The Phillies reached the All-Star break in third place in the NL East Division. They have a 49-43 record and are 8.5 games behind the first-place NY Mets. They trail second-place Atlanta by 6.0 games. They are 5.5 games ahead of the fourth-place Miami Marlins.
First place in the division is not out of the question if the Phillies go on a streak and the teams ahead of them slip a little. But, a wild card spot is their most likely road into the post-season.
The Phillies are currently holding the third wild card spot by .001 winning percentage point over the Cardinals. They are 6.0 games behind Atlanta and 2.0 games behind San Diego.
Other than the Cardinals, the Giants are close behind, trailing by 0.5 games and tied in the loss column. Their series sweep of the pesky Marlins dropped Miami to 5.5 games back. The Rockies are hovering at 6.5 games back. Arizona, Pittsburgh, Chicago, Cincinnati, and Washington are long shots or realistically out of contention.
MLB has replaced tie-breaking playoff games with a set of tie-breaking criteria.
- Head-to-head record
- Intradivision winning percentage
- Interdivision winning percentage
- Best record in the final 81 intraleague games of the season
- Best record in the final 82 intraleague games of the season (provided the game added is not between the tied teams), and continue one game back until the tie is broken
- Coin toss?
The Phillies have already won head-to-head against Milwaukee (4-2), St. Louis (4-3), Los Angeles (4-3), San Diego (4-3), and Colorado (5-2).
They are ahead of Arizona (2-1 with 3 to play), Miami (6-4 with 9 to play), and Washington (6-2 with 11 to play).
They trail New York (3-9 with 7 to play), Atlanta (3-4 with 12 to play), and SanFrancisco (1-2 with 3 to play).
They have 7 games each against the Pirates and Reds, and 6 against the Cubs.
They have a 2-game series against the Blue Jays in September and close the season with 3 games in Houston.
The Phillies’ division record is 18-19. Their record against the other NL divisions is 24-16. Their interleague record, which doesn’t matter in tie-breakers, is 7-8.
As a team, the rotation and the bullpen have been playing well. The defense has looked better but there is still room for improvement. The offense has been streaky as expected. The loss of Jean Segura and Bryce Harper has hurt. Matt Vierling has stepped forward and locked down the starting position in center field (or should have). Alec Bohm is hitting better. Didi Gregorius needs to be a little better as does JT Realmuto. Bryson Stott is playing very solid defense. Any offense is a bonus. Nick Castellanos is a big surprise in a bad way. He needs to pick it up at least until Harper returns. Stubbs has been a pleasant surprise and might be under consideration for a return to the team next year. Camargo and Munoz are solid players in the roles they have inherited. And, Darick Hall has hit well enough to find a job on another team next season if/when a roster crunch squeezes him back to Triple-A.
They still look like an 85-86 win team. We’ll see if Dave Dombrowski can make some additions to put them over the top.
- Harper was hitting .318 when he was injured
- Segura was hitting .275 when he was injured
- Bohm is hitting .276
- Hall is hitting .262 with 4 HR in 16 games mostly at DH
- Stubbs is hitting .262 with 10 RBI in 61 AB
- Realmuto is hitting .252
- Castellanos is hitting .252 with 8 HR (I honestly thought he was hitting lower)
- Herrera is hitting .244
- Hoskins is hitting .244 with 19 HR
- Camargo is hitting .243
- Gregorius is hitting .234
- Vierling is hitting .231
- Munoz is hitting .225
- Schwarber is hitting .208 with 29 HR, 58 RBI, 52 BB, and 120 K
- Stott is hitting .188 with 6 HR and 26 RBI
- Wheeler has 99.2 IP with a 2.89 ERA, 22 BB, and 108 K
- Nola has 126.2 IP with a 3.13 ERA, 16 BB, and 137 K
- Suarez has 84.0 IP, with 4.07 ERA, 33 BB, 68 K
- Gibson has 97.1 IP with a 4.35 ERA, 26 BB, 80 K
- Eflin has 68.0 IP with a 4.37, 15 BB, 56 K
- Nelson has 44.0 IP with a 4.09 ERA, 15 BB, 56 K
- Knebel has 35.2 IP with a 3.03 ERA, 23 BB, 32 K, 12 S, 4 BS
- Dominguez has 34.0 IP with a 1.85 ERA, 11 BB, 41K, 4 S, 1 BS
- Bellatti has 30.2 IP with a 3.52 ERA, 13 BB, 46 K
- Hand has 29.0 IP with a 2.17 ERA, 13 BB, 26 K, 4 S, 1 BS
- Alvarado has 26.2 IP with a 4.39 ERA, 18 BB, 41 K
- Brogdon has 18.2 IP with a 1.93 ERA, 5 BB, 21 K
- Romero has 1.0 IP with a 0.00 ERA, 0 BB, 1 K
- Familia has 30.0 IP with a 4.80 ERA, 13 BB, 30 K
- Falter has 28.0 IP with a 4.82 ERA, 8 BB, 24 K
- C. Sanchez has 23.2 IP with a 3.80 ERA, 9 BB, 18 K
- Appel has 7.0 IP with a 1.29 ERA, 2 BB, 3 K
- Morales has 3.0 IP with a 0.00 ERA, 4 BB, 3 K
- M. Kelly has 4.0 IP with a 2.25 ERA, 1 BB, 4 K
If nothing else, this gives you a place to talk about the Phillies for the week.