All posts by giventofly41

Elbow soreness for De Fratus, the bullpen picture in ST

De Fratus, Justin, Spring Training 2012

Per Todd Zolecki, Justin De Fratus will be shut down for a week with elbow soreness. Given that he will now be behind all the other pitchers, and there weren’t many openings available anyway, he’s probably a lock to start the season in AAA. This is the first time he’s had any health issues, and its all just guesswork as to how serious this is. He may have just overworked himself this winter, or it may be a sign of something else. No use speculating right now.

The Phillies have brought in the usual mix of veterans this winter, meaning there aren’t many clear cut openings in the big league bullpen. Assuming the Phillies go with 12 pitchers (which they almost assuredly will), the current crop looks like this

SP (5): Halladay, Lee, Hamels, Worley, Blanton
RP (7): Papelbon, Bastardo, Willis, Contreras, Kendrick, Stutes, Qualls

This would leave zero openings for the likes of Phillippe Aumont, David Herndon, Michael Schwimer and De Fratus. However, this supposes that Contreras is healthy and ready for opening day. If he isn’t, there will be one spot open. Herndon has the most experience and would probably be #1 on the depth chart, but if Aumont has a lights out spring, I think they’d give him a look, since he is on the 40 man roster.

Discuss.

Open Discussion, Week of February 20th

Weekly Discussion

Spring training is here. And the only news so far is that Justin De Fratus has a slight elbow tweak and might be a week behind, but should be fine for the beginning of the regular season. Discuss that and any other randomness you come across.

Phillies one of the finalists for Jorge Soler?

International Signings

I’m trying to not get too excited, but Jeff Passan, who generally doesn’t make a habit out of rumor mongering, tweeted this

https://twitter.com/#!/JeffPassan/status/169962180060524544

So I’m excited now. I did a writeup on Cespedes and Soler a little while back. BA has a nice in depth scouting report on Soler in this article (subscription required for the full thing), but here is the conclusion:

Soler is athletic for his size and there are reports of him running the 60-yard dash in 6.5 seconds—a time that grades out as well above-average speed—but several scouts have said he’s really an average runner at best, running better underway than down the line. Soler was a tall, slender guy back in 2008 when he played third base for Cuba at the 16U COPABE Pan American Championships in Mexico, but he’s blown up physically since then. Depending on how much bigger he gets, there’s a chance he could end up at first base down the road, but he should be able to handle right field for the near future. Scouts are mixed on his outfield instincts but he does have an above-average arm. He would likely begin his career at one of the Class A levels.

So if you’re the type of person who gets bent out of shape when things don’t go your way, then don’t get excited. But if you like to believe in the best possible scenario unfolding, then get excited that the Phillies are legitimately in the running for this guy.

Open Discussion: Week of 13 February 2012

Phillies Chatter

As suggested, here is a place for all of your off-topic rants and other miscellaneous discussions. Spring training is almost here, and then we’ll have more things to discuss. I’m also planning a few things for this week, so stay tuned for that.

May and Biddle make the BP Top 101 Prospects List

Top Prospect Lists

May comes in at 51 and Biddle comes in at 84. Glad to see Biddle getting the support there from Kevin Goldstein. Former Phillies prospects on the list include d’Arnaud (16), Cosart (48), Gose (68), and Singleton (73). Discuss.

My Top 30 prospects for 2012

** My Top 30 Prospects

Well, it’s that time of year. I’ve spent all winter studying the prospects in the Phillies system (sort of), we’ve conducted the Reader Top 30 and given you your say, and now it’s my turn. As I’ve thought about my top 30 for 2012, I’ve gone back and forth quite a bit, an in addition to thinking about the Phillies crop, I’ve also spent plenty of time thinking about prospects in general, philosophies for evaluating prospects, and everything else related to player development. I feel that it might be beneficial to go over some of these things I’ve been thinking about as something of a primer for my Top 30 list. This entry is going to be quite lengthy. I suggest you use the bathroom, grab a cup of your beverage of choice, then settle in and try to dig through it. Hopefully you’ll enjoy reading it, because I always enjoy writing it.

Continue reading My Top 30 prospects for 2012 →

2012 Reader Top 30, Wrapup

2012 Reader Top 30

JC Ramirez won the run-off vote for #30. That means Leandro Castro is, unfortunately, #31 in a contest that only has 30 spots. The full list

01. Trevor May, RHP
02. Jesse Biddle, LHP
03. Sebastian Valle, C
04. Brody Colvin, RHP
05. Freddy Galvis, SS
06. Phillippe Aumont, RHP
07. Jon Pettibone, RHP
08. Justin De Fratus, RHP
09. Maikel Franco, 3B
10. Julio Rodriguez, RHP
11. Tyler Greene, SS
12. Larry Greene Jr, OF
13. Jiwan James, OF
14. Tyson Gillies, OF
15. Lisalberto Bonilla, RHP
16. Roman Quinn, SS/OF
17. Cesar Hernandez, 2B
18. Austin Wright, LHP
19. Brian Pointer, OF
20. Mitchell Walding, SS
21. Carlos Tocci, OF
22. Aaron Altherr, OF
23. Cameron Rupp, C
24. Austin Hyatt, RHP
25. Perci Garner, RHP
26. Harold Martinez, 3B
27. Harold Garcia, 2B
28. Michael Schwimer, RHP
29. Ervis Manzanillo, LHP
30. JC Ramirez, RHP

Thank you again for all of the participation and discussion. Feel free to continue discussing the list here.

Trevor May the lone Phillies prospect in Keith Law’s 2012 Top 100

Top Prospect Lists

You can check out Keith Law’s Top 100 prospects list over at ESPN (Insider only), and you should because he does a great job, and you’ll find only one Phillie in the top 100…Trevor May at #76. This is not a surprise at all, nor is the appearance of a number of former Phillies prospects. Travis D’Arnaud came in at #6, while Jon Singleton is #46, Anthony Gose is #59 and Jarred Cosart is #78. Additionally he does a top 10 for each team, and the big surprises (to me at least) are Julio Rodriguez at #8 and Perci Garner at #10.

I’m having issues embedding a link. So just use this link (again, Insider stuff) to get to the Top 100, and then the team lists are linked on the right side.

http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/7547690/mlb-top-100-prospects-2012-mike-trout-bryce-harper-more

2012 Reader Top 30, #30

2012 Reader Top 30

Well, it is the end of the line. In total there have been about 12,000 votes cast in this year’s Reader Top 30, and for your participation I am very thankful. We had a very tight grouping in the voting for #29, with 3 guys separated by just 2 votes. I’m going to award #29 to Ervis Manzanillo, who is first with 72 votes. For #30, we’ll simply do a run-off vote between JC Ramirez and Leandro Castro. My plan, as of writing this right now, is to publish my top 30 tomorrow. But this will depend on me being able to focus and write for 6 hours later tonight to get everything in order. So it may happen. Or it might have to wait till Monday. I apologize in advance if I’m not able to make my deadline tonight. But, let’s finish the voting here.

01. Trevor May, RHP
02. Jesse Biddle, LHP
03. Sebastian Valle, C
04. Brody Colvin, RHP
05. Freddy Galvis, SS
06. Phillippe Aumont, RHP
07. Jon Pettibone, RHP
08. Justin De Fratus, RHP
09. Maikel Franco, 3B
10. Julio Rodriguez, RHP
11. Tyler Greene, SS
12. Larry Greene Jr, OF
13. Jiwan James, OF
14. Tyson Gillies, OF
15. Lisalberto Bonilla, RHP
16. Roman Quinn, SS/OF
17. Cesar Hernandez, 2B
18. Austin Wright, LHP
19. Brian Pointer, OF
20. Mitchell Walding, SS
21. Carlos Tocci, OF
22. Aaron Altherr, OF
23. Cameron Rupp, C
24. Austin Hyatt, RHP
25. Perci Garner, RHP
26. Harold Martinez, 3B
27. Harold Garcia, 2B
28. Michael Schwimer, RHP
29. Ervis Manzanillo, LHP

2012 Reader Top 30, #29

2012 Reader Top 30

Michael Schwimer takes the #28 slot, edging out a trio of candidates who will now likely fight for the last two spots. Kelly Dugan will join them in the voting, though he’s not likely to take one of last spots. So far we have

01. Trevor May, RHP
02. Jesse Biddle, LHP
03. Sebastian Valle, C
04. Brody Colvin, RHP
05. Freddy Galvis, SS
06. Phillippe Aumont, RHP
07. Jon Pettibone, RHP
08. Justin De Fratus, RHP
09. Maikel Franco, 3B
10. Julio Rodriguez, RHP
11. Tyler Greene, SS
12. Larry Greene Jr, OF
13. Jiwan James, OF
14. Tyson Gillies, OF
15. Lisalberto Bonilla, RHP
16. Roman Quinn, SS/OF
17. Cesar Hernandez, 2B
18. Austin Wright, LHP
19. Brian Pointer, OF
20. Mitchell Walding, SS
21. Carlos Tocci, OF
22. Aaron Altherr, OF
23. Cameron Rupp, C
24. Austin Hyatt, RHP
25. Perci Garner, RHP
26. Harold Martinez, 3B
27. Harold Garcia, 2B
28. Michael Schwimer, RHP

Check below for #29

Continue reading 2012 Reader Top 30, #29 →