I received an e-mail from Mitch Rupert about 10 days ago. He proposed stepping in to fill one of the voids when Mike Drago moved on from the Reading Eagle. He asked a bunch of people to continue to take part in Mike’s End of Season Top 20 Prospects Poll.
As always, when I participate in a prospect poll, I have a bunch of “rules” I follow that allow me to come up with a submission that is generally far different from others. This year was no exception.
I told Mitch about this quirk and gave him the option of discarding my ranking if it was too radical. I neglected to inform Mike that one of the projects I was working on was the Prospect Profiles and that a lot of obscure data would likely influence my reply.
This is what I submitted via e-mail.
Sorry for replying at the last minute. I’ve been working on a couple of other projects with deadlines, too. Good luck with this. I don’t think I ever presented Mike with a conventional list.
Based on “present value to the organization” I usually eliminate the guys at Lehigh Valley and some of those at Reading (and most guys already on the 40, like Moniak and Vierling). If they had any value, I believe they would have been in Philadelphia during the season. More so this year since Girardi, Harper, Dombrowski, and Middleton have kinda dumped on our minor leaguers. I also eliminate from consideration a lot of the guys on the IL, especially those I know have shoulder and elbow injuries.
My “major league ceiling/potential” is probably weighted more toward potential. Most of the guys I like are guys I’ve seen. They tend to come from the lower levels and are on the young side. Also, as I’m sure you’ll agree, the lost 2020 season really makes this a difficult exercise.
- Bryson Stott, SS – Kid can hit. I was concerned about his arm. You allayed those fears.
- Mick Abel, RHP – Kid looks real good, he wasn’t hurt when they shut him down
- Johan Rojas, CF – Speed and some pop
- Andrew Painter, RHP – Real SSS but he racks up Ks
- Erik Miller, LHP – Big arm, still like him if he stays healthy.
- Logan O’Hoppe, C – Drafted for defense, offense is a bonus, > Marchan in my mind.
- Erubiel Armenta, LHP – Wow, the Ks
- Andrew Schultz, RHP – Off the IL and back to upper 90s
- James McArthur, RHP – Stuff plays up, might have an impact this season
- Luis Garcia, SS – Love his D and his offense is picking up
- Yhoswar Garcia, CF – Love this kid. Steals on the first pitch. Has a little Odubel in him
- Adam Leverett, RHP – Sleeper?
- Griff McGarry, RHP – Possible quick-riser
- Ethan Wilson, OF – Big bats, nice if one or two pan out
- Jhailyn Ortiz , OF – Big bats, nice if one or two pan out
- Jordan Viars, OF – Big bats, nice if one or two pan out
- Alexeis Azuaje, 2B – SSS 1.376 OPS in FCL
- Lee Hao Yu, 2B – Kid from Taiwan can flat out hit
- Carlos Reyes – reliever who pitched successfully at 3 levels
- Victor Lopez (pitcher)
- Gabriel Yanez (pitcher)
- DJ Stewart (corner infielder)
- Fernando Lozano (pitcher)
- Matt Russell (pitcher)
- Andrick Nava (catcher)
- Corey Phelan (pitcher)
- Manuel Urias (pitcher)
- Samuel Aldegheri (pitcher)
- Jhordi Martinez (pitcher)
- Oswald Medina (pitcher)
- Daniel Brito, 2B – Was having a great season until …
Others who caught my eye and could easily displace some of the guys above – Brian Marconi, Ethan Lindow, Dominic Pipkin, Christian Hernandez, Rafael Marcano, Alex McKenney, Matt Osterberg, Jared Wetherbee, Jean Cabrera, Matt Kroon, Vito Friscia, Jamari Baylor, Wilfredo Flores, Freylin Minyety, Logan Simmons, Jared Carr, Edward Barboza, Adony Mejia, Anthony Quirion, Matt Goodheart, Kervin Pichardo, Marcus Lee Sang, Jadiel Sanchez. Gavin Tonkel, Rickardo Perez. Erick Brito, Yemal Flores.
Simon Muzziotti? Reminds me of Carlos Tocci. Don’t think he’s going to help this season. Think the Phillies will trade for a CF. Guys behind him will press him out of the organization like Rojas and Garcia. Missing most of two seasons really hurt.
Billy Sullivan? Nice numbers but two trips to the IL for 23.2 innings. Awkward delivery tough on his arm.
Casey Martin? He became the organization’s Mister K after Stobbe was released. Maybe a little harsh, but he needs to make more contact. Heck, Kroon, Minyety, Carr, Quirion, Friscia, and Goodheart make more contact.
I apologize if this list skews your poll. You don’t have to use it if you don’t want. As you can see, the numbers are really quite arbitrary after #5 Erik Miller.
Okay, the Mister K comment regarding Martin is too harsh. When Stobbe was released he had a K% of 43.63%. Martin’s K% of 28.1% is only slightly above the organizational rate of 24.83%. However, his slash of .198/.291/.310/.601 is worrisome.
Hans Crouse is on the 40, but he’s a guy who deserves prospect consideration. I just completely overlooked him. Like I said earlier, I was too focused on the guys at the lower levels who I actually saw.
For an organization supposedly bereft of talent, there are a lot of young/new guys who excite me – Abel, Painter, Rojas, Erik Miller, O’Hoppe, Armenta, Andrew Schultz, Luis Garcia, Yhoswar Garcia, McGarry, Wilson, Viars, Azuaje, Lee Hao Yu.
So, have at it. Just remember, polls are a matter of opinion. Everybody’s opinion is correct.