Reading Phillies Weekly Report (5/04 – 5/10)

It was yet another good week for the Phils as Reading went 4-2 on the week and now sit at 17-10, good for 3rd in the entire Eastern League.  A pattern emerged this week as the Phils continually rode good pitching and good enough hitting to their 4 victories.  The offense was without Taylor for most of the week, so that may have been the final blow to an already lackluster bunch.  Oh well, the pitching prospects shined and with the Philadelphia Phillies struggling with run prevention, this group has got to bring a smile to your face when you think of the future.  The game recaps and prospect highlights are after the break.  Enjoy.

Standings

EAS Northern Division W L PCT GB STREAK L10
New Hampshire 17 12 .586 L1 5-5
Portland 14 14 .500 2.5 W1 5-5
Trenton 13 13 .500 2.5 W2 4-6
Binghamton 13 14 .481 3.0 L2 4-6
Connecticut 13 15 .464 3.5 W1 5-5
New Britain 13 15 .464 3.5 L1 6-4
EAS Southern Division W L PCT GB STREAK L10
Akron 21 5 .808 W2 8-2
Erie 18 10 .630 4.5 W2 7-3
Reading 17 10 .615 5.0 L1 6-4
Bowie 11 15 .423 10.0 L2 4-6
Altoona 8 19 .296 13.5 W1 3-7
Harrisburg 6 20 .231 15.0 L2 4-6

Game Recaps

05/04/09 – Reading Phillies (4) at Connecticut Defenders (2)

In the Phils’ first game of the week, order was restored as pitching paved the way to another Phillies victory.  Vance Worley started and was tremendously effective in his 6 innings of work.  Worley allowed 2 earned runs on 6 hits and 0 walks.  In what is becoming typical for Worley, he also recorded an impressive 7 strikeouts.  Worley is not sporting a 3.5/1 K/BB ratio.  Worley has only made five starts at AA, but they have been an impressive five starts.  Zagirthski relieved Worley and pitched a scoreless inning which included 1 walk and 2 strikeouts.  The Hefty Lefty has yet to allow a run for Reading.

The offense was without their one and only star, Michael Taylor.  Somehow, it was pretty easy to tell.  8 singles were spread throughout the Phils’ lineup including 1 by Berry, 1 by Harman, and 2 by Stavisky.  Taylor had 1 plate appearance as a pinch-hitter and walked.  He also happened to score the winning run in the top of the 9th inning as the Phils rallied late in the game with their indefensible  singles barrage.  Well done Phils, nice game plan.  Connecticut did not know what hit them.

05/05/09 – Reading Phillies (1) at Connecticut Defenders (6)

There were many similarities between this loss and yesterday’s win.  A great effort was given by today’s starter, Michael Stutes, the offense was without Taylor, and the offense was dreadful.  The last two may or may not be correlated.  Of course, a big difference between the two games was the final score, as the Phils got whipped today 6-1.  Stutes was back in fine form after a horrendous previous start in which he allowed 4 earned runs in an entire 2 innings pitched!  Today, Stutes only allowed 1 earned on 4 hits, 3 walks, and 5 strikeouts  in 6 innings of work.  A job well done.  Shortslef relieved Stutes and promptly imploded for 5 earned in 1.2 innings pitched.  A job not well done.  Lets place the blame for this loss on Shortslef, just for fun.

Even though I have already doled out the blame to Shortslef, the offense did not exactly have his back.  The Reading Phils racked up 6 hits while also showing some power as 2 of the hits were doubles!  Stavisky and Sellers were the muscles behind that power as both collected 1 double each.  I know I sound like a broken record, but Berry and Harman combined to go 1-8, with Berry collecting the lone single.  Even though Taylor may be the only bonafide hitting prospect on the Phils’ roster, they have decent veterans like Mahar, Stavisky, Sellers, and Spidale who are all having nice seasons.  I really believe that the lack of offense (even if it is not prospect fueled offense), falls on the shoulders of both Berry and Harman.  It is hard to score runs when the 1-2 in your lineup have a combined OBP of .301.

05/06/09 – Reading Phillies (2) at Connecticut Defenders (1)

Hmm, lets see.  This game featured dominating pitching and a putrid offensive performance.  Where have I seen that before?  Fortunately, the Phils scored just enough in this one to come away with a victory.  Antonio Bastardo followed the example set by Worley and Stutes and was absolutely terrific.  Bastardo’s return to the rotation has now seen 1 horrible start sandwiched by 2 gems.  He lasted 5.1 innings, his longest appearance since returning to the rotation, and allowed 4 hits and 1 walk culminating in 1 earned run.  As always, Bastardo collected his fair share of strikeouts with 7 on the evening.  Bastardo’s performance was arguably not even the best by a a Phillies’ pitcher, however.  Sergio Escalona registered his 8th save by recording the final 6 outs, all with only a 1 run lead.  Escalona allowed 1 hit and struck out 4.  I am not a fan of Escalona, but he has admittedly pitched fairly well this year.  Tonight’s performance was one of his best.

Hear that?  It was a huge sigh of relief.  No, it was not the entire country of South Korea exhaling over Park’s job saving performance.  It was Phillies nation exhaling over Michael Taylor making his return to the Phils lineup.  I do not know why he was held out of the previous two games (although he did make pinch-hitting and defensive replacement appearances) but it sure was nice to have him back getting regular at-bats.  He was crucial in the Phils victory as he smacked home the winning run with a two out RBI double.  It was the Phils lone extra-base hit on the night.  5 other singles were hit by Sellers (1), Spidale (1), and Leon (3).

05/07/09 – Reading Phillies () at Connecticut Defenders ()

Postponed due to rain.

05/08/09 – Reading Phillies (3) vs. Altoona Curve (1)

New day, same old story.  The Phillies’ pitching was tremendous, from Brummett to Escalona with Zagirthski in between, while the offense did just enough to earn the victory.  Brummett pitched very well and ended up lasting 6.2 innings.  His final line read 4 hits, 1 earned run, 3 walks, and 8 strikeouts.  This was yet another strong outing for Brummett, who is proving that he still has some worth after his disastrous ’08 AA debut.  Zagirthski relieved Brummett and was similarly effective.  The Hefty Lefty pitched 1.1 innings of perfect ball while also recording 1 strikeout.  Zagirthski has now pitched 4.1 scoreless innings at Reading in his TJS comeback.  Escalona came in to record the final 3 outs and also gather his 9th save.  Escalona gave up 1 hit and recorded 1 strikeout.

The offense was driven by Spidale and Gosewisch.  Spidale went 2-4 with 1 R, 1 2B, 1 HR, and 2RBI.  Gosewisch went 2-3 with 1 2B and 1 RBI.  Harman and Taylor both went hitless with Taylor drawing 1 walk.  There really isn’t much else to talk about.  Without Taylor mashing, the offense struggles to score runs.  Luckily, the pitching continues to be excellent.

05/09/09 – Reading Phillies (2) vs. Altoona Curve (4)

Savery got the nod today and it was yet another middling performance.  The results were not bad, 2 earned runs in 5 innings pitched, but he also allowed 6 hits and 3 walks.  Savery continues to allow far too many base runners and is one of the most frustrating pitchers I have seen in a long time (more on this in the prospect watch section).  German was one of three relievers used on the day.  He allowed 1 earned run on 2 hits, 1 of which was a home run, in his 1 inning of work.  The pitching wasn’t bad, but if it is not terrific there probably is not much of a chance for victory as the offense seems to struggle day in and day out.

The offense was, as usual, terrible.  However, the usual suspects were not holding back Reading today.  Berry went 2-4 with 1 R, 1 2B, and 1 BB.  That is Berry’s second extra-base hit on the season.  Sweet.  Harman, Berry’s partner in putridity, went 3-4 and collected both of Reading’s RBI.  Also, the starting pitcher, Savery, was the team’s third best hitter as he went 1-1 with 1 R and 1 BB.  Taylor went hitless for the second day in a row.

05/10/09 – Reading Phillies (2) vs. Altoona Curve (1)

Guess what happened today.  Yeah, you probably guessed right.  Vance Worley dominated for 8 innings in what is arguably his most impressive start in an already impressive season.  He allowed only 3 hits and 1 walk while striking out 6.  He did allow a solo home run for his lone earned run, but, I think we can cut him some slack.  Escalona was needed in the 9th to nail down the victory.  He achieved his 10th save by allowing 1 hit and recording 1 strike out in a scoreless 9th inning.  One of these days it would be nice to earn a victory without needing a save, but I do not see many of those ahead.

The offense was once again rather pathetic.  If not for the extraordinary power displayed by Muscles McGee, aka Quintin Berry, the Phils would have gone into extra innings.  Yes, you did read that correctly, Quintin Berry flashed some plus plus raw power today by smacking his first home run of the season.  It was a solo shot in the 3rd inning.  Sadly, nothing else to really report.  Taylor sat out perhaps from a lingering injury, although I have still heard nothing on the subject.  We best get Nancy Drew on the case.

Prospect Watch

Brad Harman

Harman easily had his best week of the season.  Before you rejoice, take a look at what qualifies as his best.  He hit .273 (6-22) with 1 R, 1 2B, and 3RBI.  Yup, that is money.  His season totals are .238/.292/.390.  Sorry, but I have nothing else to really say on the subject.

Quintin Berry

I could pretty much copy and paste Harman’s section into Berry’s and be good to go.  Berry also had his best week of the season, hell he hit a home run!  On the week he went .250 (5-20) with 3 R, 1 2B, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 BB, and 5 SO.  Yes, like Harman, that week is not all that great.  But, progress is progress.  For the season Berry is up to .242/.337/.297.  Go get ’em, tiger.

Michael Taylor

Of the 6 games played this week, Taylor only started in 3 of them.  I am not sure what is wrong, but it is pretty clear that there is some sort of lingering injury, at least in my opinion.  In those three games Taylor batted .091 (1-11) with 1 R, 1 2B, 1 RBI, and 2 BB.  It was a short week for Taylor and he is battling something.  I am more than happy to give the big guy a mulligan.

Antonio Bastardo

Bastardo had one start on the week and it was a terrific start.  He allowed 1 earned on 4 hits and 1 walk in 5.1 innings of work while also striking out 7.  Bastardo has now started 3 games since he returned to the rotation.  2 have been excellent and 1 was atrocious.  I know it is only 3 games, but thus far Bastardo looks as if he has improved upon his biggest weakness in ’08, walks.  In ’08 Reading, Bastardo had a .222 BAA, 4.95 W/9, and 8.15 K/9.  Thus far as a starter in ’09, Bastardo sits at .196 BAA, 1.88 W/9, and 8.79 K/9.  So, Bastardo has managed to keep his hits and strikeouts at similar levels while significantly decreasing his walks.  It has really improved his performance, lets see if he can keep it up.

Tyson Brummett

Brummett had one nice start this week as he is slowly building a solid ’09 season.  Brummett allowed 1 earned on 7 base runners in 6.2 innings.  The best part of the performance was the 8 strikeouts Brummett recorded.  On the season, Brummett has a 2.80 ERA, 3.10 FIP, and 1.30 WHIP.  He has improved upon all of his peripherals since 2008.  For ’08 Reading, Brummett had a 1.88 WHIP, 12.0% BB/PA, and 12.3% K/PA.  Thus far in ’09, Brummett is at 1.30 WHIP, 6.0% BB/PA, and 16.1% K/PA.  Really nice progress.

Sergio Escalona

Escalona had a very nice week.  He appeared in 3 games, all save opportunities, and left with all 3 saves.  He pitched a grand total of 4 IP allowing 0 ER on 3 H, 0 BB, and 6 SO.  Escalona has a pretty ERA of 2.13 on the season.  I still think this season is more of an aberration than the norm.  Comparing the ’09 seasons stats to ’08 Reading, Escalona has maintained a very similar walk rate while striking out 4.7% less batters.  I think the keys to his ’09 success have been a .310 BABIP and 5% HR/Air ratio, both significantly lower than in ’08.  His FIP stands at 3.83.

Edgar Garcia

Nope, still not here.  I have not heard a word about it, either.

Joe Savery

Oh Joe, what do I know?  I have made a point to go to as many of Savery’s games as possible, and I keep seeing the same things.  In my opinion, the one pitch that is holding Savery back is the fastball.  Both his curve and changeup are better pitches than the fastball.  With my trained non-scouting eye, I believe that his curveball and changeup flash as plus pitches while his fastball strives to be average.  I suppose that is why he always seems to be nibbling, always working the edges (or trying to, he often misses), and is always laboring through his starts.  He simply does not work off of his fastball, and I can understand why.  The fastball sits 87-90 and is as straight as an arrow.  Also, while his curve and changeup have nice action, he lacks command of all three pitches.  I think if he were ever to improve his fastball with movement and not necessarily speed, then he would be ready to take several steps forward.  I do not know if this is ever going to happen, but I think it needs to in order for Savery to become a major league pitcher.

Michael Stutes

There really isn’t much to say about Stutes.  Stutes bounced back nicely from his first poor outing last week to dominate the Defenders this week.  He pitched 6 innings and allowed 1 earned on 4 hits and 3 walks.  He also struck out 5.  On the season, Stutes has a 2.88 ERA, 3.04 FIP, 1.19 WHIP, 2.77 W/9, 8.31 K/9, and a .338 BABIP.  They are good numbers and good peripherals to go along with a good performance.  The only thing we can do is sit back and enjoy the ride.

Vance Worley

Unfortunately, there is really nothing much to say about Worley.  He has been mostly terrific, and that has not changed this week.  In his 2 outings he has gone 14 IP with 9 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, and 13 SO.  He now sports a 2.11 ERA on the season.  He has been as impressive as his numbers suggest, and we just have to hope he can continue onward in a similarly dominating fashion.

Michael Zagurski

Zagirthski threw 2.1 innings of no hit ball in 2 appearances this week.  He did walk 1 while striking out 3.  It is great to the Hefty Lefty back and pitching well.  He is an easy guy to root for, and I do exactly that.

Stat Leaders

Brad Harman – 3B – 2 – T-4th

Quintin Berry – SB – 9 – T-2nd

Quintin Berry – CS – 4 – T-1st

Michael Taylor – 3B – 2 – T-4th

Michael Taylor – SB – 5 – T-8th

Antonio Bastardo – ERA – 2.08 – 6th

Antonio Bastardo – WHIP – 0.92 – T-5th

Joe Savery – IP – 32 – 8th

Sergio Escalona – SV – 10 – 1st

Michael Stutes – ERA – 2.88 – 16th

Tyson Brummett – ERA – 2.80 – 14th

Tyson Brummett – IP – 35.1 – 4th

Vance Worley – ERA – 2.11 – 7th

Vance Worley – IP – 38.1 – 1st

Vance Worley – SO – 34 – 2nd

Vance Worley – WHIP – 0.86 – 2nd

Transactions

05/05/09 – Reading Phillies placed C Kevin Nelson on the 7-Day disabled list retroactive to May 4, 2009.  Strained right elbow.

05/05/09 – C Orlando Guevara assigned to Reading Phillies from Lakewood BlueClaws.

05/08/09 – RHP Jason Anderson assigned to Lehigh Valley IronPigs from Reading Phillies.

05/08/09 – Francisco Butto assigned to Reading Phillies from Lehigh Valley IronPigs.

77 thoughts on “Reading Phillies Weekly Report (5/04 – 5/10)

  1. Harman’s hitting .300 the last 10 games and has only struck out 4 times. Hopefully he keep it up and gets back to prospect status.

    Btw on top of Worley’s bb/k rate, I love that he’s getting a good amount of ground balls. 1.60 GO/AO. Shows that he gets good sink and run on his fastball.

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  2. There has been a lot of talk about Savery moving to relief and hitting.
    Can we agree something other than status quo is needed. The more I think about limiting Savery’s next two starts as a step to relief or revival while experimenting as a semifull time
    hitter, the more it makes sense.
    Worley is making a serious move to number one minor league
    pitcher for the Phils with Mr Stutes in the next car.
    Nice move by Harman

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  3. Hey man great stuff, love the sarcasm when writing about the guys that are doing poorly. (that’s not sarcasm, it’s good stuff) Maybe they could teach Joe a cutter if his fastball is too straight.

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  4. Warm up the Zman if Tashner cant even get a leftie out what good is he. Lets end the Jaramillo,Paulino,Tasner mess. Ok Ruben you made a mistake not the end of the world. Giving
    Z a few outings even in trash time until JC comes back, Has got to be better than today

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  5. I wanted to read the scouting report on Worley, I think it ‘s unbelieveable, when you read the crosschecker, and pp and others on picks. They hit the nail on the head on a lot of guys, pp said of some of the picks that he didn;t like and two years later he was right on almost everyone, Even with taylor, said disappointing but very toolsy could develop. In fact the only one I question is he liked if I read right , Sampson over Workman, and that is yet to be determined, but only from what I have read workman last season really came on in the cod league. Does PP see a lot of these kids or mostly on the material he can read , one scout said Knapp was the most overrated pitcher in newjersey, wow. I wonder if he still feels that way? On worley it said 92-93 fastball. I still can’t figure some of these speed reading like how does myers only throw 90. did he lose velocity since he was drafted. or was that what he was throwing in the minors.

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  6. I really think Savery needs to stay in the rotation, at least until the end of this season if not more. The only alternative for Savery, in my opinion, is that he get switched to a full time position prospect (I am not saying I think this is a good idea, just that it is the only alternative).
    Basically, what I am getting at, is that I really see no reason why Savery would adapt well to a bullpen role. Savery does not have outrageous splits in his minor league career that would indicate he might be an exceptional LOOGY option. His BAA against LH is .039 points better than that of RH which is nothing outrageous. This could entirely be because of a large .057 BABIP difference in favor of (lower for) LH. Also, while Savery walks LH less, he also has less k’s against them. None of this data indicates a LOOGY future.
    Forgetting the idea of Savery becoming a LOOGY, I also do not see a brighter bullpen future in which he could become a viable late inning option (unless of course he develops a better fastball, but then why not leave him a starter). Basically, I look for pitchers who have an average to plus repertoire of two pitches, one being a fastball and the other a breaking ball. Typically, these pitchers’ stuff can play up in short stints and the pitcher will not be exposed by facing the lineup multiple times with only two pitches. However, Savery is not that type of pitcher. If anything, he is the exact opposite. He has two off-speed pitches that I believe could play at the major league level, but has trouble utilizing them because he never works off of his fastball (think Myers).
    The thing is, I really think Savery can turn this around. I do not think Savery needs to be low to mid 90’s to be successful. For whatever reason, his velocity has never come back post surgery and at this point I do not think we should expect it to. What really hurts Savery is that his fastball is relatively straight and he has trouble locating it. Fortunately, those are two aspects of the fastball that a pitcher can change over time. If Savery can improve upon his command and movement, then I think he can become a legitimate mid-rotation starter at the major league level. Anyway, those are my thoughts. I would want to keep Savery in the rotation until the end of 2010. Then, if he is still struggling, I would switch him to a fielding position.

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  7. Savery at 88-90 with two off speed pitches. what is the difference between him and Myers or blanton, the only thing is he is lefthanded, but in my opinion you, described, blanton,
    Myers, straight low velocity fastball. not controled in the zone, with descent or better off speed pitches. to me its hard to see this guy being anything but a relief pitcher or loogy. But all we are doing is voicing our opinion for fun. Hopefully you are right about him, First round bust hurt you,

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  8. Went to the Reading game today. I was very disappointed to see that Taylor was being given the day off–he looked fine warming up, I think it was just a day of rest coming off his recent “shut-down”.

    Worley threw consistently around 87-88 on the gun, peaking at 92. He has a cutter, a slider, and a very slow curve that breaks at least a foot (the gun on the curve said 69-71). He threw very few four-seam FBs, usually with two strikes and high in the zone. He had excellent control, and kept the ball down in the zone. In the 7th, with a 1-0 lead, he tired a bit, but with a runner on second and no one out, he got a flyball, then jammed a guy who hit a bleeder to the 3Bman. After a walk, he concentrated and struck the next guy out on three pitches, the last on a good FB at 91. He was clearly tired in the 8th (should have been pulled) and gave up a long HR to RCF (wind was blowing out hard today). He looks good at the plate; hit one to the track himself. Probably could use an extra MPH or two on his FB, but could be a serviceable starter if his control stays razor-sharp. His curve is a really good out-pitch, but if he hangs it he’s dead.

    Berry’s HR was a shot over the pool and into the back of the pavilion in dead RF. Berry has a beautiful swing, although it’s long for a guy with such limited power. He squared the ball up twice, once on the HR and once on a hard-hit single. Struck out on three 95+ FBs in the first inning from Altoona (Pirates) starter Brad Lincoln, who was consistently around 95 on the Reading gun. Harman had a good game, doubling hard to the wall in RCF in the first and singling hard to LCF after Berry’s HR.

    Escalona threw his FB around 88 and hit 91 on his fastest pitch. He looked pretty difficult to time, throwing pitches at a lot of different speeds. I think his slider was his out-pitch. Only hit off him was a dribbler into the no-mans land between pitcher, 1B, and 2B.

    Sellers, Stavisky, and Mahar are solid AA vets. Milner looked a bit overmatched.

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  9. This isnt too hard using past stats to justify what will happen in a completely new situation doesnt float. Shorter stints by
    Savery may mean a better fastball. I dont know that but neither does anyone else until it is tried. I am not sending him to hell but a short stint cant hurt. Two start only three innings each then rethink

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  10. phillychuck thanks. Not knowing a lot about prospects, a righthanded pitcher who is around 88 that to me doesn’t related well to starting in the majors. I really thought this kid had a plus fastball and a lot of good offspeed stuff, If you look at myers and blanton they are 88-90 and have great curves, yet they get banged. Maybe I am reading too much into it, but he doesn’t give me as much hope to be a big time pitcher, as I had hoped,

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  11. A couple things “mikemike”

    1- Myers & Blanton throw that speed but their fastballs are straight as arrows. Also they haven’t located their fastballs very well. Example: Look at what Myers did the second half of last year after his minors trip he was aggressive and spotted his fastballs down at the knees. Same speed/movement and he was awesome.

    2- Blanton doesn’t have a great curve ball, his curve is ok. It’s a slow loopy ball that he doesn’t throw very often at all since he’s been with the Phils. Not sure if that’s because of Dubee or because of other things.

    3- Myers CB is highly highly affective when he doesn’t fall in love with it and scrap his fastball. When he’s on he’s pounding fastballs for strikes and throwing that devastating CB that drops out of the zone low.

    4- From what I know about Worley his fastball has some sink and run on it. It also appears he can locate it consistently. If you’re aggressive and can spot your fastball you can succeed.

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  12. He isn’t going to magically throw harder because he isn’t pitching for as long. It doesn’t work that way.

    Thanks caz, your reports are really enjoyable to read. And thanks phillychuck, that was an awesome firsthand report. I had been curious what Worley’s stuff was like– How is the movement on his fastball?

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  13. “mikemike Says:
    …Maybe I am reading too much into it, but he doesn’t give me as much hope to be a big time pitcher, as I had hoped,”

    Well, Worley never projected to be a ‘big-time’ pitcher anyway. the velocity numbers are a little of a bummer, but he seems to thave the stuff and ability to succeed in some capacity anyway.

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  14. Skunky Says:
    He isn’t going to magically throw harder because he isn’t pitching for as long. It doesn’t work that way.

    And you know this how? crystal ball, medical degree, Savery
    for the most part has been effective for a few innings. Is it impossible that he lack stamina in his arm or that pacing himself isnt his thing.
    If i said i was going to give you ten buck, you would have something neative to say.

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  15. B pounding fastballs at 88-89? is one of the things that to me makes myers so hittable, he has a great curve, but when guys know you can’t blow it by them ,and don’t have pinpoint control. You become very hittable. and after Reading about Worley in the draft report, and now from the reports on this blog it might be that PP and Scouts were right, They though he might be a bullpen guy, Hope PP breaks his silence and explains to us about his opinion on what he project this kid to be,

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  16. Actually, a lot of pitchers are able to increase velocity by being used for short stints…Myers in relief did this, Chan Ho Park did it last year, Madson said part of his velocity increase is knowing he’s only out there for 1 inning at a time instead of long-relief, etc etc etc. I could probably name a dozen more guys that have increased velocity because of going from starting to short relief. Its the difference between pacing oneself on the mound and throwing 100% on every pitch.

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  17. Worley is another guy who might benefit from some Moyer time.
    Is something wrong with MT ? Since the days off he hasnt hit
    and everyone was asking why the days off when he was hot.

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  18. But, if Savery increases his velocity from 87-90 to 90-93 or whatever, I do not think it is going to make a difference. A 93 mph fastball thrown straight and with no control is going to get pounded. He needs movement and command more so than just velocity. Also, nowheels keeps alluding to the fact that Savery is effective “for a few innings” at the beginning of games. That is just incorrect. I am not sure why nowheels continues to say things while never looking at the data to see if it supports his claim, but Savery has been remarkably consistent through 7 innings in his entire career. His FIP and K/9 are consistent through 7 while his WHIP and W/9 decrease as the game progresses. So, if anything, I agree with the exact opposite of what nowheels says, Savery is not extremely effective for one inning, but rather is consistent throughout a game.

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  19. honestly ask yourself if you would be giving a pitcher with savery’s stuff and stats this much focus if he wasn’t a first round pick. assume the exact same person with the exact same stuff and stats. now assume he slipped to the 4th round. would you be as hopeful about him becoming a good mlb starting pitcher?

    i think everone is still to focused on this guy because of his draft position. but nothing else suggests he deserves this type of attention.

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  20. Of course Savery garners more attention because he was a first round draft choice. It happens with every first round draft pick for every team in every sport. I do not see your point.

    Also, I think I was rather critical of Savery. I said he would need a complete revamping of his fastball in order to become a legitimate mid-rotation starter. Not exactly a glowing recommendation.

    I guess I just do not see what you are getting at PP Fan. I agree that if Savery was a mid-round pick and performed similarly thus far throughout his career, then he would not be paid much attention to. However, Savery was a first round pick. And while the round in which a player is drafted has no effect on future performance, it absolutely effects a prospects’ status among his peers. Everything Savery does will be magnified and scrutinized, good or bad.

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  21. With Kendrick getting lit up in Toledo today, looks like Worley is the top starting pitcher stretched out in the organization.

    Mike Drago’s report from the Reading paper:
    “Great command,” Schrenk said when asked for his assessment of the former third-rounder. “Composure. His demeanor on the mound is big league. His command has been major league. He could go with what he has right now, with the command that he has, and do a pretty good job.”
    No matter. Worley showed he could be just as effective with a tantalizing slow curve – he tossed a couple in the 65 mph range – as he is with his 91-92 mph fastball.
    http://readingeagle.com/article.aspx?id=138100

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  22. The problem with Savery is his fastball was sitting in the mid to high 80’s and his change up was at 75 when I saw him pitch two starts ago. Only on one batter did I see him topped out at 91 and the next pitch he struck out that batter with a 75 mph change up. If he could keep up his velocity in the low 90’s and mix in his 75 change and low 80’s breaking stuff he could be more effective because he has some separation. On the other hand the reports on Worley yesterday showed he had a 91-92 fast ball to go with a 65 mph change up with great command. Now that is major league seperation.

    Mike Drago in the Reading paper on Worley yesterday:
    He still had some left in the tank at the end, striking out the final batter he faced in the eighth with three straight 91 mph fastballs. He finished with 92 pitches, 67 of them strikes, and fired first-pitch strikes to 22 of the 27 batters he faced.

    “With the command he has right now, the stuff he’s doing, there’s no doubt about it, I think he could go up,” Schrenk said. “He throws enough strikes with the stuff that he has to go up there and do it. His breaking ball has gotten better, and his changeup too. There’s four pretty good pitches.”

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  23. Maybe someone can tell me the difference . We are about getting talent out of the draft, okay Savery looks like a bust but taylor looks like a stud. so what is the difference, to me it is how many out of the fifty drafted do you sign and how many make it to the big club with you, or help you in trade to improve, when I first came on here thought at least 10-12 should be big leaguer to be good , but have learned if you get 2-3 that’s a good draft.and if say one is a howard or ultley Hammel type that a great draft. that’s the way I now look at it.

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  24. Savery was a risk. If he panned out, he had top 10-15 ability. Doesn’t look that way. However, a similar strategy has netted Cole Hamels and Kyle Drabek. You win some and lose some.

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  25. mikemike, it’s HAMELS. One “m”, add an “s”. Please spell the name of World Series MVP correctly.

    One should also look at the success of drafts in terms of trades made with players picked, e.g. drafting Cardenas/Spencer/Outman was a success even if they don’t make the pros because it got us Blanton who was much better than Eaton and helped us win the pennant (mildly debatable point, but please focus on it as an example as opposed to debating Blanton’s contributions last year or other potentialities like promoting Happ instead of trading for Blanton. We made a trade that improved the team, hence we got good return out of those draft picks).

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  26. Great reports guys. I think you need to leave Savery alone for awhiule and see if he can improve his control. Let’s not get hung up on the speeed of a FB. Pitching is about control and location combined with reading the hitters and surprising them. If Savery has two good pitches and can learn to throw them both for strikes and then spot a mediocre FB, he can still be effective. I think the comparison to Blanton is a reasonable one. As for Worley, I remain very excited that we have something very good. I would love to hear more about how Zagurski looks and if looks healthy. He was incredibly effective three years ago and if he’s back to that, he can help in Philly today.

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  27. Check out how Reading pitching coach Steve Schrenk raved about Worley to The Reading Eagle:
    “He’s been tremendous. Great command,” Schrenk said. “Composure. His demeanor on the mound is big league. His command has been major league. He could go with what he has right now with the command that he has and do a pretty good job.
    “With the command he has right now, the stuff he’s doing, there’s no doubt about it, I think he could go up. He throws enough strikes with the stuff that he has to go up there and do it. His breaking ball has gotten better, and his changeup too. There’s four pretty good pitches.”
    Very cool indeed! Also, notice that Gose yesterday had 4 hits, his 18th steal, and a game saving catch in the 9th.

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  28. Will trt to do a better job with my spelling and grammer in the future. I tend to not check after I type and it is a bad habit. I just wish people would take the whole draft and not focus on one mistake. Savery is getting so much ink , its crazy. We got a monster .so far, pick in that draft,{taylor] so all I Tried to point out is long as you get players, where they are drafted shouldn’t matter.

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  29. I agree with you. Go look at most 1st round Picks and the majority of them are busts.

    I’m still not giving up on Savery, but he’s definitely low on my Prospect Radar at the moment.

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  30. mikemike, I think most people agree with you; I know that I do. Except, this just happened to turn into a discussion about Savery, not the entire ’07 draft. We are not discussing the merits of the Phillies scouting department, or the success/failure of 2007, we are simply talking about Savery and what he needs to do to improve. That is OK too.

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  31. The reports on the speeds of Savery’s fastball and curve sound inaccurate. A difference of 15 mph between your fastball and curve, as long as the fastball is in the high 80’s, would be a pretty effective combination. Johan Santana has a difference of ~13-15 mph between his fastball and changeup.

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  32. Savery would be a 1B if he was a position player…from what I remember hearing…or maybe a really bad defensive LF.

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  33. it becomes tedious that the phils must have a policy about drafting anyone who can hit a legit 95. speed is pretty much the one variable you cannot teach. it is unbelievable i.e. boston can each year move a young guy who throws 95 into their pitching WHILE THEIR COMPETING. yet some debate when this staff will come around. these guys are throwing bp and happ is nowhere,were seriously not in the market for another ace? to win again this year we are ging to have to deal we have the talent or do we really? harden. may 11 2009.

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  34. John I feel for ya buddy but one pitcher wont due unless he can pitch every other game

    “whats his name and another day of rain”

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  35. Drabek with another solid outing tonight, 5 ip with 5 hits and giving up only 1 run with 5 k’s. Seems like he labored a little bit with his control though, giving up 3 walks. Wonder how many pitches he threw for them to decide to pull him after 5.

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  36. nw thanks just a momentary lapse of confidence. but i do believe with hamels and a haren or one more ace with happ and 2 of the other guys coming around they can win this thing going away. but if these guys dont come around bring up a worley. its not like its never been done before. rollins HAS to come around but if i had to bet nw i,d put my money on a big deal. jmo.

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  37. I’d take either harden or haren, although i’d prefer haren because he is more likely to stay healthy. I think we all, including myself get a little attached to these guys but they won’t all make it w/the phils unfortunately. Haren would take a lot but would probably be worth it. I think he is under co ntract for a couple more years if i remember correctly. Anyway it would probably take at least 3 or 4 of these guys: marson,donald, stutes,drabek,taylor, brown, worley, carrasco, or knapp or either victorino/werth, happ and one of the above studs. Either way it’s a lot but would have 2 aces. this would be tough to beat especially in the first round.

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  38. i would really hate 2 see brown,taylor,worley,drabek be traded i think these guys are potential stars. i’d rather trade all 5 of the remaining to not have to include any of these 4 guys. of course it depends on hoe the other team perceives them and what their needs are.

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  39. mikemike- Paul Owens used to say that 1.5 major leaguers per draft was a good job. He was a smart and savvy baseball man who built the best farm system the Phils ever had.

    marky mark: I think that there are other considerations beore we make any trade. The Phils will definitely wait to see whether they have a serious shot at getting back to the World Series before they decide to overpay by trading cheap, high potential talent that does not even need to be on the 40-man yet and will be under their control for 6 years when called up for an overpriced veteran who is either a rental or they may control (i.e.- be stuck with) for a year or more. If it’s the last peice to put them over the top- it’s worth it; but they better be pretty well convinced that this is the case before pulling the trigger.

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  40. I think the Phils have a plan and willl not traded much of the cream away for a rental or stud. Myers, Park, Moyer and Blanton will all probably be out of the rotation by next year or 2011 with Worley, Carrasco, Happ and Drabek/Stutes to replace. Werth and Ibanez will be replaced by Taylor and Brown, Ruiz by Marson. All these prospects, assuming everyone stays healthy, will gradually earn a regular spot starting next year allowing the Phils to blend the younger players in with the veterans (who hopefully will never leave) and lower the payroll some. Just my thoughts but I think ….get used to having most of the players listed above by Marky Mark playing in Philly.

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  41. I really believe if a Harden or Peavy are on the market, we have the prospects this year to go get them. But do you trade a Brown or Taylor, Drabek, or try to win with what we have and next year ,when Myers is gone, Blanton can be moved, park is gone, try to see if these guys are ready, if you can find say Worley and Drabek and put them in your rotation cheaply, and what we already have we are talking about being good for a while, And by having two young starters, it makes it easier to try to sign Howard long term, with tha added income, I really don’t know the best route. I think the phillies are in a bind on which way to go. It to me is the same type of bind that happen after the series. if they had lost would they have been back into a corner to resign jamie for two years?

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  42. Don’t forget about carrasco he started out great,now he’s getting hit a little,if he learns from this , he still is a stud

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  43. I thought the rumor on Susdorf in the Spring was that he possibly retired. Its ashame if he did but then he did have a college degree. Perhaps he got an offer at a more sure thing than minor-league baseball.

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  44. Taylor went 1-1 with a HR and 3 walks last night as the DH. If he does have some sort of injury that’s keeping him out of the field, its not affecting his eye or his bat.

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  45. Taylor is a manchild and a great guy. Got to meet him last summer while visiting Clearwater. He is huge in stature but can run well also. Heading to Reading in 2 weeks–he better be playing.

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  46. “Dave Ryley Says:
    May 12, 2009 at 6:49 am
    No reply on Steve Susdorf–anyone know what is going on with him??”

    A coach in spring training told me he was hurt; some sort of an upper leg/hip injury. Don’t know if that report was accurate, but retirements are usually listed.

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  47. In Bastardo’s last two starts in 11.1 innings he has given up 5 hits, one run, three walks and struck out 17 including 12 swinging punch outs.

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  48. I have been a bastardo fan for a while for one simple reason…he makes people swing and miss. he has throughout his career at a very high rate. i really don’t understand how people can continually rate him low on our top prospect lists. James made him our 21st best prospect. far below a guy like joe savery who has never shown an ability to make people swing and miss. i guess it just comes down to philosophy. i place a lot more emphasis on results than i do on scouting “tools” or pedigree. i have seen varied reports on bastardo’s stuff. some good and some not so good. but there must be something that the weaker reports are missing. my guesss is that he has late movement that makes him hard to hit. and late movement is much more important than hitting 94 mph. my fustration with a lot of these scouting services is that they seem to give a cursury view of prospects. almost like they have a check list and if a prospect checks a certain box, he grades to a certain level. maybe it is because they are a small staff and cover the entire milb. but quality is more important than quantity.

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  49. My interest in Phillies baseball began in 1964 when I was 9 years old. ( you can do the math if you like) Lost amid the rubble of that ill-fated season, it also marked the beginning of the professional career of pitcher Rick Wise, known forever as the bait in the best Phillies trade ever. ( He begat Steve Carlton)
    I mention this now because I see many similarities between him and R-Phils pitcher Vance Worley. They both stand 6’2″ tall and weigh about 200 pounds. They both wear glasses and throw/ threw right-handed with above average velocity and control. Their path to the majors will be different but I see a solid #2 or 3 starter slot for him in the near future. Anyone with remembrances of Rick Wise who would like to continue my comparison is encouraged to respond. Thanks for a great site,James.

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  50. Went and saw these guys in Erie last night. Was quite impressed with Bastardo last night, he seemed to be on top of his game. 10 K’s It was unfortuante Zagurski took the loss, but he didn’t look much like the pitchers we saw at the end of 2007 last night. He didnt look much better then when i saw him in Batavia in 2005. Although hes making the comeback, he could still end up being a nice piece of our pen at some point.

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  51. Michael Taylor has driven in 9 of the team’s last 14 runs. That’s both impressive for Taylor and pathetic for the rest of the team.

    – Jeff

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  52. I never saw MT in person but looking at his pix he also seems thin certainly not much fat on him. comments??

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  53. haren,peavy,cain,oswalt,buckholtz. think of 2 these guys in our rotation with hamels happ and worley. bastardo. if our prospects are as good as we think it can be done. unfornuately if we do nothing 2009 will be lost. we can not wait for 2010. follow the red sox model.

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  54. john from philly ne. It scares me to think what they would give up for haren or peavy. If they gave up cardenas, outman and spencer for Joe Blanton, Blanton is a human hitting machine. I think for those two they might have to give up the farm , taylor, worley stutes donald, marson. Because teams will say you gave up a major league ready starter , a top second base prospect who is only 21 and a power hitting college outfield, for a guy who is no where near what we are offering you, comparing haren or peavy to blanton is a insult. not in the same league.

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  55. I don’t think its reasonable to go after each those three (the price we would have to pay for jut one would be immense enough), that being said, if the pitching continues to struggle late into june/july, and the d-backs keep struggling and the padres continue to struggle, I may consider targeting one of either haren or peavy and sacrifice maybe 3 of the top prospects. But once again I’m willing to wait it out and give this pitching a chance to right the ship….I’m still a believer in J.A. Happ and would want him to get a fair shake before resorting to anything drastic

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  56. John from philly ne

    i would not want to trade for cain or buckholtz for much of anything. cain is actually overrated, and buckholtz is very risky. they still would both take to much to get, and the return on them would not equal what we lost, or get us into the playoffs. especially buckholtz.

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  57. haren is by far my top choice and i would pay what it takes. i.e. drabek brown and marson. without a seconds thought. one question does anyone think we can win with this rotation? if they have the guts to move worley drabek and stutes up maybe well find we have an ace in our system, but no we might hurt jamies feelings. give me a break and im already including happ. as far as cain how about carrasco,myers and mayberry. thats not too much. mikemike nobody would give up that much dont worry. frozen how long will you wait til were 20 games out. just look at moyer and blanton pitch its batting practice. you still win with pitching.

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  58. nyphilsmaniac I wonder what Mt’s ration of muscle to body fat It cant be much. I hope to see him in philly next year. He could get some games.

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  59. It was been stated that all the Phils need is average pitcher.
    I would empty out the minors before I would trade for a player who becomes a burden(see Blanton)

    Ps. I have previously stated they overpaid years for Raul. In fact what i meant to say is the underpaid. lol Who knew?
    I quess Ruben did.

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  60. I never saw Raul play and from what I read and saw in his stats. didn’t think he was that much better or worse than pat,

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  61. Personally I dont think much of seattle management team.
    so maybe they held him back somehow.

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