This is a post I’ve been wanting to do for a while because I find Matt German’s case to be intriguing. For those who don’t know, he’s a 6-foot junkballer tearing up Reading after doing a pretty good job in Clearwater last year. I thought he deserved some press just based on the stats he’s posted thus far.
I couldn’t find any scouting reports on him, but to the best of my knowledge he throws in the low-to-mid 80s with off-speed stuff that seems to have AA hitters positively stumped.
(Note: he was undrafted out of Northern Illinois in 2007)
2007 (SS/A): 35 IP, 46 K, 13 K, 24 H, 1 HR, 53% GB, .298 BABIP
2008 (A+): 58.2 IP, 64 K, 24 BB, 45 H, 45% GB, 5% HR/FB, .287 BABIP
2009 (AA): 11.2 IP, 16 K, 6 BB, 6 H, 39% GB, O HR .240 BABIP
2009 splits: vs LH – 4 IP, 3 H, 4 BB, 8 K, 3.0 GO/AO
vs RH – 7.2 IP, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K, .25 GO/AO
A couple things to point out here:
- The K rate is holding up well, admittedly in a small sample size, as he’s made the jump that’s thought to be the hardest in the minor leagues.
- The BABIP is low, and it should tick up a little bit, but he’s always been on the low side. A good sign, but since minor league stats are limited, I can’t dig up an underlying cause.
- He’s been mostly talked about as a LOOGY prospect, but since I can’t see splits for anything but the current year, I can’t speak to that as far as a large sample size would go. His 09 stats do seem to support that, however.
- Warning flags: dipping groundball rate is a definite concern, as is the low homerun/flybll rates throughout his career.
His stats this year indicate he hasn’t been used as a LOOGY. However, he’s been far more dominant against southpaws, recording 8/12 outs against lefties by strikeout. Of his other 4 outs against lefties, 3 have been by groundball.
So what do you think? LOOGY/fungible bullpen arm, or minor league filler? He feels a little bit like RJ Swindle, last year’s Lehigh Valley statistical darling.
Feel free to discuss. Like we’ve said before, being able to partially fill your bullpen with homegrown players saves lots of money and resources.