008 team was helped a great deal by the waiver trade for Scott Eyre and the trade for Joe Blanton. I believe there will be a notable Dave Dombrowski move, or more, during this season that has an impact on the team.

    1. No doubt, the 2008 team can hit too. Perhaps I should say that the 2022 Phillies have more power. HRs are going to be hit.

      I love Jayson Werth, but that’s why you don’t give him 7 years, $126M at age 32. He ended up giving the Nats 9 WAR over his deal.

  69. Dude! Moniak out 6 weeks with hairline fracture in his wrist. That BLOWS! Feel terrible for him.

  70. I feel so terrible for Mickey. That kid was grinding and some a-holes throws an inside pitch that knocks MM out for 6 weeks. Mickey will bounce back!!

    1. Where is this information coming from? I’ve been checking the internet and see nothing on the fracture.

  71. Just saw it from John Clark and Salisbury. What a shame! I feel awful for him. Matt M., so sorry. He will be back and have a great season!

    1. He’s just got to hang in there. If what we saw was representative of his abilities, this will just be a speed bump, but it is too bad.

  72. yeah really sucks. I am about to board plane. if there’s ever a time he needs me and some encouragement it’s now. See you guys at the game

    1. Tough pill to take, Matt. I pray quick healing over him and that he’s ready long before expectations. The MLB season is a marathon…

    1. Not sure what his agent is asking at this point but I would offer $15M on a one year show me deal.

      1. Laureano’s suspension ends after 27 games (I believe)…DD could look into him if CF doesn’t pan out by late May.

      2. mark…not sure how desperate Conforto is, but don’t you think one would have to offer at least the QO amount?

          1. Not sure he would bite,
            ….plus another 40 removable would need to be made at some point when Mickey Mo is ready to come back.
            IMO…Muzziotti would serve well in Moniak’s absence.
            Muzziotti against RHPs in the 9-hole may prove very interesting

            1. I bet he rarely bats. He’ll come in for 9th inning defense and perhaps a pinch running opportunity. Otherwise, he’ll get maybe one start every two weeks. It’s not fair to the kid to expect him to hit since he’s barely had any AA at bats jn two years.

  73. Salisbury and Zolecki report that Simon Muzziotti will join the roster tomorrow.

  74. Really bummed to hear the news on Mickey. Hopefully, he keeps his head up, and the injury heals properly, and quickly.
    Good luck to young Simon Muzziotti.

  75. Matt M, I can’t express enough how disappointed I feel for Mickey. I have a pic with him from spring training 2017, his first after the draft, and I’ve been rooting for him ever since. I preach ‘patience’ on here and was thrilled to see Mickey showing everyone what he could do this spring! So I’m praying for two things.
    1. Fast, full recovery and MM to be able to pick up where he left off physically and mentally.
    2. Phillies don’t go get someone outside org. Wait for Mickey while Vierling gets his chance.

  76. I know we’ve been down this road for what feels like a decade, and Roman would suffer an injury every time.
    Remnants of Shane Victorino replacements Ben Revere, Scott Kingery, Aaron Altherr, Nick Williams even was trotted out in center for 12 games.

    Roman Quinn’s 80 speed in the 9 spot of the order on Vierling off days wouldn’t be the most egregious thing in the world. He’s at worst an average defender.
    Just sayin…
    I’m just not certain or convinced Simon M is a MLB player.

    Vierling should play everyday until the fracture heals, no funny business. I’m just curious about his range in center; Moniak being faster and raking this spring made the decision easy.

    1. Doesn’t matter whether you are certain or convinced.

      Muzziotti has the speed and range to play CF in the majors. He doesn’t have Mickey’s power, but he has bulked up a little over the winter. He’s more than a slap hitter, he hits line drives.

      And, none of that matters either. Joe will use him as a late-game defensive replacement in LF. He’ll get limited chances to bat because that’s Joe’s way.

      And, you should use your own name and stop changing it the way you have. You certainly aren’t Joe Savery, Brody Colvin, Adrian Cardenas, Kyle Drabek, or any of the other names you’ve used. This is a one-name site or you risk getting blocked. Maybe go back to Craig?

      1. Jim,
        There is a very distinct irreverence for Muzziotti’s abilities on this site.
        I agree with your evaluations of his skillset-his defense and his offense….and you have seen his play more than anyone .
        I remember the Sox scouts 6 years ago had him pegged as an Ellsbury type player.
        Granted he does not have the power everyone salivates over….but in over 1200 PAs in the minors he makes contact…11% K rate….6% -BB rate.
        And he has to be stronger now, than he was 2 or 3 years ago.
        I hope, if given the opportunity over the next few weeks he can do well.

        1. I actually applaud the move and believe in Simon’s abilities at least in this role. Sure I’ll give Vierling most starts but I won’t (as Jim says) keep him away from any starts.

          Its funny but for the last few years I would announce my disdain for batting rookies in the 8 hole in front of the pitcher as one of the worst things a team could do to develop young hitters.

          I guess I don’t have to worry about that any longer with a DH

          1. Sorry Jim I didn’t phrase that well I should have said I hope Joe doesn’t as you say become too frightened to give him a number of starts…

  77. Anyone catch that Angels Houston game last night? It appeared to to be the same old same old for them and again Mike Trout likely doesn’t see his team in the playoffs again…

    Now it was just one game but I’m a big body language guy and I never saw a bunch of guys more disinterested in an opening day game at home in my life.

    Not sure Joe Maddon has ever been fired but it would not at all surprise me if he was this season. They had their GM on the broadcast talking about how he replaced all the coaches around him and I thought to myself that’s odd.

    If the base coaches and bench coaches were bad what does that say about the manager?

    1. DMAR…Hector came in late for the ‘Stros…..got the one batter and got himself a ‘hold’

  78. I think the Muzziotti move is a really good one. His Defense is a plus, and I agree that he is a late inning defensive replacement, and will do very well. MM will be back and pick up where he left off, and Simon will go back to the Minors and work on his hitting. I have always believed he is a good prospect, with better CF D than anyone we have, with the exception of Rojas.

  79. In the Fall League Simon had 15 walks to 13 Ks so he’s no slouch at the plate. He won’t be overmatched if he continues with that type of plate discipline.

  80. Baseball is all about opportunities. Stott should platoon 3B with Bohm. Vierling is going o get most of the starts in CF. I expect Muzziotti to get 1 start per week. Now it’s up to these kids to show the Phillies what they can do.

    Let’s go!

  81. Dave Dombrowski on the radio this morning:

    * Mickey Moniak would have been today’s/opening day CFer if he hadn’t injured his hand.

    * Compared Kyle Schwarber to Darren Daulton as a winner/clubhouse leader.

    * Nick Castellanos is one of the best hitters in MLB, and brings a Philly attitude. Were able to sign him because the new CBA included the DH.

    * Likes his starting rotation, but admits they need their first five to stay healthy. Falter/Sanchez/Nelson are depth pieces.

    * When asked if Joe Girardi was managing for his job, he was non-committal. But did say he enjoys working with him, and thinks Girardi has done a good job.

    * Isn’t too worried about over using pitchers.

    1. I love listening to DD.

      He knows what he’s doing. He’s strategic and authoritative. He never, ever talks down the questioner or the fans and he’s pretty darn honest and balanced. It’s refreshing and it’s similar to what it was like listening to Pat Gillick discuss his Phillies teams.

      No more stupid Andy MacPhail quotes and, for that matter, no more stupid Andy MacPhail himself. When he said “if we don’t make the playoffs, we don’t make the playoffs” it’s about as angry as I’ve ever been at a front office person in Philadelphia sports. As if we had no right or expectation to wonder whether the team would finally make the playoffs. He was such an incompetent, arrogant and condescending man. Good riddance!

      1. Let me guess….. your least favorite past Phillies front office personnel …….Klentak/MacPhail/Amaro/Wade

        1. Yeah, because they weren’t very good. Wade was overmatched (at least he didn’t trade Utley, Hamels or Rollins), Amaro ran the team into the ground so hard it took 10 years to recover (but if you just wanted a guy to push all the chips into the middle every year without any regard for how it would affect the future, I guess he was okay if that was your priority), and MacPhail/Klentak had a very good plan to rebuild, but could neither bring in or develop the right talent and never thought outside the box to do so.

          So, yeah, there’s a reason that Gillick and DD are legends in the industry. They are superior to these other front office executives (by a mile) and, when you see them work over a couple of years, it’s not hard to see why.

          Gillick and are miles better than the other people you mentioned although, frankly, I feel a little bad for Klentak because he was stuck with someone else’s scouting director who was a disaster (Alamaraz) and inherited a bad farm system with bad development people. Klentak had the right general ideas about how to rebuild, but neither the eye for talent (yet), people in place or experience or gravitas to overcome those obstacles. It wouldn’t surprise me if he goes back to square one and emerges as a good GM for someone else in 7-10 years once he gets more experience.

          1. And Klentak didn’t have a DD to mentor him as Sam Fuld now does. Klentak was in the type of situation where a good GM says – hey, I need my own scouting director and developmental people. I don’t think he had the experience or influence to do that and MacPhail sat by idly and just collected a paycheck. It was not a good or fair situation for Klentak, but hopefully he gets another shot down the line. He’s not dumb and he did sign Wheeler, which was great.

          2. And, yeah Romus, I know that reply was a set-up to get me to rant about our other, lesser executives – so you got me there, but I said is correct and I bet you didn’t expect me to show some sympathy for Klentak, but he deserves some.

          3. Amaro wanted to keep the window open longer and I had no problem with that, but I still wanted to keep an eye towards the future i.e. don’t mortgage the farm. As I recall, the majority of people here had no issues with Amaro trading off everybody.

            1. Probably so, but I was not one of those people. One thing I’ve learned about Philadelphia fans as a whole is that they will almost always support the push the chips into the middle of the table approach, even if to do so mortgages the future of the team. I think it has to do with Philadelphia teams being so historically bad and the fans being desperate for a championship. The only fans who are more measured are Eagles fans because, while they want their team to win, they are not desperate because the team is often very good and they want them to be competitive over long periods of time.

    2. Didn’t realize that Nick Nelson was still only 26. Is he the long man? I’m figuring that if an injury happens, the replacements will be in this order: Falter, Sanchez, Nelson.

    3. It is a bad break (no pun intended) for Mickey, but we know one think about him for sure…he handles adversity really well. He will be back strong and ready to go. The kid is tough for sure!

  82. I think we’ll be seeing more and more of these extensions as a trend…JP Crawford gets an extension from the Mariners, 5/$51M. That’s a pretty fair deal for both player and team. His glove alone is worth most of that money.

    1. This is a no brainer deal for the Mariners but a head scratcher for JP. The deal includes this year’s money so the new money is essentially 4 years, $46M and this buys out 2(!) FA years.

      Without this deal, If he continued on his trajectory, I’m guessing he makes $7M in 2023, and $10M in 2024. So his 2 FA years becomes 2 years, $29M. Not outrageous, but if he breaks out in the next 2 years, it’s going to hurt him because he won’t get a long term deal.

        1. Last season at age 26, he posted a 3.8 WAR. You can argue that he’s already on his way.

  83. Hinkie prediction: Phillies start the season winning 15 of their first 20 games. 😎👍

    1. Funny you say that. I have a feeling they will get off to a great start too. I was thinking they would start the year something like 36-18 and take an early lead in the division. After years of wandering through the desert we, as Phillies fans, really need this.

      1. Here’s to a ton of runs scored, and plenty of shutdown innings (at least while the arms stay healthy)!

        1. Matt Gelb tweeted out that many of the Phillies players are wearing white tees today with the old diamond logo and the script, “I don’t have a college degree; I hit baseballs”…those will sell like hotcakes!

    2. Hinkie, I looked at April schedule other night. I agree they have good chance to have a solid April. In fact, they need to have that. Several projected lower end teams out of the gate. A win in April is just as important as one in September.

      I am going to predict the Phillies go 90-72. I am not sure where that will fall in the division, but I think playoffs should be assured with that record. BP. BP. BP. Still my biggest concern.

  84. I give some credit to Amaro because a large part of the not rebuilding quickly enough was not on him. My problem with MacPhail was that there was no reason to hire him. His connection to any success was long before he got here. The Klentak hiring is on MacPhail. I still find it hard to believe that Middleton interviewed Chaim Bloom and MacPhail, and decided MacPhail was better. A monumental misjudgment. There was not an interview Andy gave that did not leave me feeling worse about the team.

    1. “I still find it hard to believe that Middleton interviewed Chaim Bloom and MacPhail, and decided MacPhail was better. A monumental misjudgment.”

      No argument there!

      I have a theory about why MacPhail was hired and Bloom was not and it has to do with implicit bias. I’ve said it here before and I’ll say it again, I think, when given the options, Middleton will hire the guy he has more in common with and would be most comfortable talking to at a cocktail party on the main line. Now, between Bloom and MacPhail, who do you think wins that battle? Again, I do not think it’s outright prejudice, but I do think it’s bias/comfort thing. Fortunately, although DD fits the same cocktail party mold he is just a far better and more competent executive than MacPhail.

      1. The story went … Middleton hired MacPhail. Then MacPhail interviewed Chaim Bloom and Matt Klentak (who used to work with MacPhail in Baltimore) for the Phillies’ GM job. MacPhail hired the wrong guy. The rest is history.

        1. If MacPhail had hired Bloom then, to paraphrase Dire Straits, he’d still be getting his money for nothing.

  85. Watched the Mets game last night. They looked very good. McGill gave them 5 scoreless innings and the BP shut the Nats down for the final 4. If deGrom is okay, the Mets will be in it all the way.

    1. Sans Soto, the Nationals are barely a AAA ball club. The Mets haven’t shown me anymore than the Phillies to date. So far it’s been all on paper.

  86. Then one more reason to dislike MacPhail, Hinkie, not that I needed another. JTR bats 2d today, and I am really looking forward to this season starting..

    1. Second is a very good place in the line-up for him. I think you’d either want him or Segura there now. Later in the year, Stott might be up for the task – we will have to let that one play itself out.

      1. Perhaps, but I doubt Girardi would have 3 lefty bats consecutively at the top of the lineup. I know many people don’t put stock in that strategy but it’s still a common consideration among MLB skippers.

        1. Mark – you’re right and I forget he’s a lefty – you can’t have 3 lefties in a row at the top of the line-up. Very true. If Stott hits second you’d probably need a righty to lead off (rather than Schwarber) as Harper isn’t moving from the third spot – pretty unlikely that happens this year.

  87. Getting hyped, my cheap a$$ might signup for hulu. Seems like I have a reason too. Planning on someday having a woodworking shop with the Phillies on in background. Getting close.

    Anyways, can’t say how bummed I am to see the baseball gods punish Mickey for being a Phillie. I was more hyped to see Stott& Moniak in the opening day lineup than Schwarber & Castellanos. It’ll happen soon enough.

    Let’s Go Phillies! 91+ wins starts today!

  88. Mark – You really should look at the Nats starting lineup before you call them AAA. They have Bell, Franco, Hernandez, Cruz and maybe the ROY in Ruiz amongst their batting order. The pitchers may not be very good but the everyday players are professional hitters.

    1. No, Mark’s generally right (although saying they are a AAA team is probably just hyperbole), they are a very bad team. Franco and Bell are second division regulars at best. Hernandez is an okay player, but he’s very average and Cruz is old as heck. The Nationals remind me a lot more of a typical 90 plus loss Marlins team (without the dominant pitching!) than the Nationals team that won the 2019 WS. I’d be very surprised if they win more than 77 of 78 games and it will probably be a lot worse than that. They are not good.

    2. Nats are a bad team. They have Soto, a ROY candidate in Ruiz, a 41 year old Cruz, but not much else. Their offense is going to be terrible.

      Their rotation is not much better. They have Anibal Sanchez because Strasburg is still not healthy (where have we heard that before). The jury is still out on Josiah Gray. National fans are hoping that Cade Cavalli is the real deal.

  89. Do not get confused. Adonis Medina is with the Mets AAA team and Luis is with the Yanks AA team and starting against Reading tonight.

  90. Yankees’ Cashman offered Judge 7 yrs/$214M…..his camp turned it down.
    So it looks like he hits the open market after the season going into his age31 season.

    1. I wouldn’t give him that contract or certainly anything more than that. Big guys tend to break down and when they do, they do so rapidly, even though Judge is admittedly a fabulous athlete unlike a guy like, say, Frank Howard (who, by the way, was probably the nicest man in baseball. When I was a college kid I went to Mets ST, and Howard, who was the manager at the time, used to say hi to all the fans coming to the facility to watch – he initiated the conversations!! I’ve never seen anything like it).

      1. Agree. I think Judge just made a mistake. I doubt (because of injury history) he’ll do better than 7/214M.

      2. Yankees should know better after seeing Stanton decline. But they’re the Yankees, they are going to try to pay their guys, even though it’ll likely bite them in the azz.

        1. Judge and his agent feel he is warranted to be grouped and comparably compensated with these OFers:

          Mike Trout (12 years, $426.5 million),
          Mookie Betts (12 years, $365 million),
          Bryce Harper (13 years, $330 million)
          and Giancarlo Stanton (13 years, $325 million).

      3. I was a little unfair to Mr. Howard – he was an all-American in baseball and basketball at Ohio State, but he was a negative 24 WAR fielder, so you know what I mean (although he could hit with the best of them!).

    2. Agree….then i think of the Angels and Arte Moreno…gave Rendon $35M AAV ……..Rendon is under contract through 2026 (5 more years) on his $245 million deal…and turns 32 in two months.
      So guys like Moreno and Cohen will throw that money out there.

      1. I have this secret fantasy that Steve Cohen will grow into the Daniel Snyder of MLB. He’s certainly doing a good job of staying on that path so far!

  91. Maybe it’s the excitement of opening day, but (I’m going to agree with Don) up my win total from 89 to 90, and finish second to Atlanta. Postseason here we come. Let’s gooo!!!

  92. A really dumb question on my part but this came to mind watching a couple of the night games last night. How far do you think the average fan comes from or how long does it take one to get to the night games that start at 7 I believe? Then how long for the trip home. I was just wondering how late it might be if some of these games go LONG as some of us have mentioned this year. Plus, it is fun as a fan to watch the 9-8 games, but snooze might be in order. Thanks for any input. I live in the middle of all the Midwest teams, so I am hours away from home for any game trip.

    1. Don, I am a partial season ticketholder. Thankfully, the weekday games will start 20 minutes earlier this year. As for staying through the whole game – admittedly, because I get up early, I usually don’t during the week because they rarely end before 10 and I’m up by around 5 a.m. That said, if I leave before the crowd dumps out, it takes me about 35 minutes to get home and I live a moderate distance from the park. Trust me, if you live in most suburbs, you’re not getting home from a Mets, Sox, or Nats game that fast – and that’s one big benefit of living in Philly – very manageable.

  93. Unless things change in Canada within the next three months….unvaccinated Phillies players will have to be put on the restricted list for July 12 and 13 games at the Rogers Center in Toronto, and cannot enter into Canada.

      1. Same goes for Yankees, Rays and Sox players who’s teams will each play 9 away games there.
        NYC Mayor Adams changed their mandates for performers and athletes.

    1. I will be an even bigger fan of those that are potentially put on the restricted list.

  94. Scuttlebutt here in the New England and tri-state area is that if the Yankees had a guarantee that they could sign Soto in free agency (which of course, there is no guarantee), they wouldn’t hesitate to let Judge walk. Soto hitting into that porch at the Stadium would be a site to see for Yankees fans.

  95. Hey everyone, I’m heading to the Threshers game tonight. Just wondering who I should keep an eye on. Painter’s not pitching and I know Baylor, Simmons and Garcia.

  96. Check the Threshers website, they have a good article on the opening days roster.

  97. Time to second guess. They got six great innings out of Nola in a season with very little spring training. Why push it? Even if you let him go out for the seventh, as soon as the first guy gets on, pull him. What are you trying to do, save the bullpen? You’ve got about ten guys out there. Give them an inning each. Now, Nola maybe escapes with a win and everyone questions his stamina. Joe G is making me crazy.

    1. I was surprised Nola started 7th.
      I was really surprised he faced 2nd batter.
      I was not surprised at result of 3rd batter.
      Seems at times he loses it all at once.

    2. I didn’t mind leaving him in after the first batter in the seventh. The pitch was fine, and the hit was just lucky. If it had gone anywhere BUT directly down the line, it was an out. If the goal is just to help Nola keep stretching out, then it makes some sense.

      His two pitches to the next batter were not sharp, though, and he should have come out. At that point, you have reason to believe he’s tiring and now he’s pitching under significantly more stress. This early in the year, you err on the side of caution. To Nola’s credit, he had 3 good pitches when he got the third batter to 2-2. But two were fouled off, and one was just a bit too high. And then he just hung a curve dead center. Oh well. He was dominant until then and we won, so I’m more than willing to chalk it up to hitting a wall early due to limited ramp-up time.

      But I’m with you on the Girardi fatigue. It’s his job to put his players in a position to succeed. He can only do so much, obviously, but one of his easiest jobs (or at least it should be) is having a good handle on when to yank his pitchers. I’ll give him a pass, too, on this one because he may still be traumatized by last year’s ‘pen. But if it keeps happening (especially if our relievers perform well), then there needs to be a change in who makes the pitching decisions.

      1. I don’t think Girardi deserves a pass. It was the first game after a shortened preseason. Nola’s sudden faltering was obvious. None of what happened should be on Nola

        1. Agreed. So much of Nola’s inflated ERA is on Girardi. Moral of the story with Nola – take him out when he starts to falter. How often can he watch this without handling this proactively? So stupid.

          1. I hear you, but is that what we are accepting of these days? A “frontline “ pitcher can’t go out for the 7th inning after only throwing sixty some pitches?

            1. I am not a Nola fan, But its still spring training to these guys, So its up to the Manager to tell when he is fading or losing it,

  98. First of many 9-5 games this season! If team stays healthy this is playoff team.

  99. Pretty much what we all expected. Lots of offense (what a deep lineup!), and subpar defense that will result in a lot high scoring/long games this year. 3 hours 20- minutes today.

    1. It is going to be a fun season. We will outhit most of our mistakes in the regular season.

      One thing that stood out for me today was how hard we made pitchers work.
      – 92 pitches in 5 IP for the starter and then 29, 15 and 28 pitches over the last 3 IP. That’s a workload. Going to win a lot of baseball with that approach.

  100. Pretty good opening game for Stout, 2 for 4 with an RBI and run scored.

    Also good close for Knebel.

  101. Met a Bosox New Englander here in Florida who summed up the off season – his comment, “we thought we hod Schwobba but you cawpped him and now he an Hoppa can tawment the league….” We saw that today.

    1. Ok, you made me laugh! Awesome analogy, I wasn’t as sold on Schwobba as most here but he’s growing on me fast. Really am excited about Stott, he looks like he belongs.

  102. Couple things I thought were nice yesterday on the A’s broadcast. I still have not figured out why my MLB Extra Innings rarely has the Phillies broadcasters. Almost all other games have both broadcast teams for each game. Anyway, they began with a nice tribute to Harry Calas opening call for a Phillies vs A’s game. I am not sure when the year would have been. But nice. I also did not know that Ray Fosse had passed. Between one of the innings, they spent the whole-time showing Ray and the Phanatic going at it in the broadcast booth. Looked like food but it was actually a hat looking like a giant hot dog or sausage. It was funny. Last point the A’s broadcasters were very complimentary to the Phillies. They kept referring to the lineup as simply “relentless”. Dallas Braeden was asked whether he thought a team with a strong 3,4, 5 was more difficult to navigate through as one like the Phillies present lineup. He said the 1-9 much more difficult. Said you can in some cases pitch around those 3 if you know you can get the next guys out. My wife did get a notice from Direct TV that the Extra Innings package had automatically renewed for $120 for the year. It had been $180. I always thought the $180 was the best money I spend each year. Hope Phillies get win 2 today.

    1. Wow! My Extra Innings package from Comcast (in Pittsburgh) get’s all games with Phil’s broadcasters in HD.

      1. This has been the case for years. I brought it up a couple times last year. I get all the games. For some reason it seems I only get Phillies broadcasts when it is NBC. The A’s were NBC yesterday. I guess I may get Murph and Kruk or Ben maybe 30 percent of the time. But I love the Extra Inning package. Best money I spend. I think it is something with the Comcast deal here in Indiana. But I am not sure. Not sure who to even ask. I asked Drew Storen’s Dad a few years back because at the time he was on one of the Indy radio stations. I have known Mark for years. He did not know either.

      1. The way it works on Direct is that channels 720 to like 745 have all the games going on at the moment. The first one has 8 games at one time if that many going on at time or how many. You can watch all 8 is you like on small screen.
        So, the way it works is let use Yanks vs Boston. They will be on 721 and 722. Broadcasts are always next to each other. Mets vs Nats 723 and 724. I have gone through a few times and all the games listed have both broadcast teams other than the Phillies. The game is always on, so I get it but lots of times it is another broadcast.

      2. Romus…I just looked at schedule for today. Channels actually go 720 to 749. Every game today that is presently listed has both broadcasts except A’s vs Philles. It is on 731 today and A’s broadcast only. I have NO idea what the deal is.
        There is no option. Each broadcast is on a different channel, but they are always right next to each other. Beyond weird. It has always been that way here in Central Indiana. I do not know anyone else who has this in my area so I may be an anomaly. It is ok though because I still get the game.

        1. Don….well enjoy the game.
          BTW…..Tom McCarthy and Krukker can be a little over the top at times.

    2. Hmm. That’s odd, I live in Southern California and my MLB package has a choice which broadcast you want to listen to. That sucks.

  103. I am going to belabor the point I made yesterday afternoon about not pulling Nola sooner so I’ll apologize for it now. Last night Charlie Morton entered the sixth inning having given up one run while throwing about 75 pitches. He got an out, then gave up a hit. He was taken out of the game right then and there. The inherited runner scored but he left the game on a high note. You can’t say the same thing about Nola leaving the game after a tater. Thanks for letting me vent…..again.

    1. ciada…the irony of it…..4 years ago Gabe takes Nola out after cruising with 68 pitches in Atlanta…..Joe leaves him in for a few extra batters more at 76 pitches…

      1. Romus…I remember that game. But Phillis lost it. Won yesterday. That was Gabe’s 1st game.

  104. This is for anyone who may have one or seen them. I really liked the red full zip hoodie players had on in dugout yesterday with the blue sleeves. Looked really sharp on TV. So I just looked on Phillies site. They are $125. I also saw a really cool half zip jacket that is white on top and then red on the lower portion. I think it is $79. Both look really sharp. Any comments on either from anyone. Site has free shipping at moment so few dollars can be saved. Thanks to any replies.

      1. Yes. That is where I was on the Phillies team shop. I saw the hoodie when guys came out of dugout after final out for their congratulation line. Just saw the jacket today. It looks light weight but really pretty. Have you seen any of these in person Romus? Both look really nice.

        My grandson and parents are at a Coastal Carolina game on way back from Myrtle Beach. He will get back to reality tomorrow. 30s and snow here today. But 70s next week. They play again Wednesday.

      2. Romus, take a look at the white jacket with red on lower part. It is half zip. I had never seen one till today. $79 I think. I really like both.

        Also, Romus let me know if game today is Comcast broadcast for Phillies. If it is, I think that is my issue. I am not on any cable. I live out in the country. So only Direct TV. I am positive when I get Phillies broadcasts they say NBC up on top. Thanks.

          1. Thanks Romus. The A’s feed is NBCSportsCalifornia. It is really weird. I checked last night and only A’s broadcast again today. I have zero idea. There are times that both Phillies and opponent broadcasts are on but definitely in the minority.
            Couple things. A’s showed statue of Rocky and the steps he ran. Also, they said workers at the games are the nicest to deal with of any park they attend. Those were nice.

  105. I was very impressed with Stott yesterday. Yes, he made 2 Errors at 3B, and he should make both. And, I think, in time, he will. But, the impressive part, to me, is how he did not take those errors to the plate with him the next inning. And, I would be fibbing if I claimed I was not worried after Nola gave up the 3 run HR. But, the last 2 seasons we would not have added on more runs, and the BP, especially after errors, would have fallen completely apart. Instead the batters tacked on more runs, and the BP looked good, especially Knebel. One game, I know! But, that gives me a very good feeling going forward.

  106. I agree Matt. He never looked overwhelmed. a little shook after 2nd throw but team got out of it still ahead. I agree on adding on as well. BP still gives me pause for concern but let’s hope all end like yesterday when they have a lead.

  107. Romus/Don – That’s how Kapler manages to this day. He took Nola out thinking that his pen would hold the lead and win the game. They didn’t. He did the same with the Giants last year, the pen held the lead, and the team won 107 games.

    I can’t get off of this because this team needs Nola to win. If he leaves the game after six or after the first hit in the seventh, his confidence is way up there. He, thus, has set a foundation, albeit only one game, for perhaps the rest of the season.

    1. I glanced and I think he was nearing 70 pitches or so after 6. I realize they play like 23 or 24 days. I realize he had only given up 1 hit over 6. But I do agree looking at Aaron in dugout he was not thinking of the 6 outstanding innings. So, I was surprised he came out to pitch 7th. Hindsight maybe he gets 3 quick outs,
      but he did not.

      I know Gabe made some strange moves. But in his defense to a degree a MLB team should have guys in the BP who can get a few outs once in awhile. The recent BPs make you have to watch till the end because there was NO guarantee the team would win.

    2. ciada….last year Giants won 107….and they also blew 28 saves , tied at 3rd worst in baseball Now thee is a strange bird.

      1. it is strange indeed! Didn’t the giants also have the most (tie) successful saves in both leagues at 56? Mental math says that is around a 75% winning percentage in save/BS situations…. yeah, shouldn’t trust mental math… but hopefully it’s close. I wonder how their win percentage ranked in games when they used relief pitchers in save situations vs non-save situations

  108. Saw Hans Crouse pitch tonight, not impressed. He is a thrower not a pitcher. Everything is high and his mechanics seem all out of whack. He doesn’t look the same as last year (or as good), which wasn’t great either.

    1. I saw him too, Cant understand how you can judge anything on his first start of yr, after short spring training

      1. For sure, but watching his delivery and the location has concerns. Very interested in next start.

    2. Not sure what you were expecting. His funky delivery will always lead to questions about his command. And he’s not projected to be 1 or 2 pitcher.

      His ceiling is likely as a 4-5 pitcher, and we’ll see what happens.

      1. I guess I couldn’t remember (or misremembered) his flaws. I was hoping alone he was a equal trade asset for Howard.

  109. Exit speed on Bohm’s double 110 mph impressive. Phils sign Roman Quinn pending physical, can he pass a physical haha! Gibson was amazing.

    1. Kyle Gibson toyed with a surprisingly older A’s lineup who’s going to be pretty bad on offense. Their 2 young guys are Kevin Smith and Christian Pache. It’s going to be a rough year for the A’s.

  110. Romus…do you think Phillies could average 2 HRs per game? That would be 324 with the 4 on the board now. That would be a new record. I could see this team doing that. There are lots of guys on this team who can hit some.

    1. I’ll hold my predictions of 324 HR, 1000+ runs, and a 162-0 record for once we play a team with a payroll that clears Max Scherzer’s salary by a little more.

    2. Don……I think they will be somewhere around the 240/250 team HR number when it is all done.

  111. Phillies pitchers have 23ks and 1 walk in first 2 games. Starting pitchers not counting Nola’s last inning, 13 innings 19ks 2 hits 0 walks 0 runs

  112. Just an FYI for anyone who likes the red/blue hoodies that the guys in the dugout have worn the last 2 day. I looked yesterday and got the white/red jacket instead. But I looked again today and the hoodie that was $125 yesterday is $87 today only. So, I ordered one. You guys may have all of this stuff, but I thought both were cool looking. Plus, not lots of Phillies fans in Central Indiana

    Denny…pitchers have been very good. Let’s hope it continues.

  113. Romus…yes. I was surprised. I almost got both yesterday. It is simply a 24 hr special. A’s guys gave big props to Kruk and Schmidt as players and showed all 3 guys in booth. Also, showed a Philly Cheese Steak being made. That looked good. Looks cold in Philly today. Starting to warm up

    A’s catcher used Pitch Com yesterday.
    Stubbs is using it today. He has it on his right shin guard.

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