Category Archives: 01. Site Features

Around the System–Catchers

A look at the catchers throughout the organization. Next up: the OF from the high levels of the organization.

Lehigh Valley

Cameron Rupp, 24, Phils 3rd round pick in 2010; .236/.305/.418 in 225 AB’s between Reading and Lehigh Valley; 10HR 33RBI; 8%bb/24%K rates; .220 since June 1. Has caught 55 games with 4 errors (.991); 3 passed balls; Has thrown out 16/52 would be base stealers (31%); Rupp has been asked to really step up this year for a variety of reasons and he has been predominately up to the task. I like Rupp and while he does not project as a major league starter, he could be a very effective back up with another 250-300 minor league AB’s.

Steven Lerud, 28, Re-signed as free agent in 2013; .242/.405/.358 in 120 AB’s; 3HR 17RBI; .214 vs. LH, .250 vs. RH, .243 with RISP; 20%bb/24% k rates; 41 games caught with 6 errors (.981); 1 passed ball; Has thrown out 13/39 would be base stealers (33%); Lerud has played well for Lehigh Valley. Even with a marginal batting average, the huge walk rate has led to an excellent OBP. Above average defensively, pitchers like throwing to him.  Seemed over matched offensively in the majors but a capable short term fix if necessary. Continue reading Around the System–Catchers

Midseason Look at 40-Man Considerations

One of the biggest moments in a prospect’s development is making the 40-man roster because it puts them in the position to be called up to the majors at any time.  Additionally, it comes with an invite to major league training camp.  Not making the 40-man is not the end for a prospect, but it can indicate a lot about their position in the organization.

That being said, for those prospects on the bubble of consideration their inclusion can depend on whether their profile is attractive to another team looking to make a pick in the Rule V draft.  In addition to Rule V picks the Phillies have a trio of interesting OFs that will be eligible for minor league free agency.

Locks:

Cameron Rupp: Rupp’s lack of overall upside has been stated many times on this site, but there is no doubt that he could be a solid major league back up to open 2014.  Almost any team would love to pick up that type of player for $50,000 in the Rule V making him a must protect. Continue reading Midseason Look at 40-Man Considerations

General Discussion – Week of 7-15-2013 – All-Star Edition

GUYS IT’S ALL-STAR WEEK!!!!!!!!!

Wow. Nine exclamation points. Seems like I’m excited. Pretty sure I’m not, though.

…wait…hang on…Ok, no. I’m not.

Discuss.

Box Score Recap – 7/14/2013

Cesar Hernandez in CF again. ICYMI – He will forego the AAA All-Star Game in favor of playing some CF with Reading. He could see time there in the bigs shortly. Honestly, with his bat, if he can run a decent route in CF, he could be valuable there. The arm will be a question, though as 2013 Phillies fans, we know how little arm can be allowed to play in an MLB centerfield. Miguel Nunez with a fine outing for Lakewood – 3 H and 3K in 6 scoreless IP. Zach Green with another double, now has 20 XBH in ~110 PA. His ISO isstill hovering around .300. Walking enough, striking out too much on the year.

And I’ll call that a perfect segue to Larry Greene – he did not start Sunday, but he did get into the game, and managed a double and 2Ks in 3PA. 7 hits including 4 doubles in his last 5 games, though he’s struck out 7 times in that span. For the year, he’s sporting a BB rate of 12.2% and a K rate of 33.8%. Take a look at his stats this year versus last, and it’s easy to see the lack of progress in a similar number of games. Essentially, everything is worse, except he’s somehow stolen 5 bases versus 1 last year. He’s got 6 more weeks of action to push his game forward or risk repeating the level.

And finally, Jesse Biddle struck out Maikel Franco in the Futures Game – took three pitches, Curve, FB, Curve. Nasty curves. Filth. Biddle added another inning of hitless ball, though he did walk one batter, and was credited with what’s sure to be a career-defining “W” 😉 Franco was 0-2 as a DH while Miguel Sano took time at 3B ahead of him. I tacked on the first Futures Game Box I found at the bottom of the graphic here.

Continue reading Box Score Recap – 7/14/2013

Box Score Recap – 7/13/2013

So, last night, there was a bit of a Larry Greene incident at the Lakewood/Hickory game. Hudson Belinsky, who I mentioned the other day when he commented positively on Jeb Stefan, said on Twitter that Greene had allowed a homerun by not playing a ball hit into the left field corner. He called it unprofessional, as if it appeared Greene did not see the ball, and possibly was not paying attention. Also, Belinsky stated Joe Jordan was in attendance, and “looked very upset”.

Now, here’s the way it was described by Hickory’s write-up:

“Leading off the inning, Vickerson launched a high fly ball deep into the left field corner off of BlueClaws starter Jonathan Musser. Lakewood left fielder Larry Greene Jr. immediately threw his hands up indicating he had lost the ball in the sky, and by the time the ball landed on the warning track Vickerson was already rounding second before coming home without a throw.”

If you choose to believe that a leftfielder playing at this level, paying proper attention, can simply lose a ball off the bat and never find it, that’s fine. Reasonable that it could happen that way. If you choose to believe that one way this happens is through a momentary or consistent lack of concentration, that’s fine, too. If that’s the case, I would consider that unprofessional. It could have happened that way. Either way, Greene misplayed a ball into a run. That’s generally bad, but is it a misplay, a ding on his defensive grade, or a red flag?

The team’s response will likely give us some idea what they thought of the play. Greene finished the game, so it would seem manager Mickey Morandini didn’t feel it warranted immediate discipline. Jordan saw the whole thing, so hopefully one of the couple media members who regularly cover Lakewood will track down an answer on what he thought about the whole thing.

Larry Greene could be fined for the incident and allowed to keep playing. We may never hear about that if it happens. If Greene is out of action today, we could guess it was a result of this incident, but until we hear it from the team, I won’t make that assumption. If he’s out for a week, that’s a pretty safe bet. If Greene is playing today, one would likely assume that the team is ok with this incident as simply part of the game – sometimes guys lose balls in the lights or the sun or the high evening sky.

Other things happened last night. Here’s the short version: Brody Colvin walks guys. Anthony Hewitt, Chris Serritella, Brian Pointer and Andrew Knapp with big nights. Another nice start from Drew Anderson. First pro HRs from Trey Williams and Nick Ferdinand.

Continue reading Box Score Recap – 7/13/2013

Box Score Recap – 7/12/2013

Holy Severino Gonzalez. 11K, 3H and 2BB in 6 scoreless. The most shocking thing there might actually be that he walked 2 guys on the same day. 6 K in 3IP for Yacksel Rios in his first start of the year at WIL. His K/BB on the year sits at 15/1. Maybe something’s clicked for him. Time will tell. Rehab start for Adam Morgan at GCL – 2R, 3H 3K in 3IP. Good to see him back in action. And the first professional homerun from Jose “Don’t Call Me Albert. No, Seriously, Don’t. It’s Jose.” Pujols. Weird nickname. Continue reading Box Score Recap – 7/12/2013

Draft Signing Day

As many of you are aware, 5PM today is the last time 2013 draft picks can sign. The Phillies are still negotiating with Ben Wetzler, (5th) and they are not expected to sign Jason Monda (6th), but Jim Callis from BA just broke news on Twitter that 11th Rounder Denton Keys has signed, for an amount (not stated) that will put the Phillies into the bonus pool tax. That’s a 50% tax on every dollar spent over the allotted bonus pool, up to 5% over the pool, after which a 1st-round-draft-pick penalty is assessed, (not happening with a guy like Keys). This year’s bonus pool is floating at the moment until we know if Wetzler signs, and 11-40th rounders get the first $100k without changing the pool. So while we don’t know if Wetzler will sign, we can assume Keys’ bonus is somewhere north of $275k and less than $540k.

I’ll update this thread later with any other news, and link you to the final calculations when it’s complete. You can check out the draft tracker by clicking on the draft link at the top and picking 2013.

Just after 5pm, and Callis is reporting Ben Wetzler is going back to school. Rodney Dangerfield would be proud. As a Phillies fan, not so much. Also Callis is reporting Keys’ bonus to be $350k, which puts the Phillies $73,500 over their allotment, costing them $36,750 in tax.

Looks like 30th Rounder Venn Biter has signed as well. He retweeted a photo of him signing and congrats from his people. Thanks to commenter IHeartDomBrown below for posting that photo.

Continue reading Draft Signing Day

Lakewood Game Report

NYPhilsmaniac 19 is at it again, this time at Lakewood. Flat out great job with the report. 

PITCHING:
 
Nic Hanson made his return to Lakewood after a rehab start with GC.  Hanson went six solid innings, but was facing a last-place Rome offense.  Hanson’s fastball was consistently in the high 80’s, topping out at 90 exactly.  His offspeed deliveries varied from 79-82.  I would assume the gun was pretty accurate since the Rome starter regularly lit it up at 95-97 (must have been pretty straight FB’s since we knocked him around).  Hanson was able to mix things up well enough to avoid much damage.
 
1st inning:  A 3-2 line single to left-center followed by a SB, a 6-3 chopper moved the runner to third and he scored on a high sac fly to right-center. a 5-3 ground out ended the inning (nice play by Willie Carmona).
 
2nd inning:  A hard single to left, followed by three easy outs (swinging K, soft fly to RF, easy 4-6 FC
 
3rd inning:  a 1-3 comebacker, a hard hit lineout to RF and a soft liner to LF
 
4th inning:  Line single up the middle, swinging K (84 mph curve), soft lineout to LF, Swinging K on 82 mph changeup
 
5th inning:  1-2 pitch soft line single over 2nd baseman, Sac bunt (1-3), 3 hopper to SS (6-3), bunt single by the leadoff hitter, shallow pop-up caught by Pointer in CF (more on his defense later)
 
6th inning:  Line single into right-center, Hard ground single between short and 3rd, Line shot in left-center gap that Pointer ran down for an out, Flyout to center, Low sinking liner into right-center caught by Pointer Continue reading Lakewood Game Report

Box Score Recap – 7/11/2013

Three Lakewood starters combined for a no-hitter tonight. Jeb Stefan did the heavy lifting – 6 innings, 4BB and 5K. Ramon Oviedo struck out 4 in two innings, and then apparently hurt himself, per @hudsonbelinsky, and Chris Burgess closed it out.

Stefan’s an interesting guy – he’s been in the pen a lot since being drafted last year as a 4th year junior. This year, though, he’s been pretty good in his couple of starts, allowing 16 baserunners and striking out 18 in 21 innings as a starter. He was a BA Top 500 guy in last year’s draft. Belinsky had him sitting 88-90 tonight, with what he called a plus change and a repeatable delivery. BA said last year that he had been touching 94. Worth watching his progress in the rotation.

Continue reading Box Score Recap – 7/11/2013

Mid-Season Mailbag

Here are the answers to your questions.  I really enjoyed answering and researching them. Feel free to ask any more questions or ask for clarification and I will try my best to answer them in the comments.

Ajay says:

Question: If you’re the Phillies GM (position should be opening soon), whom do you trade off the major league roster at the deadline, and which prospect replaces them? Is that prospect the long-term answer at the position?

I would trade Michael Young and Papelbone without question.  I think Asche could step in right now and with his defense at least equal Young’s production, I don’t think he is the long term answer but certainly a competent major leaguer.  As for Papelbon I would have traded him the moment the contract was signed because I don’t think a closer should get paid that much.  I personally would ride the hot hand of all the hard throwing guys until someone broke away from the pack. Continue reading Mid-Season Mailbag