All posts by giventofly41

Monday Morning 6 pack

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The new name for the weekly “Hot or Not” series is the Monday Morning 6 pack. I’ll admit, it’s a nod to Kevin Goldstein’s always entertaining Monday Morning 10 Pack over at Baseball Prospectus, but “Hot or Not” just wasn’t gonna get it done anymore. I’m cutting the list down from 5 each to 3 each, mainly because I felt like I was starting to put mediocre stat lines up there “just to get 5”, and that’s no fun. If I deem 4 to be worthy one week, we’ll go with an honorable mention. So here we go

Stock Up

Jason Donald: 15/27 — .556/.600/.852 — 3 BB — 2 2B – 2 HR — 10 RBI — 9 Runs
Jeremy Slayden: 11/28 — .393/.500/.679 — 6 BB — 5 2B — 1 HR — 8 RBI — 7 Runs
Andrew Carpenter: 14 IP – 4 ER (2.57 ERA) — 12 H — 4 BB – 12 K

Stock Down

Jason Jaramillo: 3/26 (.115) 1 BB
Greg Golson: 5/29 (.172) 2 BB
Mike Costanzo: 3/21 (.143) 1 HR

Thoughts?

Yoel Hernandez gets the call

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With Tom Gordon looking 60 instead of 40, he’s been moved to the 15 day DL and the Phillies have called up Yoel Hernandez, a minor league veteran reliever. Let’s take a look at Hernandez and see if he can provide any value to the big league club.

Continue reading Yoel Hernandez gets the call →

2007 Draft Notebook, 5/4

2007 Draft

Our good friend JE over at philliesdraft.com has started to do his homework on the upcoming 2007 draft, and he’s prepared his first rough mock draft, looking at who might be available for the Phillies in the first few rounds, as well as taking a look at the organization’s drafting philosophy in past drafts and how we can use that info to predict what will happen this June. This is the first in what I hope will be a number of contributions from Jeff, and next time, I’ll try and get him to write up the report here with his own unique login. For now, check out what he’s got, it’s a great read. I’ll catalog this posting in the “2007 Draft” tag group to the left, and all subsequent posts dealing with the draft will go there as well.

Continue reading 2007 Draft Notebook, 5/4 →

The box score says it all…

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A few weeks ago, after a particularly strong outing for Pat Overholt, I noted that his success is basically tied to being able to get groundouts, as he has been home run prone in the past, and as a starter, he’d have to really focus on pitching at the bottom of the strike zone to be effective. Last night, Pat got a lesson about not keeping the ball on the ground, to the tune of 7 ER. Here is the only stat you need to know

2 groundball outs, 8 fly ball outs.

He gave up 3 home runs in the game, 2 of them to top prospect Jay Bruce. In a 4 start stretch from April 5th through April 21st, Overholt had gotten 37 ground balls to only 13 fly ball outs, and he was largely successful in those starts. In the start prior to last night’s, he got 9 ground balls to 7 fly balls, struggled with his command (5 walks), but managed to avoid major damage, allowing only 1 ER in 6.2 IP. Last night, however, he wasn’t so lucky.

Park factors, sample size, and more..

01. Site Features

This is another area I wanted to touch on, sort of as a follow up to my “Prospect v Non-Prospect” post a few days back. As I mentioned in that discussion, when looking at a minor league player’s stats, you have to really look at things through a number of different lenses. A .260 batting average tells you relatively nothing if you don’t know how old the player is, what league he plays in, what position he plays, and what his home park is like. Not all .260 averages are made equal, not all 15 HR seasons are equal, and not all 3.00 ERA’s are equal. Understanding what goes into figuring this out will tell you a lot about the minor leagues in general.

Continue reading Park factors, sample size, and more.. →

Who’s Hot, Who’s Not, Week 4

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Welcome to the latest installment

Hot…

Carl Henry Jr: 6/20 — 2 2B — 1 3B — 1 HR — 4 R — 4 RBI
Greg Golson: 10/29 (3 BB) — 3 2B — 6 R — 2 SB
Jeremy Slayden: 9/28 (4 BB) — 2 HR — 8 RBI
Josh Outman: 12.2 IP — 2 ER — 10 H — 6 BB — 9 K
Mike Constanzo: 8/25 (4 BB) — 1 HR — 6 RBI

Not…

Gus Milner: 2/22 (5 BB) — 6 R
Jason Donald: 6/27 (1 BB) — 1 HR — 6 RBI
Alex Concepcion: 3.1 IP — 6 ER — 7 H — 2BB – 2 K — 2 HR
Matt Maloney: 8.2 IP – 5 ER (7 uER) — 13 H — 6 BB – 4 K
Michael Dubee: 3.2 IP — 4 ER — 5 H — 2 BB – 4 K

Weird stat of the week…

Gus Milner got on base a total of 7 times in 27 plate appearances and scored 6 times. Similarly, Lou Marson had only 3 hits in 17 AB but drew 5 walks and 1 HBP and scored 6 times.

Draft and Follow Update

2006 DFE's

Time for another update on our final DFE class. Here is a piece on Shawn Epps, talking about his recent performance, and noting he’s touched 94 mph this spring.

Rashad Taylor: 145AB — .434/.520/.724 — 11 2B — 3B — 7 HR — 24 BB/25 K — 13/18 SB
Shawn Epps: 42 IP, 3.00 ERA — 1.14 WHIP — 35 H — 13 BB — 35 K
Bobby Haney: 104 AB — .308 BA — 6 2B – 2 3B – 1 HR – 27 RBI – 3/4 SB
Gerard Mohrmann: 14 IP, 9.64 ERA — 1.64 WHIP — 13 H – 10 BB — 16 K
Daniel Faulkner: 30 IP, 4.20 ERA — 1.43 WHIP — 22 H — 21 BB – 27 K
Yazi Arbelo: MIA
Patrick Murray: 158 AB — .392/.453/.494 — 32 R — 8 2B — 1 3B — 2 HR — 30 RBI
Ty Manumaleuna: 112 AB — .277 BA — 8 2B – 5 HR – 28 RBI
Nick Morreale: MIA

Of the group, I think only Taylor and Epps will warrant nice bonuses. Faulkner may opt to head to a 4 year school to try and raise his draft stock, or may choose to re-enter the draft and stay in JuCo again next year. I’ve been banging the drum for Taylor for a while, we’ll see what happens.

Player Profile: Jason Jaramillo

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(courtesy ottawalynx.com)

Player profiles return today, and as I mentioned yesterday, I’m hoping to crank out more of these going forward. Next up is Welinson Baez, but if anyone has requests thereafter, I’m all ears. So far, we’ve done Zach Segovia, Mike Zagurski, Adrian Cardenas, Michael Bourn, Edgar Garcia, Brett Harker, Dan Brauer, Andrew Carpenter, Fabio Castro, and Mike Costanzo. Today, we profile the top catching prospect in the Phillies organization, and one of the hottest hitters in the young season, 2004 second round draft pick Jason Jaramillo.

Continue reading Player Profile: Jason Jaramillo →

Thinking about the 2007 draft

2007 Draft

Some various odds and ends on the brain today, so let’s crank through them. First, take a few minutes and head over to the Ottawa Lynx blog and check out the various pictures, and even some video footage of our affiliate north of the border. Second, a bit of troubling news yesterday, as Dan Brauer left after two innings pitched in Clearwater. I’ve looked, no indication yet as to what happened, but let’s hope it isn’t serious. If you hear/find anything, drop me a line. With the addition of new correspondants who will be helping with the weekly reports for each affiliate, I’ll be getting back to writing more feature pieces and profiles. First up is a profile of Jason Jaramillo (hopefully tomorrow), I’d like to also look at Welinson Baez, but after that, I’m open to suggestions. To read all past profiles, check here and if a guy you’d like to see hasn’t been done yet, let me know and I’ll do my best. I’m also planning a piece on minor league park factors, something that I think is of real importance when looking at minor league statistics. But for today, let’s take a look at the upcoming 2007 draft. I’m also pleased to announce that JE at PhilliesDraft.com has agreed to provide some insight on who the Phillies might target, as well as scouting reports on players as we get closer to the draft. Be sure and check out his site for more info than you could ever ask for on past Phillies drafts.

Continue reading Thinking about the 2007 draft →

A tale of three pitchers

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Tuesday night proved to be an interesting night for the Phillies stable of pitching prospects, as three of the most interesting guys in the system all took the mound, and two of the three were pitching against highly rated pitching prospects for their respective teams. The night also proved to be a continuation of early trends for all three pitchers.

Continue reading A tale of three pitchers →