This is the Phuture Phillies forum for discussion of the amateur draft and J2 signing period that are about 2-3 months down the road. I’m providing this space for those who are ready to enter discussion about this year’s crop of prospects. You can place video, scouting reports, or just comments here. You can reference these weekly discussions on the menu above.
This space is for the discussion of prospects in the upcoming draft and J2 signing season. This is NOT a space for you to continue complaining about past picks and the past/current draft philosophy. That horse has been beaten to death in weekly open discussions. If you must, keep it there.
18 thoughts on “2019 Amateur Draft and J2 Discussion, April 29, 2019”
Weekend Updates for some potential Phillies draft choices:
* Nick Lodolo followed up a rough outing last week with a better/decent performance on Friday night. The TCU lefty went 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K against Baylor. For the season Lododlo is 71 IP, 55 H, 14 BB, 80 K, 2.15 ERA, .212 OBA.
* Zack Thompson was impressive again in a win at Florida. The Kentucky LHP went 9 IP (116 P), 0 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 11 K. Pitching in the rugged SEC, Thompson is 71.2 IP, 45 H, 24 BB, 102 K for the season.
* Alek Manoah allowed his first run and first walks in four games in a contest with Texas this weekend. The WVU RHP went 7 IP (124 P), 1 R, 7 H, 2 BB, 8 K. In 2019, Manoah has totaled 76.2 IP, 48 H, 17 BB, 103 K, 1.76 ERA, .180 OBA.
* George Kirby is the college arm that has risen further up draft boards that just about anybody this spring. On Saturday, he went 7 IP (110 P), 0 ER, 5 H 0 BB, 8 K to help his Elon club beat Northeastern. This season, Kirby is 71.2 IP, 57 H, 5 BB, 84 K. Johnny A’s gotta love the way Kirby controls the strike zone.
* Ethan Small (3rd round possibility) continues to rack up impressive numbers throwing in the SEC. The Mississippi State LHP went 6 IP (97 P), 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 11 K in a big win against Georgia. Small is now 66 IP, 39 H, 17 BB, 114 K, 2.05 ERA, .169 OBA this season.
* Isaiah Campbell (3rd round possibility) had probably his worst start of the season. The Arkansas RHP was 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K vs Tennessee. On the season Campbell is 71 IP, 56 H, 13 BB, 81 K, 2.66 ERA, .216 OBA.
* Noah Song is another name to remember for the third round. Song is interesting because he is not just a senior, but has a naval committment. The 6’4″, 200 lb RHP is absolutely dominating. Against Lehigh on Saturday, Song went 7 IP (92 P), 0 R, 4 H, 0 BB, 15 K. In 2019, Song is 73 IP, 39 H, 28 BB, 133 K. He’s got good stuff (mid 90’s FB, and 3 above avg secondaries [SL, CB, CH]) too. Somebody’s going to draft Song early as a high upside senior sign.
* Jared Horn (4th or 5th round) continues to deal as he now appears to be completely healthy (suffered an emergency appendectomy the beginning of the season). On Saturday, Horn led Cal past Oregon by going 8 IP (111 P), 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K. Horn is now 47.1 IP, 31 H, 10 BB, 37 K, 1.71 ERA, .188 OBA this year.
* Hunter Bishop went 4 for 16 (including a double and HR), 3 R, 3 RBI, 1 BB, 6 K vs Washington this weekend. On the season, Bishop is .369/.498/.815 18 HR.
* Aaron Schunk played in only the first game (a loss) to Mississippi State. In that game, the Georgia 3Bman went 1 for 4. He doubled off Ethan Small in the first inning then struck out his next two AB’s against the tough LHP. No official word, but I’m assuming Schunk hurt something at some point in that contest to sideline him for the rest of the series. For 2019, Schunk is slashing .339/.370/.533 8 HR’s.
* Bryson Stott was 3 for 11 (2 HR’s), 3 R, 2 RBI, 1 BB, 2 K in a series with San Diego St. This season the UNLV All-American SS is .356/.491/.632 9 HR.
* Michael Busch had 4 hits (1 Double) in 12 AB’s, 4 R, 2 RBI, 3 BB, 3 K vs. Virginia. The UNC 1Bman is slashing .299/.456/.591 12 HR this year.
* Kameron Misner went 6 for 12 (all singles) 4 R, 1 RBI, 2 BB, 3 K, 1 SB in a sweep of South Carolina. The athletic Missouri CF’er is now .290/.461/.519 10 HR, 17 SB in 18 attempts.
* Josh Jung had a big weekend against Oklahoma St. The Texas Tech 3Bman was 5 for 8 (2 HR and a double), 5 R, 6 RBI, 6 BB, 1 K. Jung is now slashing .333/.472/.580 7 HR’s.
* Logan Davidson was impactful against Georgia Tech. The former Phillie draft pick was recently mocked back to the Phillies at 1-14 by BA. Davidson went 7 for 11 (double, triple, HR), 5 R, 5 RBI, 4 BB, 3 K this weekend. The Clemson SS sits at .303/.424/.600 12 HR, 16 SB in 18 attempts this season.
Perfect Game,org has released it’s mock draft 1.0. They are the second publication/person (CBS’ Jeff Ellis was the other) to choose UNC RH hitting 1Bman Michael Busch to the Phillies. I’m hoping they’re both wrong.
That could be another critical error on the part of this FO when it comes to drafting.
I doubt they can be that naive to take another one-dimensional position player.
Do these guys even analyze a teams organization positions!
Romus … in that Perfect Game mock, they have all four college pitchers (Lodolo, Manoah, Thompson, and Kirby) going before 1-14. I don’t think that will happen. If it does, that would push a good college bat down to the Phillies. In the Perfect Game scenario, Johnny Almaraz could choose Josh Jung or Kameron Misner.
As I mentioned last week, I really like Aaron Schunk. Nobody has him projected as a first rounder. He could most likely be had for a pretty good discount.
What you are discussing goes the heart of my two biggest set of concerns with this team – and that is talent evaluation and player development. The team’s game plan for rebuilding was very good and sophisticated, but in the long run, none of this is sustainable or consistently sustainable, without a strong farm system and good young players to populate it. I’d like to think they’ve gotten better at this, but, I’m not convinced yet.
Here is s mock having us take a RHP from JC
Big power arm and a plus slider.
Jackson Rutledge is an interesting option because he (and Alek Manoah, though he’s likely now going before 1-14) is a former closer who the Phillies could try to fast track to their bullpen by the end of this season for a playoff run. The club could then send him to a minor league starting rotation next spring. The Royals did that with Brandon Finnegan in 2014.
Also … “Wow” on Davis Wendzel to the DBacks with the 1-26 pick. I’ve been mentioning Wendzel (one of my favorites) as a 4th round possibility for the Phillies. Fangraphs doesn’t even have him in their top 150.
Nice scouting report on Jackson Rutledge
Keith Law top 50 draft prospects http://insider.espn.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id/26634346/ranking-top-50-2019-mlb-draft-prospects
Hinkie – thought that you might like to read this as I know that you are high on Goss
14. JJ Goss, RHP, Cypress Ranch HS (Houston) — Goss will probably get picked in the 20s but on merit belongs a bit higher, as the 6-foot-3 right-hander throws 91-95 mph to go with an above-average slider, showing an improved feel for a changeup and an aggressive approach.
Yes. I do really like Goss, v1. However, I’d be surprised if Johnny Almaraz picked a prep arm at 1-14.
Law also has Ethan Small at #50. Fangraphs has Small at #114. I really like him, and hope McDaniel/Longenhagen are more accurate in their ranking so he could maybe be available to the Phillies in the third round (#91 overall).
Law also doesn’t list Aaron Schunk in his top 50. Fangraphs has the Georgia 3Bman at #46. I’m really high on him, and would consider him at 1-14.
BTW, Schunk strained his achilles (rhymes with Phillies – just sayin’) last weekend. They hope he’ll be ready for the Florida series this weekend.
Yeah. I read that last night. I (like you, Deacon Phil) would be very happy for the Phillies to take Schunk at 1-14. Looks like they could get him for a decent discount.
Hinkie, is his name pronounced Shunk or Skunk?
Sh – like shout.
Really good overview of prospects with grades
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