Hot or Not

A look back at the time period of August 5-11.  Random Observations, Trevor May dominating again…Buchanan with a solid move up to High A…JC Ramirez and Brody Colvin with continued struggles…Rosenberg opening eyes back in the bullpen…Lots of new names on the hot hitter list…Altherr making things happen…and the first rough week for Dom Brown in AAA.

Hot Starting Pitchers: Trevor May (7IP 2H 0ER 1BB 9K); Adam Morgan (5IP 3H 0ER 1BB 4K); Scott Mathieson (7IP 4H 1ER 1BB 8K); David Buchanan (6.1IP 5H 1ER 2BB 5K); Colin Klevan (6IP 3H 1ER 0BB 4K); Mario Hollands (5IP 5H 1ER 1BB 4K)

Not Hot Starters: Austin Hyatt (0.2IP 1H 4ER 2BB 1K); Jon Musser (2IP 8H 8ER 2BB 3K); Lisalberto Bonilla (3.1IP 8H 7ER 1BB 2K); JC Ramirez (8IP 17H 9ER 5BB 5K); Tyson Brummett (3.2IP 6H 6ER 4BB 3); Brody Colvin (4IP 10H 6ER); Garrett CLaypool (4IP 7H 6ER); Ervis Manzanillo (5.2IP 6H 6ER 5BB 3K); Ryan Edell (5IP 8H 5ER); Ryan Feireabend (10.2IP 13H 9ER)

Hot Relievers: BJ Rosenberg (5.1IP 3H 0ER 2BB 4K); Andy Loomis (4IP 3H 0ER 0BB 4K, 1SV);Les Walrond (4IP 5H 0ER 2BB 5K); Hecter Neris (3.1IP 3H 0ER 0BB 5K)Joe Savery (W, 3IP 2H 0ER 0BB 4K); James Birmingham (3IP 2H 0ER 1BB 2K); Gabrial Arias (3IP 2H 0ER 0BB 1K); Paul Cusick (3IP 2H 0ER 1BB 2K); Drew Carpenter (2.2IP 2H 0ER 0BB 3K); Eric Pettis (2.2IP 2H 0ER) Honorable Mention: Ryan Duke, Ebelin Lugo, Chris Kissock

Not Hot Relievers: Juan Perez (0.1IP 2H 2ER 1BB); Jay Johnson (2.2IP 7H 5ER 3BB 1K)Lendy Castillo (1.2IP 4H 3ER); Mike Zagurski (2.1IP 2H 2ER); Chase Johnson (3IP 5H 3ER 2BB 2K); Mike McGuire (2IP 4H 2ER 3BB 3K); Juary Gomez (2Ip 3H 2ER); Justin Friend (2IP 4H 2ER).

Hot Hitters(Min 10 AB’s): Bill Rice (.600; 5R); Carlos Alonso (.471, 5RBI); Brendin Tripp (.435);Bob Stumpo (.412, 4 RBI); Troy Hanzawa (.412); Brent Cleven (.400, HR, 7 RBI); Cameron Rupp (.375); Darin Ruf (.360, 2 HR);  Rich Thompson (.350, 7R 4RBI 3SB); Aaron Altherr (.333, 7R, 6SB); Honorable Mention: Pete Orr, Erik Kratz, Steve Singleton

Not Hot Hitters:Fidel Hernandez (.000, 0-15); Taylor Black (.000, 0-10); Kelly Dugan (.100); Ken Miramontes (.100);  Domonic Brown (.105); Cyle Hankerd (.120); Anthony Hewitt (.125); Edgar Duran (.125); Brandon Moss (.133); (Dis)Honorable Mention: Brock Stassi, Tuffy Gosewisch, Maikel Franco

46 thoughts on “Hot or Not

    1. I remeber seeing iron pigs games on last year. I was wondering where I can find minor league games on tv. Wouldn’t it be great if the Phillies got there own network and fill time slots in the middle of the night with the minors.

      1. Many games are televised through live streaming video on the minor league baseball website. You can watch them on your computer. There is a charge but it is reasonable (something like $9 a month for all televised minor league games).

  1. I’m guessing Joe savery gets a sept call up. It’s time to put jc in the pen. Maybe he becomes a Herndon??

      1. Rick…you really are a barrel of sunshine with your posts. I’m not a huge Herndon fan either, but for the 5th or 6th guy in the pen he’s been pretty solid. Since April 30, Herndon has pitched to a 2.03 ERA 1.01 ratio in 26 2/3 innings over 21 appearances. I’d say he’s shown the ability to get outs.

        1. Herndon is a perfectly fine 11th or 12th man. In a perfect world, you would prefer a guy in that role who has more upside, but the problem with that is then you’ve got a high ceiling guy who isn’t getting regular work. Herndon’s lack of a huge upside (at best, he could grow into a 7th inning guy, but even that is doubtful), is probably why he is in the major leagues right now and not Schwimer or Aumont. Those guys, particularly Aumont, have a much higher ceiling and need to continue their development.

        2. I understand that speaking the truth is sometimes not popular, but that’s the way it is. And you can skew the numbers any way you’d like in order to make it appear that Herndon has done ANYTHING positive. However since Charlie has reduced his role to at most, once a week, and only in games that are out of reach in both directions, I’d say he clearly agrees with my assessment. Herndon can’t get any outs.

  2. Bob Milacki, Reading pitching coach, still believes in Ramirez, saying that this is his first full year in double-A. Apparently he throws very hard. The secondary pitches are the problem. I think the Phils had higher hopes for him than a David Herndon comp. Not that I don’t like Herndon, but I think the Phils see Ramirez as a top of the rotation guy.

    1. I think Ramirez would have had to show something by this point in his career to suggest he could be a frontline starter. Velocity alone doesn’t get you there (see Mathieson, Scott). I still have hopes for Ramirez too, but it’s as a 4/5. Anything more than that takes some serious dreaming.

      1. I’m pretty sure Tommy John had a little something to do with Mathieson not being a frontline starter, considering he had already been in Philly by ’06. Honestly, was it really even necessary to throw him under the bus to make your point?

        Also, that reference bit is getting a tad old at this point. Honestly, the only people who use it anymore aren’t being very clever or accurate when doing so, as is the case with every other over-recycled bit.

    2. I think when the phils traded cliff lee for jc and the others they felt he could be a top of the rotation starter but now I think they’d be happy to get jc to be a herndon type. I hope I’m wrong but I don’t see how he gets hit so much in aa, and how that translates into a starter in MLB.

  3. These “Hotties” should translate into call ups in a couple weeks. But is Savery on the hot seat to get it done or get outta town?

  4. Thanks gregg.

    Birmingham’s numbers have been great this season, but he is waaaay too old for rookie ball. I actually think, if the org wants to give him a shot, he should get skipped straight to AA next year and be tossed in the pen. He reportedly hits 91-92 from the left side in relief, there might be some value there, but we won’t learn anything if he toils away at Lakewood and Clearwater next year as a 23/24 year old.

  5. Trevor May on the BA hot sheet again at #2


    Team: high Class A Clearwater (Florida State)
    Age: 21
    Why He’s Here: 1-0, 0.00, 7 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 9 SO
    The Scoop: The trade deadline has come and gone, so Trevor May can breathe easier that he’ll remain a Phillie. His teammate Jarred Cosart was the hard-throwing pitcher Philadelphia decided to trade away in the Hunter Pence trade. May celebrated by going out and throwing one of his better games of the season this week. You can’t say it was his best start, however. When May’s 92-94 mph fastball is jumping, he’s authored some of the best starts in the minors this year. He already has a 12- and a 14-strikeout game to his name this year, but his nine strikeouts this week are just as important. With 178 whiffs this season, he’s now six behind minor league leader Edwar Cabrera.

    JC on the not so hot sheet though

    • J.C. Ramirez, rhp, Phillies. Ramirez failed to make it out of the second inning in his start for Double-A Reading last Friday, surrendering five earned runs on seven hits, including two home runs. His effort yesterday was better, but still not up to par—5 1/3 innings, 10 hits, four earned runs. Since April, Ramirez hasn’t posted a single-month ERA below 4.55. The Phillies must be discouraged to see his performance decline in his second attempt at Double-A. Ramirez last year held a solid 2.5-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio, but this season it’s plummeted to 1.6-to-1. Overall, it’s been an underwhelming season for Ramirez, a key piece brought back from Seattle for Cliff Lee in 2010.

    1. I’ve only started following the minors in the last couple of years, but May seems more promising than any starter we’ve had since Hamels. Am I going overboard here?

      1. I think some people here would still argue for Cosart over May (I recognize that is academic now).

        I think I was higher on Drabek in 2009 when he was 21 and owned CLW then got promoted to REA and more than held his own than I am on May right now.

  6. Related to Mr. May, I saw this comment in the Hot Sheet chat. Poor J-Rod.

    Tim (Oakley, CA): Is the SA Missions starting staff, the overall deepest and most talented staff in MiLB? Despite the rough July Oramas has been a stud for much of the year, how does he stack up as a prospect?

    J.J. Cooper: Sorry, I’d argue that crown began the year in Clearwater (May, Cosart, Colvin, Pettibone), but it’s now shifted to Gwinnett (Minor, Teheran and Delgado). Oramas is a solid middle-of-the-rotation prospect. He’s sort of a Robbie Erlin-lite although his delivery isn’t as clean.

    1. Thanks to Matt, JJ Cooper gives us the slimmest glint of hope:

      Matt (Philly): Is Julio Rodriguez going to just have to prove it on every level to keep advancing. His 20-win pace, fluke or does he deserve attention for his season?

      J.J. Cooper: Prove it at each level. Great win total this year, but his stuff is a touch above fringy,

      1. You inspired the question, but finally got one answered on these chats. I think it is the answer to be expected, if you don’t have elite tools you need to keep proving all the way through your time in the majors.

  7. Not to rain on anyone’s parade, but I don’t see a lot of call ups other than Dom Brown and one or two relievers and a catcher. Look for Mathieson and a lefty reliever and that’s about it.

    1. Well I think you will see Perez, Kratz, Carpenter, Orr, Brown, Mathieson, and Cust. Oh yeah and activate Contreras. Kratz and Cust will have to be added to the 40 man, I;m guessing Blanton on the 60 day and either Garcia and Naylor on the 60. Now if they wanted to bring up a Schwimer or Aumont then both Naylor and Garcia go on the 60.

      The Phils should have a big enough lead that they might want to rest some guys in September.

    2. I believe the Phils are using August to see what they have with Lidge, seeing how Stutes holds up, and what progress if any Contreras makes in his rehab efforts, and based on those results, they could add Schwimer or Aumont before 9/1 to the 40 man and have one of them pitch regularly in September and see if they can catch lightning in a bottle for October.

      Assuming Madson, Stutes, and Bastardo stay healthy and pitching strong, you only really need one more arm out of the pen come October and if that’s not Lidge or Contreras, it could be Aumont or Schwimer.

      1. Don’t forget that Worley will probably be added to the pen for the playoffs. Phillies will only need 3 starters for the post season.

  8. I keep reading that Brown will be called up in September. I would not understand this if it happens. 1) You take away opportunities for him to play. Brown needs opportunities to play. He is learning a new position. He is raw both offensively and defensively. Barring an injury, on the ML roster he is ahead of only Fransisco on the outfield depth chart. He would be buried. Also, Lehigh Valley is poised to make the playoffs. I think this would be more fun and more productive in terms of development for Brown than basically being a spectator as Ryan Howard and Roy Halladay play. And the Ironpigs would lose their best player. 2) Brown struggled on the bench last year. He lost two months of development due to this. I do not think he is capable of performing well without regualar playing time. His K/BB ratio last year was different from this year’s, I think because of lack of playing time. He has expressed to the media and presumably to Phillies management that the end of last year on the bench was rough. I would not understand this move and I am not so sure that it will happen. I would prefer a veteran bat like Delwyn Young. Bad teams call up top prospects in September to get a look at them. Good teams call up veterans like Juan perez or Erik Kratz who can help them as extra men. Players in their early twenties should not be used as extra men.

  9. According to Jayson Stark there might be a problem with the PTBNL for Pence. Apparently Leandro Castro was on the short list and is hurt and probably out for the year. They want to have other names added to the list. Stark says this may put a strain on the Wade-Amaro relationship depending on if this gets ugly. Problem I have with this is that Castro has not played since the middle of June, so the Astros knew he was injured so they should not have put him on the list in the first place. Stark mentioned this when speaking with John Marks on 97.5FM.

    1. At the very least, it allows me the fantasy that the trade is reversed and we get Singleton and Cosart back. Back to reality though 😐

      1. You have to be joking…
        Pence has been solid since coming over and has light a fire under the offense… I wouldn’t give him back for anything.

        1. Oh boy a nice 12 game stretch! Let’s lay out the red carpet for an unnecessary piece which cost us 12 years of cost control from Cosart and Singleton alone. I’ve got a bridge in Brooklyn I’d like to sell you. You want to trade? Fine, don’t drastically overpay for Hunter Pence of all people. There’s not amount of production that Pence can realistically put up for putting massive dent in the Phillies future.

          it’s like buying a Honda Civic for Lexus money.

    2. Wade won’t be a trading partner much longer. Probably will be pretending to know something on ESPN or something like that this time next year.

      Oh and for the other guy wanting to reverse the trade… wow… just wow…

    3. I’d think that is the nature of them agreeing on a LIST of players. If one doesn’t work out you choose someone else on the list.

      1. Name the movie……quote goes something like…

        “This list needs to be updated. This guy here is dead. Well then cross him off.”

    4. I heard that interview also. I like Leandro Castro as a prospect, but he would have been a guy that would have been perfect as PTBNL. He has to be protected this year, so that would have saved a spot on the 40 man. With guys like James, Aumont, Schwimer, Gosewhich, Alvarez and Savery needing to be protected, would have saved a decision.

    5. Don’t see that being much of an issue. Houston agreed to select from a list of players. If they are now unhappy with that list it really doesn’t matter. Sounds like since they’ve been watching the Lakewood team closely they found someone they like better who’s not on the list.

      Unless they can prove the Phillies hid the nature of Castro’s injury, Houston has little recourse.

  10. On the evidence:

    1. Quinn and LG have both made positive comments that they want to play.

    2. This has dragged to the final hours

    3. Wolever’s comments indicate there are still negotiations, nothing is settled.

    4. Wolever seems to say they will go after the lower guys only if the top 2 don’t sign.

    These are the evidence, if the press and our logic are to be trusted.

    My speculative conclusions:

    1. Quinn and Greene are using every ounce of leverage and will both sign.

    2. Wolever is blowing a little smoke as a negotiating ploy. He will sign maybe 1 or 2 other guys, but not all the guys we want.

    3. So it won’t be either/or (top guys or lower guys). But it won’t be what we wanted for Christmas either.

    4. It will be serious but not maximal disappointment. Just my view.

    1. DD…………agree, Greene and Quinn will sign, but we may only lose Garvey, however he and his dad are here and dad likes Phillies organizational makeup, but what else is he going to say! BTW—-you can go to the ‘Draft Pick Signing 2011’ thread for more information.

  11. Well considering that L Greene is leaving monday to go to Florida to play…i dont think it’s an issue.

  12. Bill Rice and Carlos Alonso have been on fire. Coming into the season, they really weren’t considered prospects but they have both been slowly making a name for themselves.

    1. Alonso hit well last year also. The Phillies seem to look at him as an organizational guy without a high ceiling, like Gosewisch. Both can be quite useful and could play some for the Phillies, but on a limited basis.

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