Category Archives: Weekly Discussion

Open Discussion: Week of July 6th

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

In the past week, the Phillies have –

  • Announced the hiring of Andy MacPhail to succeed Pat Gillick as club President.
  • Announced interim mgr. Pete Mackanin will be remain thru the end of the season.
  • Announced the signing of international free agents Jhailyn Ortiz & Rafael Marchan.
  • Opened up a 7.5 game lead over Miami. Colorado & Milwaukee are a half game back.
  • Released Yoel Mecias (Prospect rank: #19 MLB, #10 PP Top 30, #6 Fangraphs, #12 BA, #14 Sickels, #4 BP, #4 MinorThoughts, unranked by Law)
  • Announced the trading of Future Considerations, RHP Chris Oliver and LHP Josh Taylor to Arizona for Future Considerations.

The two pitchers represent one-third of Lakewood’s starting rotation.  Shane Watson replaced Yoel Mecias (released) who replaced Ricardo Pinto (promoted to Clearwater).  Taylor’s spot comes up tomorrow.  Oliver’s on Thursday.  Their rotation looks like this over the next 6 days – Not Taylor, Viza, Casimiro, Not Oliver, Garcia, Watson.  Fill in the blanks!

Continue reading Open Discussion: Week of July 6th

Open Discussion: Week of June 29th

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

We now know the bonuses of the top 10 picks.  The 2015 Draft Tracker has been updated.

Some random stuff to light a fire –

  • Andy McPhail
  • Ryne Sandberg
  • The Phillies begin a crucial 4-game series at home against Milwaukee.  You know why it’s crucial.
  • Maikel Franco is leading the Phillies with his .304 BA.  He is second in HR and RBI with 10 and 32 to Ryan Howard’s 13 and 36.  He has a mere 25 K in 172 PA (14.5%).  He has only walked 9 times (5.2%).  That should maybe go up when pitchers stop challanging him.  Sound about right?

Open Discussion: Week of June 22nd

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

The 2015 Draft Tracker is pinned at the top of the site.  It has also been added with other 2015 draft stuff under the pull-down menu titled “The Draft”.  The Tracker includes bonus information that I have been able to confirm and all signing to date.  I added Luke Williams as signed.  His Twitter account indicates he is a member of the Philadelphai Phillies and an article from a home town paper indicates he signed, probably for slot.

Some random stuff to light a fire –

  • I’ve seen a few bloggers go bonkers over the Phillies selecting SS high in the draft.  One questioned whether Crawford was draft fodder after the Randolph pick.  After the Williams pick, Canelo’s future was questioned.  Comments like these tend to support the contention that some people don’t understand the process.  This is not an indictment of anyone who comments here.  But more of an observation of all the bloggers, twitter accounts, and media I follow.  I understand the level of dislike people have for the current management team.  But, criticism for the sake of criticism gets old.  When the critic displays a lack of understanding, it renders the criticism moot.
  • Drafting the best player available vs. drafting for need.  This is an interesting topic.  Baseball is different from football or basketball where a player can be drafted and immediately be inserted into a first string position.  I’ve only been following the minors for a few years now, so I don’t have a firm position on this.  Since a draft pick is a few years away from contributing at the major league level, I guess I can see taking the best player available with your higher picks.
  • For a really good article on the draft check out the article James posted on June 9th, if you missed it.
  • Sorry, I haven’t been following the Phillies close enough to offer up a subject.  Unless you want to talk about Sandberg and his handling of the bullpen.  I was one who really looked forward to the day when Sandberg would take over as manager.  However, I don’t think I want to see Nola, Biddle, Eflin, et al move up to the majors while Sandberg and McClure are still there.

Open Discussion: Week of June 15th

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

Draft Tracker is pinned at the top of the site.  No signings official, but a few kids are reporting to Clearwater tomorrow.

Some random stuff to light a fire –

  • If Freddie Galvis can’t make a routine throw … never mind.
  • They finally promoted Nola to LHV.
  • Well, he should have been promoted to Philadelphia.
  • Or, they should have left him in Reading.
  • Does Chase Utley have any options left?
  • The Phillies now have the worst record in baseball.
  • Who’s going to last in Philly longer, Giles or Sandberg/McClure/Bowa?  My first thought when I saw the clip was, “Really?  They’re going to get in the face of the guy who actually has a future in Philadelphia?”

Open Discussion: Week of June 8th

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

The First Year Player Draft starts Monday night.  There will be separate threads for that.

Some random stuff to light a fire –

  • Freddy Galvis got a hit today to end an 0-31 drought.
  • Maikel Franco’s 6 HR are enough to be second on the team.
  • Chase Utley is back under .200.
  • Papelbon is still earning his salary.
  • With Seve Gonzalez back to LHV, who’s #5?
  • Or, with an off day on the 11th, they just don’t need him until the 16th?
  • And since the draft is tomorrow, there’s this.  The Phillies are one of 3 teams with sub-.400 winning percentages – Oakland .390; Philadelphia .379; and Milwaukee .351

Open Discussion: Week of June 1st

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

Okay, I’m tired of tracking Jonathan Papelbon’s games finished.  It’s not funny to me any more.  I think it’s unlikely he gets traded unless a closer for a contender gets hurt.  They all seem to be functional so far.  Paps will vest, he’ll deserve it if he does.

Some other random stuff to light the fire –

  • I’ve grown tired of tracking Utley’s road to the Mendoza line, the guys with fewer HRs than Billingsley, the Phillies pathetic offense, their middling pitching, and their position for next year’s draft.  Maybe later.
  • How about this.  Nola’s not ready to jump to the Phillies.  He is not a 1 or even a 2 who could be an impact pitcher at the major league level.  His OFP (or FV) is a 55, that puts him in the 3/4 range.  He has thrown 10 games this year in a 5-man rotation.  You want to promote him?  Move him up to LHV where he can face better hitters before moving up to the Majors.  Remember, not all organizations stock their AAA teams with AAAA guys.  Some actually have prospects .Let him cut his teeth a little longer, bring him up in September if he earns it.

Open Discussion: Week of May 25th

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

Jonathan Papelbon made 2 appearances and finished 2 games this week, converting 2 save opportunities.  After 46 games, Papelbon has 18 appearances, 17 games finished, and 11 saves in 11 save opportunities.

Some other random stuff to light the fire –

  • More Papelbon – He has as many or more saves than 14 MLB teams; including contenders such as the Chicago Cubs (11 saves/19 opportunities; Rondon 9/12), Pittsburgh Pirates (11/16; Melancon 10/11), Boston Red Sox (10/16; Uehara 10/11), and Los Angeles Dodgers (10/16; looks like closer by committee).
  • Other contenders with more blown saves than Papelbon (11/11) and the Phillies (12/14) include Houston Astros (18/22; Gregerson 12/13), Washington Nationals (16/22; Storen 14/15), Atlanta Braves (15/20; Grilli 13/14), Detroit Tigers (14/18; Soria 13/14), KC Royals (14/20), Los Angeles Angels (14/21; Street 14/16), Seattle Mariners (13/18; Rodney 12/13).
  • Realistically, it looks like the only teams who would see Papelbon as an upgrade are the Cubs and Dodgers.
  • One last Papelbon fact – in his last 3 innings he has struck out 7 of the 9 batters he retired.
  • Maikel Franco has 2 home runs and 7 RBI in his first 10 games since being called up.
  • Chase Utley has improved to .173/.248/.295/.543.  He’s closing in on Rupp (.196) to shed the ignomity of being the lowest AVG among position players.
  • Chad Billingsley still has more HR (1) than Blanco, Hernandez, Revere, Ruiz, Rupp, and Sizemore.
  • Phillies tied for MLB low 26 HR, but are no longer the NL worst in any of the slash categories with their .241/.295/.351/.650.
  • MLB worst 146 runs scored.
  • Their team ERA continues to drop and has broken through the 4 RPG barrier (3.99).
  • Still allowing the most free passes in the NL (151).
  • Their .413 winning percentage leaves them solidly in the bottom 7 in MLB.
  • Ryan Howard has come to life.  He has the second highest batting average on the team and is starting to pop up on NL leader boards for HR (8th) and RBI (20th).  His slash even looks respectable when compared among all first basemen in the majors, especially his SLG and OPS.  All he needs to do is disguise his hideous BB/K (8/43) ratio.  But there are also a lot of AL DH that he is out-performing.

Open Discussion: Week of May 18th

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

Jonathan Papelbon made 4 appearances and finished 4 games this week, converting 3 save opportunities.  After 39 games, Papelbon has made 16 appearances, 15 games finished (9 saves, 6 non-saves).

Some other random stuff to light the fire –

  • Maikel Franco was called up and hit his first major league home run and triple on Sunday.
  • The Phillies held off on calling Franco up to the majors until he was ready.  It’s just a coincidence that they brought him up on the exact day that guaranteed them another year of control.  But that was not a consideration.  Nudge.  Nudge.  Wink.  Wink.  Say no more.  Say no more.  Actually, that is within the rules of the CBA, so I don’t have a problem with it.  That’s just a smart baseball decision.
  • Chase Utley .138/.214/.241/.455 (has shown some improvement, lowest in all 4 slash components of any Phillies position player, 3 SP have higher BA – Hamels .231/.231/.231/.462; Buchanan .167/.167/.333/.500; Billingsley .200/.200/.800/1.000
  • Billingsley has more HR (1) than Blanco, Hernandez, Revere, Ruiz, Rupp, and Sizemore.
  • Phillies have MLB low 22 HR, and are competing with Milwaukee for NL worst  .227/.282/.332/.614.
  • NL low 120 runs scored.
  • Their team ERA of 4.10 is back up to middle-of-the-pack.
  • had been middle-of-the-road, but has now dropped to the bottom 4 in the NL.  They still have allowed the most walks (135).
  • Their 5 game winning streak has boosted their winning percentage to .410, and has brought more teams into play for the top draft picks.  There are still 4 teams with sub .400 winning percentages.  But, there are enough teams playing poorly that continued good baseball could make the race for a protected pick more interesting than earlier anticipated.  (I’m laughing as I type that.)

Open Discussion: Week of May 11th

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

Jonathan Papelbon made 2 appearances and finished 2 games this week, converting his one save opportunity.  After 32 games, Papelbon has made 12 appearances, 11 games finished (6 saves, 5 non-saves).

Some other random stuff to light the fire –

  • Chase Utley .116/.194/.221/.415 (lowest BA of any Phillies position player, 3 SP have higher BA – Hamels, Buchanan, and Billingsley)
  • Hamels .273/.273/.273/.545
  • Buchanan .167/.167/.333/.500
  • Billingsley .333/.333/.333/1.667
  • Billingsley has more HR (1) than Blanco, Hernandez, Herrera, Revere, Ruiz, Rupp, and Sizemore.
  • Phillies .228/.282/.332/.614 (still the worst in NL)
  • Although they have played more games than 9 NL teams. their 91 runs is the lowest in the league.  Their 241 hits is tied for lowest with the division-leading Mets.  They lead the league with 10 triples, but trail the league with 17 HRs.
  • Their team ERA had been middle-of-the-road, but has now dropped to the bottom 4 in the NL.  They have allowed the most hits (295) and the most walks (122).  Opponents are hitting .272, only the Rockies’ .291 is higher.
  • And, finally (it’s early but what the heck) the Phillies’.344 winning percentage is tied for the worst in baseball with the surging Milwaukee Brewers.  They are one of five teams with a winning percentage below .400.

Open Discussion: Week of May 4th

Here’s an open discussion thread so the minor league posts don’t get cluttered with Phillies’ talk and other topics.

Jonathan Papelbon made 3 appearances and finished 3 games this week, converting his only save opportunity.  After 26 games, Papelbon has made 10 appearances, 9 games finished (5 saves, 4 non-saves).

Some other random stuff to light the fire –

  • Chase Utley .108/.181/.217/.398 (lowest BA of any Phillie with a hit, 3 SP have higher BA – Hamels, Buchanan, and Harang)
  • Phillies .221/.276/.324/.600 (worst in NL, still)
  • The batting averages of the Phillies starting eight from Sunday’s game after completion – .239, .108, .186, .193, .191, .271, .200, .167
  • Sorta makes Seve Gonzalez’ victory even more improbable.
  • Hard to believe that Dom Brown couldn’t crack that line up.
  • Does Utley have any options remaining?