2021 Opening Day Prognostications

It’s Opening Day.  It’s poring down here, and I have to postpone my morning “run”.  So, let’s open up a thread for your prognostications.  Whole numbers only, please.  Let’s get started.

  1. TEAM: Number of wins
  2. Position in division
  3. Makes playoffs, Y/N
  4. Runs scored
  5. Saves
  6. INDIVIDUAL, Pitching: Most wins
  7. How many
  8. Most saves
  9. How many
  10. Most Ks 
  11. Fewest BBs (starter, min 120 innings pitched)
  12. Most appearances (reliever)
  13. Most runners stranded (reliever)
  14. INDIVIDUAL, Batting: How many HRs by Hoskins
  15. How many HRs by Harper
  16. How many doubles by Bohm
  17. Who has the highest batting average (min. 300 ABs)
  18. OTHER: Who has the second most stolen bases
  19. What date does Quinn go on the IL
  20. Who is the first position player called up from among Marchan, Kingery, Maton, Moniak, Cabral, Duran, Hall, Listi, Williams, Herrera, other
  21. Who is the first pitcher called up from among Jones, Medina, Rosso, Suarez, Mitchell, Howard, De Los Santos, Feliz, Romero, Paulino, other
  22. How many different pitchers start games
  23. How many blown saves
  24. Knapp starts as catcher, over-under 31.5
  25. Full capacity by end of season, Y/N
  26. Winning record v. Marlins, Y/N
  27. Will Phandemic Krews’ cow bells be more annoying than air horns or vuvuzelas, Y/N
  28. Will Phillies schedule be interrupted by a COVID-19 outbreak, Y/N
  29. First fielding/throwing error
  30. Velasquez’ first pitch, ball or strike

Extra credit: Who wins rock, paper, scissors?

Some serious, some not so.  Have fun with it.  Add your own.

20 thoughts on “2021 Opening Day Prognostications

  1. I’ll go first.
    1. 90
    2. 2nd
    3. Y
    4. 898
    5. 36
    6. Wheeler
    7. 17
    8. Neris
    9. 22
    10. Nola
    11. Wheeler
    12. Knitzler
    13. Knitzler
    14. 29
    15. 37
    16. 39
    17. Bohm
    18. Haseley
    19. June 7th
    20. Kingery
    21. Romero
    22. 13
    23. 19
    24. over
    25. Y
    26. N
    27. Y
    28. Y
    29. Gregorius
    30. ball
    Extra Credit. McCutchen

  2. TEAM: Number of wins 92
    Position in division 1st
    Makes playoffs, Y/N Yes
    Runs scored 900
    Saves 70
    INDIVIDUAL, Pitching: Most wins Nola
    How many 17
    Most saves Neris
    How many 29
    Most Ks Wheeler
    Fewest BBs (starter) Nola
    Most appearances (reliever) Bradley
    Most runners stranded (reliever) Neris
    INDIVIDUAL, Batting: How many HRs by Hoskins 32
    How many HRs by Harper 42
    How many doubles by Bohm 40
    Who has the highest batting average (min. 300 ABs) Seguara
    OTHER: Who has the second most stolen bases Harper
    What date does Quinn go on the IL 4/2
    Who is the first position player called up from among Marchan, Kingery, Maton, Moniak, Cabral, Duran, Hall, Listi, Williams, Herrera, other – Moniak
    Who is the first pitcher called up from among Jones, Medina, Rosso, Suarez, Mitchell, Howard, De Los Santos, Feliz, Romero, Paulino, other – Medina
    How many different pitchers start games 10
    How many blown saves 25
    Knapp starts as catcher, over-under 31.5 under
    Full capacity by end of season, Y
    Winning record v. Marlins, Y
    Will Phandemic Krews’ cow bells be more annoying than air horns or vuvuzelas, Y/N NO
    Will Phillies schedule be interrupted by a COVID-19 outbreak, Y/N NO
    First fielding/throwing error – Segura
    Velasquez’ first pitch, ball or strike – ball

  3. TEAM: Number of wins 95
    Position in division 2nd
    Makes playoffs, Y/N Yes
    Runs scored 1,032
    Saves 80
    INDIVIDUAL, Pitching: Most wins Nola
    How many 14
    Most saves Neris
    How many 35
    Most Ks Nola
    Fewest BBs (starter) Nola
    Most appearances (reliever) Bradley
    Most runners stranded (reliever) Brogdon
    INDIVIDUAL, Batting: How many HRs by Hoskins 28
    How many HRs by Harper 42
    How many doubles by Bohm 45
    Who has the highest batting average (min. 300 ABs) Harper or Bohm
    OTHER: Who has the second most stolen bases Haseley
    What date does Quinn go on the IL 5/3
    Who is the first position player called up from among Marchan, Kingery, Maton, Moniak, Cabral, Duran, Hall, Listi, Williams, Herrera, other – Moniak
    Who is the first pitcher called up from among Jones, Medina, Rosso, Suarez, Mitchell, Howard, De Los Santos, Feliz, Romero, Paulino, other – Romero or Howard
    How many different pitchers start games 16
    How many blown saves 22
    Knapp starts as catcher, over-under 31.5 under
    Full capacity by end of season, yes
    Winning record v. Marlins, Yes
    Will Phandemic Krews’ cow bells be more annoying than air horns or vuvuzelas, Y/N No
    Will Phillies schedule be interrupted by a COVID-19 outbreak, Y/N No
    First fielding/throwing error – Segura
    Velasquez’ first pitch, ball or strike – ball

  4. Wow, I love the optimism on the number of Phillies wins. Both FiveThirtyEight.com and FanGraphs have the Phillies at 80 – 82 and BP has the Phillies with 83.4 wins. Given the large variability in the PECOTA’s Phillies rankings, I’m going with (partial list)

    Number of wins ………………. 87
    Position in division …………….2nd (Mets in first, Phillies and Braves tie for 2nd)
    Makes playoffs ………………….yes (Phillies knock off Braves in mini playoff for 2nd WC spot)
    Runs scored ……………………. enough to win 87 games
    Pitching: Most wins …………… Eflin (why not?)
    How many HRs by Hoskins … 35
    How many HRs by Harper ….. 42
    How many doubles by Bohm .. 38
    Who has the highest BA ……… Bohm .311
    Quinn to IL ……………………. He surprises the Phillies’ baseball world and remains healthy
    Who is the first position player called up …. Marchan
    Who is the first pitcher called up …. it’s between Howard or Romero – I’ll go with Howard
    Knapp starts as catcher, over-under 31.5 …. under

  5. There are projections for two 100 game winners (Dodgers/Padres) in the NL West. How many times has that happened? It can’t be many. As for the Phillies the product on the field is vastly superior to 2020 but a brutal division keeps their win total down to 85 wins.

    1. Hawkeye – That is an interesting question. In 1993, when the Phillies went to the WS, both the Braves and Giants (both were in the west at the time) won over 100 games.

    2. Don’t know the last time two teams were projected to win 100 games. The last time two teams in the same division won 100 games was 2018 – Red Sox 108, Yankees 100

      1. 2018 A Vegas Book Over/Under:
        Boston Red Sox
        Over 91 ½ Wins -110
        Under 91 ½ Wins -110

        New York Yankees
        Over 94 ½ Wins -110
        Under 94 ½ Wins -110

      2. It is crazy, but the Dodgers might literally end up being the best regular season team of all time. It wouldn’t surprise me if they won 116 or 117 games. They are that good. I mean David Price can’t crack the rotation. Mind blown!

      3. Jim, I forgot about 2018. For two teams in the same division to win 100 games the other teams must be horrible.

  6. This Alec Bohm – man, he is some kind of player – a complete throw-back to a time when good hitters hit to all fields, got sac flies when needed, and fouled off pitches until he got one to drive or worked a walk (yes, I’m describing today’s game). He could really be SPECIAL! Love the guy.

    1. Catch, hard to believe Bohm has played just a relative handful of MLB games. He almost seems like a reliable veterans.

      Loved his spearing the high line drive for an out. He’s athletic. Now, with all of his hard work, maybe he becomes an acceptable defensive 3B.

  7. Team wins 87
    Division position 3
    Playoffs No
    Runs 800
    saves 84
    Wins Nola (16)
    Saves Neris (27)
    Ks Nola (200)
    Fewest BBs Eflin (70)
    Appearances Bradley
    Runners Stranded Bradley
    Homers Hoskins 35
    Harper 40
    Doubles Bohm 30
    BA Bohm .315
    Second SBs Quinn
    First IL Quinn June 14
    First player called Kingery
    First Pitcher called Romero
    number of different starters 15
    Blown saves 45 (some games haves 3 blown saves)
    Knapp starts Over
    Full Capacity Yes in September
    Winning record vs. Marlins Yes
    Phandemic cowbells No
    covid interruptions Yes
    first fielding/throwing error Bohm
    Velasquez first pitch strike
    Rock, paper Scissors Bohm

  8. TEAM: Number of wins- 88
    Position in division- 2nd
    Makes playoffs, Y/N- Y
    Runs scored-888
    Saves- 39
    INDIVIDUAL, Pitching: Most wins- Nola
    How many- 16
    Most saves- Neris
    How many- 31
    Most Ks- Nola
    Fewest BBs (starter, min 120 innings pitched)- Eflin
    Most appearances (reliever)- Bradley
    Most runners stranded (reliever)- Brogdon
    INDIVIDUAL, Batting: How many HRs by Hoskins- 30
    How many HRs by Harper- 28
    How many doubles by Bohm-28
    Who has the highest batting average (min. 300 ABs)- Cutch
    OTHER: Who has the second most stolen bases- Quinn
    What date does Quinn go on the IL- Whats today’s date?
    Who is the first position player called up from among Marchan, Kingery, Maton, Moniak, Cabral, Duran, Hall, Listi, Williams, Herrera, other- Moniak
    Who is the first pitcher called up from among Jones, Medina, Rosso, Suarez, Mitchell, Howard, De Los Santos, Feliz, Romero, Paulino, other- Rosso
    How many different pitchers start games- 7
    How many blown saves- 8
    Knapp starts as catcher, over-under 31.5- under
    Full capacity by end of season, Y/N- N
    Winning record v. Marlins, Y/N-Y
    Will Phandemic Krews’ cow bells be more annoying than air horns or vuvuzelas, Y/N-N
    Will Phillies schedule be interrupted by a COVID-19 outbreak, Y/N-N
    First fielding/throwing error-Segura
    Velasquez’ first pitch, ball or strike-over the RF wall

  9. my prediction for my own category of “when will it be answered if the Phillies are going to go undefeated though the entire 2021 playing season”: Game 5

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