Yesterday my Baseball Prospectus Futures Guide arrived. I highly recommend it, the e-book is a bit cheaper, but I am partial to hard copies of prospect books to grab at any point. You should also buy it to support the great work the BP prospect team does including two of our new writers CJ Wittmann and Chris King. But enough of that.
The BP guide includes three comparable players for each prospect. They represent a range of outcomes, and aren’t always accurate due to sample sizes and other weird statistical things. These comparables come from PECOTA and I have also included the top 10 PECOTA player comparables overall from BP’s website for each Top 10 prospect. (as well as 2014 MLB projection, because they are fun) These could change by next week as players change how they are, but keep in mind that PECOTA has a lot of data to work with and the more data it is given, the more accurate it becomes.
1. Maikel Franco – 3B (.255/.282/.427)
Handbook: Lonnie Chisenhall, Josh Vitters, Wilmer Flores
Top 10: Lonnie Chisenhall, Josh Vitters, Wilmer Flores, Mike Moustakas, Dayan Viciedo, Nick Castellanos, Nolan Arenado, Aderlin Rodriguez, Matt Dominguez, Edison Rincon Continue reading Fun with PECOTA Comps →