Around the System (Starting Pitching, Top Half)

With the end of the season, we will take a more in depth look at the numbers of each player in the organization along with a projection of where they will end up next season.

Lehigh Valley

Andrew Carpenter, Age 24, 25 games, 11-6 , 3.35 ERA, 156 IP, 47 BB 120K, 0.83 GO/AO, .271 opponent average (.255 with RISP). In addition to his time with the ‘Pigs, Carpenter was 1-0 with an 11.12 ERA in 3 appearances (1 start) with the Phils.  He is a member of the Phils 40 man roster, and will have two option remaining going into next season.  SEE END OF SEASON ‘PIGS REPORT FOR COMMENTARY

Kyle Kendrick, Age 25. Kendrick was the Phillies 7th round pick in the 2005 draft. Going into the 2010 season, Kendrick will still have two options remaining.  For Lehigh Valley, Kendrick was 9-7 with a 3.34ERA; 143 IP, 35BB 62K, .250 opp. avg. (.181 with RISP),  1.17 WHIP.  Kendrick was 4-2 with a 2.90 ERA, post all star game.  SEE END OF SEASON ‘PIGS REPORT FOR COMMENTARY.

Gustavo Chacin, Age 28, Will be 29 in November.  Chacin started the season with 2 appearances for Reading, going 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA in 8.2 IP, after rehabbing in Clearwater the first month of the season.  He had 18 starts for Lehigh Valley, going 8-4 with a 3.21 ERA. 106.2 IP, 41BB 62 K, .264 opp. avg., 1.37 WHIP.  He was a mainstay in the Lehigh Valley rotation during the second half of the season, with his numbers just short of excellent.   In an interesting contractual situation, the Phillies actually hold an option on Chacin’s contract next year.  With his performance this year, I would think he will provide some legitimate injury insurance next year for the big club.

Joe Savery, Age 23 will be 24 in November. Phillies 1st Round Selection in 2007 Draft. In Reading this year, Savery was 12-4 with a 4.41 ERA in 21 games (20 starts).  112.1 IP, 53BB 77K 13 home runs allowed, .262 opp avg. .135 GO/AO, 1.46 WHIP. For Lehigh Valley, Savery was 4-2 with a 4.38 ERA in his 7 starts.  39.0 IP 24BB 19K .286 opp. avg. and a WHIP of 1.69.  Combined stats: 16-6 with a 4.40 ERA .  151.1 IP, 77BB 96K , 1.52 WHIP. Savery showed more this season then last but still not enough to convince me that he will one day be a Major League Starter.  He is still very inconsistsent with his command and seems to consistently be pitching out of trouble.  I would expect him the be in the Lehigh Valley rotation working on these issues next year.

Rodrigo Lopez, Age 33, will be 34 in December. He was signed as a minor league free agent prior to the season, and will again be a free agent at the close of the season. Lopez appeared in 7 games with the Phils (5 as a starter) and went 3-1 with a 5.70 ERA over 30 innings of work.  He got bombed in both his relief outings but was generally effective when the Phils needed a starter in July.  It is notable that Lopez went on the DL early in the year for Lehigh Valley, and again complained of shoulder stiffness during his tenure with the Phils.  I doubt Lopez will be back.  While pitching well, there are other younger alternatives that the Phils will feel they need to give opportunities too and Lopez very well could be given more of a shot in another organization. In his 18 Lehigh Valley starts, Lopez was 7-5 with a 4.31 ERA.  100.1 IP 14BB 71K, opp avg. 303, WHIP 1.35.

Brian Mazone, Age 33, Acquired from the Dodgers Organization mid year.  In Albuquerque, Mazone was 0-1 with an 8.44 ERA in 13 games, all in relief.  For Lehigh Valley, Mazone went 2-6 with a 3.50 ERA in 11 starts, throwing 54 innings, and walking 9, while striking out 33.  Opponents hit .299 against him and he had a WHIP of 1.33.  Mazone will be a minor league free agent after the season.  Depending on promotions from Reading, Mazone may or may not have a rotation spot waiting for him in Lehigh Valley.

Reading

Kyle Drabek, Age 21, will be 22 in December. Phils 1st round pick in 2006. For Clearwater, Drabek was 4-1 with a 2.48 ERA in 61.2 IP.  He walked 19, struck out 74 and did not allow a homer in his time with the Threshers.  Opponents hit .218 against him, his WHIP was 1.10 and his GO/AO was 0.98.   WHen called up at (AA) Reading, Drabek went 8-2 with a 3.64 ERA in 15 games.  96. IP, 31BB 76K, 1.27 WHIP, .252 opp. avg. Combined stats: 12-3 with a 3.19 ERA , 158.0 IP, 50BB 150K, 1.20 WHIP, .239 opp. avg.  Drabek was shut down just prior to his final two starts of the year, having thrown many more innings then at any point in his career.  I would expect Drabek will start next season at the top of the Lehigh Valley rotation, with a significant possibility he ends up in Philly by July/August.

Mike STutes, Will be 23 on 9/4, Phils 11th Round pick in 2008 draft. 27 games, 8-8 with a 4.26 ERA, 145.2IP, 58BB 109K, 0.77 GO/AO, 1.41 WHIP, .265 opponent average (.234 with RISP). This year was a bit of a roller coaster for Stutes who had a great start, hit a wall in June and then came back strong at the end of the year.  I would expect Stutues to move up a level and pitch in the Lehigh Valley rotation to start next year.  There is not much more he has to prove at AA based on good production this year.

Vance Worley, Will be 22 on 9/25, Phils 3rd round pick in 2008 draft. 27 games, 7-12 with a 5.34ERA, 153.1 IP, 49 BB 100K, 0.96 GO/AO, .275 opponent average (.325 with RISP). After an excellent start to the year, and a trip to the EL All Star game, Worley really struggled in the second half this year with an ERA well over 7.  Each month of the season his ERA got higher. an obvious sign that fatigue (or injury) is an issue for Worley.  The .325 opp average with RISP is of most concern with his durability right behind.  I would expect Worley to start the season back in the Reading rotation.

Yohan Flande, Will be 23 in January, He was signed as an undrafted free agent in 2004. I believe the Phils will need to make a 40 man roster decision with FLande or risk losing him to Rule 5. In Clearwater, Flande was a dominant 7-1 with a 2.52 ERA in 13 starts (82.0 IP) He walked 24 and struck out 67, with a WHIP of 1.17.  His GO/AO was 1.73 and opponents hit just .238 against him in A ball.  In 13 starts for Reading, Flande was 4-4 with a 4.58 ERA.  70.2 IP, 21BB 50K; 1.80 GO/AO; .296 opp. avg., 1.44 WHIP. Combined stats: 11-5, 3.48 ERA, 26 starts, 152.2 IP, 45BB 117K, .266 opp. avg., 1.29 WHIP. Once he made the transition to AA, which took 5-6 starts, his numbers started to improve somewhat dramatically to a level that showed good production by years end.  Flande should begin the year in the Reading rotation with a real chance of movement early in the season with progression similar to that shown in 2009.

Mike Cisco, Age 22, Phils 36th Round pick in 2008 draft.  For Clearwater Cisco pitched very well, going 7-3 with a 3.31 ERA in his 15 outings.  He threw 73.1 innings, walking just 15 and striking out 51, with a WHIP of 1.15. His GO/AO was 1.49 and the opposition hit .249 against him.  He struggled in his limited time with Reading, going 2-4 with a 4.58 ERA in 7 starts. 39.1 IP, 9BB 20K, .282 opp. avg. 1.34 WHIP. Combined stats: 9-7 with a 3.75 ERA. 112.2 IP, 24BB 71K, 1.41 GO/AO, .259 opp. avg., 1.22 WHIP. Cisco seems to really know how to pitch and his control keeps him in games. He will spend October and Novermber in the Arizona Fall League pitching for Scottsdale and projects to be a main component of the Reading rotation next year.

Clearwater

Drew Naylor, Age 23, Signed by the Phils as a free agent in March of 2004.  Has two options remaining going into 2010.  An average season for Naylor, as he went 8-11 with a 4.41 ERA in 25 outings for the Threshers covering 158 innings.  His walk to strikeout ration was good at 37/115, and his WHIP was a respectable 1.26. Opponents hit .265 against him (.247 with RISP),  while his GO/AO was 0.86.  The Phils have some real decisions to make with Naylor, as he needs to be protected as a member of the 40 man roster or he will become a free agent.  Naylor has not shown the dominance necessary, especially for a 23 year old in A ball.  I would not be surprised to see Naylor in another organization come next year.

Jon Velasquez, Age 23, will be 24 in October.  Signed by the Phils as a Free Agent (try out camp) in 2009.  In Lakewood, Velasquez was 9-2 with a 4.18 ERA in 15 games (11 starts).   He walked 17, struck out 48 and had a WHIP of 1.19.  His Go/AO was 0.81 and the opposition hit .248 against him. His call up to Clearwater actually produced better results.  In 12 games, all starts, he was 2-6 with an impressive 3.06 ERA.  He threw 64.2 innings, walking 24 and striking out 51.  1.26 WHIP, 0.59 GO/AO, .234 opp avg. Combined stats: 11-8, 3.79 ERA; 140IP, 44BB 100K; .248 opp. avg. 1.26 WHIP. The Phils got much more out of Velasquez who they took a flier on in a 2009 try out camp.  He was impressive and it would serve the organization well to give him a shot to finish what he started in Clearwater at the beginning of 2010 with a trip to Reading before next seasons end.

Tyler Cloyd, Age 22, drafted by the Phils in the 18th round of the 2008 draft.  In Lakewood, Cloyd was 7-3 with a 3.05 ERA in 14 starts.  88.2 IP, 19BB 77K, 1.23 WHIP, 1.70 GO/AO, .268 opp avg..  Moving up to Clearwater mid-season, Cloyd went 5-6 with a 4.11 ERA in 13 games (12 starts).  76.2 IP, 23BB 39K, 1.38 WHIP, 0.77 GO/AO, .274 opp.avg (.329 with RISP).  Combined stats: 12-9 with a 3.54 ERA; 165.1 IP; 42 BB 116K; .271 opp. avg.; 1.30 WHIP. Cloyd had a good year and kept up the pace with his recall to Clearwater. He should be opening the season in the Clearwater rotation.

Julian Sampson, Age 20, drafted in the 12th round of the 2007 draft. The big right hander has been one of the main disappointments in the organization this year after receiving a bonus that was over slot to entice him to sign.  This year he started in Clearwater, spent about three weeks in the Gulf Coast League to try to straighten him out and then back up to Clearwater.  For Clearwater, Sampson was 3-9 in 17 games (15 starts) with a 7.36 ERA. He threw 69.2 innings, 27BB 37K, 1.72 WHIP, 1.98 GO/AO, .323opp. avg. (.344 with RISP).  For the Rookie League Gulf COast Phils, he was 0-1 with a 5.31 ERA in 6 games (4 starts).  20.1 IP, 5 BB 12K, 1.55 WHIP, 1.42 GO/AO, .321 opp. avg.  I would suspect Sampson will be back in Clearwater in 2009 as the Phils try to salvage a $390,000 bonus.

Edgar Garcia, Will be 22 in September, Signed by Phils as a free agent in October of ’04. It was somewhat of a lost season for Garcia, who had been climbing the prospect list prior to the ’09 campaign.  He missed the first several months with “visa problems” and when he returned he was placed in the Clearwater rotation.  For the Threshers, he went 1-4 with a 4.32 ERA in 8 starts, spanning 41.2 IP.  9BB 27K 0.96 GO/AO; .239 opp avg.; 1.16 WHIP.  I would be very surprised if he did not start 2010 in the Reading rotation.

Darren Byrd, Will be 23 in October. He was the Phils 18th round pick in the ’05 draft. Byrd threw in 24 games (14 starts) for Clearwater and went 5-7 with a 3.99 ERA in 88 innings.  Other peripherals: 37BB 61K 1.14 GO/AO .273 opp avg. (.216 with RISP); 1.48 WHIP. Byrd is a guy who woke up after the all star break to put up numbers that had been unseen in his 4 seasons in the Phils organization.  Byrd is Rule 5 eligible this year.  I would be surprised if he was protected.

Check back over the next few days (Friday or after) for a look at the starters in the lower portion of the organization, how they fared, and what we can expect.

34 thoughts on “Around the System (Starting Pitching, Top Half)

  1. I’m not sold on bringing Chacin back as a starter. The ERA is nice, but the peripherals are poor. High walk rate, low strikeout rate. You can keep that type around, but I wouldn’t jump through hoops to do it.

  2. gregg, just wanted to say thanks for all your posts. You seem to spend a good amount of time updating this site with your entries, its appreciated, and good work! just thought id say that.

  3. Gregg, do you know what sort of contract arrangement the Phils have w/ Chacin? I’m surprsied they could have an option w/ him. I thought after 6 years that players were free agents after each season.

  4. r98–
    Thank You, I enjoy it…Always nice to here you are appreciated! Look for more updates throughout the off-season!

  5. Philly–
    Apparantly when Chacin signed with the Phillies organization last year it was a one year deal with a team option for the second year, which is very unusual for a minor league deal. I guess the Phils figured with CHacin recovering from surgery, it would take a full year before they really knew what they had. As of the end of the season, Chacin was not sure if the Phils were going to pick up the option.

  6. Other than Drabek and maybe Bastardo if he can stay healthy, not many sure fire pitching prospects at AAA, AA or A+. Stutes showed last night giving up 9 hits in 5.1 innings he has a long way to go. Seems like more prospects at Lakewood. Way relied on a mid 70’s change up to go with a high 80’s fastball to pick up the win last night. He now has a 92-13 K-BB ratio in 82 innings between Lakewood and Wpt. this year. Like those 5th round draft picks. Let’s see what May can do with his 93 fastball tomorrow night. Hope to see Cisco pitch tomorrow night in Reading and Way Monday if Lakewood advances to the finals.

  7. A lot of long relief options here.

    Garcia is still a young guy, hopefully they have him pitch somewhere this Winter to make up for the time he lost this season.

    As alway, a fine write-up Gregg. Thanks for the hard work.

  8. Unfortunately, after Drabek there isn’t a sure fire ML starting pitcher in the bunch, of course that could change if the light goes on for a few of these guys.

  9. Zeid’s numbers this year were excellent…Look for an update on him and all the other in the lower portion of the organization over the next couple of days. He has the framework for what it takes. It is far too early to say he will be a major league starter. If his progression continues as it did, this year…no doubt. He was fairly dominant all year for the Crosscutters were excellent.

  10. Based on stats , Austin Hyatt was the Phillies best minor league pitcher this year with 81 K in 54 innings 0.66 ERA and a .70 WHIP with Williamsport . I know he was a RP converted over to a SP . He is 23 years old so why is he in Williamsport ? In my opinion , he should start at Reading next year ..Your thoughts ?

  11. Dom,

    Hyatt was promoted to Lakewood for one final start. I’m assuming he’s on the playoff roster. His start was a mixed bag: 4.2IP, 4r but 8 strikeouts.

    I’d expect he starts in Clearwater, and then gets bumped to Reading if he performs well.

    – Jeff

  12. ok…you guys are beating me down with all the comments on the Starting Pitching in the lower Half of the Org……Look for a post later today.

  13. What is the Darren Byrd free agent at the end of the year Thing? The 05 draft signees would not have 6 years of minor league service, seems like they’d have around 4. This would seem to be his 1st year of eligibility for the Rule 5 draft, as he was drafted from High School, and he might be starting the period where he has to be optioned to the mihors, but I have seen nothing that says he would qualify for free agency.

  14. Having seen Kyle Kendrick pitch again, I have decided to change my mind. I thought he had no future. That’s not the case. What I saw was a developing pitcher with several pitches that have movement and good sinking action. Most impressive, Kendrick now almost throws in the mid-90s (tops around 94) – that’s at least a few ticks faster than the guy who originally was promoted to the Phils.

    If Brandon Webb and other sinkerballers can make a career of it, so can Kendrick. It wouldn’t surprise me one bit if he made a nice little career as a starter or even a reliever. He can become very effective.

  15. Webb’s minor league K/9 was 8.1. Kendrick’s is 5.8, and this season in AAA it was 3.9. I’m still skeptical.

  16. It will be interesting to see which pitchers have been invited to be on the Phils Instructional League roster. According to Tampa Bay the Phils instructs open against Rays instrucsts on Monday the 21st at the Trop.

    Here is the schedule as provided by the Rays:
    Monday, September 21 Phillies @ Rays 1:00 PM @ Tropicana Field

  17. Doesn’t Carpenter have only 1 option year left after this season since he pitched in one game for the big league club in 2008?

  18. For some reason, I’m thinking they never sent him down after they called him up, so they didn’t use an option? I’m guessing. It only appears that they’ve used one option.

  19. They get 3 years to be optioned after being on 40 man roster, roughly . If Carpenter started on the 40 in “08 that was one or if called up during the year and sent him down that was an option year burned. When he was sent after ’09 Spring Training that was 2nd option year. If he was not optioned in ’08 that would be just one used, but I seem to remember he was sent down after a mid-season start. Somebody should check.

  20. Okay, Carpenter was purchased by Phillies on 8/27/08, pitched one inning of scoreless relief, and was optioned to Reading after the game. So they sent him back for a few games before rosters expanded, but I guess they preferred him getting more work before the end of the season, But that’s 2 options burned by my count.

  21. I don’t get the move of Carpenter to Lakewood. I suppose it’s just to keep fresh as an alternative since he’s on the 40-man. But he’s not being used in games.

  22. I made a $500 bet with my dad that Kyle Kendrick during his entire career would a.) never make an MLB All-Star team, b.) Never be in the top 10 in Cy Young Voting, c.) Never be in the top 15 in ERA or Strikeouts. My pops is diluted.

    I’ve never rooted against a player before, but I can’t wait to be five hundred dollars richer when he never sticks as a starter. Those strikeout totals are terrible.

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