Florida Instructional League – Game #5; 10/5/2015

Monday the Phillies traveled to the Blue Jays’ Englebert Complex to face a line up that included three position players who are headed to the Arizona Fall League, three pitchers who are also going to the AFL, and Vladimir Guerrero’s talented, 16-year old son.  Both teams combined to produce only nine hits, but the Jays were able to turn their six hits into five runs while their pitchers shutout the Phillies on three hits.

Matt Imhof started and breezed through the first inning.  In the second, he gave up a hard double to the right center field wall before a wild pitch and home run to left.  He retired five of the next six batters, three on strike outs.  His velocity was in his usual 88-89 range and he was fine when his pitches were down.  The Jays made hard contact when he left his pitches up.

Luke Leftwich pitched the next two innings and didn’t have the velocity he had in his last appearance when he was 90-93.  He was more 89-91 and looked like he got pinched on a couple key pitches.  After giving up a walk on what looked like strike three on a tight slider, Leftwich gave up a home run to left center to Vlad Guerrero, Jr.

Felix Paulino pitched the sixth and seventh innings and had much better control than he did last week.  He faced seven batters and his only mistake was a home run to lead off the seventh.  His FB was still 91-92, but he had better control.

Ismael Cabrera and Kenny Koplove finished up with a strong inning each.

The Phillies managed four base runners.  Arquimedes reached as their first with one out in the third on a walk and was wiped out on a Brown double play.  They got their first hit in the sixth on Deivy Grullon’s two-out double to the base of the left field wall.  It was their only hard hit ball all game.  Jan Hernandez led off the seventh with an infield single and got as far as third base, but didn’t score.  Kyle Martin collected their other hit on a ground ball up the middle in the eighth.

For those who are interested, here’s the batting order –

  1. Mark Laird, CF
  2. Scott Kingery/Jose Antequera, 2B
  3. Domonic Brown/Reggie Wilson, RF
  4. Kyle Martin, 1B
  5. Brendon Hayden, DH
  6. Cornelius Randolph, LF
  7. Deivy Grullon/Nerluis Martinez, C
  8. Arquimedes Gamboa, SS
  9. Jan Hernandez, 3B
  10. Zachary Coppola, DH

The pitchers put up the following lines –

  •                          IP     H      R      ER    BB     K     Other
  • Imhof           3.0     2      2       2       1       4      WP
  • Leftwich     2.0     3      2       2       2       1
  • Paulino       2.0     1      1       1       0       1
  • Cabrera      1.0     0      0       0       1       0
  • Koplove     1.0     0      0       0       0       1
  • Batters Faced: Imhof 12, Leftwich 10, Paulino 7, Cabrera 3, Kolove 3


Extra Innings –

  • The offense was a little more anemic than you would think.  In order to get another pitcher some work, the Phillies batted in the top of the tenth before the game was called.  Bottom line – 10 innings, 33 batters, 3 hits, 1 BB, and one DP.
  • Nine Phillies’ batters struck out.
  • Today was the first time I saw Kingery in a game.  He has a nice approach in the batter’s box.  quiet hands, about shoulder high at load, and a compact swing.
  • Although the Phillies’ pitchers gave up only six hits, three were home runs and another was a double.

23 thoughts on “Florida Instructional League – Game #5; 10/5/2015

  1. Glad for the report. My interest is in Kingery. Having read many scouting reports on him that indicated that he was an ideal lead-off hitter with a high OBA, stolen base leader in his college league plus commendable defense at 2b. Our own draft guru Alvarez said that he could quickly move on up through the system. Well, good.

    Assigned to Lakewood low A ball he was moved up and down through the lineup the wholeseason and never got grooved at the plate, barely over the .260 mark. I was disappointed…and perhaps I expected too much too soon from him.

    He has, you say,. a short compact swing. What are your own impressions? And predictions?

  2. what’s the feeling on Imhof at this point- is there hope he gets back that bit of additional velocity he showed in college and can be a future rotation piece?
    those last 3 #1 picks have been so good, but getting productive major leaguers out of the #2’s, Knapp, Imhof and Kingery, would be huge.

    1. I think more than the velocity on his Fastball, he needs to figure out how to throw the change-up. Without a change-up, Imhoff is a poor-mans Tom Windle. Why the Phillies keep picking up these LH pitchers with weak change-ups, is beyond me.

      1. Imhof, thus far, is a cruel joke. Maybe he just lost a lot of velocity when he went to professional ball, but I barely view him as a prospect anymore. Part of the desperate “quick, let’s draft a bunch of college players right now so they can get to the major leagues quickly and save our jobs” draft of 2014. There were actually some good picked in that draft but there were a bunch of reaches – Imhof foremost among those.

        1. Oddly enough, Imhoff was rated pretty close to where he was drafted. But as you pointed out, he lost a lot of velocity once he turned pro.

        2. in 2014, i thought the phils like michael gettys and i’m surprised that they pass on gettys to draft imhof. imhof doesn’t have good stuff and has mid-rotation ceiling. if alamaraz is running the 2014 draft, he wont pick imhof. i hope he rediscover his control and up his velocity to 90-93. as a 2nd rounder i have high expectations for him and as a minimum i hope he can end up like morgan or poor mans cliff lee.

        3. Had the same thought. Been having it nearly since he was draft, but immediately again on reading Jim’s velocity reference. What a 2nd red pck there? Seems like an org guy or a type that can develop into a no. 4-5 if everything falls into place. Was never much ceiling there

    2. Pitching once a week in college I guess it was easier to pitch at 90 mph than on a 5 day rotation. He was a young junior with a bit body that looked like he still had room to get stronger – that and his college performance justified his pick in the 2nd round, but it’s very disappointing that hasn’t happened.

        1. Romus – good read although i have to read the section for Sev Gonzalez numerous to see if I’m reading it right. the phils should be happy to see if Sev turn into a “solid #3/#4 type of arm” like what the article said.

          1. KuKo….remember that is an older report…..before this season, 2015.
            Maybe Severino gets stronger this off-season, who knows.

    3. Imhof came out of the rotation after two starts and was on the DL for about 8 weeks (shoulder). I see “shoulder” and I think Adam Morgan. While there is always hope, we may have to accept that Imhof doesn’t get back his college velocity.

  3. I don’t know why people are getting so worked up on Imhof. The odds of him making the Phillies even as a 2nd round pick is still pretty low. And just as some prospects gain velocity after they get drafted, some others lose velocity. Not rare, but not uncommon. Phillies have 2 more years of control so we’ll see what happens. If it doesn’t work out, so be it.

    1. “…why…” It’s amazing how much the distinction of being a 1st round pick vs. a 2nd round pick colors the expectations on a prospect. Larry Greene was the 39th pick in 2011, and Imhoff was the 47th pick in 2014, but people act like selecting Larry Greene was one of the worst thing the franchise ever did, while Matt Imhoff, the more recent pick, is an afterthought.

    2. at the 47th pick in the draft, when you pass on high school arms and bats to pick a college kid, i would hope the beliefe is that the odds are alot better than pretty low that he’s going to at least make the big leagues.

      1. I’m sure somebody can give you the odds of a second round pick making the bigs, but it’s pretty damn low. But that’s the baseball draft. It’s really hard to find players in the draft. While the jury is still out on the last 3 Phillies first round picks, for them to be doing this well is definitely not the norm.

        1. The probability of making the majors isn’t low at all for second-rounders. I used bbref to look at second rounds from 2002-2011 (I wanted a decade of data to look at, as recently as possible, and going more recently than 2011 would’ve excluded a ton of under-25s who could still debut). Just looking at MLB debuts, broken down by overall numbers for the second round, then for all college picks, then for college pitchers:

          YR R2 Col. P
          2002: 19/31, 7/10, 4/4
          2003: 17/30, 11/18, 6/10
          2004: 15/30, 11/22, 3/9
          2005: 12/32, 6/14, 1/5
          2006: 17/32, 11/19, 6/12
          2007: 13/30, 8/15, 5/8
          2008: 16/31, 8/13, 4/8
          2009: 14/31, 6/12, 2/4
          2010: 15/32, 12/17, 7/13
          2011: 11/30, 7/14, 3/8

          Overall, that’s 149/309, or about 48%, who make the majors in some form, and 87/154 college picks, or about 56%. For college pitchers specifically, it’s 41/81, just over half.

            1. Good post. Leaving Lakewood heading to Clearwater…does anyone know if Quinn is going to play this week or not?

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