All posts by giventofly41

Pat Overholt; reliever or starter?

Pat Overholt started last season as a reliever, and pitched decently well, piling up the strikeouts at Lakewood and Clearwater. This season he was converted into a starter, eventually making it to Reading. His numbers

2006, A- : 45.2 IP,  37 H, 26 BB, 52 K
2006, A+ : 26.1 IP, 20 H, 10 BB, 41 K

Then as a starter

2007, A+ : 73.0 IP, 67 H, 30 BB, 56 K
2007, 2A: 77.1 IP, 85 H, 38 BB, 50 K

So, what role do you see Overholt taking in 2008, will he start back in AA? Have your say below.

What does the future hold for Jason Donald?

Donald had a breakout season this year, mashing at both Low A and High A after being thought of mainly as a utility infielder in the future. The question for today is, where do you see Jason Donald in 2 or 3 seasons? Is he playing shortstop in AAA? Has he moved to 2B or 3B? Has he been traded because the Phillies don’t see a spot for him? Also, what type of major league player do you expect him to be? An average shortstop offensively? Above average? A spare part infielder?

Have your say in the comments.

Biggest steps forward; Donald and Carpenter

So says Kevin Goldstein at Baseball Prospectus..

Philadelphia Phillies

A third-round pick last June, infielder Jason Donald surprised even those within the organization with his line-drive bat, gap power, and keen batting eye; hitting .304/.395/.473 between Low-A Lakewood and High-A Clearwater.

Honorable Mention: Right-hander Drew Carpenter mixes three average pitches, throws strikes, and keeps hitters on their toes by changing speeds–all of which helped him put up a 3.20 ERA at Clearwater while winning 17 games. Defensive-minded catcher Lou Marson made big improvements with the bat, hitting .288/.373/.407 in the Florida State League.

There ya have it. Link

Rank these three prospects

If you were compiling a list of Phillies prospects, in what order would you place these three players;

Josh Outman, Drew Carpenter, Adrian Cardenas

Give your reasons (if you’d like) in the comments below.

Agenda for the next few weeks

In the next few weeks, I’m going to try and post a few profiles of players, but the majority of it is going to be discussions to try and see where you guys are on certain prospects. The reason for this is, I am currently in the process of working on and finishing up the player grades for this past season, but this year’s model is going to be much more in depth, and I’ve spent the better part of 3 months working on this process. Not only will I have ratings for every Phillies prospect, but I’ll have positional rankings that count every prospect in the minors, as well as rankings for the other teams in our division, for comparison’s sake. All of this takes time, as I have to manually enter a lot of statistics into my formula to derive the numbers I need.

So, I ask for your patience. If something big comes up, I’ll certainly write about it, but the minor league season is over until the Arizona Fall League starts, so it will be quiet. And speaking of the Arizona Fall League…If you like this blog and you’d like to contribute, I’m looking for one person to write a daily post on the Arizona Fall League, specifically our players there. You don’t have to write 7 days a week, but I’d like someone who is willing to write at least 4 times a week while the league is in session, which is only about a month’s worth of games. So, if you are interested, send an e-mail to phuturephillies at hotmail dot com and put “Arizona Fall League Writer” in the title. I’ll review what I receive in the next few days and get back to everyone who inquires. Thanks in advance.

2007 Draftees

I’m transferring all of the information previously found on the page at the top of the blog onto a post that can be archived under the 2007 draft tag.

Here you’ll find a list of our draftees, in the order in which they were drafted. You’ll find his info, and then links to any articles about him and his selection by the Phillies. Players in BOLD have signed. Bonus amounts listed when given.

01.19 – Joe Savery, LHP (Rice University) – 6′3, 215 lbs – 11/4/85. Article #1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6,
01.37 – Travis D’Arnaud, C (Lakewood HS) – 6′2, 195 lbs – 2/10/89. Article #1, #2,
02.19 – Travis Mattair, 3B (Southridge HS) – 6′5, 210 lbs – 12/21/88. Article #1, #2, #3,
03.13 – Brandon Workman, RHP (Bowie HS) – 6′4, 195 lbs – 8/13/88.
03.19 – Matthew Spencer, LF (Arizona State) – 6′4, 225 lbs – 1/27/86.
04.19 – Tyler Mach, 2B (Oklahoma State) – 6′1, 195 lbs – 12/11/84. Article #1,
05.19 – Michael Taylor, RF (Stanford University) – 6′6, 250 lbs – 12/19/85. Article #1,
06.19 – Matthew Rizzotti, 1B (Manhattan College) – 6′5, 235 lbs – 12/24/85. Article #1
07.19 – Tyson Brummett, RHP (UCLA) – 6′2, 180 lbs – 8/15/84. Article #1, #2,
08.19 – Chance Chapman, RHP (Oral Roberts) – 6′4, 210 lbs – 2/27/84. Article #1
09.19 – Chris Kissock, RHP (Lewis and Clark State) – 6′4, 195 lbs – 5/2/85.
10.19 – Joseph Rocchio, RHP (Cal St Northridge) – 6′5, 200 lbs – 10/15/84.
11.19 – Justin DeFratus, RHP (Ventura College) – 6′4, 215 lbs – 10/21/87.
12.19 – Julian Sampson, RHP (Skyline HS) – 6′5, 210 lbs – 1/21/89.
13.19 – Luke Wertz, RHP (U Nebraska, Lincoln) – 6′0, 175 lbs – 9/20/85. Article #1
14.19 – Jesus Andino Villegas, SS (Porterville College) – 5′11, 175 lbs – 9/21/86. Article #1, #2, #3
15.19 – Karl Bolt, 1B (US Air Force Academy) – 6′3, 220 lbs – 8/16/85. Article #1, #2, #3
16.19 – Brian Schittler, RHP (College of Charleston) – 6′5, ?? – 12/21/85. Article #1, #2, #3
17.19 – Zach Sterner, RHP (Tennessee Wesleyan) – 6′1, 180 lbs – 11/7/85. Article #1, #2, #3
18.19 – Mark Adzik, LHP (William Penn Charter School) – 6′4, ?? – 4/23/88. Article #1, #2, #3
19.19 – Cedric Johnson, CF (Thatcher HS) – 6′2, 185 lbs – 1/10/89. Article #1, #2, #3
20.19 – Carlos Moncrief, RHP (Hillcrest Christian HS) – 6′1, 210 lbs – 11/3/88. Article #1, #2, #3
21.19 – Adam Sorgi, 2B (Stanford University) – 6′1, 180 lbs – 12/17/84. Article #1, #2, #3
22.19 – Nathaniel “Jiwan” James, RHP (Williston HS) – 6′4, 180 lbs – 4/11/89. Article #1, #2, #3
23.19 – Gerard Breslin, RHP (La Salle U) – 6′2, 205 lbs – 7/24/84. Article #1, #2, #3
24.19 – Caleb Magnum, C (North Carolina State) – 5′11, 185 lbs – 1/3/85. Article #1, #2, #3
25.19 – William Harris, LHP (Deleware) – 6′1, 200 lbs – 1/19/85. Article #1, #2, #3
26.19 – Nolan Mulligan, RHP (Lynn University) – 6′5, 190 lbs – 1/30/85. Article #1, #2, #3
27.19 – Richard Austin, RHP (Seton Hill U) – 6′3, 210 lbs – 1/16/85. Article #1, #2, #3
28.19 – Chris Rhoads, RHP (U of Arkansas, Fayetteville) – 6′1, 160 lbs – 8/12/85. Article #1, #2
29.19 – Derek Hall, C (El Dorado HS) – 6′2, 195 lbs – 3/23/89. Article #1, #2, #3
30.19 – Jacob Diekman, LHP (Cloud County CC) – 6′4, ?? – 1/21/87. Article #1, #2, #3
31.19 – Jeff Richard, RHP (Central Michigan U) – 6′5, 245 lbs – 8/27/86. Article #1, #2, #3
32.19 – Kirk Bacsu, C (U of Evansville) – 5′10, 180 lbs – 5/16/85. Article #1,
33.19 – Richard Prall, C (La Salle U) – 6′0, 210 lbs – 1/29/85. Article #1, #2, #3
34.19 – Brett Hambright, C (Temescal Canyon HS) – 6′1, 215 lbs – 11/29/88. Article #1, #2, #3
35.19 – Zach Cleveland, RHP (Golden HS) – 6′1, 165 lbs – 3/5/89. Article #1, #2, #3
36.19 – Kyle Benoit, RHP (Cardinal Leger SS) – 5′11, 200 lbs – 2/9/89. Article #1, #2, #3
37.19 – Kyle Slate, RHP (Christian Brothers Academy) – 6′5, 200 lbs – 4/23/89. Article #1, #2, #3
38.19 – Joe Paylor, CF (Hillcrest HS) – 5′10, 160 lbs – 1/17/89. Article #1, #2, #3
39.19 – Michael Branham, RHP (U Florida) – 6′3, 210 lbs – 6/24/86. Article #1, #2, #3
40.19 – John Hinson, SS (AC Reynolds HS) – 6′1, 195 lbs – 9/13/88. Article #1, #2, #3
41.19 – Tyler Gilder, RHP (Butte HS) – 6′6, 200 lbs – 4/17/89. Article #1, #2, #3
42.19 – James Mahler, RHP (Jordan HS) – 6′5, 230 lbs – 9/2/88. Article #1, #2, #3
43.19 – Cory Vaughn, RF (Jesuit HS) – 6′3, 215 lbs – 5/1/89. Article #1, #2, #3
44.19 – Brandon Bonner, RHP (Lakewood HS) – 6′5, 220 lbs – 3/16/89. Article #1, #2, #3
45.19 – Michael Morrison, 1B (Bishop Luers HS) – 6′1, 220 lbs – 3/17/88. Article #1, #2, #3
46.19 – Damian Seguen, RHP (North Bergen HS) – 6′2, 220 lbs – 4/25/89. Article #1, #2, #3
47.19 – Jeremiah Manning, RF (Bartow HS) – 6′4, 220 lbs – 10/2/88. Article #1, #2, #3
48.19 – Cody Winiarski, RHP (Union Grove HS) – 6′3, 190 lbs – 8/27/89. Article #1, #2, #3
49.19 – Navarro Hall, CF (Kennesaw Mountain HS) – 5′11, 170 lbs – 1/1/89. Article #1, #2, #3
50.19 – Jeremy Penn, RHP (All Saints Cathedral School) – 6′3, 160 lbs – 12/15/89. Article #1, #2, #3

What a Bastardo…..

Antonio Bastardo, that is. I’ve gotten a lot of emails asking me about Bastardo and what I thought of him….my answer is always “I’d love to write more, but I really don’t know all that much about him”, but his numbers this season deserve a mention, and hopefully this fall I can dig up some more info on him. I know that he was signed out of the Dominican, that he spent time in the DSL before coming stateside, and that he is 21, will be 22 in September. Because he is 21 and didn’t make his US debut until last year, you have to bump him down a bit, as the best prospects from the VSL and DSL generally come stateside when they are 17-18, sometimes 19, unless it is a visa issue. He also has a very wiry frame, as he’s 5’11 and only 160 pounds, and he throws hard from the left side. His numbers

2006, GCL: 23 IP, 3.91 ERA, 20 H, 14 BB, 27 K, 1 HR
2007, SAL, 91.2 IP, 1.87 ERA, 63 H, 42 BB, 98 K, 3 HR

The ERA jumps out at you right away, as does the low hit rate. His problem, which we can easily see, is his control and command, as he’s averaging 4.14 BB/9 but he is striking out more than a batter per inning, and while that doesn’t balance out the high walk totals, it does give us a little more reason for optimism. There is one statistical anomaly here, and that is the home run number. Bastardo gives up more fly balls than grounders, and Lakewood greatly suppresses home runs, which means that when he moves to a more neutral park like Clearwater, he’s going to see his HR total climb, and with it, his ERA. Nevertheless, the arm is there, and from what I’ve read, he has a very good fastball. He’s certainly a prospect to keep an eye on. At this point, he’s probably not as good as the numbers would indicate, at least ERA wise, but he’s a good prospect.

What to do with Scott Mathieson

Here is today’s point of discussion. Mathieson is currently rehabbing in the minors, and is looking to be ready sometime in early September to pitch in the big leagues. The Phillies want to use him in the bullpen for the rest of this season to help out the big league club. The question is, what should his role be in 2008 and beyond? He features a very good fastball, 92-95 before surgery, and reports have him dotting 97 in his rehab appearances. His slider was great in the minors last year, not so good in his major league foray, but still grades out as at least major league average, and will probably be a tick or two better. His changeup is a fringe pitch right now, but again, room for improvement and should be at least average. So, do you have him start next season in AAA with the intention of him being a callup to fill a rotation spot due to injury or ineffectiveness? Do you start him in the major league bullpen next season, with the thought of possibly turning him into the team’s closer down the road? You make the call.

Arizona Fall League rosters announced

You can view the full rosters here.

The Phillies will send

Joe Bisenius
JA Happ
Josh Outman
Scott Mathieson
Joe Savery
Lou Marson
Greg Golson
Mike Costanzo

Thoughts? I like it. The only change I might have made was sending Edgar Garcia instead of Bisenius, but I’ll take it.

Andrew Carpenter throws a perfect game

How about that? Carpenter threw a 7 inning perfect game tonight, as Clearwater defeated Fort Myers 2-0. Of his 21 outs, 7 came via strike out, 4 on the ground and 10 in the air. I guess he read the blog earlier today and wanted to make a statement. Mr Happ, I’m not sure how you can top a 7 inning perfect game, but the ball is in your court.