Prospect Grades: Williams, Monasterios, Bastardo

Today is the final day of new prospect grades. I’m going to go back and go over all of the past grades, see if anything needs adjusting, and then tomorrow, I’ll do a recap of all the grades, breaking them down in tiers. If you feel like I missed anyone, please drop me a line in the comments or via email so I can grade those players before doing my recap.

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Williams, Jermaine, OF (age 20) Grade = D

Williams, the Phillies 7th round pick in 2005, looks like a complete bust. Considered a raw project, he debuted with a .603 OPS in 2005, but completely bombed in 2006, hitting .079 with a .114 OB% and an .092 slugging %. I can’t even put into words how bad those numbers are, but if I did use words, they’d have to be censored. As he only turns 20 in March, I guess it’s not the end of the road yet, but really, what can we even expect from him in 2007?

2007 Outlook: Grim. Bad. Not good. Those are the words I’d use to describe his 2007 outlook. Who knows, he might turn it around, but don’t count on it. He’ll be somewhere in short season ball, probably a 3rd year in the GCL.

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Carlos Monasterios, RHP (age 21) Grade = B

Monasterios, acquired in the Bobby Abreu deal, is another in the line of young arms to watch in 2007. Though already 20 years old, Monasterios was pitching in the US for the first time in 2006, and put up solid numbers overall between the GCL Yankees and the GCL Phillies teams. He pitched 45 innings, posting a 3.20 ERA, allowing 41 hits and 6 walks to go with his 35 strikeouts. Obviously, his command is the first thing to jump out at you, and his K/BB rate is outstanding for a raw pitcher. Normally I’d deduct points for him being 20 in the GCL, but because it was his first pro season, you cut him a bit of slack. I don’t have much in the way of a scouting report on him, but he does have a good fastball, by all accounts, and will just need to work on his approach to pitching and refining his secondary stuff.

2007 Outlook: Carlos just turns 21 in March, so 2007 will be his age 21 season. He’s a likely candidate to head to Williamsport, and he should remain a starting pitcher for a while until the Phillies feel he can’t handle the role.

Bastardo, Antonio, LHP (age 21) Grade = C+

Bastardo, making his US debut in 2006, pitched well, all things considered, and showed a bit of promise. The Phillies were cautious with him, allowing him to pitch only 23 innings, mostly in relief, but he allowed only 20 hits, while walking 14 and striking out 27. The walks are obviously a concern, but the K rate is solid, and he allowed fewer hits than IP in his debut, so that’s a positive. I know little about his past, and I know little about what he throws, hence my cautious grading of him, but he could prove to be a useful bullpen arm in a few years, or he could prove to be little to nothing at all.

2007 Outlook: A repeat of the GCL is likely, as he learns to harness his stuff and acclimate himself to life in the United States. His control and command will be key, but if he can retain his strikeout numbers, positive things could be on the horizon.

7 thoughts on “Prospect Grades: Williams, Monasterios, Bastardo

  1. On Monasterios: I seem to have read somewhere that he has groundballitis…i.e., he throws ground balls w a sinker FB which is good for CBP. Mayhaps he and Henry, Smith, and Sanchez offer more promise than we had thought.

  2. Still don’t see adequate performance from Monasterios. For a 20 year old in GCL, that is too many hits and too few Ks per inning. A 3.20 ERA is nothing to write home about. On age/performance just in our short season, he seems behind Byrd, Dubee, Freeman, Carpenter.

  3. Yeah, but it was his first season in the US, that has to factor into it. There’s an adjustment period there for guys like him that 18 year old high school students don’t have to make, ie, learning a new language and living in a completely different country.

  4. I’ve asked about this guy before, and I understand that he’s a
    peripheral prospect at very best–but what can you dig up about
    catcher Orlando Guevara? He’s 23 and has already played at almost all levels in the system as a fill-in, so he must have
    decent catching skills. Apart from one .300+ season in the VSL,
    his stick looks weak. What do you know about him?

  5. I think you have pegged Guevera correctly as a solid defensive catcher without enough offense to be a top prospect. The Phillies tend to shuttle good defensive solid citizen type minor leaguers across various levels to fill holes. Catchers get moved around a little more than other positions because it is a specialized position. The real prospects tend to stay at their correct levels when an injury occurs because the Phillies are monitoring their development closely. The secondary prospects like Guevara get the promotion because it does not really matter to the Phillies if their development gets messed up.

  6. I think you’re right, Andy, about the
    Phillies’ shifting guys like that
    around. Gradoville has gotten something
    of the same treatment. Nevertheless,
    I’d still like to know more about
    Guevara.

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