Hot or Not

A look back at the time period between 7/11–7/17.

A few observations:  Chris Duffy had perhaps the best offensive week of any player in the system this year.  He needs to move up. 

–Very nice to see Roman Quinn as an addition to the hot list.  While struggling with the glove, he is making things happen at the plate and now has 12 SB’s in the early going of the Williamsport season.

–Austin Hyatt had a good start this week after numerous poor outings effectively took him off the map.  Should be interesting to watch how he follows that up.

–Austin Wright and Adam Morgan continue to show they are ready for the transition to AA…Morgan maybe a bit more so than Wright.

–The Julio Rodriguez skeptics are coming out in droves as they suggest he may have been finally figured out.

Finally, I will be on vacation next week, so both the Lehigh Valley Weekly Report and Hot or Not will have to wait until the week after next to get back up and running…With that, see below the jump for stats.

Hot Hitters: Carlos Perdomo (.565, 8R); Chris Duffy (.517, 7R 3HR 15RBI); Andrew Pullin (.500); William Carmona (.375, 5RBI); Angelo Mora (.375). Kelly Dugan (.357, 9R); Francisco Silva (.364), Josh Ludy (.364), Roman Quinn (.344, 7R 4SB);  Honorable Mention: Tocci, Rupp, Collier, Alonso, Cartwright, Luna, T Greene, Moore, Numata

Not Hot Hitters: Andreas Blanco (.111); Brock Stassi (.130); Peter Lavin (.136); Kyle Hudson (.143); Leandro Castro (.143); Gabrial Lino (.167), Steve Susdorf (.167); Sebastian Valle (.182), Yan Olmo (.182), Mitch Walding (.182)

Hot Starting Pitchers: Austin Hyatt (7IP 2H 0ER 3BB 8K); BJ Rosenberg (5IP 2H 0ER 2BB 5K); Pat Misch (7IP 2H 1ER 1BB 5K); Tyler Cloyd (6.2IP 6H 1ER); Austin Wright (11.2IP 10H 2ER 5BB 10K); Manaure Martinez (10IP 5H 2ER 2BB 10K); Adam Morgan (7IP 7H 2ER 2BB 8K); Jon Pettibone (6IP 2H 2ER 1BB 3K); Colin Klevan (5IP 5H 1ER 2BB 5K);

Not Hot Starting Pitchers:Yacksel Rios (1IP 4H 6ER 4BB 2K); Ranfi Casimeiro (3IP 5H 5ER 2BB 4K); Scott Elarton (9.2IP 17H 12ER); Mitch Guellar (3IP 6H 3ER 1BB 1K); Julio Rodriguez (10IP 10H 7ER 9BB 8K); Lino Martinez (10IP 9H 7ER 6BB 6K); Ramon Oviedo (4IP 6H 3ER 2BB 1K);

Hot Relievers: Blake Mascarello (5.1IP 1H 0ER 2BB 3K); Colton Murray (4.2IP 1H 0ER 1BB 6K); Kevin Brady (4IP 3H 0ER 1BB 6K); Zach Cooper (3IP 1H 0ER 1BB 4K, SV); Kyle Simon (4IP 3H 0ER); Andre Kinder (5IP 4H 0ER 2BB 5K); Rivar Angulo (3IP 1H 0ER 1BB 3K); Juan Sosa (6IP 5H 1ER 1BB 6K, SV); Frank Gailey (3IP 0ER); Felix Santos (2.2IP 0H 0ER 0BB 4K); Honorable Mention: A. Anderson, Duke, Knigge, Broussard, Hanson

Not Hot Relievers:Jordan Whatcott (1.2IP 4H 6ER 3BB); Tyson Brummett (1.2IP 4H 5ER 3BB); Jon Musser (3IP 7H 5ER); Austin Brough (5IP 4H 4ER 4BB 3K); Michael Nesseth (3.1IP 3H 4ER 6BB 3K); Kenny Giles (2IP 1H 2ER 4BB); Hector Neris (3.2IP 7H 4ER).

17 thoughts on “Hot or Not

  1. I respect Jon Mayo of MLB.com…but he has Gabriel Lino as the Phillies number 20 prospect, and 2nd cathcher in the system. IMHO, that may be a reach.

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  2. Quinn’s second in the NYPL in stolen bases and first in triples. He has more triples (5) than doubles (3). Strikeouts are a concern, but there’s a lot to like here.

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  3. I think one of the real stories of the year is that most of the hot start pitching is in Clearwater, not Reading. Biddle, Morgan and Wright may all be keepers. It would seem that out of that group, May and Pettibone, we are going to get at least two middle of the rotation starters and might even get a future ace. That said, I think Rodriguez is being exposed. I was not at all impressed with his stuff at the the Futures Game. To be successful, he is going to have to continually re-invent himself as he moves up the organizational ladder.

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    1. I would say its not a minor thing that the FSL is one of the most extreme pitching leagues in the minors, while the Reading’s home field is a pretty big hitters park (though the rest of the league is rather neutral). That being said, I’d have to say I’d rank them- Biddle, May, Morgan, Colvin, Perci, Pettibone/Wright/J-Rod.

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        1. I don’t think he’s getting that much acclaim, it is merely my personal opinion based on his ‘stuff’, the double jump, and his lack of experience following injuries. I think most people would have him last on this list.

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          1. I find your ranking of Perci very intriguing. Does his stuff rate that much higher than Pettibone’s? I thought their velocity was about the same and Pettibone has a good change. I say this as a Perci fan.

            It’s also not clear to me how good Wright’s stuff is. He seems to get a lot of swinging strikeouts, and I remember BA saying he has low-90s velo with a good curve. Pretty good for an LHP. But he also seems to have control problems (and more recently some “giving up too many hits” problems).

            Morgan’s results are good but I thought his stuff was only ok (upper 80s velo). If one were to push up Perci’s rating based on his stuff, would we also have to push down Morgan’s rating, right?

            Please let me know if I am wrong about any of these guys’ scouting reports.

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            1. I don’t know what Morgan’s been throwing since he was drafted, but in his scouting reports on the 2011 draft writeup here, they say his fastball sits at 88-92, 90-92, and 90-93. We know he’s not a power pitcher, but he should be ok if the truth is more in the 90-92 vein.

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            2. Significantly better ‘pure stuff’ than Pettibone, but needs to greatly improve command (whereas Pettibone has that down and is more likely to achieve his upside of a 4/5).

              PP has a good write-up of him with scouting reports: https://phuturephillies.com/profiles/pitchers/rhp-garner-percival/

              “That potential has really shown itself this spring, as he’s installed himself as a starter over the last half of the year, and he’s showing true number two starter potential. His fastball is an easy plus pitch, sitting 92-94, touching 96, and his curveball also rates out as a potential plus pitch, giving him two plus pitches to work with before even getting in to any of his other pitches. His slider is a potential average pitch, as well, and when you add in a fringe-average changeup, he makes for a solid prospect package”

              His issue remains a lack of command, and the injury didn’t do him any favors in helping improve the command.

              Re: Morgan, there was a fire hand report on one of the other Phils sites that had him 92-94 (which I generally equate to sitting 91-92, touching 94). One of the BA staff had a decent mid-season ranking of him as well so someone is seeing something there.

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            3. OK, thanks jmb. I do remember somewhere else reading that Garner was 89-92 this year and that Pettibone was up to the mid-90s. But that could also be selective memory 😉

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    2. I disagree that JRod has been exposed. The problem is too many walks. He has never had the kind of stuff that could compensate for walking a batter per inning. If he can retrieve command of his pitches, I think he will bounce back.

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      1. I’m more concerned about his fly ball rate and HRs allowed. He finally went to a park that didn’t mask it, and it has ballooned. His ground ball rate is like 10%..

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  4. I think this could be good for J-Rod. He’s been so dominant all through the minors and no one’s really sure how he’s done it. Maybe this will teach him some things he can do to really improve, aside from just throwing harder. He’s still young enough to get better, especially with his command. Of course, this could just mean he’s stuff isn’t up to par but we’ll see over the next couple seasons.

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  5. Handzus, maybe i am way off , but imo a lot of junk ball pitchers especially the lefty handers can get away with that junk, until they get up into double aa where there are better hitters, who are more patience,and they will wait until they throw strikes, and with there lack of velocity and pinpoint control , will get hit and hit hard,thats why I now want to see them at double a before i start to get excited about any prospect,

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