All posts by giventofly41

Box Score Recap, 15 May 2011

There was brilliance, suckitude, and a lot of stuff in between. Its the daily grind of minor league baseball. Enjoy

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Box Score Recap, 13 + 14 May 2011

One is the loneliest number. So I brought you two days worth of box scores.

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Domonic Brown’s service time a consideration?

This question was raised in the comments section, if maybe the Phillies have an incentive to leave Brown in the minors for x amount of time based on salary considerations. The Phillies have shown a willingness to bring guys up in the past when they are ready and not worry about the clock. Brown is on the 40 man roster, so that isn’t a consideration. Let’s look at the facts. For determining Super 2 status, arbitration, and free agency, MLB functions under the “Service Time” metric, and it goes in years.

1 year of MLB service time = 172 days on the 25 man roster, or on the MLB DL during the season.
1 MLB season generally consists of 182 days.

Players with 2 years or less of service time are eligible to have their contract renewed for the MLB minimum (or an amount the team chooses) unless they signed a contract previously which guarantees them a different dollar amount. Players with more than 2 years of service, but less than 3 years of service who have at least 2 years + 86 days of service time are put into a group. Of that group, the top 17% are deemed “Super 2” players and are eligible for salary arbitration. Over the last few seasons, the cutoff for “Super Two status” has been right around 2 years + 140 days of service time. After you have 6 years of service time or more, you are a free agent. So, let’s apply this to Brown.

Last year, Brown accumulated 68 days of service time.
As far as I know, when he was placed on the DL in spring training, he did not begin to accrue service time, as that only counts if the player is injured during a regular season game, when service time is assigned. Thus, he currently has 0 days of service time in 2011. Lets assume he comes up on June 1 of this year and then never goes back to the minors.

2010 = 68 days of service.
2011 = 120 days of service. (1.016 years total)
2012 = 182 days of service (2.016 years total)
2013 = 182 days of service (3.016 years total)
2014 = 182 days of service (4.016 years total)
2015 = 182 days of service (5.016 years total)
2016 = 182 days of service (6.016 years total)

So Brown will be a free agent after 2016, if he doesn’t sign a long term deal first. The Phillies would essentially have to trim 17 days off of his service time in 2011 to prevent this from happening.

120 days (figured above, as June 1 being the target) -17 days is June 18th.

Update —> Thanks for pointing this out in the comments about the 1 year of service. I originally had this as my estimate, then thought I was wrong and changed. I’ve now fixed it. Much better.

Box Score Recap, 12 May 2011

Lots of organizational filler on the Clearwater box score, but do your best to pick out the real prospects!

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A heartfelt thank you is in order

I wanted to take a moment to say thank you, as we’ve reached a rather substantial milestone here at phuturephillies.com, crossing the 6,000,000 hit mark. When this site was conceived at the end of 2006, it was just an idea in my head. If you know me at all, you know I have lots of ideas, and I fail to follow through on 99% of them, its just the way my mind works. This one, proudly, I’ve followed through on, and it wouldn’t have happened if not for the constant support and encouragement I received from the regular readers way back in the beginning of 2007 when the site really started. I’ve learned a lot since then, especially from the people who have contributed here regularly in the comments. We’ve come a long way from 100 hits a day and a handful of comments a day.

There are a billion people I need to thank, starting with the regular writers here: Gregg, Dave, Chuck, Cody, Andy, and for providing daily updates on our Top 30, Ketch. Gregg really deserves a special mention here, as he’s gone well above and beyond the call of duty, especially when I’ve been strapped for time, to provide breaking news posts and detailed information on all of our affiliates, especially at Lehigh Valley. Those who have contributed posts and features before include: Jordan, Ben, and Ryan. Also, the alumni who have moved on to bigger and better things: Kevin, Jeff, Dan, Zac and anyone else I’ve sheepishly forgotten. Gracious thanks go to Todd, who helps maintain all of the rosters and transactions portions of the site, as well as to Rob, who contributed the current banner to the site. Also Chris, who helped me with some of the CSS edits when we moved to the current layout. A special big time thanks to Michael Schwimer, who has provided invaluable content to the site and helped bring it to other avenues, which has no doubt attracted more readers to the site. A thank you to Kevin Goldstein, Keith Law, and the others I can’t mention (their preference) who have provided me with excellent information and opinions on our prospects.

But the biggest thanks of all goes to YOU, the reader, who keeps coming back here every day, even in the depths of winter when we’re scraping the barrel for things to discuss. Even on the deadest of days this winter, the site still received thousands of hits a day. It is this level of dedication and interaction from you, the reader, who makes this place run. I can’t ever say enough thank yous to those who have donated their time, energy and even money to making this site what it is today. It is your dedication and support that made this place what it is and makes me want to improve it and make it even better.

I hope to see all of you (and a bunch of new faces) when and if we hit 7,000,000 and beyond!

Box Score Recap, 10 May 2011

I like baseball. You like baseball. Check out these records of baseball games played below the fold.

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A Look at Lakewood, volume 2.0

Its been close to two weeks, so lets take a look at Lakewood’s progress since my last write-up. I wanted to write more before the fold, just so there was some text and it didn’t look like just a link. And I was struggling to think of what to write. But then it came to me. When looking at statistics, the common question is “when do we know if this means something” in terms of sample size and relevance. Eric Seidman, who writes at lots of places including Fangraphs and his new Phillies site, Brotherly Glove, had an excellent piece on Frangraphs two years ago which covers this very topic. His piece is actually a simplification (much needed) of a longer, more stats heavy article. Read it here. As you can see from his list, we’re still not in the stabilization range for the statistics that I think are important when looking at prospects. That said, we’re getting close in some cases, and its fun to look at where we stand. So lets get to it.

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