Phillies’ Affiliates Recap (8/24/2022)

Here are today’s results.


Lehigh Valley (66-53) beat the Gwinnett Stripers, 6-5 with 4 runs in the bottom of the ninth.  They walked off on Bryce Harper’s 2-run double.  Colton Eastman (5.59) pitched two scoreless innings with one hit, 2 walks, and six strikeouts.  Erik Miller (17.18) pitched 1.2 innings allowing one run on one hit (HR) and a walk with 3 K.  Francisco Morales (3-3, 5.82) picked up the win with a perfect ninth.  Harper went 3-5 with 2 doubles and 2 RBI.  Dalton Guthrie (.282) went 1-5.  Darick Hall (.265) went 0-4 with an RBI.  Will Toffey (.262) went 2-3 with a double and walk.  Scott Kingery (.207) went 2-4 with a solo HR (6) and 2 RBI.  Ali Castillo (.261) went 2-4 with an RBI.  

Trailing 5-2 entering the bottom of the ninth, the IronPigs loaded the bases on leadoff singles by Donny Sands and Will Toffey followed by Jorge Bonifacio being hit by a pitch.  Chris Sharp pinch ran for the potential tying run.  Kingery plated the first run with an RBI single.  Castillo pulled the ‘Pigs within a run on a single as Sharp was thrown out at the plate for the first out.  After a strike out for the second out, Harper ended the game with his 2-run double.


Reading (53-63, 24-23) beat the Birmingham Rumble Ponies, 4-3 with 2 runs in the bottom of the ninth.  Ethan Lindow (3.66) pitched six innings.  He gave up 3 runs on 7 hits and one walk.  He struck out five.  Taylor Lehman (1.64) pitched two scoreless innings allowing 3 base runners on a hit and 2 walks.  Billy Sullivan (5-1, 3.43) got the win with a one-walk, 3 strikeout inning.  Aldrem Corredor (11) and McCarthy Tatum (3) kept the Phils in the game with solo HRs in the middle innings.  They tied the game on a throwing error and walked off on Corredor’s sacrifice fly.


Jersey Shore (44-72, 19-32) lost to the Brooklyn Cyclones, 5-4 in ten innings.  Rafael Marcano (6.11) pitched five innings and gave up 3 runs on 4 hits and 2walks.  He struck out seven.  Brett Schulze (2.70) struck out the side in a perfect relief inning.  Cristian Hernandez (4.70) struck out three in two innings allowing a walk and a hit.  Marcus Lee Sang (.235) went 1-5 with a triple and RBI.  Ethan Wilson (.238) went 2-4 with a double.  Rixon Wingrove had the only other hit for the BlueClaws..


Clearwater (54-61, 19-31) lost to the Tampa Tarpons, 3-0.  Alex McFarlane made his pro debut with three one-run innings.  He gave up 3 hits, walked one, and struck out six.  He also picked a runner off first base.  Alex Rao and Orion Kerkering made their Clearwater debuts after being promoted from the FCL Phillies.  Both tossed scoreless innings.  Lee Hao Yu (.283) went 0-3 with 2 walks.  Troy Schreffler (.190) went 3-4.

During the upcoming days, we’ll probably see a few more guys move from the Complex to the Threshers.


The Affiliate Scoreboard


Transactions

8/24/2022 – Oakland claimed RHP Tyler Cyr off waivers from Phillies
8/24/2022 – Phillies optioned LHP Michael Plassmeyer to Lehigh Valley
8/24/2022 – Phillies recalled LHP Cristopher Sanchez from Lehigh Valley
8/24/2022 – Lehigh Valley IronPigs activated LHP Michael Plassmeyer.
8/24/2022 – Clearwater transferred RHP Cam Wynne to the Development List
8/24/2022 – Clearwater transferred RHP Alex Garbrick to the Development List
8/24/2022 – Clearwater activated RHP Orion Kerkering
8/24/2022 – Clearwater activated RHP Alex Rao
8/24/2022 – RHP Orion Kerkering assigned to Clearwater from FCL Phillies
8/24/2022 – RHP Alex Rao assigned to Clearwater from FCL Phillies
8/24/2022 – RHP Alex McFarlane assigned to Clearwater from Phillies Organization
8/23/2022 – Clearwater placed 2B Alexeis Azuaje on the 7-day IL retroactive to 8/22

34 thoughts on “Phillies’ Affiliates Recap (8/24/2022)

  1. Getting close to the time, assume Sep 1st, for Francisco Morales to be called up to Philly to give the bullpen a boost.

    1. I think they’ll rotate that spot with Appel, Falter, Sanchez, and maybe Morales depending on what they need. Someone will get called up today for Sanchez.

  2. I like YU because even when you see no hits in his box line you almost always see a couple of BBs

    A hitters command of the K zone can take them a long way provided they have solid barrel to ball skills when called upon. And by all accounts he does.

    If there are knocks on him its that the arm doesn’t really play any where but 2B and the speed is avg.

  3. After marveling at Bryce’s dominance at AAA, I was trying to explain to my son the massive gap between AAA talent and MLB talent. I said, imagine going from the last year of little league (12u) to Varsity baseball. But I wonder if I still didn’t make the difference big enough.

    1. If a AAA player had a batting average of .300, what is the expected batting average in the major league? .250? .230?

      1. Liam I don’t think that is predictable as the sample size rarely is large enough. However 300 hitters in the MLB are far and few between these days.

        I think there are currently 11 qualified 300 hitters and a handful sitting around the 290’s.

        Goldschmidt is one of those players this season. Would you believe he never played a AAA game yet his MiLB career avg sat at 317. His MLB career avg hovers around the 297 mark.

        Tim Anderson has been another perennial 300 hitter the last few seasons his career MiLB avg is 302. He had 55 AAA games where he hit 304 not counting a handful of rehab games down there at age 29.

      2. That’s the thing…it could be .300 or it could be .105. It really doesn’t predict future production at the MLB level.

        1. There is one principle I like to think holds some truth…a player hitting poorly in the minors, with a overall poor slash, will probably not hit better in the majors. I am not sure i have ever seen that happen.
          OTOH, i have seen above average slash minor leaguers do poorly at the MLB level, at least in their first few years.

          1. Yes. Exactly. if you can’t hit minor league pitching, unlikely that you will do better against MLB pitching. But hitting well against minor league pitching, doesn’t guarantee that you can hit major league pitching.

        2. I think the data is more predictive than we think. Clearly one needs to age-adjust the AAA performance to figure out what his MLB equivalent is, but that does not mean one could not come up with performance predictions by age and level. The jump to MLB is probably larger than the jump from AA to AAA, but it is measurable in large sample sizes.

          1. Imo the jump from AAA to MLB is the equivalent of the difference between Low A to AAA. MLB pitchers are so much better than AAA. Not close.

            Some data is very predictive. K rate and walk rates are predictive. If you strikeout a lot in the minors, it is likely to be much worse in the majors. If you have a low walk rate in the minors, you are very unlikely to be a good MLB hitter.

            1. Is there a source data set that lists batting average for each player at the AAA level and then the MLB level? I want to crunch some numbers of the current Phillies lineup to challenge the assumption that AAA data cannot predict the MLB results. I just don’t know a source where I can copy and paste data into Excel. Does anyone know where I can find this data? Website? Sorry for the mundane boring question but I think the results will be interesting to share.

            2. Definitely the paid versions of baseball reference and fangraphs allow you to download data. I would let others comment on whether it is enough for analysis of a broad topic like the jump from AAA to ML is hard to say. I would agree that jump is larger than other jumps because the majors themselves have tiers. Looking at the Reds and Pirates the last few days makes one think that 90% of their rosters are in the AAAA tier of MLB and only the top 10% belong in the elite tier. Teams like the Phillies have like 30%-40% of their players who would be in that supposed AAAAA tier. If there were still only 16 teams the quality of those 16 teams would produce a league where even good hitters would struggle.

    2. It’s not fair to use Harper as a barometer. If there were a league above MLB, he’d be in it.

      1. I’ve watched baseball for over 50 year (yikes, was that out loud?) and Harper is the best hitter (not player, hitter) on any team that I’ve rooted for (I was not a Phillies fan during the Schmidt era – as hitters, Schmidt and Harper are pretty close but of course Schmidt is a better player because he was also an elite third baseman.

        1. It is really hard to compare players across even relatively close eras. I did root for the Phillies during the Schmidt era, but the other name that pops in my mind is the criminally under-rated Utley. I would ouy his five year peak and even 10 year peak against Harper. Harper has always had down years at least with Washington.

  4. He gets it. It will stick in his mind then there will come a point in time (like probably something your father told you) where it clicks for him and he will walk around telling people dad always said….

  5. Sometimes the quality of the Major League team necessitates call ups from the minors. Look at the Reds. More than half their roster wouldn’t be on a team at Phillies level or above. Mickey M would be starting CF for Reds for over 100+ games.

    1. If it’s not obvious by now, the Reds are actively tanking after trading Castillo, Mahle, Drury, Pham, Naquin. The Reds have 5 prospects in the top 100, all of them are at AA or below, and all of them are either 3B or SS. This is unfortunate since they need pitchers in the worst way in their ballpark. The Reds don’t aggressively promote their prospects. There’s almost no reason why their top prospect, Elly De La Cruz, is still at AA.

      1. Guru…looks like Reds and Nats, and along with the Pirates and A’s, are vying for LSU OFer Dylan Crews next July.

    2. Yes and no, it depends on team philosophy. Bohm and Stott would not have been given this much chance to fail or succeed on teams managed by Manuel or Girardi (see Brown, D. and Kingery, S).

    3. Absolutely, and sometimes when you give a player like that fulltime at bats, they eventually adjust, something clicks and then you have either an affordable starting player or a good trade piece. If I were running a franchise that was down in the dumps, i would stock on on as many Mickey Moniak types as I can – guys who have talent but havent put it together yet or have had injuries derail their progress, and just let them play and hope to strike gold on one or two of em.

      1. The problem is that these type of players have high ceilings so other teams are not willing to give up on them so easily. You will almost certainly have to trade for them. You don’t want to be the GM that gives up on a player too early and have blossom elsewhere. That’s why Jo Adell is still on the Angels, that’s why Bradley Zimmer hung around for the Indians for 5 seasons!

  6. Getting really hard to keep Guthrie in AAA. Dude can hit and play a lot of positions. I think hed be a boon to the MLB club.

    1. Ethan Wilson and Luis Garcia are at Reading.

      Hao Yu Lee and Leandro Pineda are at JS.

      Justin Crawford, Jordan Viars, and Otto Kemp are at Clearwater.

  7. I think it was Matt Winkleman that wrote a very informative reason that Guthrie was not called up. Almost 100% because he’s not on the 40 man roster and what could happen if they placed him on it.

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