Report Card–Relief Pitching, Lakewood, WIL and GCL

Lakewood

Gustavo Armas, 21, Signed as a free agent in 2013; 15 games (7 starts) between Williamsport and Lakewood; 1-4 with a 5.19ERA; 1SV; 52IP 57H 10BB 48K; .277 opp avg; 1.29WHIP; 0.83GO/AO; 1.7BB/8.3K per 9; .318 opp avg last 30 days; Armas struggled after his promotion but threw well for the Crosscutters.  Grade: C; 2018: Lakewood

Casey Brown, 24, Signed as a free agent in 2016; 22 games, 2-2 with a 2.95ERA; 42.2IP 41H 11BB 25K; .247 opp avg; 1.22WHIP; 1.32 GO/AO; 2.3BB/5.3K per 9; .224 vs LHH, .263 vs RHH; .212 last 30 days; Brown did a good job in his role primarily as an innings eater.  At 24 and in Low A, without overpowering stuff, he will likely become a free agent once again.  Grade: B

Ismael Cabrera, 23, Signed as a free agent in 2014; 33 games, 8-5 with a 3.63ERA; 57IP 50H 19BB 57K; 3.0BB/9.0K per 9; .242 opp avg; 1.21WHIP; .231 vs LHH, .250 vs RHH, .255 last 30 days; Cabrera has now thrown 48 games over two seasons in Lakewood, continuing to do a competent job.  Grade: B-; 2017: CLearwater

Tyler Hallead, 22, Phils 24th round pick in 2016; 27 games, 1-1 with a 5.05ERA; 41IP 32H 22BB 49K; .216 opp avg; 1.32WHIP; 1.26 GO/AO; 4.8BB/10.8K per 9; .258 vs LHH, .183 vs RHH, .143 last 30 days; Hallead had an excellent August but is a guy that has generally been mediocre through his two years in the organization.  Grade: C; 2018: Important that he proves himself prior to the next draft class coming in…

Jon Hennigan, 23, Phils 21st round pick in 2016; 30 games, 1-3 with a 5.84ERA; 3SV; 49.1IP 47H 27BB 67K; .245 opp avg; 1.50WHIP; 0.67 GO/AO; 4.9BB/12.2K per 9; .293 vs LHH, .209 vs RHH, Hennigan missed the last month of the season injured and it was pretty clear through looking at his three outings prior to being placed on the DL that he was likely pitching injured.  Like many at he lower levels, needs to throw strikes.  Grade: C-; 2018: See Hallead, Tyler

Will Hibbs, 23, Phils 19th round pick in 2016; 45 games between Lakewood and Clearwater; 6-4 with a 2.48ERA; 20SV; 69IP 40H 24BB 80K; .163 opp avg; 0.93WHIP; 1.29 GO/AO; 3.1BB/10.4K per 9; Hibbs absolutely dominated the SAL League this year and was the best closer in the league.  His short call up to Clearwater, was not pleasant or successful.  Here is hoping 2018 is different…Grade: A-; 2018: CLearwater

Jake Kelzer, 24, Phils 18th round pick in 2016; 18 games between WIlliamsport and Lakewood, 1-1 with a 4.40ERA; 28.2IP 26H 11BB 24K; .248 opp avg; 1.29WHIP; 3.5BB/7.5K per 9; 3.74ERA and .235 opp avg while pitching for Lakewood; Far from overwhelming but competent results for Kelzer.  Grade: C+; 2018: Another one of the “tweeners” who may or may not be given a shot to advance/come back.

Mauricio Llovera, 21, Signed as a free agent in 2015; 30 games (10 starts); 2-4 with a 3.35ERA; 86IP 81H 33BB 94K; 3.5BB/9.8K per 9; .250 opp avg; 1.33WHIP; 0.75GO/AO; .276 vs LHH, .226 vs RHH, .370 opp avg last 30 days; Llovera was predominately a starter during the second half of the season but the bullpen is probably the long term landing spot.  After an outstanding 2016 in the GCL, he threw well this season skipping Williamsport; Grade: B-; 2018: Clearwater

Addison Russ, 22, Phils 19th round pick in 2017; 17 games between WIlliamsport and Lakewood, 1-2 with a 3.98ERA; 31.2IP 31H 9BB 40K; 2.6BB/11.4K per 9; For Lakewood: 3.49ERA; .241 opp avg; 1.20WHIP; The first two professional games for Russ with WIlliamsport were ugly, however he bounced back with Lakewood to throw very well.  2017: B; 2018: Clearwater

Williamsport

Luis Ramirez, 19, Signed as a free agent in 2015; 23 games, 1-3 with a 2.27ERA; 11SV; 31.2IP 26H 16BB 23K; .226 opp avg; 1.33WHIP; .211 vs LHH, .241 vs RHH, .191 last 30 days; 4.6BB/6.5K per 9; First time pitching in the States and did a very nice job as a 19 year old in WIlliamsport.  Control needs work.  Should move along to Lakewood; Grade: B+

Randy Alcantara, 20, Signed as a free agent in 2014; 19 games, 2-1 with a 2.23ERA; 5SV; 44.1IP 34H 14BB 40K; .207 opp avg; 1.08WHIP; 0.88GO/AO; .200 vs LHH, .213 vs RHH, .224 last 30 days; After an excellent 2016 in the GCL, ALcantara continued his excellent work up a level; Generally pitching multiple innings in high leverage situations, he had a lot of success.  Grade: A; 2018: Certainly Lakewood, possibly Clearwater

Connor Brogdon, 22, Phils 10th round pick in 2017; 16 games, 2-1 with a 2.34ERA; 3SV; 34.2IP 22H 18BB 45K; .177 opp avg; 1.15WHIP; 4.7BB/11.7K per 9; .174 vs LHH, .179 vs RHH, .193 last 30 days; Absent control issues, Brogdon was lights out.  He is the stereotypical Phils draftee that skips Lakewood after success in WIlliamsport as a relief pitcher out of college.  Grade: B+; 2018: Clearwater

Zach Warren, 21, Phils 14th round pick in 2017; 16 games, 0-3 with a 3.00ERA; 33IP 29H 15BB 40K; 4.1BB/10.9K per 9; .236 opp avg; 1.33WHIP; .149 vs LHH, .289 vs RHH, .154 last 30 days; Warren threw well in his first professional season, really putting it together during the last month of the season; Grade: B; 2018: Lakewood

Jhon Nunez, 19, Signed as a free agent in 2015; 16 games, 1-0 with a 4.76ERA; 22.2IP 26H 12BB 20K; 4.8BB/7.8K per 9; .176 vs LHH, .370 vs RHH; Very average production for Nunez who stuggled with his control and was awful against right handed hitters.  Grade: C-; 2018: Williamsport

Orestes Melendez, 22, Signed as a free agent in 2014; 14 games, 0-2 with a 6.29ERA; 24.1IP 26H 15BB 30K; .271 opp avg; 1.68WHIP; 5.5BB/11.1K per 9; .237 vs LHH, .293 vs RHH; First time pitching in the States for Melendez and he really struggled.  Grade: D; 2018: Likely caught in a numbers game.

Damon Jones, 22, Phils 18th round pick in 2017; 13 games, 2-3 with a 4.85ERA; 26IP 23H 20BB 38K; .240 opp avg; 1.65WHIP; 6.9BB/13.1K per 9; Jones was overpowering at times and then simply couldn’t throw strikes other times.  Grade: C; 2018: Probably survives another year because he can overpower….

Kyle Dohy, 20, Phils 16th round pick in 2017; 13 games, 2-1 with a 3.60ERA: 20IP 12H 20BB 22K; .182 opp avg; 1.60WHIP; 9.0BB/9.9K per 9; .207 vs LHP; .162 vs RHP; .200 last 30 days; Same analysis as Damon Jones but 2 years younger; Grade: C; 2018: Lakewood with drop back to Williamsport if his control doesn’t improve.

David Parkinson, 21, Phils 12th round pick in 2017; 11 games (3 starts); 1-3 with a 2.48ERA; 32.2IP 30H 9BB 42K; .242 opp avg; 1.19WHIP; 2.5BB/11.6K per 9; .327 vs LHH; .181 vs RHH; .246 last 30 days; The last 3 appearances Parkinson made this season were starts and he looked very good.  His season was very positive with progress made.  Grade: A-; 2018: Lakewood rotation

Connor Seabold, 21, Phils 3rd round pick in 2017; 5 games, 2-0 with a 0.90ERA: 10IP 5H 2BB 13K; .143 opp avg; 0.70 WHIP; Seabold, the Phils 3rd round pick out of Cal State Fullerton was lights out in his few appearances with Williamsport.  I didn’t see anything about him being injured, I suspect he was shut down after a long college season.  Grade: Inc. 2018: Lakewood to start but could move up quickly

GCL Phils–NOTE–No analysis as I simply don’t know enough about these players to speak with any level of authority.  Simply stats with an exception or two

Ben Brown, 18, Phils 33rd round pick in 2017: 10 games; 0-0 with a 2.57ERA; 14IP 14H 6BB 10K; .269 opp avg; 1.43 WHIP; 3.9BB/6.4K per 9

Rafael Carvajal, 20, Signed as a free agent in 2016; 14 games, 2-2 with a 2.55ERA: 24.2IP 26H 4BB 19K; .255 opp avg; 1.22WHIP; 1.5BB/6.9K per 9

Bailey Cummings, 19, Phils 29th round pick in 2017; Threw in 3 games; 10.13ERA; Walked 5 in 2.2IP

Jakob Hernandez, 21, Phils 21st round pick in 2017; 9 games, 1-0 with a 1.64ERA; 11IP 9H 0BB 15K; .237 opp avg; 0.82WHIP; 0.0BB/12.3K per 9

Oscar Marcellino, 20, Signed as a free agent in 2014; 17 games, 4-2 with a 2.25ERA; 2SV; 28IP 14H 15BB 22K; .154 opp avg; 1.04WHIP; 4.7BB/7.1K per 9

Anton Kunzetsov, 19, Signed as a free agent in 2016; 15 games, 2-1 with an 0.36ERA; 5SV; 25.1IP 16H 4BB 24K; 1.4BB/8.6K per 9; .184 opp avg; 0.79 WHIP

Denny Martinez, 20, Signed as a free agent in 2015; 15 games; 3-2 with a 2.49ERA; 21.2IP15H 9BB 21K; .192 opp avg; 1.11WHIP; 3.7BB/8.7K per 9

Robinson Martinez, 19, Signed as a free agent in 2015; 13 games, 2-1 with a 3.52ERA: 23IP 22H 12BB 13K; .250 opp avg; 1.48 WHIP; 4.7BB/5.1K per 9

Justin Miller, 19, Phils 12th round pick in 2016; 14 games, 1-2 with a 5.57ERA; 21IP 25H 17BB 13K; .305 opp avg; 2.00WHIP; I wouldn’t expect to see Miller back.

Victor Sobil, 21, Signed as a free agent in 2013; 10 games (2 starts); 3-1 with a 2.09ERA: 32IP 27H 18BB 34K; .221 opp avg; 1.41WHIP; 5.1BB/9.6K per 9

Sati Santa Cruz, Phils 32nd round pick in 2017; 8 games; 1-1 with a 5.63ERA: 8IP 6H 10BB 11K; .214 opp avg; 2.00 WHIP

 

2 thoughts on “Report Card–Relief Pitching, Lakewood, WIL and GCL

  1. As we know, a lot of the top relievers in the Majors started out as starters in the low minors. So it’s no surprise that there aren’t a huge number of top relievers in this group. There are some very good players in this list who could make it as a reliever. Llovera, Seabold, Bogdon, and Warren top my list. Parkinson is intriguing and Brown and Russ are guys to keep an eye on. Russ could move fast because he has a big time fastball. Hibbs was unbelievable in Lakewood and couldn’t get a guy out in CLW. Hopefully, he understands why that was and can fix it with minor tweaks. Some of these guys were in their 1st season so learn and adjust quickly has to be their theme.

  2. 3 guys in GCL are intriguing. Jakob Hernandez 0 BB to 15 K’s in 11 innings, the Russian Anton Kunzetsov 4 BB to 24 K’s in 25 innings and Denny Martinez 9 BB in 21 K’s in 21 innings.

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