2021 Discussion in Preparation for the Amateur Draft – March 1, 2021

This is the Phuture Phillies forum for the discussion of prospects eligible for the amateur draft that is scheduled to be held in about 4-5 months (July 11-13, 2021).  You can place video, scouting reports, or just comments here.  You can reference these weekly discussions on the menu above.

Feel free to discuss the 2021 international signing period, too.  It began on January 15, 2021, and runs through June 25, 2021.

This space is for the discussion of prospects in the upcoming draft and international signing period.  This is NOT a place for you to complain about past picks/signings or the organization’s past/current draft and international philosophies.

 

17 thoughts on “2021 Discussion in Preparation for the Amateur Draft – March 1, 2021

  1. Hinkie in reply to Hinkie (from last week’s Comments).
    * Jaden Hill … has just a slim chance (only because of past injuries) of lasting to the 1-13 pick. If he continues pitching like he did Friday vs Youngstown St. (6 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 0 BB, 4K), Hill will be a pipe dream for the Phils.

    * Ty Madden … was up to 98 MPH again this weekend. He dominated BYU 7 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 1 BB, 11 K.

    * Gunnar Hoglund … is a former first round pick (1-36) who turned down the Pirates for the Univ of Mississippi. The 6’4″, 220 lb RHP saw his four pitch mix tick up in the fall. He’s now up to 96 MPH, and his secondaries have all jumped a grade. On Saturday, Hoglund went 7 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K vs Central Florida.

    * Tommy Mace … was very good again this week. He totaled 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 0 BB, 11 K.

    * Ryan Cusick … might have the most incredible “stuff” in the draft. His FB touches 100. His breaker is plus. However, the control and command still lag behind. On Saturday, the 6’6″, 235 lb RHP went 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 12 K vs Notre Dame.

    Speaking of heat throwers …

    * Eric Cerantola … made his first appearance of the season. The Mississippi St RHP missed last weekend with COVID. The 6’5″, 220 lb Canadian was throwing hard, but the results weren’t good (2.1 IP, 3 R, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K).

    * Christian MacLeod … had better results for Mississippi St this weekend. The southpaw totaled 4 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K against Tulane.

    Finally …

    * Andrew Painter … who is the highest ranking prep pitcher, rebounded from a shaky first outing to reestablish his draft ranking.

    1. … and here are some weekend highlights from the hitters available this July (I posted them late last night in the old thread).

      * Jud Fabian … shook off a horrific opening weekend by going banannas this week. The Florida CFer went 8 for 22 (including 4 HR’s), 8 R, 12 RBI.

      * Henry Davis … is now at .409/.567/.682 with 8 BB/HBP vs 0 K after going 4 for 13 vs Western Michigan this weekend. The Louisville backstop should be a mid first round pick.

      1. * Sal Frelic … is the little BC CFer who makes the Eagles offense go. The 5’9″, 175 lb LHH went 6 for 13 (HR & double) vs Duke this weekend. For the season, Frelic is slashing .429/.484/.607.

        * Justice Thompson … is flying up draft boards. The former JUCO CFer helped UNC take two of three from Virginia this weekend by going 6 for 10 (2 doubles & HR), 4 R, 2 RBI, 2 BB, 2 SB, and was incredible with the glove. As a Tar Heel in 2021, Thompson is at .520/.586/.920.

        1. In response to Romus (from the former draft thread) … yes, there is some Kyle Lewis in Justice Thompson.
          For all of you optimists … Thompson could be what Johan Rojas develops into (fingers crossed).

    1. DMAR:

      1-13
      2-49
      3-84
      4-114
      5-135 … and then every 30th pick after that (6-165, 7-195, etc)
      There should be 20 rounds this year.

  2. I not only follow Phillies draft picks as they wind their way through the system, but I also like to keep an eye on the guys the team drafted, but failed to sign. Here are a few of the latter prospects I am currently watching:

    * Jalen Battles … was the one of Johnny Almaraz’s final picks as Phillies Director of Amateur Scouting. Battles was the club’s 34th round pick in 2019. At that time, he was finishing his first season at McLennan JUCO in Texas. The 6’2″, 180 lb RHH SS turned the Phillies down and returned to McLennan for 2021. Her slashed .315/.426/.503 in his two JUCO seasons. The 21 YO is now not only playing at Arkansas, he is excelling in the SEC (the top conference in the country). To date, Battles is at .379/.400/.517 and has been a solid defender as a Razorback. He’s moving up draft boards, and has a shot at finding a spot at the back end of the first round.

    1. * Jake Smith … was the Phillies 21st round selection in 2018 out of a North Carolina HS. Instead of going pro, Smith spent two seasons at two different JUCOs. During that time, he K’ed 102 in 78.2 IP, and was named Pitcher Of The Year in 2020. This season, the 6’4″, 190 RHP is throwing out of the Miami Hurricanes BP. So far, Smith has made two appearances and has totaled 1.2 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 1 BB, 3 K.

      * DJ Carpenter …was picked six rounds ahead of Smith in 2018. There were originally reports that the Phillies had signed their 15th rounder, but in the end Carpenter chose Central Arizona CC. When the Phils picked Carpenter, he was a tall, skinny California prepster. During his three years in JUCO (everybody got an extra year of eligibility because of COVID), the 6’8″ Carpenter has bulked up 190 lb to 220 lbs. As he’s filled out, Carpenter has seen his velo jump from 89-90 to 94-96 (T97). During three seasons at Central Arizona, Carpenter has totaled 33.2 IP, 23 H, 24 BB, 51 K. He’s draft eligible again this summer. He also has a D1 commitment to pitch for Oregon State next season.

  3. I took a few minutes from today’s Phillies contest to check out the LSU game. Holy smokes! Jaden Hill laid an egg. He recorded only one out. Maybe I jinxed him above (“pipe dream to the Phillies at 1-13”).

  4. There’s still four months to go until the draft, but it’s becoming more clear that this year’s event will feature college pitchers and HS SSs in the upper half of the first round.
    The prepsters are Jordan Lawlar, Marcelo Mayer, Khalil Watson, and Brady House (who will almost certainly move to 3B as a pro).

    The Phillies could be in line to land one of the college arms at 1-13.

    * Jaden Hill … had a disastrous outing for LSU Friday. Hill had all kinds of problems throwing strikes and totaled 0.1 IP, 8 R, 5 H, 2 BB. 1 HBP. 0 K vs Oral Roberts.

    * Ty Madden … is looking like a guy who could pass Kumar Rocker and Jack Leiter on draft boards. The 6’3″/215 lb RHP blitzed through Houston’s lineup going 9 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 14 K. Over his past two starts, Madden has totaled 16 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 3 BB, 25 K! He was up to 98 again this weekend with steep downhill plane, and also used his SL and CH to make batters swing and miss.

    1. * Gunnar Hoglund … has been good so far this year. He was more steady this weekend. The former first round pick went 5.1 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K against Belmont.

      * Tommy Mace … was solid vs Forida A&M. The 6’6″/230 Florida “ace” totaled 7 IP, 2 R, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K.

      * Eric Cerantola … started the season with COVID. Not sure what kind of effect it’s had on his body. The 6’5″/220 lb Mississippi St RHP is pumping heat (up to 99 MPH), and is spinning a hard breaker, but he’s having lots of problems commanding them. On Saturday, he went 3 IP, 4 R, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K vs Kent St.

      * Sam Bachman … missed his scheduled start for Miami Ohio. Don’t know if it’s injury related, COVID related, or what. The 6’1″/235 lb RHSP had been soaring up draft boards after throwing 100+ MPH last weekend.

      * Kumar Rocker … is never going to make it to the Phillies, but I thought it would be fun to share with you his FB/SL combination.

      1. There are two college CFers who are making their way up draft boards, and could also be in play at 1-13.

        * Sal Frelick … had an incredible weekend against an SEC opponent. The 5’9/175 lb former three sport HS star (football/hockey) went 5 for 10 (3 HRs), 3 BB, 0 K, 5 R, 5 RBI vs Auburn. Two bombs were launched off potential 1st round pitcher Richard Fitts Friday night. The other one capped an unbelievable eight run, ninth inning rally (Frelick actually started the inning with a leadoff single) to tie the game yesterday.

        Frelick has gotten some Lenny Dykstra comps. I see a little Andrew Benintendi in him. Either way, the BC spark plug is now at .476/.531/.857 for 2021.

        .

        * Justice Thompson … was 3 for 13 (HR), 1 BB, 2 HBP, 8 K, 1 R, 2 RBI, 1 SB in a three game series versus Virginia Tech. See Thompson launch his HR to CF at the 0:30 mark and then watch Thompson steal a HR at the 1:35 mark.

        For the season, the 6’4″/205 lb RHH is slashing .421/.511/.763.

        1. Elsewhere …

          * Jud Fabian … went 5 for 13 (HR & double), 3 R, 2 RBI, 1 BB, 2 K in a weekend series with Florida A&M. The Florida CFer is now up to .275/.373/.588.

          * Adrian Del Castillo … was 2 for 12 (HR), 1 R, 3 RBI vs NC St. Coming into the season, the Miami C was considered one of the top bats available for the draft. However, Del Castillo has been spinning his wheels to begin 2021 slashing .270/.349/.405.

          * Henry Davis … has been as hot as Del Castillo has been cold. This weekend, the Louisville backstop was 4 for 11 (HR & double), 1 BB, 1 HBP, 2 K, 1 R, 3 RBI in three games against Ga Tech. Davis is raking at a .395/.520/.684 clip so far this year.

          * Matt McLain … keeps on rolling. The UCLA SS went 5 for 13 (double), 2 BB, 2 K, 5 R, 2 RBI, 1 SB over the weekend. The former first round selection in now slashing .300/.442/.450.

          1. Frelick does have some size to him…more than the 175 lbs listed for a 5’9″ guy…if that is his true height.
            College weight rooms and meal tickets in the dining hall can do that for a guy.

            1. I watched that BC/Auburn game yesterday. Frelick started and ended one of the greatest come backs I can ever remember. He’s got the “it” factor.

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