Hot and Not 22 April 2011

A look at what players haven been putting up the numbers over the past week (4/15–4/21) and what players are putting up numbers of the wrong kind….

Top Hitters(min 10 AB’s): Kevin Frandsen (.448) 2R 0HR 5RBI 2SB); Darin Ruf (.409, 5R 0HR 1 RBI);  Sebastain Valle (.385 4R 0HR 3RBI); Matt Rizzotti (.381, 4R 1HR 5 RBI) Domingo Santana (.370, 4R 1HR 3 RBI)Edgar Duran (.360, 3R 0HR 3 RBI); Stephen Batts (.353, 3R 2HR 6 RBI); Jeremy Barnes (.345). Honorable mention: Harold Garcia, Cody Overbeck, Joe Savery

Slumping hitters:  Jiwan James (.125, 2-16), James Murphy (.143, 3-21)Dane Sardinha (.154, 2-13) Rich Thompson (.167, 4-24); Troy Hanzawa (.167, 3-18), Cory Sullivan (.191, 4-21)

Top Starters: Tyler Cloyd (6IP 1H 0ER 0BB 4K); Ervis Manzanillo (6IP 1H 0ER 1BB 6K); Jon Pettibone (6IP 5H 0ER 0BB 3K); Julio Rodriguez (2W, 10.2IP 4H 2ER 5BB 10K)Austin Hyatt (6IP 5H 1ER 1BB 7K); Mario Hollands (5IP 6H 1ER 3BB 2K); Honorable Mention: Jarrad Cosart

Top Relievers: Jordan Ellis (W, 4.2IP 3H 0ER 0BB 8K); Tyson Brummett (6.1IP 4H 0ER 3BB 5K); Eric Pettis (4.2IP 3H 0ER 3BB 1K); Scott Mathieson (4IP 1H 0ER 4BB 5K SV); Justin Friend (4.2IP 0H 0ER 2BB 2K 3SV) Jordan Whatcott (5.1IP 0ER), Chase Johnson (5IP 3H 0ER 2BB 2K)Honorable Mention: BJ Rosenberg, Phillipe Aumont

Struggling Pitchers: Josh Zeid (1.2IP 4H 4ER 3BB 0K)Joe Esposito (2.1IP 4H 4ER 1BB 2K); Hector Neris (2IP 5H 3ER 1BB 3K); Chris Kissock (2 starts, 8.2IP 15H 11ER 4BB 4K)Ryan Feirebend (4IP 7H 5ER 2BB 4K); Colby Shreve (2.2IP 6H 3ER 3BB 2K); Honorable Mention: Jeese Biddle, Trevor May, Brian Bass

79 thoughts on “Hot and Not 22 April 2011

  1. I think it is time for Robbie Hudson to get released. I would like a younger guy get brought up and get a chance. I would say that if Galvis is still hitting above .250 in about 50 abs that he deserves a shot. He has already had over 600 at bats at Reading.

    1. He’s also the youngest player on the Reading squad by a full year. He should stay there the entire year and get reps.

    2. He’s also slugging .260. He’s hitting for a higher average, but isn’t exactly killing it at reading.

    3. I would keep Freddy in AA the whole season, let him build some confidence. Like previously stated he is still very young.

    4. Hudson will go when Bocock gets back, however, if Josh Barfield opts out, you may see Hudson here for awhile longer. I think it Galvis hits .250-.260 over 200-300 AB’s this year, he will get a July call up.

  2. I think Tyler Cloyd is making a statement for being in the rotation vs. the pen. Career splits as a starter and reliever seem to support the idea. Hopefully the organization figures that out at some point.

    1. According to reports from last year, Cloyd is a righty who sits in the mid 80s. The phillies won’t give starters innings to a righty with that velo.

        1. Kendrick usually sits much higher than the mid-80s. Velocity often equates to the ability to miss bats. If KK had any kind of an off-speed pitch to go with his FB he’d be OK.

          1. He throws Fastball, Cutter, and Changeup…He throws his FB 89 MPH, Cutter 87 MPH, and Changeup 84 MPH. 89 MPH with your fastball is “much higher than the mid-80s”? Kendrick is just not good. He’s a junk-baller.

            1. High-80s to low-90s is much better than mid-80s, especially when it has sinking action like Kendrick’s fastball does. His problem is that he’s a one-pitch pitcher. He throws other pitches but they’re no good.

            2. Kendrick also got his FB up to about 92, 93, last year, not that it really helped him pitch well.

  3. Gotta like what Moose Mattair has done over his last 9 games hitting .367 (11 for 30) with two homers and 11 rbi’s . He leads the Threshers in rbi’s with 13 which ties him for 3rd in the FSL for the season.

  4. Can someone enlighten me about Mattair? From what I gather looking at his stats, I’m guessing he’s not considered much of a prospect at this point, since he didn’t do much with the bat in two years at Lakewood. It also seems he missed the 2010 season. What’s the book on him? Is he a good fielder? If he suddenly figures out how to hit, could he jump onto the radar considering the lack of talent in the system at 3b?

    1. He was a decent prospect but then he retired and went to college to play basketball for a year then decided to come back. Now he is doing pretty good for Clearwater. He said before he still really wanted to play basketball and now that he has, he is fully committed to baseball.

      1. I think it’s interesting you say he was a decent prospect. He really only had one demonstrable tool (fielding), and his hitting was terrible. I remember Keith Law saying one time he had good power in BP but never translated it. I was sorry to see him leave the system because so many people said he was such a good guy, but his departure did not impact the system whatsoever.

        Glad that he is back and doing so well this year, let’s hope it’s not a fluke.

    2. Just to add to Brandon’s comment: Spoke to Moose’s dad extensively in the bleachers in ST. He said his son took the off-season super-seroulsy for the first time, after taking the year off. Seems he realized he had made a mistake in leaving, but had to get it out of his system. I’m guessing hitting frustrations had a lot to do with it, in addition to his dream of playing basketball. Dad did not say he didn’t work out in previous seasons, just that he hired a personal trainer for the first time and really did the full thing, major makeover of his body. That’s usually important for a big guy, to maximize strength, leverage, flexibility. I think it enables a more powerful swing and the endurance to maintain that through the season. Much like Rizzotti did after the 2009 season–look at the results of that.

      Speaking of Rizzotti. I think there are some promotion issues around Rizz, Moose, and Barnes. Rizz came to camp this year with a fat belly hanging over his belt–did not take the off-season as seriously as the prev yr, in which he was really chiseled coming into camp. I think that’s why Phils kept him at Reading. Whether we agree or not, that’s their thinking–send a message that you have to be a pro and take it seriously in a consistent way. However, by Reading coaching staff reports, Rizz is working his ass off on his fielding and getting into better shape and it shows in his game. Clearly Rizz has turned a corner hitting and can probably hit for a stretch even poorly conditioned. The conditioning will tell in the long run though, in his fielding progress and his endurance through the season. W could see a promotion in May or June if Rizz keeps working and hitting.

      Mattair, OTOH, was rewarded for working his tail off. He was ripping the ball in ST, although sometimes right at people, with a couple HRs, etc. I think Phils thinking is that Mattair still has an outside chance to be a starting 3B if his work translates into long-term improvement. So they stuck him at A+ to give him a chance to show this year whether tat’s a mirage or not.

      By all accounts Barnes is a good guy, can really hit, and is in great shape. But he is seen as a solid utility prospect, maybe a fringe 2B prospect for a lower team. So they asked him to suck it up and be a leader and middle of the lineup presence among the young guys at Lakewood. That did not work out initially, but these things often turn around after the initial disappointment, and Barnes has picked it up lately. I expect to see him rewarded with a promotion when the young guys at Lakewood hit consistently. Right now they need him to keep mashing and get that team on track. No fun having a bunch of young guys who don’t shave yet struggling without someone to rely on for hitting and leadership.

      Just my read on Mattair, Rizz, and Barnes.

    3. I believe it’s been posted on this site that Mattair is actually a very good fielder. His bat was always the question, and lack of power for a guy his size. So far so good but it’s hard not to still be skeptical at this point.

      1. Reports on Mattair’s glove have always been good, including Mike Newman from Scouting the Sally raving about his fielding – I believe he said something along the lines of the Phillies should assign some a coach with him to work on his hitting since his defense was already Major League caliber. I suppose in that way he could be similar to Galvis

        1. I’ve seen Mattair play several games down here in Clearwater and am really impressed with him as a fielder. He’s built and carries himself a lot like Rolen, must have been a fan of his growing up.

  5. Hewitt has been doing really good. He had two hits tonight and brought his average up to .200. I think it was in the .80s a few days ago. Rupp, Murphy, and Altherr are all still under .200. Mendez had 4 hits and is now hittong over .400. Hopefully he can keep it up.

    1. Mendez was one of the guys I listed as under-the-radar in the off-season; just based on his power showing up at Williamsport. But he was a LF there and again his value will be in his ability to play 3b or 2b and still be a hitter. Still appears his best case is as a utility player but I will be rooting for him.

      Can anyone give some first hand accounts of him? Hitters are easier to evaluate from stats but does he look okay fielding and throwing? Does he have a good plate approach?

      1. Geancarlo will fly in south Philly. But seriously unlike a lot of latin player he isn’t afraid to walk making for a nice OBP. Lack of plate
        knowledge has held back so many careers.

  6. All the Hewitt haters are getting quiet, avg up to 200 and climbing from here towards 300. Dave $$$ Montgomery had him pegged all along and his draft smarts are about to pay off with this future star…

    1. Hewitt over .200 after how many years in the organization. Check out K total, poor fielding. He won’t hit above .230 by seasons end in low A ball. Might be a star in an independent league someday

  7. I doubt Hewitt is going to do anything over the long haul.

    I am much more focused on Santana and Singleton. Singleton is only 19 and does not seem to be slowing down at all in high A ball. He is showing all the signs of being a truly outstanding hitter – the type of player the Phils desperately need.

    1. They are maybe our two position prospects with the most upside. Singleton has all the earmarks today of a solid major league starter, maybe with all-star potential. Santana–jury still out on him, but if he hits at Lakewood with any consistency at all this year (.260, 15 HRs, take some walks?) and keep refining his OF game, he will begin to erase some of the question marks. As you say, both have the age factor going for them big time, esp Santana.

      I like to compare Hewitt and Brown. Both would have off the charts wide receiver scouting numbers in strength, speed, vertical leap, etc. Big time athletes. Both can hit the ball a mile in BP, maybe Hewitt with a sight edge in raw power, with reports of ~500 ft. shots. Both with rifle arms.

      With Brown, there were reports before his draft that he loved baseball and was an instinctive hitter, with a nice easy swing. In other words a little bit to imagine him as an actual baseball player. And he had more experience and better competition in Florida. Hewitt played in inferior leagues, with no reports coming through about any real baseball skills or instincts. I’m all for drafting athletes, but sometimes Phils get mesmerized by good bodies and draft some of these guys to high. I think in hindsight, you draft a super-high-risk guy like Hewitt in the second round or later (like they did with Hudson) and get more certain value in R1.

  8. Shreve decided to validate his not hot status, last night. 10 hits in a relief appearance?
    Trevor May only honorable mention on the not hot? May wakes up walking guys. Small sample and all, but Pettibone will jump May in the rankings this year. He doesn’t strike out enough guys, but he doesn’t walk guys either.

  9. JC Ramirez…very hot…7 ip today (complete game) shutout and is now 3-0!! Might see him in AAA by the end of the year.

    1. Has anyone here actually seen JC pitch? Wondering if you can describe how he pitches, his arm action, velo etc…

  10. Go JC! Shut’n ‘em out. He seems to be following the Vance Worley blueprint. Bad first year in AA at age 21, followed by a good year in AA at age 22. Even got a few Ks this game.

          1. On a less snarky note:

            Defense: Rollins is still a gold glove shortstop. Valdez is not bad, but not at that level. Galvis might be at that level, but unlikely better.

            Power: some decline from Rollins here, but, small 2011 sample size aside, he is signficantly better than either Valdez or Galvis, both of whom has no power at all.

            On base abilities – even now, Rollins has contact skills at least as good as Valdez and Galvis, problably better. He is also far better at drawing a BB (the one area of his game which has improved).

            Speed – big advantage Rollins.

            I would venture to say that there is no aspect of the game where either Galvis or Valdez is better than Rollins.

          2. On a less snarky note, there is probably no area of the game where either Valdez or Galvis is better than Rollins. Valdez might have equal contact skills, and Galvis might have equal defensive skills. On everything else – power, ability to draw a BB, speed – Rollins is superior to both, and he has better contact skills than Galvis and better defense than Valdez.

  11. Singleton with his first homer of the year. Santana went deep too. Pettibone is impressing once again.

  12. All the talk about Cosart, Colvin, and May to be the top guns and Pettibone is the one who might see Reading first. He is about to go 3-0 and only one ER in 24 IP.

  13. Never seen pettibone pitch. Remember when we drafted him, i believe pp thought it was a little reach. but what does he throw, what type of velocity, anyone know. ty

    1. Saw him at Greensboro last year. Throws hard, a heavy FB that can crack bats. 91-94, as I remember, maybe an occasional 95. Nice slider also–avg to avg+. His problem has been command in previous years. In early innings he would be a little off the plate, not crazy wild, but just off enough to pitch behind in the count. I wonder if he is getting more first pitch strikes. I liked his demeanor also. Did not look like a raw kid or deer in the headlights, had a little steel in him.

  14. All of a sudden Lakewood’s offense is a juggernaut and the pitchers can’t get anyone out. Baseball can be very strange, especially in the minors it seems.

  15. The rise of the Cisco Kid, a Moose Hr, many good things tonight Galvis being #1.
    a) throw out all the old stats
    b) if can make the same kids of leap over the next year as he has done this year, many
    will have cheese steak all over their faces.

    1. What about readings bullpen so far…? Looking pretty dominant. Another great performance from cisco.

  16. I believe I just saw Baez and Kendrick both throw 1-2-3 innings in the same game. Can somebody please confirm? I’m seeing it live and I checked the boxscore online but still having trouble believing it…

    1. It’s San Diego, $$$ and Amaro’s favorite lineup, makes the Phils look like something.

      I was expecting Hamels to throw a complete game shutout Friday night, not eight innings. Cole was my preseason pick to win the N.L. Cy Young.

  17. “To be fair they were playing against a minor league line-up.”

    And we wouldn’t be shocked if the two of them retired the Buffalo Bisons or Ashville Tourists 1-2-3?????????

    On the other side, Antonio Bastardo sure has stepped up and taken the opportunity he’s been given and could not have done any better up to this point. Looks confident and like he knows he belongs, and with the 95 mph fastball and sharp breaking slider, why shouldn’t he…

  18. Duke – key part will be his mental approach and toughness but I have to agree his stuff and stats do make him look more like a late inning guy than a middle relief type guy

  19. Discussion Question – now that we’ve all seen three weeks of Ben Francisco as an everyday player, and let’s assume Dom Brown starts a rehab at LHV in another two weeks or less and puts up some decent numbers for a week at AAA, what would you do if you were the Phils with Dom Brown, Ben Francisco, John Mayberry, and the RF job in Philly, assuming Ben keeps playing similar to his current performance for those next few weeks?

    1. I think the problem with your scenario is that the nature of Brown’s injury is such that he his unlikely to revover his power until 2012. I don’t see him contributing much at the major league level till then.

      1. The biggest problem with the post is his mention of John Mayberry Jr. as some sort of MLB talent. Exactly how much longer before they say “enough!”? Mayberry Jr’s record before the season began screamed “enough!” yet he’s still here.

        The whole lineup and reserves looks more like the 2000 “Bring It On!” Phillies fraud than a team going after the World Series.

        The Yankees look they have 2 1/2 lineups compared to the Phils. Same with the Red Sox.

        1. Yeah, the Yankees are so amazing. How could anyone bet against a team that has Bartolo Colon, AJ Burnett and Freddy Garcia in the rotation?

        2. John Mayberry with a double in today’s game. Too bad he can’t even hack it at the AAA level. We’ll have to send him back to Reading soon.

          1. I’m actually not one of the Mayberry fans, but there is no reason he can’t fill a platoon role very well. Given modern roster realities (i.e., 12 pitchers = only 5 bench players), platoons are mostly things of the past. But with this team this year, having a right hander batter who can play all 3 OF positions with a career OPS against LHP of .908 (yes, I know, small sample size) is a good thing.

            1. Agreed. It’s very unlikely he’s ever good enough to be a starter, but he does have some value on the bench at the moment and can certainly hit his weight at AAA.

            2. Its hard not to find a WS team that didn’t have a surprise role player. Mayberry could be that guy.

              I think the fact remains the same even after the sweep this line-up will need a proven bat at some point.

              As good as our pitching is if you start to look at the Rangers and Yankees and what they do offensively we will need more artillery to bring home another ring.

      2. LarryM is right. However, Brown should still be able to contribute as a contact hitter with his speed.

        In any event the best thing to do is get Brown some confidence building at bats + OF reps in AAA and not in the crucible of Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies can’t win the pennant the next two months, but they could surely set back Brown’s development.

  20. It will be interesting to see if Ben evolves as a hitter this year…right now he is trying to pull balls into the LF bleachers with every swing.

  21. Saturday’s top 30 results (I added a few names)

    1. OF – Domonic Brown (Lehigh Valley) – DNP
    2. RHP – Brody Colvin (Clearwater)- (0-0, 9.00) DNP
    3. OF – Jon Singlteton (Clearwater)- (.306) – 1 for 4 with a HR (1) and 2 RBI
    4. RHP – Jared Cosart (Clearwater) – (1-3, 4.03) – DNP
    5. RHP – Trevor May (Clearwater)- (0-2, 7.71) – DNP
    6. C – Sebastian Valle (Clearwater) – (.250) – DNP
    7. LHP – Jesse Biddle (Lakewood) – (0-2, 5.54) – DNP
    8. RHP – Vance Worley (Lehigh valley) – (1-2, 2.55) – DNP
    9. OF – Tyson Gillies (Reading) – DNP
    10. RHP – Justin De Fratus (Reading) – (2-0, 4.50, 1 SV) – 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB and a 1K
    11. RHP – Julio Rodriquez (Clearwater)- (2-0, 2.63) DNP
    12. 2B – Cesar Hernandez (Clearwater) – (.160) DNP
    13. OF – Domingo Santana (Lakewood) – (.278) 1 for 4 with a HR (2) and a K
    14. RHP – JC Ramirez (Reading) – (3-0, 1.33) – 7 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB and 4 K’s (CG win)
    15. OF – Aaron Altherr (Lakewood) – (.157) DNP
    16. RHP – Jon Pettibone (Clearwater) – (2-0, 0.38) 7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB and 7 K’s (win)
    17. C – Cameron Rupp (Lakewood) – (.194) DNP
    18. OF – Jiwan James (Clearwater) – (.237) – 1 for 5 with a 2B (3) and a run
    19. 2B – Harold Garcia (Reading) – (.300) DNP
    20. RHP – Kevin Walter – Season hasn’t started
    21. RHP – Colby Shreve (Lakewood) – (1-2, 5.54) – DNP
    22. RHP – Phillippe Aumont (Reading) – (0-0, 0.00, 1 SV) – DNP
    23. RHP – Michael Schwimer (Lehigh Valley) – (1-0, 2.00) – 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER,1 BB and 3 K’s (win)
    24. 1B – Matt Rizzotti (Reading) – (.411) – 1 for 6 with an RBI
    25. RHP – Austin Hyatt (Reading) – (2-0, 1.80) – DNP
    26. OF – Leandro Castro (Clearwater) – (.306) DNP
    27. OF – Miguel Alvarez (Lakewood) –(.189) 0 for 4 with a K
    28. OF – Kelly Dugan – Season hasn’t started
    29. RHP – Josh Zeid (Reading) – (0-1, 5.74) – DNP
    30. RHP – Percival Garner – Season hasn’t started

    Others:

    1B – Cody Overbeck (Reading) – (.350) 3 for 7 with a 2B (4), 2 runs, an RBI and 2 K’s
    3B – Geancarlo Mendez (Lakewood) – (.370) 1 for 5 with an RBI and a K
    SS – Freddy Galvis (Redding) – (.291) – 3 for 5 with a 2B (1), a run and an RBI
    OF – Joe Savery (Clearwater) –(.467) 1 for 4 with a 3B (1), a run and an RBI
    RHP – Mike Stutes (Lehigh valley) – (2-1, 1.80, 1 SV) – 1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB and 1 K (save)
    RHP – Scott Mathison (Lehigh valley) –(3.52, 0-0, 1 SV) – DNP
    RHP – Jordan Ellis (Clearwater) – (1-0, 0.00) – 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB and 3 K’s
    LHP – Mario Hollands (Lakewood) –(2-1, 1.10) – DNP

  22. Yes I have. He tripled to right center field the other night to score a runner from first. You were probably watching the Mets game at the time…

  23. Unfortunaly this team has two fourth or fifth outfielders being asked to do too much, mayberry and francisco arent starting outfielders in this league. but i like mayberry defense over francisco

    1. The Phillies need two under 30 years old core bats.

      Halladay, Lee and Oswalt did not sign on here to wait three or four years for Brown and Singleton to “take over the corners” in Philly.

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