Box Score Recap – 7/26/2013

Box Score Recap

With all the MAG excitement, let’s not forget that there was a full slate of oh who am I kidding. Big splash for RAJ in the Int’l market. Huge. Paired with what looks like a likely $1m amateur FA in a couple weeks, and the handful of $500k plus signings in the last couple years, and perhaps the team has finally turned the corner on big International spending.

Ok, some results, in verse, because it’s a lovely Saturday out there or whatever –

Kelly Dugan with a bomb, Aaron Altherr, too;

Andrew Knapp’s first in the pros and Mikey F. hit two.

Mario looked pretty good, Nick Hernandez, not;

Herlis, Wilmer, Nitty Ferd, and J.P.C. stay hot.

Yacksel Rios got a start, Braden Shull done broke my heart;

Denton Keys and Tyler V., and two, times, two, for, Big, Sir, Art.

– Yes, I rhymed “too” with “two”. Deal with it. Also , yes: “Mikey”. And I hope you catch the drift of my pacing at the end. It slows down, like a breath between every word. Calming, I hope. Have a nice weekend.

Here’s the affiliate Scoreboard from MiLB.

http://www.milb.com/scoreboard/index.jsp?sid=milb&org=143&ymd=20130726

7-26-13 boxscores

67 thoughts on “Box Score Recap – 7/26/2013”

  3. Shull’s outing should be called, “the outing that will never be spoken of.” I hope he didn’t hurt something. They had to use 2 catchers because Grullon was so tired of chasing the ball to the backstop.

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    1. He gets the same treatment Gueller got last week: The line says 0.0 IP, therefore, the game did not happen.

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    2. Yowser.
      Pitching Change: Braden Shull replaces Alejandro Arteaga.
      Austin Aune singles on a ground ball to center fielder Herlis Rodriguez.
      With Chris Breen batting, wild pitch by Braden Shull, Austin Aune to 2nd.
      Chris Breen walks. Wild pitch by pitcher Braden Shull. Austin Aune to 3rd.
      With Renzo Martini batting, passed ball by Deivi Grullon, Austin Aune scores. Chris Breen to 2nd.
      Renzo Martini walks. Wild pitch by pitcher Braden Shull. Chris Breen to 3rd.
      Dustin Fowler singles on a line drive to right fielder Jose Pujols. Chris Breen scores. Renzo Martini to 2nd.
      With Jimmy Falla batting, passed ball by Deivi Grullon, Renzo Martini to 3rd. Dustin Fowler to 2nd.
      With Jimmy Falla batting, wild pitch by Braden Shull, Renzo Martini scores. Dustin Fowler to 3rd.
      Jimmy Falla walks.
      Pitching Change: Cody Forsythe replaces Braden Shull.

      I’m going to give Grullon a “pass” (no pun intended) on those passed balls with that wild a pitcher.

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    3. “Jason Knapp’s first in the pros” – all this Cliff Lee trade talk has gotten you a bit confused

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    4. I laughed at your comment about Grullon… and then realized they did use 2 catchers, Shull had 4 WP, and Grullon had 2 pass balls. And now I’m sad.

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  4. Kelly Dugan should be in RF not LF if he is the future RF for the Phillies. Dom Brown is the teams LF now and the future.

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    1. I think it’s highly likely, very highly likely, that DBrown transitions to RF in the near future.

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    1. v1 – that’s quite the hitch. Fixable, but I can’t help but wonder how much of his power is generated by his wind-up swing. He’ll need to make an adjustment sooner or later and since he’s still a kid I don’t see any reason to panic. I still think he’s a .260ish hitter in the bigs though, but with 25hr power and solid defense, .260 would be just fine.

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      1. Watch it again. It is a part of his set up. He loads his hands and legs at the same time. The key is where are his hands when his foot plants and he starts his swing. The answer is in good hitting position.

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          2. Anonymous – Name one in the league today who hits for average. Just one.

            The one that comes to mind is Vlad Guerrero and he was a freak of nature

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            1. Its not average we should stress….it is the power numbers as a third baseman…..ie Alvarez, Ramirez, Feliz, Rodriguez, and the rest.

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          3. Gary Sheffield had a similar load, and a very unorthodox swing and if Franco could be like him, minus the roid accusations id be very pleased

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        2. It’s not the coordination of his hands and legs that need improvement but how far he draws his hands back just as the pitcher is releasing the ball. It’s quite animated IMO and may lead to some vulnerability against higher velocities. I’m surprised to have been reading all these reports about his all-arms swing and little to nothing about how much re-positioning of his hands takes place before his forward swing begins. The good thing is that the movement is of the backward variety and not up or down, the latter being much more problematic.

          Great prospect and I’m merely nitpicking here. Plenty of time for adjustments before he reaches the bigs

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  8. If you exclude his July 8th outing (4 ER, 1 out), Colby Shreve has been quite good since July 1st (9.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 BB, 10 K). Does he still possess some fringy prospect status even as a bullpen piece?

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  9. Any ideas on the 1 million dollar signing? If the Phillies do not use their International Slot Money is it lost and on what day?

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    1. That money is there to se all year, so if a guy pops up out of nowhere and costs more than the $50k that’s unlimited, the can use it. I think that closes out in the following June, but I’m not sure. I would guess you could find that by doing a search on BA for CBA rules on International Bonus Pool.

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    3. They’re said to have a handshake agreement with Luis Encarnacion for $1.3 million. He can sign after his birthday in a few weeks.

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  10. I love the fact that Crawford’s BB rate is approaching his K rate. 12/14 ratio at the moment; that is outstanding.

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      1. My view point on BB is the now conventional wisdom. In fact, if anything, I have pushed back a bit against the fact that some (not most) stat guys go a little too far in that regard.

        The simple fact is that high BB rates are very valuable in and of themselves (though obviously not to the exclusion of other metrics) AND are an imperfect but valuable indirect measure of plate discipline. Especially for minor league players where we don’t have more direct evidence (o-swing%, e.g.) publicly available. And plate discipline is a fantastic predictor of eventual major league success.

        The evidence on this stuff is absolutely overwhelming. No one, and I mean no one, who has looked at and understood the data has concluded otherwise.

        On rare occasion a player in the low minors will have deceptively high BB rates (e.g., Greene) because they are over-matched and react by being overly unaggressive. That clearly is not the case with Crawford.

        And of course I didn’t just talk about the BB rate, I talked about his K rate. That’s something where the old conventional wisdom and the stat revolution agree. But that hasn’t seeped down to some causal fans, who don’t realize how important K rates are.

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        1. Excellent post Larry. May it be read over and over by those casual fans attempting to validate prospects.

          Let me add; if you aren’t in the “safe zone” with respect to K and BB rates by your 2nd or 3rd year of pro ball, then you better be doing something else remarkable to maintain prospect status. SB threat? Defensive whiz? Power? Something.

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        2. Yes, finally thank you! I think we take the stats a little too far. Yes they mean something and they highlight deficiencies ad trends but my brain starts to hurt. Too many ops, obgyn, lds, tdk, talk sometimes

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      2. You know, I get a reputation for dogmatism partly because of my tone, and partly because of my choice of subjects. But there are PLENTY of things upon which reasonable people can disagree, and which I am far from dogmatic about. The following isn’t one of them. Of the following two stats for Crawford, the second is far and away the most significant in terms of his ultimate success. Not even close.

        BA: .373
        BB/K: 12/14

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      1. Crawford’s fielding was never much of a question. His future depends almost entirely on how well his batting skills develop.

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    3. His 1st 10 games his K/Bb was 9/3. His last 10 games his K/Bb is 5/9.

      He’ll be in Lakewood at the start of next season either way, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he is moved to Williamsport at the beginning of August.

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  11. Here is what the Phils should do before the deadline:

    Resign Utley to 2 or 3 year deal
    Trade Ruiz for prospects (not going to make him a qualifying offer so whatever can be had is a positive)
    Trade Rollins for prospects (opens a place for Galvis and frees up over $10M per year, without losing any production)
    Trade Papelbon if you can generate a decent return (meaning one top 100 prospect). Not sure they can do this so my plan assumes he stays.
    Trade Lee for two major league ready top prospects – a Jesse Biddle at AAA type pitcher and a RH hitting LF like Castellanos
    Trade MYoung and DYoung for prospects

    Next year’s roster could look something like this:

    Rotation:
    1 Hamels
    2 Garza (signed with $ saved on Lee)
    3 Gonzalez
    4 Kendrick
    5 Young Prospect acquired in Lee deal
    6+ Lannan / Morgan / Pettibone / Martin / Biddle (likely Lannan if healthy, with the next 4 ready when needed)

    *Could likely trade from starting pitching depth for a bullpen arm or bench player

    Bullpen:
    Closer – Papelbon
    Set Up – Bastardo
    Set Up – DeFratus
    Middle – Diekman
    Middle – Aumont
    Middle – Young Power Arm acquired in deadline deal
    Long – Lannan / Pettibone / Stutes / Horst / Valdes / etc

    Lineup:
    1 Revere CF
    2 Asche / Frandsen 3B (platoon with Asche getting majority of time)
    3 Utley 2B
    4 Brown RF
    5 Castellanos type young RH power hitter LF
    6 McCann C (signed using Rollins / Ruiz $)
    7 Howard / Ruf 1B (platoon)
    8 Galvis SS
    9 Pitcher

    Bench: (most days)
    C Kratz R or Rupp R
    IF/OF Ruf R
    IF Frandsen
    IF / OF Hernandez L
    OF Stairs / Dobbs type veteran FA L

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      1. Adams is likely going to miss most or all of next season. Mayberry I would trade or non-tender, possibly give a 5th OF spot to him.

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      1. People like to hope. They’re having fun with it. Just dismiss it and move on. People do that on every baseball message board known to man. I think that McCann is very realistic, maybe not garza though. We will see what type of prospects we get.

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    1. Really? Lasted 3 innings, 3 walks, too many pitches. Either he’s still not healthy or hasnt found his release yet.

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        1. That would explain the 3 innings, but not the 3 walks or too many pitches. Likely still rusty and hasn’t built up full velocity yet.

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      1. Good, he’s supposed to. However, Young has a full no trade clause and needs to approve of any deal.

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  14. He will be in a Phillies uniform August 1st. Things are going to change, they have to change.

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  15. Currently we draft tied for 11th (12 and 13) come next June…..another top player to pick.
    Now thats exciting.

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    1. Anonymous. The way I see it now, we can get as high as fourth with any luck. really excited, especially now that amaro will make trades, you know he doesnt know how to improve a club, per his last two years of trying, should be proof of that to any sane person.

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  16. Lino, 20, is playing as if he wants to force a tough decision when the Phillies place their minor-league catchers again before next season. He entered Saturday hitting .310 with four home runs and 23 RBIs, which is considerably better than what he did in the South Atlantic League last year with Lakewood and Baltimore’s Delmarva team. …. “I’m using my hands more and I’m recognizing pitches better,” Lino said through the translation of Prada.
    Lino had also thrown out 16 of 39 runners attempting to steal entering the weekend, a 41-percent success rate that compares favorably to the best catchers in the big leagues.
    “He has very good accuracy, he’s quick, and he has a strong arm, so he has all the tools to throw people out,” Prada said.
    Knapp, 21, has been in Prada’s lineup as a designated hitter. In fact, the switch-hitter has been batting third and his professional career is off to a solid start at the plate. Through Friday, he was hitting .271 with nine doubles, a homer, and 12 RBIs.
    When Knapp is ready to catch, Prada said he’ll probably alternate his two main catchers by letting one be the designated hitter on the days he is not behind the plate.
    If Lino continues to hit and catch the way he has so far this season and Knapp plays as the projected second-round pick the Phillies made him last month, then it could be difficult to decide

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    1. Eh it’s not really too hard. Lino was really raw defensively and didn’t look too comfortable behind the plate last year at Lakewood. He’s cut down a lot on passed balls so I think you want to continue giving him the bulk of the starts. Maybe a day off here and there if Knapp’s elbow is ok, but you also want to take it easy with him. Then next year there’s no issue.

      Lino goes to Lakewood and is the starting catcher and Knapp goes to Clearwater as an advanced college hitter and is the starting catcher there (nobody at Lakewood this year is really worth much longterm to block him at Clearwater next year)

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