Holiday hiatus

I’ve been under the weather lately, so the content may have been lacking, but it’s really going to be lacking over the next week or so. I have a hectic 6 or 7 days coming up, including traveling back to PA for four days, so I probably won’t update the blog again until next Wednesday or so unless something major happens, then I’ll check in briefly. I have a few Q/A’s planned, plus some more analysis pieces, and some other goodies. If you’re new to the site, there’s a year’s worth of content at your finger tips, and if you’ve been here for a while, just wanted to say thanks again for continuing to come back. I started this blog on a whim, and today I’m happy to announce we’ve reached a milestone….

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500,000 hits and 5,455 comments left in a one year time span.

I’ve got a number of ideas for 2008 to make the site even better, and I hope that you guys keep checking in and keeping adding to the discussions. Thanks again for the support, and Happy Holidays.

Baseball HQ’s Top 15 Phillies prospects

Deric McKamey from Baseball HQ was kind enough to contact me and offered to do a Q/A for the site based on his release of the Phillies Top 15 prospects. Baseball HQ is more fantasy baseball oriented, but it’s always nice to have another perspective or view on prospects. He passed along the Top 15, along with the grading scale and method, which I will post below. I’ll give the info, we can debate his list, and then I’ll come up with a few questions for him and we’ll get some answers in return. So, check below for the list.

Continue reading Baseball HQ’s Top 15 Phillies prospects →

2008 Spring Training invites

I’m still sick as a dog, but saw this and wanted to post it. Article here.

Carlos Carrasco
Mike Cervenek
Ron Chiavacci
Vic Darensbourg
Jason Donald
Greg Golson
Tuffy Gosewisch
Tim Gradoville
Paul Hoover
Brennan King
Gary Knotts
Lou Marson
Brian Mazone
Josh Outman
Valentino Pascucci
Joe Savery
Casey Smith
Andy Tracy
Brandon Watson 

An interesting array of prospects and non-prospects. Discuss.

Brad Harman quick hit

Baseball America does a little feature on the website where they mention who just missed their team’s top 10 list, and Harman was the guy for the Phillies, which means he’ll end up as prospect #11 in their Top 30. Here’s the blurb

Brad Harman, 2b, Phillies. Harman played on Australia’s World Baseball Classic team as a 20-year-old before enduring a trying 2006, but he got back on track last season. He once again looks like a potential .280 hitter with 15 homers per year. With a quicker first step, he might even be able to play shortstop.

As a big Harman fan, this is obviously nice to see. 2008 is going to be a pivotal year for Harman’s baseball career.

Just for fun

I was looking through old prospect lists for the Phillies at Baseball America, and I went back to the 2004 list. I love going back and reading the future outlooks for guys, just to see how close they came to their predictions and prognostications. The Phillies Top 10, in order, with their future outlooks. A good idea raised in the comments, after the Phillies Top 10, I’ll give you the Top 10 lists of other teams. Check below the fold for the details

Continue reading Just for fun →

Questions for Chris Kline at Baseball America

Chris contacted me and offered to do a Q/A for the site, so I’m going to put together a bunch of questions for him and send it his way in the next few days. I’ve got some ideas for questions already, but I’ll open it to the floor. If you have something you’d like answered, either submit your question via e-mail to me, or leave it in the comments. I won’t be able to get all of them in, but I’ll take a few. So, fire away.

Draft picks for Aaron Rowand

Saw this asked in the comments on a previous post. The Phillies receive a sandwich pick (#34 overall) plus the Giants 2nd round pick for the loss of Aaron Rowand. The second round is not set yet, as the number of comp picks hasn’t been decided, but the pick will be somewhere between #50 and #55. The Phillies 2nd round pick will be somewhere in the 75-79 range, and then we also receive a compensation pick at the end of the 3rd round for not signing Workman last year. So all told, we have 6 picks in the first 3 rounds. Let’s hope Gillick doesn’t take the cheap route (as mandated by the owners) and can sign 6 quality prospects to help give the system a boost. We’ll have lots of draft coverage come spring time, but you have to be optimistic about having 6 picks in the first 120 or so spots.

Hey Orioles fans, welcome

Looks like everyone is hunting for info on Mike Costanzo. Well, thanks for stopping by. Here’s the profile I wrote on him last year. He showed the power was for real, but other flaws still exist.

I did interviews with Keith Law and Bryan Smith, who both talked about Costanzo. I also wrote a piece back in June looking at his struggles against LHP, which you can read here. My readers here voted on our Top 30 prospects, and he ranked 4th

You can also use the search feature on the right side of the page to find mentions of Costanzo here. If you have specific questions, ask away in the comments section of this post and I’ll do my best.

Mailbag

You sent in some questions, I’ll answer a few of them today, and maybe a few more tomorrow. If I didn’t get t yours, I might use at some point in the near future.

From Chapel Hillian: does anyone else buy the Phillies’ argument about their first Rule 5 pick (Blackley, I believe)?  That he is still on the upswing from his shoulder surgery and thus could be a legitimate big-league pitcher? Also, how long do you think the Phillies should give Jiwan James to show he can pitch before they switch him to the outfield?

Well, I don’t buy it. His numbers were pretty poor last season, though he had very good control before the labrum surgery, so I guess maybe the Phillies just took a flier, thinking maybe his control will return in spring training. I don’t believe the talk of him challenging for the #5 spot, considering we have Hamels, Myers, Moyer, Kendrick and Eaton under contract. If Eaton’s shoulder is really messed up, then I suppose he could compete for that final spot, but the Phillies keep talking about upgrading the pitching and looking for at least one starter, so I’m not sure he fits there. He doesn’t have the profile of a LOOGY, as he doesn’t have strong platoon splits. To me, he’s a mop up reliever candidate, but I don’t think he’s ultimately going to stick.

As for the 2nd part of your question. James was a highly regarded two way player, and is a very gifted athlete. The more I think about this actual question, the more I think it makes sense to start a guy as a batter, and if he can’t hit, move him back to the mound. I think it’s tougher to stop hitting on a regular basis and then just pick it up again against professional pitching. If the Phillies are going to give him a shot at the outfield, they should probably do it in 2008, and give him 2 seasons in the field to see where his bat is, and how he’s going to project out. If he struggles with a bat, you can always move him back to the mound, as arm strength really doesn’t diminish, as long as you’re working hard and getting your reps in.

From Section 113: My other question is if you had to rank the pitching prospects you would would like to hold on to who would they be? In other words, if their were several trades out their and you could protect 1 or 2 pitchers out of let’s say all those pitchers on your top 30, who would they be?

Interesting question. The two pitchers in our system I am most excited about, right now, are Carlos Carrasco and Julian Sampson. Carrasco has some control issues he needs to sort out, but he’s only 20 years old and has already made it to 2A. Sampson already sits in the 89-92 range, and most scouts think he’s going to add more velo as he fills out, meaning he could end up sitting in the 92-94 range. He has the perfect pitcher’s body, he already has some understanding of a changeup, and has decent secondary offerings as a whole. Since he can’t be traded until July, that’s an easy pick for me to hold onto. I think in the right deal, I’d trade Carrasco, but I wouldn’t give him away for less than full value. I don’t think a realistic trade is out there right now that makes sense for the Phillies. For Bedard or Haren, sure I’d trade Carrasco, but for a third tier starter, no thanks.

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Feel free to debate these issues below.

2008 Breakout candidate; Edgar Garcia

As I’m compiling a little list to come up with my top breakout candidates, Edgar Garcia is the first name that jumps out at me. No one mentioned him in the open thread to list possible candidates, but to me, he seems like the perfect choice. Baseball America has quickly soured on him, after placing him firmly around the top 10-12 prospects for the last 2 years, saying he’s going to drop well down the list. They cite his lack of velocity early, and then his work habits, which is the first time I’ve ever heard anything of the sort. Well, I’m not buying it, and I think 2008 is going to be a good year for Garcia. Check below for more

Continue reading 2008 Breakout candidate; Edgar Garcia →