Take a look below the fold for the performance of both the Williamsport and GCL Phils bullpen. A warning on any projections. When you get so low in the system, it is very difficult to have an idea what the Phils thinking will be. I am making a somewhat educated guess, but it is just that a guess. I am looking at numbers, age, my view of needs, and scouting reports when I make projections. Of course, the Phils consider their needs along with many intangibles that I can’t consider for lack of knowledge. (i.e players makeup, if they want a particular coach involved with a player, etc.) There are probably many more players that will be released simply from a numbers perspective, as the 2010 draft will provide a new influx of players. Feel free to comment and question. Look for the System Report on Catchers, coming out soon.
Justin Long, Age 23, will be 24 in December. Drafted by the Phillies in the 24th round of the 2009 draft. 21 games, 1-3 with a 5.34 ERA. 32IP, 26BB 29K, 1.39 GO/AO, .252 opp. avg., (.245 with RISP); 1.81 WHIP, 10 saves; 7.98 ERA last month of the season. The big righty out of Bellevue University had control issues and an ERA that increased as the year went along. In my mind, he hasn’t proven enough for promotion, even with his advanced age.
Reginal Simon, Age 19, Will be 20 in December. Signed by the Phils as a free agent in 2007. 18 games, 0-1 with a 8.34 ERA. 22.2 IP, 17BB 20K, 1.00 GO/AO, 2.29 WHIP. Not much good in Simon’s stats, other then to note that he didnt give up a homer. The 19 year oldf Haitian may be too young to give up on, but Extended Spring Training should be where he begins next year.
Austin Hyatt, Age 23, Drafted by the Phillies in the 15th round of the 2009 draft, In Williamsport, 17 games (5 starts), 3-0 with an 0.66 ERA. 54.1 IP, 12BB 81K, .141 opp. avg., 0.52 GO/AO, 6 saves. 0.69 WHIP. New York Penn League All Star. Phillies Minor League Pitcher of the Month for July. Completely dominant is really the only way to describe Hyatt’s short season in Williamsport. He was called up to Lakewood for the SAL playoffs. Hyatt will be promoted no doubt, to where…Clearwater would be my guess, based on the Phils track record with pitchers of similar age with similar stats.
Elbelin Lugo, Age 19, Signed by the Phils as a free agent in 2007. 17 games, 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA. 33.2 IP, 11BB 41K, 0.90 GO/AO; .265 opp. avg., (.250 with RISP), 1.36 WHIP. A steady progression for Lugo this year, who pitched well and showed good poise and control. Look for him in Lakewood next year.
Luke Wertz, Age 24, Drafted by the Phils in the 13th round of the 2007 draft. 17 games, 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA; 33IP, 13BB 23K, 0.92 GO/AO; ,213 opp. avg., 2 HR allowed, 1 save; 1.18 WHIP. Called up to Lakewood for the playoffs and has appeared in 2 games (3.1 innings) and hasn’t given up a run. A very good year for Wertz for should move quickly at this stage simply because of his age. Starting next season in CLearwater shouldnt be out of the realm of possibility.
Spencer Arroyo, Age 21, Phillies 31st round pick in ’08 draft.16 games (1 start); 2-2 with a 3.67 ERA, 34.1 IP; 20BB 25K, 1.11 Go/AO; .281 opp. avg., (.250 with RISP), 1.69 WHIP. The second year pro was much better in 2009 then he was in ’08, but still had his troubles. While he had a nice ERA, he allowed far too many base runners and had his control problems. I think it is pretty much a crapshoot whether he starts in Lakewood or remains in Williamsport.
Sean Grieve, Age 24 (will be 25 in December); Drafted by the Phils in the 21st round of the ’08 draft. 16 games, 0-0 with a 6.33 ERA; 21.1 IP, 18BB 20K, 1.28 GO/AO, .250 opp avg.(.281 with RISP); 1 save; After pitching well in Williamsport in ’08, Grieve a FLourtown native had a disappointing ’09 in the same league. Primarily, control was his problem, allowing almost a walk per inning. The lefty, who will be 25 by the start of next season may have reached the end of the road with the Phils.
Eric Massingham, Age 22 (will be 23 in November), Drafted by the Phils in the 21st round of the ’09 draft. 13 games, 2-1 with an 0.76 ERA; 23.2 IP, 8BB 32K; 1.06 GO/AO; .181 opp. avg. (.037 with RISP); 4 saves, 0.98 WHIP. Massingham will surely be prmoted and should compete for the closer position, presumably in Lakewood next year. Massingham was outstanding this season, and simply dominant with RISP, probably the most important stat for back of the bullpen candidates. It is note worthy that he did miss the last several weeks of the season on the disabled list.
Chad Poe, Age 21, will be 22 in November. Drafted by the Phils in the 27th round of the ’08 draft. For the GCL Phils, 8 games, 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA; 25.2 IP, 8BB 27K; 1.53 GO/AO; .174 opp. avg.; 0.90 WHIP. For Williamsport, 8 games, 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA; 14IP, 2BB 11K, 1 save; .220 opp. avg.; 0.93 WHIP. Combined: 16 games; 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA; 39.2 IP; 10BB 38K; 1.47 GO/AO; .191 opp. avg.; 0.91 WHIP. Poe had a very nice year in both the GCL and Williamsport. Probably time to move up a level.
Justin Beal, Age 23. Drafted by the Phils in the 28th round of the ’09 draft. For the GCL Phils, 14 games, 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA; 26.1 IP, 4BB 18K; 1.11 GO/AO; .202 opp. avg.4 saves. In Williamsport; 6 games, 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA; 8.2 IP, 6BB 9K; 0.45 GO/AO; .317 opp. avg. Combined: 20 games, 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA; 35.0 IP, 10BB 27K; 0.92 GO/AO; .238 opp. avg., 1.17 WHIP, 4 saves. After pitching very well in the GCL, Beal struggled the last 2 weeks of the season with his call up to Williamsport. Next season should be spent with the Crosscutters I would think.
Gulf Coast League
Mike Bolsenbroeck, Age 22, drafted in the 42nd round of the ’08 draft. 16 games, 2-2 with a 2.03 ERA; 31IP, 14BB 30K, 1.52 GO/AO; .171 opp. avg., 1.06 whip. Moved up to pitch for Williamsport in 2 games, going 4.2 IP, 1BB 6K, 1 save. 0-0 with 1.93 ERA. The big (6’8) Netherlands native had a good year this season, his second in the organization. Williamsport, possibly Lakewood next year.
CHase Johnson, 21, Age 21; Phillies 21st round pick in 2009 draft. 15 games, 0-1 with a 3.94 ERA. 29.2 IP, 12BB 35K, 0.58 GO/AO; .257 opp avg. (.263 with RISP); 1 save; 1.34 WHIP. Nothing overwhelming from Johnson, but a very good K rate. Should be good enough to move along to Williamsport.
Mark Doll, Soon to be 24; 29th round pick in 2009 draft. 12 games, 0-2 with a 1.42 ERA. 19 IP, 5BB 16K; 2.64 Go/AO; .267 opp. avg. 2 saves; 1.31 WHIP. After signing, Doll pitched well, although he is very old for this league. The Phils will want to see what, if anything, they have in Doll quickly, and I would expect him to move along because of that.
Ely Izturriaga, Age 19, SIgned as a free agent in 2007. 9 games; 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA. 15.2 IP, 11BB 16K; 1.07 GO/AO; .217 opp. avg. 1.53 WHIP. Izturriaga was promoted from the Venezuelan Summer League up to the GCL Phils and pitched ok, in his nine outings. The young lefty from Venezuela should start in Extended Spring Training and the onto the GCL roster once again next year.
Harol Tolentino, Age 20, WIll be 21 in November. Signed as a free agent this season. 7 games, 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA. 9IP, 4BB 7K, 2.33 GO/AO; .194 opp. avg., (.111 with RISP). The Phils will have to take a better look at TOlentino over the Winter, who spent the ’08 season in the Cubs organization playing short season ball. Good numbers in limited appearances for the Phils.
Jessie Zuber, Age 23, Signed by the Phils as a free agent in 2009; 5 games, 1-0 with a 1.00 ERA; 9IP, 2BB 3K; .111 opp. avg. Not nearly enough sample size to have an opinion.
Brody Colvin, Age 19, Phils 7th round pick in ’09 draft. Pitched in one game for the GCL Phils, throwing 2 shutout innings. I would expect the Phils to take a good look at him over the next 6-7 months, incluing Extended Spring Training and if all goes well….Williamsport to start..?