Phuture Phillies 2019 Reader Top 30 #1 Selection

Sixto Sanchez was our selection as the #1 prospect in the Phillies’ organization.

Sanchez repeats as the top prospect after former Phillie J.P. Crawford reigned as the top prospect for three years (2015-17).  Sanchez was an overwhelming selection.  He received 140 of the 182 votes cast (76.92%).  Adam Haseley was second with 9 votes (4.95%) and Adonis Medina finished third with 8 votes (4.4%).

Thirteen different players received votes.  Spencer Howard, Luis Garcia, Alec Bohm, Kyle Dohy, and Mickey Moniak received multiple votes each.  Five guys received one vote each – Enyel De Los Santos, Cole Irvin, Connor Seabold, Dylan Cozens, and Mitch Walding.

Sanchez was signed as a 16-year old international free agent in 2015.  He was discovered when he was asked to pitch to a prospect that a Phillies’ scout wanted to see hit.  After the session, the scout reported that he hadn’t found a hitter, but he had found a pitcher.  At that time, Sanchez had only just converted to pitcher from shortstop.

Sanchez tossed 25.2 innings during the 2015 DSL season.  He wasn’t invited to 2015 Instructs or 2016 spring training, but arrived for extended spring training (XST) and quickly made an impression.  He was selected to the 2016 GCL All Star team at the end of the season as the starting RHP.  Facing batters who averaged 2.5 years older than he, Sanchez posted a 0.50 ERA and a WHIP of 0.759 WHIP in 54.0 IP.  He struck out 44 (7.3/9 IP) and walked 8 (1.3/9 IP).

Sanchez began 2017 at Lakeland.  In spite of being almost four years junior to the rest of the league, he posted a 2.41 ERA and 0.817 WHIP in 67.1 IP.  He struck out 64 (8.6/9 IP) and walked 9 (1.2/9 IP).  After just 13 starts, he was promoted to Clearwater.

In Clearwater, Sanchez ran into his first adversity as a pitcher.  He suffered losses in four of his five starts, posted a 5.20 ERA, and a 1.301 WHIP in 27.2 IP.  He struck out 20 (6.5/9 IP) but walked 9 (2.9/9 IP).

Sanchez’ Advanced A difficulties could be attributed to his facing advanced hitters, he was five years younger than the average player in the Florida State League.  But, it is equally likely that the long season had an impact.  He threw a combined 95.0 innings in 2017, after less than 80 the previous two seasons (25.2 in ’15 and 54.0 in ’16).

Sanchez saw limited action in 2018.  He went 4-3 in 8 starts before being shut down after a June 3rd start.  He posted a 2.51 ERA, 11 walks (2.1 BB9), 45 strike outs (8.7 K9), and a 1.071 WHIP in 46.2 innings.  He was selected for the FSL All Star game, but did not play.

Sanchez appears to have finally reached his projected height of 6 feet.  He throws an upper 90s fastball.  Comfortably. He often hits triple digits.  He introduced a slider in 2016 that was reaching 91 mph.  And, he has expanded his repertoire to include a change up to go along with his curve ball and slider.

Sanchez injury history is a bit of a mystery.  At first glance, it appears that the elbow inflammation that sidelined the pitcher (for a couple of weeks) in June was his first injury and a minor setback.  However a closer look at his career and some of my observations unveil a different story.

  • While pitching mostly out of the bullpen in the DSL (2015), Sanchez had a couple lengthy gaps between appearances – 3, 8, 5 (before 1st start), 6 (before 2nd and final start), 14, 1, 6, 10, 5, and 7.  It is rookie level ball, but I have witnessed pitchers pitching on a set schedule, even out of the bullpen.  But, maybe it’s nothing.
  • Sanchez made 11 starts in a normal rotation in the GCL (2016).
  • Then, with Lakewood in 2017, Sanchez had 10 days off between his 3rd and 4th starts and was shut down for over a month after his 5th start on May 7th (a 90-pitch, 4 ER effort in 5.0 innings).  He returned on June 11th and pitched well enough to be promoted to Clearwater in August.  Note that 34 days missed in Lakewood were not spent on the DL.
  • Next, with Clearwater in 2018, Sanchez (the Phillies top pitching prospect) missed the start of the season and didn’t pitch until the 11th game of the season on April 15th, missing 2 starts.  Sanchez pitched his last game of the season on June 3rd.  In one of those quirky minor league transactions, the Phillies top prospect was added to the DL on APRIL 15th and remained there until SEPTEMBER 25th (?).  His “couple weeks of shutdown” extended until the end of the season.
  • And finally, Sanchez didn’t start throwing until late August/early September in a belated attempt to get ready for the Arizona Fall League.  The Phillies opted to hold him back due to a problem with his collarbone.  I observed a weight gain during his time on the DL.

Sanchez has been on the short list of untouchable prospects before this off season.  But, his name came up in trade talks with Seattle.  If the Phillies had worked out a deal that included both Juan Segura and Edwin Diaz, Sanchez would certainly have been part of the package going to Seattle.  His name came up in other deals, too.  A possible deal with Miami for J.T. Realmuto, for one.

It’s interesting speculating Sanchez’ future.  His ceiling could be quite high, TOR high.  His floor could be as a back end reliever.  (There has been some talk.) He’s a young pitcher with a bright future and extreme risk due to his youth and distance from the majors, although it is likely he could see Reading at some point in the 2018 season.

The poll for the #2 prospect will be posted in a separate thread.

Here are the complete results for the #1 poll.

Player Votes Percent
Sixto Sanchez 140 76.92%
Adam Haseley 9 4.95%
Adonis Medina 8 4.40%
Spencer Howard 7 3.85%
Luis Garcia 5 2.75%
Alec Bohm 4 2.20%
Kyle Dohy 2 1.10%
Mickey Moniak 2 1.10%
Dylan Cozens 1 0.55%
Enyel De Los Santos 1 0.55%
Cole Irvin 1 0.55%
Connor Seabold 1 0.55%
Mitch Walding 1 0.55%
26 tied with 0 0%

 

73 thoughts on “Phuture Phillies 2019 Reader Top 30 #1 Selection

        1. Ok. Cool. Where do you see his ceiling? #2 type starter?

          I have not seen reports with that type of ceiling. But cool that others feel that way.

          1. Yes, the ceiling is as high as any prospect in the organization – he has an outside chance of being a #1 (not a typo) and a legit prospect of becoming a #2. He came on like gangbusters last year and reports were of a sinking high 90s FB hitting triple digits and ended the year with a no hitter. He had great K rates, so he misses bats too. He has seriously helium. His floor is probably as a back-end reliever or inconsistent #4 but the sky’s the limit in terms of his potential.

            1. I view Medina and Howard as being a very close 2/3 right now. I recall at least one other source having them ranked as such.

          2. Today, Fangraphs ranked him as the Phils’ #4 prospect, behind only Sixto, Medina and Bohm – folks are recognizing the potential with him.

      1. Congratulations to Dylan C. There is umm a very small gap between #9and #13 – but 13 isn’t bad!

      2. You are applauding him for finishing ninth because he got one vote which was obviously yours? LOL – officially the most inane comment of the year.

          1. Very true – how about the last 365 days? Seriously, he registered the one vote in favor of the player and then commented on how well the player was doing in the poll as a result of that solitary vote. That’s absurd.

            1. And, by the way, I’m not criticizing you for being a Dylan Cozens fanboy – that’s all good and we all have our favorite prospects. I’m not even criticizing you for having expectations that most of us would view as being either irrational or unlikely – it’s fine to dream on a player.

              What I am criticizing you for is treating us like idiots when you say that he’s rising due to his ranking in a poll – as if to suggest that he is a consensus top prospect – when, literally, the only vote was yours. We are not that stupid and your post was beyond misleading.

            2. Tongue in cheek people. Making it through the MM and Harper minutia along with long off season with some levity.

              But with the injury, inconsistency and soft stats of the other prospects; why not DC or even Darick Hall?

      3. I have asked before but never got a reply. Are you Dylan’s relative?

        I don’t want to offend you. But I want to understand why you are so high on him. Suffice it to say, I am not a believer that he is a MLB prospect.

        1. Being a former player that tried out for the Phillies in the 70s and was invited back. Never making it and then kicking around for 10+ years in Independent and semi-pro ball I am an advocate for the player that is on the edge. One that is not a shoe in but is not a washout. I want that player to get a legitimate opportunity. I do know Dylan through the Phillies’ system as a gentleman, professional and someone who is genuine that will honor the team and game.

          1. Denny…applaud your enthusiasm and dedication to the player.
            But surely you are aware of his primary weakness at the plate.
            He also is aware I am sure…so it will be up to him to make the adjustment.

            1. In discussions with Steve Potter he thinks DC is a legitimate prospect but needs to be more receptive to changes in approach. He was a little stubborn but is now trying to adjust.

          2. That is very admirable. Thanks for sharing your rationale. Everyone here wants all players to be successful. We are fans. But that doesn’t not make it reasonable to not objectively analyze a player. cheering loudly on this blog wil have zero impact on his infield results. Best to remain objective.

            1. The man is one of Phillies all time minor league power hitters. That gives him some credibility as a legitimate prospect. I’m not rooting for Michael Martinez .

            2. Also strikes out at the highest rate in Phillies minors history. His k rates are literally off the charts. Almost impossible to find a comp over the last 15 years of a player in any org with as high K rates that has had any mlb success. his cup of coffee numbers are horrific.

            3. Thanks. I know it looks bleak but he was compared to a player Joey Gallo that the Phillies, according to media, was trying to obtain this year. I have moved from Philly 30 years ago and my cup is now at half full, so I will continue to hitch my wagon behind this big horse and hope it happens for him in Philadelphia. Much appreciated for the link.

            4. Hi Denny, hang in their bud. Just an FYI this is an analytics site and I have up a long time ago trying to argue heart and potential to change. That’s why I loved what Ryan Howard did (pre shift) and what Nick Foles is doing now. Always love the guys who prove everyone else wrong. Loved guys like Chris Coste.

            5. do you not see the irony in using Ryan Howard as an example of how a player can prove analytics wrong? i mean, the analytics driven shift destroyed his career

            6. We have discussed bat control with him. He is working on this and pitch awareness along with hanging in against the lefty. He has such bat speed that he needs to forget about distance and concentrate on contact. Work in progress.

            7. Cozens showed marked improvement last January when Charley worked with him. So, he can learn and understand. It wasn’t until he received instruction during ST from those other than Charley that he seemed to regress back to his Reading habits. It’s my understanding that the change back was at the insistence of his instructors.

            8. Band of brothers. Lets keep it rolling and maybe more will be heard from to show solidarity for ballplayers like Gabe Kapler that hung on and got their chance.

            9. V1 That was intended. In fact Ryans career has ;some other ironies to Dylans except Dylan has not had a chance to consistently play in MLB, and maybe he never will.. Maybe as stated a few times above he will never get it like Ryan did, but Ryan always had a high strike out rate, like many Large MLB power hitters. However, if Dylan every figures out, or goes on large power run (like Hoskins did the end of 2017)…. like Ryan, he might make it. The small sample size in the MLB, and even his time at Triple A would say other wise…but Denny is entitled to hope.

  1. I voted Medina for #1. Just can’t vote an injured pitcher #1, especially with the late withdrawal from FIL. Too great a chance that Sixto pitches a month or two and then is out again, since we are into the Phillies’ strange injury saga again here.

    1. A-town, I voted for Sixto here, but I fully understand and agree. He’s got great upside, but great risk. This is a case of voting for ceiling, and maybe with a large dose of wishfulness.

    1. Wow, Muziotti getting some love! And higher than Mickey Mo!

      Ortiz at 19, yeesh.

      My boy Marchan at 14, and another top 10-15 ranking is very encouraging. He’s my breakout candidate for 2019.

      1. Muzziotti, when signed by the Sox had some of their scouts comparing him to Jacoby Ellsbury. Remains to be seen if he reaches that level, but he does have the raw tools going for him…I like him more of somewhere in the range of a Ben Revere and an Ender Inciarte type player. Do not see the same amount of power like Ellsbury had in his hey day..

  2. Luis Garcia is my No 1 – I will keep voting for him till he gets in. I know he is far away, but we have been asking for Latin “Atlanta Braves fast rising” type prospects – here you go…….stud!

  3. I don’t understand the overwhelming vote for Sixto. He hasn’t performed in AA or AAA. On the other hand, Haseley has done well in the upper reaches of the system. Also Sixto’s injuries put a question mark on his future.

    1. It’s a simple question of potential vs. level. I voted for Sixto (and will choose several others) over Haseley because he has the potential to be a star level talent and they have several other younger players in the lower levels of the system with that same potential.

      Haseley is likely to see time on a major league roster but he has yet to show the potential to be a difference maker. Haseley’s numbers at the higher levels in the system have been solid but not outstanding. He doesn’t have great power, superior speed, elite contact ability, etc. He looks like he might become an average everyday regular but for me, that is not enough to be considered the top prospect is a good system..

      1. Exactly. Potential ceiling. Sixto can be an ace, potentially. Haseley looks like a 4th OF to me, what’s that worth? Can he improve to look like a starting corner OF? Maybe, we’ll see. Needs to add power.

        1. I think Haseley is better than a 4th outfielder and has the potential to be a solid everyday player but as you note, he’d have to drastically increase his power to become more than that…

  4. I went Howard here. I loved how he finished the season last year. I can definitely see a No. 2 with upside to be an ace if everything keeps progressing.

  5. He might not make anyone’s Top 30 list, but a guy not to forget is Kyle Glogoski, the Kiwi the Phillies signed last year. In 19.2 innings in Australia this winter, he’s struck out 18 and achieved a 0.61 WHIP.

    The other player in the Aussie league was mentioned by Hinkie the other day, catcher Mitch Edwards. OPS 843 so far in 111 PAs.

    1. Frank….the national guys have not seen enough of the two foreign guys yet to make any credible assessment.

  6. Sixto than Bohm. The Phils really need a position prospect to step up. Who was the last position prospect in their org (1 or 2 pick) to be a long term impact player fir the team. What’s everyone’s thoughts on how successful the Phils have been to draft and than develop top end position talent?

    1. Utley was first…Rollins a second…before them Burrell.
      Last 15 years…excluding ’15 thru ’18 so far….none to speak

      1. From 2000 when they took Utley to 2015, they’ve taking a total of 15 position players in the first 2 rounds (including supplemental picks). Of those 15, Travis D’Arnaud is the only one who’s had any extended MLB service time. Anthony Gose is the only other one who had brief success.

        For 4 of them, (Kingery, Crawford, Knapp, and Quinn) the jury is still out. Also Randolph is still possible I guess.

        This history would show that they have not been good at either picking or developing positional talent in the last 15+ years. Irony is that during that time, they have been better with players picked in rounds 3-5 (Howard, Hoskins, Bourn, Rupp)

        1. Bearing in mind that Klentak’s watch has overseen 3 position players drafted in the first round: Moniak, Haseley and Bohm. No pitchers. A shift from the realization that the system is arm strong.

  7. Denny…just curious, are you referring to the Phillies tryout camp in Florida in January 1972? If so, that is wild because I was also there and got invited back by then Phillie scout Fred Ferriera and remember that camp well. It lasted about 10 days and started with about 150 candidates and was whittled down to about 30.

    I was fortunate in that while I didn’t sign with the Phillies I eventually did procure a pro contract and played pro ball. That said, I understand your passion for supporting the underdog, one of the most enduring memories I had of my playing career was in watching players come in and then disappear almost overnight when they were released.

    Let me know if you were at that camp, I remember it like it was yesterday! Some really good talent, perhaps you were one of those talented guys I saw in that camp!

  8. I want to support the idea that Cozens might still figure things out and become the power hitter we hope he can be. A few spring trainings ago, the Yanks AAA team came to play the Phils and before the game I was standing there and Cozens was standing next to me. He is a REALLY large man, for those of you who haven’t seen him. Then from the bathroom behind me out walks a Yankee player. Yes, it was Judge. I was standing in between two mountains of men. I didn’t believe Cozens could ever be made to look small but Judge is like no one who has ever played before size wise. He’s unreal up close. Seems like a good guy too. I bring this up to remind us of Judge’s early troubles. I’m sure Cozens is trying to follow his lead. Let’s hope he gets close.

    1. I think a lot of us are rooting for him, just behind Quinn. The issue is spots are running out. If he does develop, who does he bump? For this teams depth, they almost certainly need the DH to help unclog some overlap. I’ve always been against it, but Im throwing in the towel, and let it be done. It’s time, especially if teams are handing out 10+ year deals.

    2. Judge was a real ‘bust’ in Aug/Sep 2016…Yankee fans were ready to trade him, all their blogs were saying he was first round bust.
      Then came the miracle in the Bronx in 2017 and then he became their hero.
      Maybe Cozens will have the same fate.

      1. Look Denny…..tell your boy, and he knows, back in 2015 at Clearwater with the Threshers, at the time when the ankle injury occurred and sidelined him for awhile, the Phillies suggested an adjustment to his approach and he responded and his K rate went below 20%….even below 25% vs LHPs…best in his career. His batting average went up also….but his HRs fell.
        He made that concerted effort and responded, maybe he should try it again

          1. Denny,

            You speak highly of Cozens as a good young person. I remember there were some incidents in the past, a conflict with a high school coach being one of them. Are you saying that Cozens has matured? Any elaboration will be helpful.

            I can understand if he’s motivated to make better contact. He had such a wonderful year at Reading with his fellow Bash Brother and the other young prospects and now they’ve graduated and he’s still in the minors. That has got to give him a sense of realism greater than anything a coach or some other elder would say.

            Obviously, if overcoming his shortcomings are teachable, and not physical limitations, we would all be excited for him, and for ourselves as Phillies fans, to have a home-grown basher to join Hoskins and give us a power duo.

  9. Im going to take the suspense out of this for you guys:

    Top 10 for me:

    1-Sixto
    2-Haseley
    3-Howard
    4-Medina
    5-Bohm
    6-Garcia
    7-Moniak
    8-JoJo
    9-Morales
    10-Gowdy

    I can be convinced to swap 5&6, but I want to hear/see more. I’m high on Gowdy, looking forward to his progress this year. I still have faith that Moniak can carve out a very nice career, without being your typical hr threat in the OF. Other than that, Interested to see Garcia make waves this year, and to see if Ortiz (not on top 10) can also turn the corner.

    Rooting for them all, & wish them all a healthy year, let their talents decide the rankings.

      1. Being at the Complex starting soon, maybe later this month, thru the whole season should serve him well. I like to see him get in better shape and lose some of that belly fat.

Comments are closed.