Just a few observations and answers about the Instructional League Roster. It’s a little easier to address the questions that arose in yesterday’s thread here than after each comment.
A lot of the players you guys noted were missing attended the Instructs last year and maybe the year before, guys like – Anderson, Keys, Rivero, Viza, Rios, Posso, Canelo, Green, Greene, Pujols, Tocci were all included in the 2013 Instructs. I think Mecias, Cuicas, Marte, Hiciano, Tromp were included in 2012. Continue reading
The Phillies have determined their roster for the 2014 Instructional League (FIL). I apologize for the appearance, I just did a basic block and copy and haven’t ruined the integrity of the file, yet. If you would like a copy, e-mail me at email@example.com and I will forawrd a copy. It is still in its original Excel format.
There are a couple of surprise attendees. Guys I didn’t expect to see, like J.P. Crawford. And guys I’m looking forward to seeing, like Jesus Alastre. I can’t wait to start covering the Instructs.
The first game is this coming Saturday morning. I have an updated schedule, too. If you would like a copy, e-mail me at the address above. I’ll get copies out tonight or tomorrow. I have an important lunch meeting at the Brown Boxer today. Yeah, meeting sounds more official than happy hour lunch. Continue reading
Seven on the west coast this week. Four in San Diego then the weekend in Oakland.
The Phillies sit in 21st place overall in the MLB, which does afford them the last of eleven protected picks (with that Houston 2014 re-pick at #2). The club is even in the loss column and just a game up in the win column on San Diego right now, so honestly, I would be fine with a Padres sweep for the betterment of the club in the long term. Perfectly reasonable that the Phils could finish in the bottom eight, (pick #9), below San Diego and the White Sox, and less reasonable but still plausible that they could finish as low as the bottom five, (pick #6), if the Cubs, Astros, and Red Sox all get a little bit hot and the Phillies do not. Seems to me that Colorado, Texas, Arizona and Minnesota are locked in ahead of the Phils, as they’re currently lined up to fill out the top five picks around Houston at #2.
As for the other direction, if the Phils get a little hot, they could potentially pass any of Cincinnati, the Mets, Marlins and Rays. Passing all four would push them down to the 16th pick, but passing any of those four would put them in a position where a QO free agent signing would lose them that pick. I’ll say that IMO, there’s no reason they ought to be signing any QO free agents this year based on my quick look at free agent power rankings. However, if the right name fell to them at the right price, it would be lousy to have to weigh it against losing a pick that could theoretically help them in the next couple years, assuming they plan to repeat their 2014 draft strategy by picking another advanced college player.
Report card for starting pitchers at Lehigh Valley and Reading. Clearwater and Lakewood are up next. A reminder that grades are based on pre season expectations against the players themselves not against each other. A= Far exceeds expectations; B= Exceeds expectations; C= At expectations; D= Below Expectations; F= Disaster
Greg Smith, 30, Re-signed as a free agent in 2014; 27 games, 9-11 with a 4.40ERA; 157.1IP 176H 37BB 92K; 17HR allowed; 2.1BB/5.2K per 9; .286 opp avg; 1.35 WHIP; 0.63 GO/AO; .297 vs. LHH, .282 vs. RHH; Post All Star Game: 2-5 with a 5.58ERA in 9 starts; .318 opp avg with RISP. Smith was serviceable this year, transitioning into a side armor. Best that really can be said is that he gave Lehigh Valley innings, some good, some bad. Grade: C; 2015: Elsewhere
Sean O’Sullivan, 27, SIgned as a free agent in 2014; 25 starts; 6-10 with a 4.30ERA; 148.2IP 154H 50BB 94K; 17HR allowed; .271 opp avg; 1.37 WHIP; 0.79 GO/AO; 3.0BB/5.7K per 9; .282 vs. LHH, .261 vs. RHH, .323 with RISP; 2-1 with a 2.56 ERA in 5 August starts; There were times O’Sullivan threw well, and he was an innings eater for Lehigh Valley, but basically, it was a mediocre year for the RHP. Home runs simply killed him and the high opponents average with RISP tell the tale. Grade: C; 2015: Could be back in Lehigh Valley providing depth but more likely, elsewhere.
Brad Lincoln, 29, Acquired from Toronto in 2013; 27 games (22 starts); 6-11 with a 5.11ERA; 123.1IP 123H 58BB 112K; 13HR allowed; .260 opp. avg; 1.47 WHIP; 0.79 GO/AO; 4.2BB/8.2K per 9; .271 vs. LHH, .252 vs. RHH; Since July 1st: 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA; .281 opp avg with RISP; Lincoln started the year with the Phils, was awful and was sent down. He pitched well early for Lehigh Valley but his second half turned into an unmitigated disaster. Grade: D; 2015: Elsewhere Continue reading
The report card for middle infielders at the upper reaches of the organization. Next up: Starting Pitching
Reid Brignac, 28, Signed as a free agent in 2014; .279/.357/.471 for Lehigh Valley in 128 AB’s; 5HR 21RBI; 3SB; 11%bb/22%k rates; .211 vs. LHP; .289 vs. RHP. 16 games at 2B without an error (1.000); 8 games at SS without an error; 10 games at 3B with 3 errors (.870); 1 game at 1B with 1 error. Brignac was up and down between Lehigh Valley and Philly, with the DL in between this year. In fairly limited action with the ‘Pigs he did a good job with both the bat and glove. Grade: B; 2015: Elsewhere; Brignac will go where there is the best opportunity for major league time. Looking at the Phils situation, the likelihood is that his major league chances are limited.
Cesar Hernandez, 24, Signed as a free agent in 2007; .290/.358/.394 in 259 AB’s between Reading and Lehigh Valley; 3HR 24RBI; 8/15SB; 10%bb/16%k rates; .250 over last month; 24 games at SS with 4 errors (.952); 21 games at 3B with 10 errors (.831); 23 games at 2B with 2 errors (.981); Hernandez bounced all around in 2014, between the minors and majors; between Reading and Lehigh Valley. They experimented with him at 3B which did not go well. His stats at the plate were solid as they usually have been in the minors. Bottom Line: Hernandez can be a backup middle infielder that is far more solid at 2B. Grade: C; 2015: The Phils are in a dilemma as Hernandez will be out of options after this year, so he must make the major league roster in the Spring or all major league teams will have a shot at him. At just 24, he is a likely candidate to be picked up if the Phils choose to outright him. Continue reading
The report card for middle infielders at the lower levels of the organization. Up next is a look at the middle infield for Lehigh Valley, Reading and CLearwater.
Andrew Pullin,20, Phils 5th round pick in 2012; .270/.332/.374 in 492 AB’s; 9HR 61RBI; 6/13SB; 8%bb/18%k rates; .241 vs. LHP; .282 vs. RHP; .268 last month; .317 with RISP; 123 games at 2B with 26 errors (.951); Grade: B; 2015: Clearwater. A very good year at the plate by Pullin who was productive throughout the year. In his second year since transitioning from the OF, Pullin committed too many errors but worked hard and showed defensive potential. The Phils will be faced with a dilemma with the newly acquired Jesmuel Valentin likely to start in CLearwater as well, with AB’s potentially shared until someone steps up (or down).
Drew Stankiewicz, 21, Phils 11th round pick in 2014; .239/.297/.284 in 155 AB’s between Williamsport and Lakewood; 1HR 14RBI; 5/7SB; 8%bb/17%k rates; For Lakewood: .145/.198/.145 in 76 AB’s; 0HR 2 RBI; 27 games at 2B with 6 errors (.945); 17 games at SS with 2 errors (.971); Grade: C; 2015: Lakewood. Stankiewicz was very good for Williamsport and very poor for Lakewood with the stick. He will need to show some success in Lakewood before any more movement. Continue reading
Since I hijacked yesterday’s General Discussion with my departure announcement, here’s a fresh thread for all things Phillies. Something of note – Maikel Franco is batting second tonight with JRoll out of the lineup. He fits the “contact hitter” part of the traditional number two hitter. Not sure he fits any of the other typical traits you’d expect there. Maybe he’ll turn out to be a really awesome bunter and just no one’s ever given him the chance, ya know?
As the title of this post suggests, here’s an announcement – I’m leaving PhuturePhillies.com as of the end of this regular season. I’ll post a couple more weekly discussions and maybe a thought or two about the state of the org before I go, but it’s been a long year after two long ones prior, and it just got to the point where I wasn’t enjoying myself anymore. I’ll still be doing my Crashburn Alley stuff, and I hope that writing for that different, less prospect-intense audience will help bring some challenge and fun back into my writing.
A huge thanks to Gregg for bringing me on board in the first place, back when I was nothing more than a regular commenter with some questionable opinions about certain things, (notably big-bodied catching prospects from Texas). It’s been a great three years, and I’ve enjoyed writing for all of you and interacting with those of you who boldly choose to try out your opinions in the comments. I look forward to seeing what the person who comes after me has to say about the day-to-day goings on of the 2015 Phillies Minor Leagues.
Anyway, as I said, I’ll be around for a couple more weeks. So please – PLEASE – no tears, folks. There’s no use crying over minor league baseball websites. Or is it “there’s no crying in minor league baseball websites”? Perhaps its both. In which case, it’s a double negative, and you all better get the water works…uhh…working…over my departure. Open the spigot of your heart and let the sadness flow out of you like a hot summer rain!
Or talk about Phils/Bucs. Whatever.
A look at catching throughout the organization. Problems up top and some excitement down below.
Koyie Hill, 35, Signed as a free agent in 2014; .227/.333/.352 in 176 AB’s; 3HR 17RBI; 14%bb/22%k rates; .125 vs. LHP; .266 vs. RHP; .231 last month; .275 with RISP; 46 games at C with 2 errors (.993); 3 passed balls; 38%CS rate; (13/34). Grade: C+; 2015: Most likely another organization or retired; Hill gave the ‘Pigs exactly what was anticipated with a bit of offense through an excellent walk rate, very solid defense and organizational depth at catcher which was needed in the bigs for an extended period with Ruiz and Nieves both out.
Cameron Rupp, Soon to be 26, Phils 3rd round pick in 2010; .165/.256/.299 in 194 AB’s with Lehigh Valley; 6HR 19RBI; 10%bb/36%k rate; .218 vs. LHP; .144 vs. RHP; .160 with RISP; .194 over last month; 56 games caught with 3 errors (.992); 4passed balls; 29%CS rate (14/48); Grade: D-; 2015: Lehigh Valley. Rupp has just an awful year with the bat, during a season in which I expected him to step up and find himself knocking on the door for the backup catcher position in 2015. AFter an early season trip to the DL, Rupp was never the same, albeit still doing a decent job defensively. With one option remaining, next years production will make the difference between whether Rupp is the 2016 Phils backup or likely in another organization by them. Continue reading
A look at outfielders at the lower levels of the organization. A reminder that grades are expectations coming into 2014 vs. themselves not against others. A= Far exceeded expectations; B= Exceeded expectations; C= At expectation; D= Below Expectations; F= Horrible.
Aaron Brown, 22, Phils 3rd round pick in 2014; .268/.310/.383 in 235 AB’s between Williamsport and Lakewood; 4HR 21RBI; 8/13 SB; 3%bb/25%k rates; For Lakewood: .309/.339/.373 in 55AB’s; 1HR 5RBI; .309 over last month; Brown was a very exciting player at times and has shown alot of promise. Plate discipline will be a key. Grade: B-; 2015: Clearwater
Dylan Cozens, 20, Phils 2nd round pick in 2012; .248/.303/.415 in 509 AB’s; 16HR 62RBI; 23/30 SB; 7%BB/27%K rates; .204 with RISP; .255 vs. LHP; .245 vs. RHP; .213 over last 30 days; 123 games in the OF with 9 errors (.962); 8 OF assists; A very exciting year for Cozens who showed speed, power, and run production. If he can lower the “K” rate by a few percentage points, Cozens future looks extremely promising. Grade: B; 2015: Clearwater
Larry Greene, Jr. 21, Phils 1st round pick in 2011; .183/.265/.279 in 197 AB’s; 2HR 18RBI; 4/6SB; 10%bb/27%k rates; .132 vs. LHP; .201 vs. RHP; .167 over last month; .164 with RISP; 50 games in the OF with 4 errors (.959); 3 OF assists; Simply an unmitigated disaster. .132 against lefties…really? Grade: F; 2015: Lakewood although he may go the way of Anthony Hewitt very quickly if he doesn’t produce. Continue reading