With the Phillies torturing us on their way to missing the playoffs, I thought you might get some mileage out of this.
Last week, Mike Drago of the Reading Eagle canvassed radio and TV personalities, baseball writers, and others who follow the Phillies minor league system for input into his annual end of season top 30 prospect list.
We were asked to rank the prospects based on their present value to the Phillies, their ceiling/potential, age, and performance relative to level.
I determined those who I consider to be the top prospects in the organization. Then, I decided who had present value to the Phillies. I defined this as meaning, who could help them in 2020 and early 2021. Based on “present value” I pretty much eliminated all of the guys at Lehigh Valley and some of those at Reading. If they had any current value, I believe they would have be in Philadelphia before September 1st instead of the collection of castoffs added to the team in their stead. I’ve also did not consider a lot of the guys on the IL, especially those I know have shoulder and elbow injuries. That doesn’t mean I don’t like these guys, but I want to see how they return before I estimate their value or ceilings.
I then looked at the prospects further from immediate impact with the Phillies, the next waves if you will, those who will start arriving in 2022 (maybe as early as mid 2021, but not necessarily). My “ceiling/potential” is probably weighted more toward potential. All but five on my list are under the age of twenty-three.
- First, the top prospects.
- #1. Alec Bohm, 3B/1B – The kid can hit. I saw how hard he worked on his defense when he was the first to report in January. I think he can stay at third base.
- #2. Bryson Stott, SS – Another kid who can hit. In his SSS in the GCL, I was concerned about his arm. I have since had those worries allayed by Mitch Rupert.
- #3. Spencer Howard, RHP – Seriously big arm, plus off speed pitches. Let’s hope he’s over the shoulder issues.
- These guys are players I think will have present value in the near future. The numbers are more of a count for me rather than a ranking.
- #4. Mickey Moniak, OF – Continues to improve. May have earned promo to AAA next season. Could contribute in Philadelphia some time next season.
- #5. Erik Miller, LHP – Another big arm, this one from the 2019 draft. Should continue to move quickly thru the organization. (This guy interests me more than any other pitcher below AA. I hope he starts in Clearwater and finishes in Philadelphia.)
- #6. Connor Seabold, RHP – Good velocity and BB/K% after coming off IL. Could move quickly.
- #7. David Parkinson and
- #8. Colton Eastman – Starters I’d rather see than the guys we’ve been running up from Lehigh Valley.
- #9. Addison Russ,
- #10. Tyler Gilbert,
- #11. Grant Dyer, and
- #12. Connor Brogdon – Relievers who I hope can have an impact.
- #13. Josh Stephen – Made the most of an assignment that most questioned and took advantage of his ABs when opportunities arose.
- Those above might prove to have “present value” to the Phillies as early as some time next season. The following players could provide future value if they approach their ceilings. Again, the numbers are just a count, not a rank.
- #14. Nick Maton – Steady, all-around SS at Advanced A. Held his own at AA until the final week of the season.
- #15. Luis Garcia – Expect improvement next season as he starts in the SAL, again.
- #16. Jhailyn Ortiz – Undeniable power, young for FSL, could repeat.
- #17. Daniel Brito – Showed steady improvement after slow start, great glove.
- #18. Simon Muzziotti – Great glove, flashed some power.
- #19. Rafael Marchan – Emerging bat, great behind the plate, +36% CS rate.
- #20. Kyle Glogoski and
- #21. Ethan Lindow – A pair of 20-year-old LHP who showed promise at both Lakewood and Clearwater.
- #22. Kendall Simmons – Must carry his SSS hot streak to next season.
- #23. Johan Rojas – Impressed me in the GCL, continued to play well in Williamsport.
- #24. Francisco Morales – His 12.0 K/9 is otherworldly, needs to continue to improve his control and 4.3 BB/9.
- #25. Starlyn Castillo – Easily the most impressive pitcher I saw after he came off the IL. He only threw 9.1 innings, but he has a mid 90s fastball with a couple of nice secondary pitches. He shows poise beyond his 17 years. Indeed, I forgot how young he was and thought he was older when I watched him.
- And, 5 guys from the DSL to watch. I got good intel from people who’ve been down there. They’re listed in no particular.
- #26. Israel Puello
- #27. Uziel Viloria
- #28. Manuel Urias
- #29. Juan Herrera
- #30. Alexis Azuaje
And, there are still more young guys who have caught my eye. A lot of them. Pitchers with low and mid 90s fastballs, but have sketchy command; hitters with good averages but little power, yet; hitters without positions; pitchers with command but not much velocity; players on the IL who I hope return to form …
My list might skew Mike’s poll with it’s unusual selections and the arbitrary rankings. I apologized to Mike for that. As you can see, the numbers are really quite arbitrary after #3.
I probably have a lot of guys who you wouldn’t have considered. And, a lot of guys missing who you think should be listed. Say la vee. (C’est la vie)