All posts by giventofly41

Last call for Top 30 lists

If you haven’t sent in your top 30 list and you still want to participate, send the email to phuturephillies@hotmail dot com and send it soon, as I’m going to collect the few that were given and compile them later today or tomorrow and then post the results.

BA’s Phillies Top 10 List

Hot off the press

01. Carlos Carrasco
02. Adrian Cardenas
03. Joe Savery
04. Josh Outman
05. Kyle Drabek
06. Dominic Brown
07. Greg Golson
08. Lou Marson
09. Drew Carpenter
10. Jason Jaramillo

Link

No real shocks here. I had guessed that Carpenter, Marson and Jaramillo would be close, and with the Lidge deal moving two of our guys out of the top 10, Carpenter and Jaramillo were logical choices. The chat at BA is scheduled for 2PM, let’s see how many questions we can get answered. Chat update below

Continue reading BA’s Phillies Top 10 List

Costanzo interview

Baseball America got Costanzo’s thoughts on the deal. Clearly he’s disappointed, but he seems motivated by it. Best of luck Mike.

BA’s Top 10 Phillies prospects (guess)

Baseball America is trotting out their team Top 10’s and started this year with the NL East. Atlanta, New York and Washington have already been unveiled, which means Philadelphia and Florida will come next Monday and Wedenesday. So, get your guesses in now. I’ll give it a shot, based on how I think they think

01. Carrasco
02. Cardenas
03. Savery
04. Brown
05. Outman
06. Drabek
07. Donald
08. Sampson
09. Galvis
10. Mattair

wildcards are d’Arnaud and Marson.

Some odds and ends

Darren Byrd won the vote yesterday for the 31st spot on the list, and with everyone else moving up 1 spot, he becomes the 30th prospect on the list. I wanted to again thank everyone who came here every day and voted during the process. I hope you guys stick around and become more active in the comments section of new posts, because discussion and discourse is what this site is all about. If you still want to share your personal top 30, just send an email to phuturephillies at hotmail dot com and give me your list in order. I’ll collect all of the lists and post the results sometime in the next week or two.

I also wanted to give a little update on my personal prospect rankings. As I’ve mentioned in the past, I’ve spent a considerable amount of time working on a system to evaluate prospects, both as a tool for comparison and a way to come up with rudimentary predictions for future success/failure. The actual design of the formula wasn’t too tough, but importing the data for 700 players takes a lot of time, and I’m really only about 50% done at this point. I want to make sure that it’s complete and ready to go before I start discussing my findings, so my own personal Top 30 is going to be delayed for a little while.

In conjunction with the above paragraph, I have a question. Would it be interesting for you guys to see my lists of Top 30 prospects for every other team in baseball after I give my Phillies list, as well as positional rankings and overall team rankings? I ask because I’ve debated starting another blog devoted to all of the minors, but at the same time I realize there isn’t a whole lot of Phillies news in the offseason, and I could probably just discuss the lists here. If you guys have no interest in reading about that stuff, then I might have to go about setting up another blog for that purpose. Just wanted some feedback on that.

Next week, I wanted to start working on guesses as to where prospects will start 2008, starting with 3A and working our way down. So, start thinking about that and we’ll get started on Monday or Tuesday.

Reader Top 30, #31

As it was suggested, we now have one spot open in the top 30 with Costanzo being traded. So, here’s the recap post, go ahead and vote for the next prospect on your list and we’ll update it.

Astros fans looking for info

I know you’ll find this site when you search for “Mike Costanzo” and “Michael Bourn”, if you have any questions, feel free to post them in the comments here. To see the bulk of what I’ve written on Costanzo, click here. I did interviews with Keith Law and Bryan Smith of BP who both commented on Costanzo as well. I haven’t written a whole lot about Bourn because he spent all of last year in Philadelphia. Basically, lots of speed, very good defender, good plate discipline for the most part, but virtually no power. Any other questions, post away. Thanks for stopping in.

EDIT: Way back in January, my prediction for Costanzo was

So then, 2007. Mike will open the season, his age 23 season, as the starting 3B at Reading. At 23, he needs to be in AA, and he needs to put up a season in the .820-.860 OPS range to remain a prospect worth watching. It’s certainly not unrealistic to expect a .280/.370/.470 season from him at Reading. Parkwise, Reading plays fairly well for hitters

His actual line was .269/.368/.486……not bad.

Phillies trade Costanzo/Bourn

Wow. The Phillies traded Michael Bourn, Geoff Geary and Mike Costanzo for Brad Lidge and Eric Bruntlett. Gotta say, I didn’t see that coming. Bourn is the classic case of “can he play every day”, Geary is a fungible middle reliever, and we’ve debated the merits of Costanzo for a while now. I’m not a big believer in Costanzo being an above average regular at the major league level, Bourn I’m a bit more optimistic on. This is clearly a pretty big gamble, but it will allow us to move Myers back to the rotation. Bruntlett is basically a throw in, a slightly more offensively inclined Abe Nunez who can play all of the INF positions.

Again, wow.

Reader Top 30 is complete

Our democratic process to determine the Phillies top 30 prospects, according to you the readers, is complete, with Tyler Mach rounding out the top 30. I think a number of the selections are a tad strange, but it wasn’t my list, it was yours. A number of people had asked about submitting their own top 30 lists and comparing them, and I think that’s a fine idea. The reason I chose to do the day by day top 30 was simply the lack of anything to talk about regarding the minors on most days in the offseason. So, if you want to submit your own top 30 list, I encourage you to do so. We’ll compare lists and see where different guys rank on everyone’s list. To submit your list, simply send an email to phuturephillies at hotmail dot com, with “TOP 30” somewhere in the subject line of the e-mail. I’ll compile all of them together, lets say at the end of next week. Anyone is eligible, including guys who didn’t make the day by day Top 30.
So, here was the final list based on your voting

01. Carrasco
02. Cardenas
03. Savery
04. Costanzo
05. Outman
06. Carpenter
07. Marson
08. Donald
09. Drabek
10. Happ
11. Harman
12. Golson
13. Jaramillo
14. E Garcia
15. Brown
16. Bastardo
17. Bisenius
18. Berry
19. Myers
20. d’Arnaud
21. Naylor
22. Galvis
23. Correa
24. Mattair
25. Bolt
26. Diekman
27. Sampson
28. Mitchinson
29. Spencer
30. Mach

Reader Top 30, #30

Well folks, this is the end of the line. Matt Spencer took spot #29 yesterday, which means we only have one spot left, and still a number of interesting prospects left to choose from. We’ll finish up today, then we’ll figure out where we go from here tomorrow. So, get in and have your voice heard for the last time on the Reader Top 30.

01. Carrasco
02. Cardenas
03. Savery
04. Costanzo
05. Outman
06. Carpenter
07. Marson
08. Donald
09. Drabek
10. Happ
11. Harman
12. Golson
13. Jaramillo
14. E Garcia
15. Brown
16. Bastardo
17. Bisenius
18. Berry
19. Myers
20. d’Arnaud
21. Naylor
22. Galvis
23. Correa
24. Mattair
25. Bolt
26. Diekman
27. Sampson
28. Mitchinson
29. Spencer

Continue reading Reader Top 30, #30