One hundred-and-nine wins. That’s what you get if you extrapolate the Phillies’ won/loss record over their first 17 games (11-5-1) of spring training over a 162-game schedule. Actually, the number is 109.58. I decided not to round up. So, 109-53? Why not?
This is the kind of thinking we did as children in the early 60s when we followed the Phillies. Take a hot streak and extend it over the rest of the season to convince ourselves the Phillies could still win the pennant. Calculate that they only had to go 27-4 to win the pennant, if all the teams ahead of them lost every night. And other child-like thoughts. But, why not?
Just kidding, their are many reasons why not. I saw a recent article, which I can’t find now, that listed five questions that the Phillies must still answer in spring training. I believe they were –
- Who’s in the rotation?
- Who’s in the bullpen?
- Who’s on the bench?
- Who’s in CF?
- Who’s on third? Who’s on first. What’s the name of the guy on second base. I don’t know. Third base.
All valid questions. Most will sort themselves out.
The rotation will be Nola, Wheeler, Arrieta, probably Eflin, and a LHP. Right now, it appears to me that both Velasquez and Pivetta are pitching themselves out of the rotation. Maybe they have a shot to unseat Eflin who has looked shaky. Suarez seems to have the inside track on a rotation spot as the others struggle, but he gave up a lot of hard contact his last start. Another lefty might have the opportunity to step up. Unless Eflin, Velasquez, and Pivetta have remarkable turn-arounds, I expect a LHP to be in the rotation.
The bullpen will be up in the air until opening day. The returns of Arano and Dominguez will determine the make up of the bullpen. Alvarez, Davis, and Morgan are all pitching well nut are all left-handed. Neris is a lock. Kelley has pitched well but requires a transaction. Liriano, Guerra? The walks scare me. Garcia? Probably. We’ll see.
McCutchen’s slow rehab will alter the opening day outfield. The most likely outcome is Haseley or Quinn in CF and a platoon of Haseley/Quinn with Bruce in LF. And of course, Harper in right.
The 5-man bench will include Knapp, whichever of the three outfielders isn’t starting in LF/CF, an outfielder and 2 infielders. I think minds are more close to being made up here than anywhere else. I think Nick Williams is playing himself into his third option. I am impressed by Luke Williams, but don’t think he has a chance due to his youth. I’m guessing they have settled on experience over youth. I expect Torreyes, Walker, Harrison, Forsythe, Martini, and Mahtook are the front runners for these 3 spots. Personally, I think Listi has hit his way into consideration. And, Gamboa has impressed me so far, as well. We’ll see.
Who’s on third also begs the question, who’s on second. It’s not really a big issue since the only two considerations at either position are Segura and Kingery. But, …
So many starters aren’t hitting in spring training right now. Gregorius is still looking for his first base hit, but he doesn’t really worry me too much. Hoskins, in spite of a good day on Saturday, does worry me. Kingery, Haseley, Quinn are all struggling. Harper, Realmuto, and Segura are hitting above .330, but you know who’s hitting even better? Yes, Bohm.
I know Bohm is not in their opening day plans. But, come on, another good bat in the line up won’t hurt. What does it cost? His arb clock starts earlier and he becomes a super two? So, money? The Phillies will still have control for six years, unless that changes in the new CBA. In six years, hell probably be a first baseman. Those are easy to replace in free agency. All I’m suggesting is don’t throw away runs and maybe a couple wins in April for money on the back end.
This is the Phuture Phillies Open Discussion for Phillies and other baseball topics.
- March 17, 2020 – Start date for minor league spring training games
- March 2020 – Americas Qualifier in Arizona (2020 Olympics qualifier)
- March 23, 2020 – Final spring training home game v. Rays
- March 26, 2020 – Phillies’ opening day at Miami, active roster reduced to 26 players
- March/April 2020 – At-Large Qualifier in Taiwan (2020 Olympics qualifier)
- April 2, 2020 – Phillies’ home opener v. Milwaukee
- June 10-12, 2021 – Amateur draft in Omaha, NE
- June 15, 2020 – International amateur signing period closes
- July 2, 2020 – International amateur signing period opens
- July 10, 2020 – Deadline for drafted players to sign, except for players who have exhausted college eligibility
- July 14,2020 – All-Star Game at Los Angeles
- July 31, 2020 – Last day during the season to trade a player
- August 31, 2020 – Last day to be contracted to an organization and be eligible for postseason roster
- September 1, 2020 — Active rosters expand to 28 players
3/07/2020 – Phillies optioned Adonis Medina to Reading
3/07/2020 – Phillies optioned Cristopher Sanchez to Reading
3/07/2020 – Phillies assigned Kyle Dohy to minor league camp
3/07/2020 – Phillies assigned Damon Jones to minor league camp
3/07/2020 – Phillies assigned Zach Warren to minor league camp
3/04/2020 – Phillies signed OF Jordan McArdle to a minor league contract
3/04/2020 – Phillies signed RHP Jason Lott to minor league contract
3/02/2020 – Rafael Carvajal released (2/17/20)
3/02/2020 – Rafi Gonell released (2/13/20)
3/02/2020 – Jose Taveras released (2/13/20)
3/02/2020 – Juan Carlos Smith released (2/13/20)
3/02/2020 – Grant Dyer retired (1/17/20)
3/02/2020 – Edinso Aleman released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Luis Candelo released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Wilbert Garcia released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Jhongel Malaver released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Hernando Mejia released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Yefferson Mercedes released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Giuseppe Peguero released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Santy Prada released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Ellian Rondon released (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Bailey Cummings released/retired (date unknown)
3/02/2020 – Gabriel Ojeda released/retired (date unknown)
2/25/2020 – Phillies signed FA INF Ali Castillo to an MiLB contract (unknown date)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Kliubert Avila as an international free agent (11/27/19)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Erick Barria as an international free agent (2/7/20)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Estibenzon Jimenez as an international free agent (11/27/19)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Jared Loyo as an international free agent (12/27/19)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Ronny Ramirez as an international free agent (11/23/19)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Pedro Reyes as an international free agent (12/18/19)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Albert Rodriguez as an international free agent (11/25/19)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Gabriel Tirado as an international free agent (12/5/19)
2/22/2020 – Phillies signed Edgar Zuniga as an international free agent (1/4/20)
2/21/2020 – Phillies sent LF Nick Martini outright to Lehigh Valley
2/15/2020 – Phillies designated LF Nick Martini for assignment
2/15/2020 – Dodgers traded RF Kyle Garlick to Phillies for LHP Tyler Gilbert
2/13/2020 – Lakewood released SS Seth Lancaster
2/12/2020 – Phillies placed RHP David Robertson on the 60-day IL. Tommy John surgery
2/12/2020 – Phillies signed FA RHP Tommy Hunter
2/11/2020 – Phillies sent RHP JD Hammer outright to Lehigh Valley
2/05/2020 – Phillies designated RHP JD Hammer for assignment
2/05/2020 – Phillies sent RHP Trevor Kelley outright to Lehigh Valley
2/05/2020 – Phillies claimed RHP Deolis Guerra off waivers from Brewers
2/05/2020 – Phillies signed FA RHP Anthony Swarzak to an MiLB contract w/invite to ST
2/05/2020 – Phillies signed FA RHP Blake Parker to an MiLB contract w/invite to ST
2/05/2020 – Phillies signed FA 2B Logan Forsythe to an MiLB contract w/invite to ST