Phuture Phillies 2019 Reader Poll #29 – Rodolfo Duran

Rodolfo Duran has been selected the #29 prospect in the Phillies’ organization.

Duran received 49 of the 213 votes cast (23.00%).  Ben Pelletier received 30 votes (14.08%).  Kyle Dohy received 25 votes  (11.74%).  Jose Pujols received 21 votes (9.86%).  Bailey Falter received 16 votes (7.51%).  Connor Seabold received 13 votes (6.10%).  And, J.D. Hammer received 10 votes (4.69%).  Twelve guys shared the other 49 votes.  

The Phillies signed Rodolfo Duran to an international free agent contract out of the Dominican Republic on June 22, 2015.

The 17-year-old Duran began his professional career with the GCL Phillies.  He staggered to a .185/.221/.247/.468 slash and threw out 21.7% of base runners.

After two games with Williamsport at the start of the 2016 season, Duran returned to the GCL (probably after college catchers Henri Lartigue and Brett Barbier were signed and assigned to Williamsport).  Duran responded with an improved .305/.333/.463/.797 slash.  He found some power and hit his first 3 career HR.  He also threw out 1/3 of the guys trying to steal bases off him.

Duran returned to Williamsport for the 2017 season.  He posted a .252/.298/.346/.644 slash and threw out an amazing 48% of base stealers.

Duran made the jump to Lakewood for the 2018 season.  He posted a respectable slash of .260/.304/.495/.800.  He added 18 HR to his previous 3 HR in 3 years.  He continued to retire base runners at 41.9% clip.

Looks like Clearwater for the 2019 season.

The poll for the the thirtieth and final prospect will be posted in a separate thread.

Here are the complete results for this poll.

 

12 thoughts on “Phuture Phillies 2019 Reader Poll #29 – Rodolfo Duran

  1. I LOVE Duran as a prospect. He is too low on this list IMO. Fangraphs has him 19 in our system and I think that is about right. I might be more aggressive TBH.

    1. He plays a premium defensive position and has an elite CS %. A 42% CS on 93 attempts is insane! Reports are that he is very athletic and has a cannon arm. That defensive value alone makes him a high probability to play MLB

    2. 18 homers as a 20 year old is a great demonstration of power. He averaged a homer for every 17 ABs. He had the 8th best ISO in the SAL

    The combo of elite defense and very good power as a 20 yo catcher makes you an excellent prospect. His body reminds me of Chooch. And I have seen multiple reports of excellent bat speed. You can see it in the videos.

    I would like to see him walk more. But his walk rate is not terrible. And he had a respectable K rate for someone with his ISO.

    This kid is a great prospect. He will be a breakout player in 2019.

    1. Watch this video clip of him. It shows a very patient hitter. Takes a lot of pitches and gets into a hitter’s count in 3 of the 4 ABs. Also shows the bat speed.

  2. The caught stealing numbers are really astounding. We’ll see if the power is real this year if he can keep it up.

  3. I will like to see how he does in a more hitter friendly park like at Clearwater this season.
    His HR splits at Lakewood were plus (10) at home and 8 on the road.
    I think his slash on the road was the mere pressure and the distraction of his catching responsibilities and duties in aiding the pitchers on their road assignments…at least I like to think that.
    Splits:.
    Home….292/.331/.535
    Away…..234/.282/.461

  4. Is it snowing in Hades???? It must be since Rodolfo Duran is finally selecting by the fans on Phuture Phillies!!!

  5. I honestly have voted for him since about 11 or 12, its a disgrace that Cozens, Parkinson, Listi, Randolph, Hall, Leftwich!!!!!!!!! are ahead of him.

    1. I think some of it has to do with the level at which the stats were compiled . Stats at the lower levels can be illusory and it’s more concrete to project performance at the higher levels. In other words, not as much guess-work

  6. I agree with MarcH. lower level stats ar an illusion. Sometimes against young, inexperienced talent who are adjusting to MILB daily life.

    1. To me, the most interesting part of this poll comes when the readers re-rank the players later in the season. There are some players who didn’t make the top 30 who will be on the new list and some who made this list will be off the new one. That’s why I think 30 is the right number because it allows for that type of latitude. In past years, the soup got pretty thin by the time 50 rolled around (which is not exclusive to the Phillies and would be true for any system).

  7. I also think Duran was ranked too low, for all the reasons others have stated. But hey, he made the list. We shall see how he handles hitting in CLW and if he can replicate his power from LKW with more consistency.

  8. For number 30 I wanted to vote for Victor Santos (teenager who performed really well in GCL but lacks upside velo), but since he isn’t on there I will go for Jake Holmes. Sounds like he can be a good defender at 3B and he had some success at the plate in the GCL. Everyone else at this point seems to have more warts than he.

  9. I think one small factor contributing to Duran lower than what would seem normal on the poll…is that some may have coupled both Marchan and Duran together against each other. at that catching position.
    Both did sign within a few weeks of each other in 2015….one at the end of one J2 cycle and the other at the beginning of the new J2 cycle.
    Marchan got 41 votes at 13…while Duran got two.
    Two types of hitters…one with hi-contact, low power and one with more power.
    Both defensively very good.

    I would think if Marchan was not in this system Duran may have received a majority of Marchan’s votes and would have been higher in the polls.

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