A Look at Lakewood, v 1.0

Hey all. As I mentioned when the season was kicking off, I’m going to come off the bench and write the Lakewood report this year. I’ve been waiting to try and accumulate some data to look at, and going forward I anticipate doing this every week or every other week, not sure what day of the week, but that’s a minor detail. I’m going to give a statistical overview, and then some thoughts on the squad and pass along any tidbits I can find. So far, I haven’t done much digging on our guys there, simply because its only been a few weeks. But I hope to have more on that as the season progresses. So, let’s get after it.

First, the team perspective. Quick note. I started working on this before all of the games were complete, so these numbers might be slightly different. You’ll have to make due, sorry!

If the image doesn’t display properly, click here.

So. A mixed bag, yes? The offense has been putrid across the board, but the pitching has been outstanding. Lakewood’s park has gotten a reputation as a pitcher’s park, which no doubt helps, but there have been a number of solid performances. Quick breakdown of the ranks

Offense

Avg: .232 (14 of 14)
OB%: .285 (14 of 14)
Slg%: .370 (11 of 14)
SB: 18 (6 of 14)

small ball! blech.

Pitching

IP: 145.1 (13 of 14)
ERA: 3.56 (1 of 14)
WHIP: 1.36 (6 of 14)
K: 120 (8 of 14)

Now, lets look at individual player performances

click here for the image if its unreadable

This isn’t a pretty picture. At all. Domingo Santana is hitting for a bit of power, but striking out at an alarming pace, even by his standards. Cameron Rupp, a guy I was really high on this season, has gotten off to a slow start. I’ve gotten very good reports on his defense, so I’m not too worried, but still, it would be nice to see him hit a bit. Aaron Altherr and Zach Collier have been brutal. Its early days, so we won’t panic yet, and 50 AB isn’t really enough to confirm any sort of hypothesis. But its not pretty.

click here if need be.

Mario Hollands has come out of the gate strong. I’d like to see him tick up his GB rate (1.13) but not a lot to complain about. As a college pitcher, he should be doing well, and he is. Colby Shreve has had control issues, and getting knocked around issues, as he’s given up 20 hits and 3 HR in just 13 IP. I’m not worried about Jesse Biddle’s slow start. Not only do we have Brody Colvin from a year ago as a guide, but Biddle is even more inexperienced due to where he played his amateur baseball. Lets check back in June on him. Eric Pettis is pitching decently, but not missing many bats early. But its early.

Summary: So, in summary. Pitching, pretty good, hitting, pretty bad. 50 AB and 15-20 IP is insignificant statistically, so there is no reason to panic on any front. Some guys are shaking off the injury related rust, some guys are starting their first pro season, and some guys weren’t expected to produce anyway. We haven’t really learned anything new yet, but its good to take a snapshot now and then come back to it later.

26 thoughts on “A Look at Lakewood, v 1.0

  1. It IS way to early to draw any certain opinions from the limited games played.

    Last season we were treated to sudden terrific numbers from the get-go Re: Singleton.

    So far this year’s Singleton has not come forth. Let’s wait another month to look for what’s up with each of them. Fun to follow day by day here.

    What’s happenin’ with the guys in xst? Interested in several of them…Will Dugan end up as a 1st baseman? Etc.

    1. “So far this year’s Singleton has not come forth”

      He’s hitting .306 with an .863 OPS. Not blazing but far from sending up warning flags.

      1. Art is not actually talking about Singleton. He is speaking of a young player who comes out of the gate hot like Singleton did last year. I would recommend a book called “Reading Comprehension for Internet Trolls”

    2. Singleton started out in EST.

      Missed the first month didn’t he? Maybe someone joins the club soon and does something similar, or maybe Singleton is a special talent

  2. One thing I have learned is that Knigge can throw in the mid-90s. Let’s hope he can harness it and develop second pitch.

  3. Mario Hollands started on monday the 25, and he was throwing a shutout until a 3 run homerun in the seventh innning. Mario was hitting around 88 mph the whole game. Santana struck out 3 times in 4 atbats and Altherr had a walkoff infield single and he looked good in the outfield.

  4. Thanks Icyman3. I was wondering about Hollands’ velocity. It is about the same as Ian Kennedy’s last night in his shutout of the Phillies. I’ll hold my enthusiasm until he has a chance to show great control and command in AA.

    1. Good point—I am quite sure Hollands or most any pitcher could have shut the Phillies out last night:) They looked like they all had dates lined up and did not want to be late.
      The Lakewood offense looks like they may be impatient as the strikeout walk ratio is putrid. Would seem that with the speedy guys that it might behoove the coaches to make them take some pitches.

  5. Does anyone one know who the starting pitcher for Lakewood is tonight? I could not find a probable starters link on the site.

    thanks

  6. I have season tickets to the Lakewood BlueClaws for the past several years now, and first energy park is a pitchers park. With that said, we have similar problems as our MLB Phillies have. We can pitch but we cant hit at the moment. Once we get these bats swinging it will all turn around! Have Phaith.

  7. I know pretty much nothing about the three L.Am. kids; Perdomo, Mendez and Duran. Should I be paying attention? Anything interesting here?

    1. I am also curious about Mendez. In VSL/DSL he seemed like a speed guy middle infield type. Last season he showed some nice power and was at LF. Now he is the guy getting 3B reps (that I wish were going to Altherr or Dugan). I do not think he is a starting caliber prospect and likely would not be protected on the 40-man but he might be another utility type.

      1. I think it’s too early to say what Mendez’ ceiling is. He’s big enough and has so far hit well enough to think he’s got a chance to be a starter, but let’s wait until we see some scouting reports and/or he gets more ABs.

  8. You are saying replace a .387 hitter with a .167. So much for having an open mind and giving the guy a chance. Nice job.

  9. THANKS ICYMAN hollands at 93 would be a first. read scouting reports on him he is at 88 most times. guys on here saying he was at that velocity,where did they get that at?? I Really think he is a left hand specialist at best.

  10. Hollands was at 88 mph or so until his senior year in college, when he ticked up to 90-93. Lefties can by in the high 80s (especially when they’re tall and deceptive like Hollands), but it would be better for him to find a way to add a few mph to his FB.

  11. Its absolutely a travesty that the first image is filtered on OPS. When has OPS EVER won a baseball game? Can someone tell me this?

    All that matters is runs and RBI’s. Thats it. Runs and RBI’s for the position you are playing and your position in the batting order. Thats all we need to look at folks.

    1. Um…wow…

      Have you ever heard of wOBA, WAR or any advanced sabermetrics? I admit, they’re not the end-all, be-all, but they’re a hell of a lot less subjective than Runs and RBIs.

      Educate yourself and get into the 21st century in analysis. OPS is a much better method to analyze a prospect than R and RBI. An RBI double or triple which puts that runner in scoring position is better than an RBI single.

  12. Well, if you’re looking at statistics at a team level you should start with runs scored and allowed. The Sunday newspaper always ranked teams by batting average and that was silly. The best offensive team is the one that scores the most runs, and the best defensive team is the one that allows the least (not accounting for park factors of course).

    But its hardly something I’d get excited over.

  13. Here’s what pops out at me:

    Lakewood hitters have walked a mere 33 times. A few other teams have 40+ walks, some in the 50s, and several in the 60s and 70s.

    Using today’s stats, Clearwater hitters have walked 46 times. The next lowest team has walked 56 times, others considerably higher than that.

    Reading is in the bottom half of their league. And they have a few guys with good plate discipline (Rizzotti is one).

    Lehigh Valley is middle of the pack with 68 walks, but two of the highest scoring teams have 97 and 103 walks.

    I see an organizational pattern here of poor plate discipline, free swingers, whatever you want to call it. I have heard a few comments in recent years about Phils teaching aggressive hitting. Is that a problem.

    One thing to note (based on this year’s stats only–SSS alert) that they take more walks as they get higher in the minors and gravitate more to the mean. But does the poor discipline in lower minors mean? Is it just the super-raw talent? Phils teaching problem? Something else?

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