2022 Draft Discussion, Day Two: July 18th

The Phillies had 8 picks on Day two.  Here they are.


3rd round – Gabriel Rincones, Jr. is a left-handed hitting/right-handed throwing outfielder who logged time in all 3 outfield positions for Florida Atlantic in Conference USA.  He slashed .346/.451/.658/1.110 in 228 plate appearances.  He had 82 hits, 17 doubles, 19 HR, 69 RBI, 2/2 SB, 42 BB, 51 K.  In 2020, he played in the FCSL (Florida Summer Collegiate League), a wood bat league with an affiliation with MLB.  He slashed .313/.415/.478/.892 in 82 plate appearances.  He had 21 hits, 2 doubles, 3 HR, 2/3 SB, 13 BB, 16 K.

Reported to have 50-grade hit and power.


4th round – Alexander McFarlane is a RHP from Miami University who pitched mostly as a reliever.  In 45.0 innings in his 2022 season, he posted a 3-2 record and 4.00 ERA in 27 appearances (4 starts).  He faced 198 batters with 20 BB, 68 K, 13.6 K/9.  He pitched in the Cape Cod League the last 2 summers.  This summer, He was 1-0 with a 0.71 ERA in 5 appearances, 12.2 innings.  He faced 51 batters, had 5 BB and 16 K, a 0.947 WHIP, 11.4 K/9.  In 126.0 career innings and 554 batters faced, he has given up 6 HR (0.4 HR/9).

95 MPH FB (up to 99), 3-pitch mix, slider.


5th round – Orion Kerkering is a RHP from the University of South Florida.  He split the season between the starting and closer.  He appeared in 19 games (10 starts).  He posted a 5-7 record, with 3 saves, and a 5.72 ERA.  In 67.2 IP, he faced 300 batters, and issued 19 BB and 91 K.  He pitched in the Cape Cod League in 2021 where he walked 8 batters and struck out 22 batters of the 87 he faced.  He was 0-3 in 7 games with a 5.30 ERA.

Pitches only out of the stretch, FB up to 97 MPH (averages 93), sharp slider 83-85 MPH, change w/fade.


6th round – Mavis Graves is a LHP out of Eastside HS in SC.  He also played first base.  He committed to Clemson in August of 2020.

Upper 80s FB (touches low 90s) up to 94 MPH, shows feel for spin.


7th round – Caleb Ricketts is a catcher out of the University of San Diego.  He garnered a slew of league awards this season.  In 253 PA, he slashed .373/.423/.658/1.081.  He had 85 hits, 13 doubles, 16 HR, 55 RBI, 14 BB, 29 K.  In addition to catching, he has played 1B and LF with a smattering of RF.  He spent the summer of 2021 in the wood bat Northwoods League where he slashed .283/.391/.396/.787 in 192 PA with 12 doubles, 2 HR, 31 RBI, 22 BB, 31 K.

WCC Player of the Year.  Chance to stick at catcher.


8th round – Alex Rao is a RHP who served as a reliever for Notre Dame.  He posted a 3-1 record, 3 saves, and 3.83 ERA in 25 appearances and 47.0 innings.  He issued 28 BB and 57 K.  While he had a high walk rate (5.4 BB/9), he did strike out 10.9 batters per nine innings.  Opposing batters posted a .188 average against him.  He had clutch appearances in the ACC tournament (v. Florida State) and Super Regionals (v. #1 Tennessee).

93-96 MPH FB (touches 98), split change best secondary.


9th round – Chad Castillo is an outfielder out of California Baptist who slashed .386/.442/.635/1.077 in 267 PA.  He had 90 hits, 23 doubles, 11 HR, 69 RBI, 19 BB, 56K.  He stole 13 bases in 17 attempts.  In the 2021 Cape Cod League, he slashed .333/.469/.490/.959 in 64 PA with 17 hits, 2 doubles, 2 HR, 7 RBI, 13 BB, 16 K.

2022 All-WAC First Team


10th round – Gustavo Sosa is a catcher out of South Mountain CC in Arizona.  Transferred from Rutgers.  He earned Second Team All-ACCAC honors.  He slashed .337/.415/.561/.976 in 54 games in 187 AB.  He had 63 hits, 33 runs scored, 13 doubles, 9 HR, 37 RBI, 24 BB, and 7 SB.  He played in the 2021 NECL (New England Collegiate Baseball League) and slashed .270/.386/.446/.832 in 88 PA with 20 hits, 4 HR, 11 RBI, 13 BB, 33 K.  He played in the 2022 MLB Draft League and slashed .339/.356/.589/.94 in 59 PA with 19 hits, 5 doubles, 3 HR, 12 RBI, 2 BB, 18 K.


The Phillies have a bonus pool allotment of $6,307,000.


The complete slot breakdown is as follows (round, pick, $) –

  1. 17th overall: $3,792,800
  2. Forfeited with Nick Castellanos’ signing
  3. 93th overall: $659,800
  4. 122nd overall: $492,800
  5. 152nd overall: $368,100
  6. 182nd overall: $281,800
  7. 212nd overall: $220,400
  8. 242nd overall: $178,900
  9. 272nd overall: $160,700
  10. 302nd overall: $151,700
  11. 332nd overall: picks in rounds 11 thru 20 are each capped at $125, 000 which doesn’t count against the bonus pool; any portion exceeding this figure counts against the bonus pool.
  12. 362nd overall: capped at $125, 000
  13. 392nd overall: capped at $125, 000
  14. 422nd overall: capped at $125, 000
  15. 452nd overall: capped at $125, 000
  16. 482nd overall: capped at $125, 000
  17. 512nd overall: capped at $125, 000
  18. 542nd overall: capped at $125, 000
  19. 572nd overall: capped at $125, 000
  20. 602nd overall: capped at $125, 000

Contracts for non-drafted free agents are capped at $20,000.


Schedule (All Times ET)

Tuesday, July 19
Day 3
Rounds 11-20
Streaming live on MLB.com
Round 11 begins at 2:00 PM EST

This is a forum for draft discussion to keep it separate from other conversations.


As in previous years, I’ll post a place for daily draft discussions until the draft is completed,  then, weekly draft discussions until the end of the signing period.  Draft signings will be tracked here – 2022 Draft Tracker

 

62 thoughts on “2022 Draft Discussion, Day Two: July 18th

  1. Seems like they took a bunch of fast moving relievers on Day 2. And some college bats. I don’t get excited about a HS arm sitting upper 80s.

    But if Crawford becomes a stud and they get a few MLB relievers then it is a good draft.

    1. Mavis graves:
      Normally as a HS arm, that could be less than thrilling, but still can get stronger and the plus is he is a lefty and really does not need to be in the mid-to-hi 90s to be an effective pitcher.
      A lefty in the 92-94 range…..with exceptional off-speed stuff can very well fit into a rotation.
      I want to see what his breaking stuff ends up….along if he can develop a change-up.

  2. After today, I’m more thinking they agreed to an over slot deal with Crawford. I like Rincones, but I don’t expect he’ll get more than slot (won’t be surprised if he goes a bit under). Every other day two pick (with the exception of the 6th round prepster) will probably get less than slot. And I don’t think Graves is going to get a massive above slot bonus. I’ll be interested to see who they draft in the 11th round tomorrow. They may have at least a little bit of money to sign a tier B HS or JUCO player. If they go all college tomorrow, then I gotta wonder just how much they’ve promised Crawford.

    All in all … it’s pretty much all Crawford, a little Rincones. And ‘meh’ so far.

    1. Agreed… I wish they had gone more high ceiling pitching. It’s much easier to fill holes when you have depth at pitching.

    2. Yes. I guess we’ll have to wait and see how their picks go tomorrow to really judge. They could be saving some money for those selections or this is really going to be all about Crawford. Either way hopefully they nailed it with that pick.

    3. I’ve never seen McFarlane pitch, and don’t know a whole lot about him. He seems like he could be interesting.
      Kerkering has the one plus pitch (breaker), and the Phillies seem to always find productive players in the 5th round so he has that going for him.
      But Barber passed on both Zach Maxwell and Noah Dean for McFarlane and Kerkering. Maybe they think McFarlane and Kerkering have a chance to start.

      1. I’d be surprised if they didn’t have at least McFarlane starting. Scouting reports have said he shows feel for a changeup, so there’s potential for 3 solid pitches. I don’t see a good reason to take a reliever that high even if they were trying to save money.

  3. I just heard Max Martin (SS Moorestown HS) pulled his name from draft consideration and will attend Rutgers in the fall

  4. The Braves crushed the draft. High upside HS arms with 1st, 1C and 2nd round. Then a college reliever in 2C to free up extra money. Darn it. I think they crushed it.

  5. Greenville News
    “Mavis Graves can add another title to his name. After playing a major role for Eastside High’s state championship run in baseball, the recently-graduated southpaw can claim that he is an MLB Draft selection.
    Monday afternoon Graves, a 6-foot-4 left-handed pitcher and first baseman who was an all-state and All-Upstate First Team baseball player, was drafted in the sixth round of the 2022 MLB Draft. Graves was previously a Clemson baseball commit, too, but announced on Twitter that he would be attending Spartanburg Methodist to play collegiately.”

    …never heard of this school…. Spartanburg Methodist .
    IMO, the Phillies must have him already ready to get his John Hancock on a contract signing bonus.

    1. Smc is a baseball college. Eastside hs is a large sports programs. Backing out of his Clemson commit, having SMC to fall back on in case Phillies fall through.

      1. Phillies must feel confident they will come to an agreement quickly and he will sign.

  6. I get that we had a limited pool, but this draft feels more like org filler than anything else. Our picks 3-5 appear to be reaches based on where selected, and the rest…….mmmmmyyyyyyeeeeaahhhhh.

  7. Does anyone know of the players that were invited to the Bank for a workout last week. I think I remember seeing one name mentioned. they usually invite some players for private workouts. one of them could be your 11th or 12th round pick tomorrow.
    gm

  8. Not overly impressed with the first two days. I can’t claim to know much of anything other that the brief writeups about each player, but enthusiasm seems in short supply for most with the exception of Crawford. Some are writing the pick up of Crawford makes Rojas more likely to be traded. My concern is that Rojas is in AA and in a very short sample is playing very well. Crawford’s ETA would seem to be a minimum of three but most likely four years out. Who plays enter in the interim? I’d love to have seen Moniak given a solid two or three weeks of playing everyday but realize in the wild card chase that isn’t realistic (I know he hasn’t shown much in his cameos, but he hasnt had much chance with Philly or in AAA to develop a rhythm ). I think now Rojas looks like the center fielder of the future and hate to think he is expendable.

  9. Gotta love these reactions on Day 2 of the draft. Everyone has it all figured out already.

    1. The last 9 drafts have produced 3 players who were not first round picks who are on the team – Rhys, Brogdon and Vierling. That’s 3 out of 270+ picks. Logan O’Hoppe (19tg rounder) will be a MLB player. So that’s 4. It’s really really hard. Especially if you don’t have elite tools.

      1. And Darick Hall. And JoJo just got activated a few days ago.

        Doesn’t change the main point — five guys on the roster who were drafted by the Phillies after the first round.

        1. Yes!!!! and there are a number of other non-round 1 players drafted by the Phillies the last 9 draft that are, or were, major leaguers for other teams which also doesn’t di’spute V1 and WCP’s main point, that it is really really hard to achieve in a league with as high a talent level as MLB; draftees need to have exceptional tools as well as make-up qualities.

          1. Right. Which is why we all get upset when we see a draft pick that doesn’t seem to have great tools. I don’t understand drafting a kid who throws in the 80s. Hopefully they see something in him. But the track record on kids who throw in the 80s when drafted is not great.

      2. It hard to defend our farm system, but it’s a little better than that I think. JoJo was a 4th rounder and Darrick Hall was taken in the 14th round, both in 2016. Maton (IL) was a 7th rounder the following year. Bailey Falter is basically the Phil’s 5th starter but parked with the Pigs when he isn’t pitching, He was a 5th rounder.

  10. Here’s an interesting stat:
    – 5 of the 9 regular hitters on the Phillies (including Harper) were first round picks.
    – 4 of the 5 Starters were first round picks.
    – JT was a 3rd rounder
    – Rhys and Vierling 5th rounders
    – Suarez, Didi and Segura were Intl FAs.

    We are a heavily first round pick team.

    1. I wrote a long post that never got through.

      Here’s my view. I am not enamored of the Crawford pick. We have been picking toolsy outfielders in the first round for 40 years. None – and I mean NONE have panned out. This guy looks like a lot of them I’m sorry to say. There’s way too much projection here and if he doesn’t fill out a lot, his ceiling isn’t that high – it’s basically Doug Glanville with maybe slightly moe power and his developmental time will probably be 4-5 years. Do I want to wait 4-5 years for another Doug Glanville? No thanks. Again, I hope I’m wrong and he gets strong and can hit a curve, and has good strike zone judgment and turns into something special, but, as we sit here now, I’m not too happy with the pick.

  11. My #1 college player for the Phillies to draft on day 3 is Stanford LHP Quinn Mathews. The last Standford lefty the Phillies picked is doing well, and just pitched in the Futures Game. Sam Fuld (Stanford grad) should be pounding the table for Mathews.

    .

    7’0″ D2 LHP Jared Beck is another kid worth picking.
    Three OFers to target:
    Cam Fisher (Charlotte)
    Chris Newell (Virginia)
    Chris Alleyne (Maryland)

    Newell and Alleyne are Philly kids.

    1. Hinke; you mentioned the Futures Game. I always watch it because it’s a reliable barometer for future MLB players and stars. That said, what the MLB has done to that game is a perfect metaphor in general for what Manfred has done to the MLB. The game is now seven innings aka (back to high school games boys) and it’s broadcast on a streaming service for the $$$$ rights instead of the traditional MLB Network. This hurts the MLB in promoting their future stars due to the small audience that has Peacock Streaming. A number of national sports writers have blasted Manfred/MLB over this Los Angeles Futures games as a joke as it bumped up against an MLB Celebrity Softball Game with a female rapper performance by Bad Bunny. JJ Cooper commented the incoming crowd couldn’t wait for the Futures Game to end so Bad Bunny, Hollywood actors and ex-MLB guys could preen in front of the camera’s. Embarrassing..

      I thought the Phillies players did well. Logan O’Hoppe caught a great game and Miller curiously got only one out at the end of the game and struck his lone batter out.

      1. Agree with you, Hawkeye. And the most flagrant boneheaded policy Manfred and MLB have adopted is the whole “no trading of (all) draft picks”. It just makes no sense. Can you imagine how much more exciting the event would be. And how much bigger the audience would be if any/your team could pull off a blockbuster deal, and jump up the board on draft night. Anything goes. It would make for a much more dramatic event.
        I mean the league has adopted multiple other progressive rules (universal DH/ghost runner/3 batter minimum/etc), but they won’t touch the draft.
        Oh … and speaking of streaming … ⚠ the only way to see the Phillies next game (Friday vs Cubs) is thru Apple TV+. Awesome 🙄↘💥🚫.

        1. I’m trying to not be the grumpy old man on the porch yelling at kids “to get off my lawn” as I understand streaming is going to eventually be the medium for all entertainment. Yet I borrowed a friends user/password to watch the game. I’m not buying Peacock for one game. The MLB didn’t build the game of baseball by streaming it, just it’s bank account.

          Hinkie don’t get me started on the lack of MLB draft pick trading. Horrible.. For draft picks to be traded is that a MLBPA/MLB negotiated deal?

          1. and it adds intrigue and competitiveness. Like, apparently everyone knew that the rangers were going to draft Porter. No team would’ve been like, “hey, give me an extra 7th or we’ll take him” ?

      2. My 10 year old was crying that it wasnt on tv, seriously that is the type of kid MLB has to invest in as fans of the future. He has ADD but will sit and watch an entire game, he will watch college baseball. We were in Disney last year and the only game on ESPN was college softball, guess what we watched? He plays MLB 2022 so he knows all the players, my wife was astonished with everything he knew. I was the same way as a kid. As much as interleague has killed the ASG another thing that hurts it is that the players wear ASG specific uniforms. I LOVED the players on the field together in their team’s jersey, it added something cool to the visual aspect of the game. Just like I tell my students, why something is done in the world today is about 1 reason: $

        1. True dat…follow the moolah, in virtually every corner of every market. And never assume anything is done in the best interest of the game.

        2. Eagleye5 … love to hear how into baseball your 10 YO is. My oldest son grew up in the Phillies 2007-2011 heyday. We had so much fun watching every night. He lives on the west coast now. I miss those days. Enjoy your time with your son.. Time does fly.

    2. I enjoyed the Kyle Young experience so much when he pitched in Williamsport, I would love to see them get another 7-footer into the system. It’s so unbelievably different and fun.

      1. I’m with you, Mitch. I love players with weird/unusual bodies. I’ve loved Jake Hernandez since he was drafted. Carlos De La Cruz is a favorite. I was in awe of Alejandro Kirk this week. And Marcos Pujols (Dayton) might be my favorite college player. I’d love to see Brian Barber make him a Phillie prospect. Beck is a behemoth on the mound.
        Look at Pujols ⬇. 6’0″/260. He’s beautiful.

        .

        BTW … appreciate all the MiLB video you post on twitter Thanks for that.

  12. I think we found B.B’s draft strategy take the best player on your board over 6’3 lol… six of the ten are over 6’4…. past years Mick Abel, Andrew painter, Carson Ragsdale, Baron Radcliff, Jordan Viars.. That strategy has worked with our pitchers but not so much with our hitters… I can go back and see a whole host of failed bigger hitters (Cozens, Pujols etc). Then again what strategy has worked for them with our hitters…

    As for the draft so far it seems like a very Blah draft… Of course I know nothing about these guys other than what I read but I like the swing for Crawford I loved the idea of adding one of those LHP’s to go with our big three but sure would be nice to have a star position player I mean when was our last one Dominic Brown… but then another big OF, two relief pitchers Orion Kerkering’s scouting report on MLB.com dosen’t sound very good, A H.S. LHP I can’t find much on besides a “upper 80’s FB blah, A senior RHP and OF and 2 pretty big catchers…

    I know missing our 2nd round pick hurts but I wish they would have taken at least 1 more big swing… but lets see what tomorrow brings

  13. I see of the first 9 drafted Sunday and Monday….the two who have the best chances of actually making it as impactful MLB players…Crawford and Graves.

    1. I like McFarlane also. There’s some Griff McGarry in his profile so it’s easy to see why they went back to that well.

  14. Well, so far, I’m not all that impressed with the draft, although they have earned some leeway on the pitchers they chose as they have done a superb job picking and developing pitchers over the last few years, including taking nobodies off the scrap heap and making them very good relief pitchers.

    As for the outfielder, I am not saying he won’t be good. Maybe he will be. But unless we think he will develop some serious power, it’s just another first round athlete draft pick. So, how has that worked out for us over the last 40 years? What “athletic” outfielder that we picked in the first round ever panned out? I think the answer is – none. Not one of them has become a big league regular, let alone a first division regular or star. So, I hope I’m wrong, but where I was pretty happy with the Abel and Painter picks when they happened (and am very happy about them now), I was not too happy about this one. I am thinking his most likely outcome is Doug Glanville and I think his developmental time will be 4-5 years. So do I really care that much about getting a new Doug Glanville in 2026? Yeah, sorry about that, but no. And, again, I hope I’m wrong, but to paraphrase P.T. Barnum, nobody ever went broke underestimating the future of a Phillies first round outfield draft pick.

  15. The theory is that if you hit on at least 1.5 of your picks each draft, that’s a good ratio= hit on at least 3 picks every two years. Constantly losing our 2nd round picks 4 out of 5 years, makes the requirement of nailing our 1st rounder that more essential. Since JPC we have done a a good to potentially tremendous job(Painter/Abel) with those 1st rounders. If Crawford is leading off and playing quality defense at Citizen’s Bank Park the April after hosting the ASG(2026) this will be a solid draft.

  16. First time commenting but love this site and I read it religiously!! Its interesting that the Phils just picked up a prep OF from MS who can flat out fly. They said Boyd has elite speed. Combine that with the Crawford pick and the emphasis this year in the minors on stolen bases and using speed – Rojas, Ethan Wilson and others. Makes you think if their is a slight shift in philosophy from an org perspective? The new runnin red birds? I am kidding but the focus on speed and stolen bases is interesting to watch. Now…we just need these guys to be able to get on base to utilize this great asset.

    1. Good point.
      All speedsters with SB abilities…..Rojas, Wilson, Y.Garcia, Casey Martin..now Crawford and Boyd.
      A shift in philosophy perhaps.

      1. There’s nothing wrong with having some speed – you need some and you need it on defense. But offenses built around speed are generally anemic. Offenses that excel are built mostly on OPS – not speed.

        1. Yes…..teams with good OPS metrics do well.
          I remember the Dodgers of the 60s with Wills and Davis and the Cardinals of the 80s with Coleman, McGee, Ozzie and even Tommy Herr……they were like track meets on the base paths.

          1. Yeah, Romus…I don’t understand how neglected baserunning has become over the past few decades. Sure, speed alone doesn’t make a ballplayer (see Quinn, Roman)…but what a team asset when maybe half your starting lineup has players who can run amok on the basepaths. It’s disruptive to the pitcher AND the defense will often be on their heals worrying about runners taking the extra base. But I digress…it’s 2022.

            1. Those old teams you described would all be bottom tier offenses in the current day and age. I don’t mind having a fast centerfielder and shortstop – but the era of manufacturing runs as the primary way of scoring is done and it should be done.

  17. Phillies drafting a PA kid…..Bryan Rincon.
    Maybe a couple of locals could be on the docket …tall LHP David Healy William Penn or Aidan Weaver, tall RHP from CB East…..would ne nice to see them draft both Philly kids.

    1. I think, when drafting, it really doesn’t matter much where a kid is from. You draft the best players you think you can sign.

      1. One year ….Ruben in one of his final drafts, in the last 3/4 rounds drafted Tom McCarthy’s son, Micky Morandini’s son and another Phillie extended family member….maybe it was Ruben’s own nephew.

        1. I do remember that draft, that was back when there were 40 rounds. I think you are correct it was Ruben’s nephew.

        2. That’s when the draft was like 40 rounds or more. With only 20 rounds, I’m pretty sure those days are over – the courtesy draft of a guy who you never intend will join the org.

        3. Andrew Amaro was drafted in the 35th round of the 2015 draft. He played for the University of Tampa team that beat the Phillies to open spring training in 2015 and was instrumental in the win. He actually signed (for $1K, I believe) and played at two levels of the org in 2015. He was released in March of 2016.

          1. I guess the blood-lines do not always work out.

            BTW……within a week or so we should know about the long overdue International Draft…if it is a go, or just another kick the bucket agenda item..

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