Top 30 Stock Watch (21-30 and Off the List)

We are now nearly two months into the minor league season so it is time to do a quick look through the ranks and see how players are getting on.  It is way too early for a reranking of the list, but I am going to see whose stock is trending up or down, or staying constant.  For the first part I pulled 10 names off of my thoughts on those that missed the Top 30, as well as numbers 21-30 on the actual Top 30.

Jake Sweaney (C/OF) – Sweaney’s move to the outfield is a bit shocking this early, but catching was never a guarantee.  Still a lot to see about the bat and whether it will play in a corner.  He is certainly athletic enough to make it work.  Stock: Reset

Jiandido Tromp (CF) – Tromp started the year as the odd man out in Lakewood, but got his chance when Larry Greene was injured early in the year.  Tromp isn’t lighting the HSAL up, but he has flashed some power and speed, and some raw tools to make him interesting.  He should continue to get sporadic. Stock: Trending Up

David Buchanan (RHP) – Buchanan had a strong spring training and a good first MLB start this weekend.  He is going to have trouble turning a lineup over and second time through the league unless he can make the changeup and curveball more consistent.  He isn’t going to dominate going forward, but he could be very useful.  Stock: Up

Miguel Nunez (RHP) – Nunez was a bit of sleeper for me with a two pitch mix that had at least reliever upside.  However, the delivery fell apart and he was demoted to extended spring training to rebuild it.  He is now back up in Clearwater, but now in a bullpen role.  Stock: Down

Brian Pointer (OF) – We have been waiting years for Pointer to stop teasing and put it together.  It looks like it will likely never happen.  He has been unable to keep consistent results or have good contact at the plate.  Stock: Gone

Tyler Viza (RHP) – Viza surprised many with an opening day assignment to Lakewood, and he has more than help his own.  The fastball has good sink to it and he pairs it with usable secondary pitches.  Right now he is not issuing walks and generating a ton of ground balls, but not missing many bats.  Unless the stuff jumps, the profile is more back end starter, but very encouraging start for the 2013 draft pick.  Stock: Up

Gabriel Lino (C) – After having a mixed year in Williamsport, 2014 was supposed to be Lino’s year to put it all together in Lakewood.  Instead catching injuries pushed him up to Clearwater after a rough 16 games in Lakewood.  In Clearwater he has started to show signs of life and raw talent.  He is still a long term project, but a solid year in Hi-A could go a long way to get him back on the map. Stock: Up

Dan Child (RHP) – Dan Child made BA’s Top 30 prospect and nearly made mine as well.  What I expected to see was a fast track reliever.  Instead there is a reliever with control problems and the inability to strike anyone out.  Child might be fine long term, but losing his quick upward mobility hurts the profile.  Stock: Down

Perci Garner (RHP) – In Reading Garner has gone between dominant and ok.  The control is still a big issue and in many starts he is just not missing bats.  But he is keeping the ball in the park and generating ground balls.  I still want to see him as a reliever, but a strong start in ERA and IP should buy him some more time to figure it out in the rotation.  Stock: Slightly Up

Hoby Milner (LHP) – I have never been a huge Milner fan, the raw stuff is lacking for me.  On the surface a 3-2 record and 3.45 ERA point to a decent start, but a 4.1 BB/9, 4.9 K/9, and 1.6 HR/9 to go with a 5.94 FIP point to a much different story.  In this story you have a slight LHP with a fastball touching 89 and mediocre secondary pitches who can locate to some locations (in on RH batters), but is really struggling overall this year.  Stock: Let me know when he is in the bullpen

30. Samuel Hiciano (OF) – I wanted to squeeze Hiciano onto this list because the power in Willaimsport was exciting.  He is now starting to show more of that power in Lakewood.  He still doesn’t walk much, and is not a defensive value, but if he can hit like this it is a step in the right direction.  Hiciano is fly ball hitter with pull power which is hurt by Lakewood’s park and most of his damage has come on the road.  Stock: Up

29. Andrew Pullin (2B) – A week can change a lot, as Pullin has show more power, a steep drop in his strikeout rate.  The knocks against Pullin has been his second base defense, his approach, and his power.  He is started to answer questions about the second two, but he is going to need to show the 12% strikeout rate from May and now the 27% rate from April.  Pullin might now jump up lists this year, but in a year he could make the leap as the defensive questions are answered.  Stock: Up

28. Malquin Canelo (SS) – Canelo got squeezed out of Lakewood by J.P. Crawford, and so has been relegated to the XST to Threshers shuttle.  The offense is not ready for Hi-A, and he has been overmatched at the plate.  He likely goes to Lakewood as the full time SS when Crawford moves to Clearwater, the offense won’t be there for Canelo, but SS defense is a carrying tool. Stock: On Hold

27. Drew Anderson (RHP) – Anderson missed the first part of the year due to injury, but the 20 year old has bounced back since then.  He is striking out a lot more batters this year while keeping the walk rate in check.  The stuff is still more average, but he continues to use it well.  Until the stuff jumps up, he is more a #4 starter long term, but he is moving in the right direction.  Stock: Up

26. Zach Collier (CF) – I thought Zach could show enough to be a 4th OF for a major league team, but it looks like the 25%+ K% is here to stay and it is now coming with less power.  Zach will likely hang on for a little longer because he can play CF, but he might not be pencilled in as a starter on a minor league depth chart again.  Stock: Cratered

25. Cameron Perkins (1B/OF) – Perkins has been tearing up Reading so far to a .339/.411/.483 line.  I am still not ready to believe yet, his .393 BABIP is going to regress some, but his hitting will keep it above average going forward, but more importantly his power is not there.  His 18 doubles are a large number, but he only has 2 HRs to with them, and his ISO has now dropped below what it was in Clearwater.  I don’t think the profile plays as a regular in a corner OF position, but if he is a utility player at 3 different corner positions, that is a useful player.  Stock: Up

24. Jan Hernandez (3B) – If it weren’t for Mitch Walding and Zach Green‘s injuries Hernandez would have spent the whole spring in Florida before going to Williamsport.  He had a couple of flashes of his potential, but he is not ready for full season ball yet.  He should be the starting 3B for the Crosscutters when they break camp.  Stock: On Hold

23. Cameron Rupp (C) – When Rupp has hit the ball in the air, it has gone very far.  But so far he has hit flyballs and ground balls with few line drives.  The consequence has been a high HR rate and low BABIP.  Rupp still could use time before he steps into a backup catcher’s role but it might be a bit longer than before.  Stock: Slight Slip

22. Tommy Joseph (C) – When healthy Joseph hit the ball well and looked better on defense.  The problem is the health, as he has had concussion symptoms and a wrist injury.  If he can get back on the field soon he could see his stock shoot up lists as he puts himself in position to make the major leagues. Stock: Up, down, and back where we started

21. Shane Watson (RHP) – Coming into the year we knew it was going to be mostly a lost year for Watson.  As of Monday he has gotten doctor sign off to begin his throwing plan so we will see where it goes from here.  If he can rebound from surgery (which was to relieve inflammation), he could provide a needed boost to pitching desperate system.  Stock: Tentatively up

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About Matt Winkelman

Matt is originally from Mt. Holly, NJ, but after a 4 year side track to Cleveland for college he now resides in Madison, WI. His work has previously appeared on Phuture Phillies and The Good Phight. You can read his work at Phillies Minor Thoughts

13 thoughts on “Top 30 Stock Watch (21-30 and Off the List)

  1. I’m really looking forward to seeing how Sweaney and Hernandez hit in Williamsport (assuming that they’re playing there).

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  2. With Watson starting to throw when will he be ready to pitch in a real game? Also, will he be sent to Lakewood or Clearwater?

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  3. Good to see the fightins scouting dept striking with some later draft picks, plus crawford!

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  4. Cam at 25 wow huge miss. Polished College bat out of the draft did nothing to disappoint pre injury or post injury in the FSL. Cam has plenty of power to project and I do not agree that he could play CF or RF, LF is his position with good to avg defense and 15-20 HR power with some average.

    Conversely Sammy Hi and Drew Anderson 30 and 27 were nice picks. Collier didn’t even make my top 30 nor did Jan. And no way was Pullin not a top 20 guy.

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    1. Agree….the only time he played CF was earlier this year and wasn’t that because they had no one else healthy enough to fill out the OF? He is a corner guy.

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    2. I still don’t know if I would put Perkins in the Top 15 in the system, and after the draft and SS get started he might have trouble cracking the Top 20.

      The stat line looks nice on the surface .339/.411/.483. But where are you getting 15-20 HRs. I know power is the last thing to show up, but Perkins is 23 and in his 3rd professional season. To this point he has 10 HRs across those seasons and is on pace to hit 5 HRs over the 2014 season. That is not a major league starter.

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      1. I’d give Perkins 100 more PAs at Reading, and if he continued his current trend or came close to it….then I’d force feed him promo to LHV.
        Like to see him challenged by AAA pitchers.

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  5. Can’t wait for Crawford – what’s the most emphatic and extreme word you can use for “up”? Launched and in orbit? We haven’t had anyone go up this quickly since Hamels – although Brown and Ruf were close in their day.

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    1. I have been actually debating for what to use for him. I still think it was right to have him #3 on the list because with his sample size so small you need that point of proof that he can take an offseason and show up ready to go. I had him in the 60s on my personal Top 100, he has to be in the 20s now and that will naturally trend up as the top guys start graduating off. I think he ends the year in that 15-25 range on lists if he does get to Clearwater and continue to hit.

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