I’ll pin this on the site for reference and update as necessary over the coming weeks. Let me know if you seeanything that needs explanation or anything that looks wrong. for instance, I had to figure options on my own. The two sites I use for reference haven’t updated yet after the 2021 season. And, some of their options info is wrong anyway.
A flurry of activity will begin the day after the World Series ends. This could be as soon as October 30th but no later than November 3rd. In any case, the morning after the series ends, eligible players get to elect free agency. Players with options will take action or see their teams take action.
Within five days of the end of the world series (November 4-8), teams will have to make any qualifying offers (this year a QO = $18.9M) to their free agents and some transactional shuffling begins, like activation of players from the 60-man injury list (IL) and the outrighting of players off the 40-man roster.
By November 20th, the Phillies and other teams will have selected the contracts of those minor league players who are eligible for the Rule 5 Draft whom they want to protect from the draft. The current Rule 5 rules are at the end of this post.
Below you will find all the information available to the public that the Phillies may use to make these decisions.
Current 40-Man Roster – Actually 44 since Matt Moore, JoJo Romero, Rhys Hoskins, and Roman Quinn are still on the 60-day Injury List. These four players have to be activated and placed according to their contracts (rostered, tendered, released, or free agent), so as many as four guys might have to come off the roster soon after the world series ends. Optioning isn’t available. The option period has ended. Besides, it doesn’t create the needed openings on the 40-man roster. Moore is a free agent, Hoskins and Quinn are arbitration eligible, and Romero is pre-arbitration.
- Alvarado, Jose LHP
- Bedrosian, Cam RHP
- Bradley, Archie RHP
- Brogdon, Connor RHP
- Coonrod, Sam RHP
- Crouse, Hans RHP
- Dohy, Kyle LHP
- Dominguez, Seranthony RHP
- Eflin, Zach RHP
- Falter, Bailey LHP
- Gibson, Kyle RHP
- Hammer, J.D. RHP
- Jones, Damon LHP
- Kennedy, Ian RHP
- Medina, Adonis RHP
- Moore, Matt LHP
- Morales, Francisco RHP
- Neris, Hector RHP
- Nola, Aaron RHP
- Romero, JoJo LHP
- Rosso, Ramon RHP
- Sanchez, Christopher LHP
- Suarez, Ranger LHP
- Wheeler, Zack RHP
- Knapp, Andrew C
- Marchan, Rafael C
- Realmuto, JT C
- Bohm, Alec 3B
- Galvis, Freddy SS
- Gregorious, Didi SS
- Hoskins, Rhys 1B
- Maton, Nick INF
- Segura, Jean 2B
- Torreyes, Ronald INF
- Williams, Luke INF
- Harper, Bryce RF
- Haseley, Adam OF
- Herrera, Odubel CF
- Jankowski, Travis OF
- McCutchen, Andrew LF
- Miller, Brad 1B-OF
- Moniak, Mickey OF
- Quinn, Roman CF
- Vierling, Matt OF
The players on the 40 (44) are in bold text in the next 5 sections.
Eight Players have Contracts in 2022
- Bryce Harper (13 yr/$330M (19-31)) enters the 4th year of a 13-year contract, entering his age 29 season. 2022 salary $27,538,462. (zero change over 2021)
- Zack Wheeler (5 yr/$118M (20-24)) enters the 3rd year of a 5-year contract, entering age his 32 season. 2022 salary $26,000,000. ($3.5M above 2021)
- JT Realmuto (5 yr/$115.5M (21-25)) enters the 2nd year of a 5-year contract, entering his age 31 season. 2022 salary $23,875,000. ($3.875M above 2021)
- Jean Segura (5 yr/$70M (18-22)+23 c opt) enters the 5th year of a 5-year contract, entering his age 32 season. 2022 salary $14,850,000. (zero change over 2021)
- Didi Gregorius (2 yr/$28M (21-22)) enters the 2nd year of a 2-yr contract, entering his age 32 season. 2022 salary $15,250,000. ($2.5M above 2021)
- Aaron Nola (4 yr/$45M (19-22)+23 cl opt) enters the 4th year of a 4-year contract, entering his age 29 season. 2022 salary $15,500,000. ($3.25M above 2021)
- Kyle Gibson (3 yr/$28M (20-22)) enters the 3rd year of a 3-year contract, entering his age 34 season. 2022 salary $7,666,667. ($2M below 2021)
- Scott Kingery (6 yr/$24M (18-23)+24-26 opts) enters the 5th year of a 6-year contract, entering age 28 season. 2022 salary $6,250,000. ($2M above 2021)
These eight players will account for $121,430,129 (more than 50% of the salary allowable below the 2021 Luxury Tax Limit). They also represent a $13,125,000 increase over their collective 2021 salaries. Note: the “Competitive Balance Tax Threshold” for 2022 is unknown at this time.
Two Players have Club Options for 2022
- Andrew McCutchen (3 yr/$50M (19-21)+22 opt) enters option year of $15,000,000 or a $3M buyout, entering his age 35 season.
- Odubel Herrera (5 yr/$30.5M (17-21)+22-23 opts) enters option year of $11,500,000 or a $2.5M buyout, entering his age 30 season.
If these options are declined, it represents a savings of $30,350.000 based on their 2021 salaries.
Ten Players are Arbitration Eligible this Offseason
- Rhys Hoskins ($4.8M) enters 2nd of 3 arb years, entering age 29 season.
- Zach Eflin ($4.45M) enters 3rd of 3 arb years, entering age 28 season.
- Andrew Knapp ($1.1M) enters 3rd of 3 arb years, entering age 30 season.
- Seranthony Dominguez ($727,500) enters 2nd of 4 arb years, entering age 27 season.
- Jose Alvarado ($1M) enters 2nd of 3 arb years, entering age 27 season.
- Ronald Torreyes ($800,000) enters 2nd of 4 arb years, entering age 29 season.
- Travis Jankowski ($) enters 4th of 4 arb years, entering age 30 season.
- Adam Haseley ($578,500) enters 1st of 4 arb years, entering age 26 season.
- Roman Quinn ($578,000) enters 1st of 3 arb years, entering age 29 season.
- Ranger Suarez ($) enters 1st of 4 arb years, entering age 26 season.
MLB Trade Rumors hasn’t published their arbitration predictions. When they do, I’ll add that information above.
Sixteen Players are Pre-Arb, One-Year Tenders this Off Season
- Alec Bohm (1 yr/$575,000) pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
- Sam Coonrod (1 yr/$573,000) pre-arb, entering age 29 season.
- Connor Brogdon (1 yr/$571,500) pre-arb, entering age 27 season.
- Hans Crouse pre-arb, entering age 23 season.
- Kyle Dohy pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
- Bailey Falter pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
- JD Hammer pre-arb, entering age 27 season.
- Damon Jones pre-arb, entering age 27 season.
- Rafael Marchan pre-arb, entering age 23 season.
- Nick Maton pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
- Adonis Medina pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
- Mickey Moniak pre-arb, entering age 24 season.
- Francisco Morales pre-arb, entering age 24 season.
- Jojo Romero pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
- Ramon Rosso pre-arb, entering age 26 season.
- Christopher Sanchez pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
- Matt Vierling pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
- Luke Williams pre-arb, entering age 25 season.
These guys are all under team control. Minimum salaries are usually assigned in the CBA. This only comes into play when a player is on the active, 26-man roster (Except in the case where a player has a major league contract.)
Seven Players are MLB Free Agents after the 2021 Season (six-plus years of MLB service time and not under contract)
- Hector Neris ($5M) enters his age 33 season.
- Archie Bradley ($6M) enters his age 29 season
- Brad Miller ($3.5M) enters his age 32 season.
- Matt Moore ($3M) enters his age 33 season.
- Ian Kennedy ($2.15M) enters his age 37 season.
- Cam Bedrosian ($1.5M) enters his age 30 season.
- Freddy Galvis ($1.5M) enters his age 32 season.
These seven guys represent $22,650,000 in salary that comes off the books.
Sixteen Players are MiLB Free Agents after the 2021 Season (1. three-plus years of MLB service time and been outrighted season, 2. outrighted multiple times in career, and 3. unsigned and not on the 40 and have spent parts of at least seven seasons on a minor league roster or injured list. Rule of thumb for most is a 2015 first signing and on a minor league roster that season. Note that 2020 counts.)
- David Paulino
- Brock Stassi
- TJ Rivera
- Taylor Guerrieri
- Charlie Tilson
- Tyler Heinemen
- Brady Lail
- Grenny Cumana
- Aneurys Zabala
- Arquimedes Gamboa
- Daniel Brito
- Rodolfo Duran
- Mauricio Llovera
- Cornelius Randolph
- Edgar Cabral
- Nick Fanti
Mark Appel signed in July 2015 but his 7-year clock was interrupted after 5 years when he retired and restarted when he signed with the Phillies this season. He will be a free agent after the 2022 season.
Seven other players signed contracts in 2015 but were not placed on rosters during the 2015 season or were signed after the 2015 season ended.
- Manuel Silva signed on July 7, 2015 but was not placed on a roster.
- Jhailyn Ortiz signed on July 9, 2015 but was not placed on a roster.
- Ben Pelletier signed on July 15, 2015 but was not placed on a roster.
- Jonathan Guzman signed on August 17, 2015 but was not placed on a roster.
- Jeff Singer signed on October 15, 2015 after the 2015 season was over.
- Joel Cesar signed on October 30, 2015 after the 2015 season was over.
- Leonel Aponte signed on December 1, 2015 after the 2015 season was over.
The eight contracts will undergo increases of $13,125,000 that will increase their total to $121,430,129 (and to $124,668,000 for tax purposes).
Declining the two options will save the team the $26,500,000 contracted for 2022, but is a real savings of the $30,350.000 the team was responsible for in 2021. (I noticed last year that buyouts weren’t reported as a cost on any of the sites I follow. I asked and was told that sincde they are paid out when the option is declined that they are lost in a limbo between CBT seasons. So, if true, that’s $5.5M that counts against neither CBT.)
It’s very unlikely that the Phillies tender offers to all ten arbitration eligible players. So, it’s difficult to assign any cost there. The Phillies traditionally try to come to agreement to avoid arbitration. Hoskins should see a nice bump. Suarez should get a nice starting figure. Alvarez could get a substantial raise. I don’t know how you go about giving Dominguez a raise. And, Eflin should also be tough to negotiate not knowing his immediate future. Who knows how the Phillies will deal with the rest.
The pre-arbitration guys will have salaries close to the minimum assigned by the Phillies. They will only come into play if and when they are on the active roster.
The seven free agents represent a savings of $22,650,000. It will be interesting to see who, if any, and for how much the Phillies try to sign.
We don’t know if Scott Kingery will be able to take a spot on the active roster. In any case, his salary is a sunk cost. Spots 27-40 on the roster are allocated $2,250,000 for salary. Benefits are an estimated $16,000,000 in 2022. That puts the Phillies at $142,918,000 for CBT purposes.
Based on the 2021 CBT limit, that leaves them a little over $67M to fill 19 roster spots. A portion of that figure will have to be allocated to cover arbitrations but will lower the spots to fill by an undetermined number. The more players who can step up from the pre-arb group, the more money that can be spent in free agency.
Thirty-Five Players are First Year Rule 5 Eligible this Offseason
- Alec Bohm, 3B (on the 40-man roster)
- Matt Vierling, CF (on the 40-man roster)
- Hans Crouse, RHP (on the 40-man roster)
- Anton Kuznetsov, LHP
- Cristian Hernandez, RHP
- Jose Perez, RHP
- Wilberson Liendo, RHP
- Luis Gomez, RHP
- Hsin-Chieh Lin, RHP
- Ben Brown, RHP
- Oscar Gonzalez, C
- Carlos Betancourt, RHP
- Nick Matera, C
- Keylan Killgore, LHP
- Tom Sutera, RHP
- Tyler McKay, RHP
- Mark Potter, RHP
- Jonas De La Cruz, RHP
- Ethan Lindow, LHP
- D.J. Stewart, 3B
- Gabriel Yanez, LHP
- Carlos De La Cruz, OF
- Victor Vargas, RHP
- Luis Garcia, SS
- Ethan Evanko, LHP
- Colton Eastman, RHP
- Jack Perkins, RHP
- Austin Ross, RHP
- Taylor Lehman, LHP
- Madison Stokes, IF
- Tyler Carr, RHP
- Luke Miller, 3B
- Matt Kroon, 3B
- James McArthur, RHP
- Jack Conley, C
The first three are already on the 40-man roster. Most of the players on this list are too far down the organization to be selected by another team. In recent years, the Phillies have protected pitchers at the upper levels. Luis Garcia is an interesting player eligible this year.
Thirty-Four Players are Returning Rule 5 Eligible Players this Offseason
- Jhailyn Ortiz, RF
- Simon Muzziotti, CF
- Zach Warren, LHP
- Jakob Hernandez, LHP
- David Parkinson, LHP
- Josh Stephen, LF
- Andrew Brown, RHP
- Colby Fitch, C
- CJ Chatham, SS
- Braeden Ogle, LHP
- Dalton Guthrie, SS
- Jhordany Mezquita, LHP
- Juan Aparacio, C
- Leonel Aponte, RHP
- Nicolas Torres, INF
- Jose Tortolero, INF
- Edgar Made, SS
- Manuel Silva, LHP
- Rodolfo Duran, C
- Jonathan Guzman, SS
- Ben Pelletier, RF
- Mark Appel, RHP
- Trevor Bettencourt, RHP
- Jeff Singer, LHP
- Darick Hall, 1B
- Grenny Cumana, INF
- Joel Cesar, RHP
- Edgar Cabral, C
- Daniel Brito, 2B
- Arquimedes Gamboa, SS
- Nick Fanti, LHP
- Julian Garcia, RHP
- Jonathan Hennigan, LHP
- Henri Lartigue, C
- Cornelius Randolph, LF
Simon Muzziotti will likely be placed back on the 40-man roster. Maybe Jhailyn Ortiz, as well.
Guys who have options (# remaining)
- Aaron Nola (3)
- Andrew Knapp (3)
- Rhys Hoskins (3)
- Jose Alvardo (2)
- Connor Brogdon (2)
- Sam Coonrod (2)
- Kyle Dohy (2)
- Bailey Falter (2)
- Damon Jones (2)
- JoJo Romero (2)
- Rafael Marchan (2)
- Alec Bohm (2)
- Scott Kingery (2)
- NickMaton (2)
- Luke Williams (2)
- Matt Vierling (2)
- Seranthony Dominguez (1)
- Zach Eflin (1)
- JD Hammer (1)
- Mauricio Llovera (1)
- Ramon Rosso (1)
- Christopher Sanchez (1)
- Arquimedes Gamboa (1)
- Adam Haseley (1)
- Mickey Moniak (1)
Last Option Used This Season
- Adonis Medina (0)
This information is important when constructing the 40-man roster. Not only will organizations try to protect promising young prospects, but they have to build a workable roster to compete with and support the team at the major league level.
As we have seen in the past, the Phillies will acquire new players during the offseason that will be assigned to the 40-man roster and fill spots on their major league and AAA rosters.
While the Phillies are trying to build their 40-man roster, other teams are doing the same thing. So, it will be difficult to trade players “we don’t want” to protect.
And, finally, not protecting a player does not mean he will be selected by another organization. And if one is, he may be returned by the selecting team.
Rule 5 Explained
Major League Rule 5 outlines baseball’s Annual Selection of Players. Section (a) of the rule determines when the meeting takes place. Section (b) describes the method and priority of the selections. And section (c) defines which players are subject to selection.
When baseball conducts their winter meetings that conclude with the Rule 5 Draft, only certain players are subject to selection. Here is MLR5(c).
(c) All players on the Minor League Reserve Lists of Major League Clubs, except players on the Voluntarily Retired, Disqualified, or Ineligible Lists shall be subject to selection by other Major League Clubs at the Rule 5 Selection Meeting in accordance with the following:
(1) A player without previous Major or Minor League service who signs with a Major League Club shall be subject to selection based on the following:
(A) if 18 years of age or under on the June 5 immediately preceding the player’s signing, the player shall be subject to selection at the fifth Rule 5 Selection Meeting that follows the signing date of the player’s first Major or Minor League contract, unless Rule 5(c)(1)(C) applies;
(B) if 19 years of age or over on the June 5 immediately preceding the player’s signing, the player shall be subject to selection at the fourth Selection Meeting that follows the signing date of the player’s first Major or Minor League contract, unless Rule 5(c)(1)(C) applies;
(C) if the signing date of a player’s first Major or Minor League contract is between
(i) the conclusion of the championship season for the Major or Minor League Club to which the player is assigned on such contract and
(ii) the next Rule 5 Selection Meeting,
then the player shall be deemed to have signed after the next Rule 5 Selection Meeting, for purposes of this Rule 5(c)(1).
(2) A player who is re-signed by a Club within one year from the date the Club released the player shall be subject to draft at the Rule 5 Selection Meeting following the date of the latest contract with that Club.
(3) A player who has been subject to draft at a Rule 5 Selection Meeting shall be subject to draft at any subsequent Rule 5 Selection Meeting if the player is on a Minor League Reserve List (filed pursuant to Rule 2 (Player Limits and Reserve Lists)) at the time of the Rule 5 Selection Meeting.
(4) A player
(A) whose contract has been assigned outright by a Major League Club to a Minor League Club,
(B) who has been signed as a free agent to a Minor League Uniform Player Contract for services in the following year and is otherwise subject to selection pursuant to Rule 5(c)(1) or Rule 5(c)(2), or
(C) who has been released unconditionally from a Minor League roster and is otherwise subject to selection pursuant to Rule 5(c)(1) or Rule 5(c)(2),
shall be subject to selection at any subsequent Rule 5 Selection Meeting if the player is on a Minor League Reserve List (filed pursuant to Rule 2 (Player Limits and Reserve Lists)) at the time of the Rule 5 Selection Meeting.
(5) A Major League or independent Minor League Club may designate any player on one of its Minor League Reserve Lists to be subject to selection who otherwise would not be selectable under this Rule 5.
Roster size for the 2022 season will likely remain at 26 players. It will be interesting to see if MLB decides to revert back to their pre-2020 season agreement that pitchers be limited to 13 of those slots.