All posts by gregg

Report Card, Bullpen, Clearwater and Lakewood

Report card for relievers in CLearwater and Lakewood.  The final report card segment will cover Williamsport and GCL.

Clearwater

Aaron Baker, 24, Signed as a free agent in 2014; 19 games; 3-2 with a 4.89ERA between GCL, Lakewood and CLearwater; 2 saves; 35IP 45H 6BB 38K; 1HR allowed; .306 opp avg; 1.46 WHIP; 1.19 GO/AO; Baker was picked up mid season and gave Clearwater innings.  Grade: C; 2015: Another organization

Cody Forsythe, 24, Phils 25th round pick in 2013; 45 games between Lakewood and Clearwater; 5-5 with a 2.35ERA; 12 saves; 65IP 55H 17BB 72K; 6HR allowed; .223 opp avg; 1.11 WHIP; 0.78 GO/AO; 2.4BB/10.0K per 9; For Clearwater: 22 games; 2-3 with a 2.27ERA; .208 opp avg; 1.07 WHIP.  Forsythe was excellent for Lakewood and pitched even better for CLearwater.  He is a guy whose value is limited as a reliever but on the rise nonetheless.  Grade: A; 2015: Reading

Perci Garner, 25, Phils 2nd round pick in 2010; 26 games (16 starts) between Reading and Clearwater; 4-5 with a 4.61ERA; 93.2IP 88H 77BB 75K; 3 HR allowed; .254 opp avg; 1.76 WHIP; 1.74 GO/AO; 7.4BB/7.2K per 9; Garner started the season in the Reading rotation, lost his spot, was very poor in the Reading bullpen, sent to Clearwater and not much better there.  He simply can’t throw strikes.  and hasn’t been able to throw strikes throughout his minor league career. Grade: D-; 2015: I would be fine seeing Garner released however I suspect he has one more shot, probably in the Reading bullpen Continue reading

Report Card, Bullpen, Lehigh Valley and Reading

The final report card for the Lehigh Valley and Reading bullpen.  Next up is CLearwater and Lakewood. 

Lehigh Valley

Phillippe Aumont, 25, Acquired from Seattle in 2010; 35 games, 3-3 with a 3.93ERA; 55IP 48H 39BB 65K; .240 opp avg; 1.58 WHIP; 1.30 GO/AO; 6.4BB/10.6K per 9; .226 vs. LHH; .252 vs. RHH; .250 opp avg over last month; Aumont received multiple shots to pitch for the Phils this year and was beyond awful during each opportunity.  His minor league season was marred by continued inconsistency, lack of control, and missed time due to injury.  The Phillies failing to call Aumont up in September pretty much says it all at this stage.  Without options next year, I expect him to be in another organization.  Grade: D

Jeremy Horst, 29, Acquired from Cincinnati in 2012; 45 games; 4-2 with a 3.98ERA; 63.1IP 54H 31BB 57K; 4HR allowed; .234 opp avg; 1.34 WHIP; 0.51 GO/AO; .236 vs. LHH; .232 vs. RHH; .169 opp avg over last 30 days; 1.08 ERA in 9 appearances since 8/1.  Horst was simply bad for the first part of the season, was designated for assignment off the 40 man and came back to pitch very well over the seasons last month or two.  With the Phils now having some depth from the left side in the bullpen and Horst being a free agent, I would expect him elsewhere come 2015.  Grade: C

Tyler Knigge, 25, Phils 12th round pick in 2010; 45 appearances, 7-3 with a 3.43ERA between Reading and Lehigh Valley; 3 saves; 76IP 71H 22BB 47K; 2.6BB/5.6K per 9; .248 opp avg; 1.22 WHIP; 1.87 GO/AO; For Lehigh Valley: 27 games, 4-3 with a 4.61ERA; .270 opp. avg; 1.37 WHIP.  Knigge was lights out for Reading and was called up to Lehigh Valley mid-season where he struggled at times with the transition.  Still, he showed signs of promise, showing very good command. Grade: B-; 2015: Lehigh Valley

Ethan Martin, 25, Acquired from Dodgers in 2012; 29 games, 2-1 with a 4.15ERA; 47.2IP 46H 21BB 45K; 2HR allowed; .256 opp avg; 1.41 WHIP; 1.38 GO AO; 4.0BB/8.5K per 9; .221 vs. LHH; .282 vs. RHH; .270 opp avg over last 30 days.  All in all a disappointing year for Martin who was shut down early in Spring Training with arm issues and was ineffective for a period of time upon his return.  Overall, the numbers are mediocre.  There is talent there.  It is a matter of whether it can be properly channeled.  Grade: C-; 2015: Lehigh Valley with a call up to Philly at some point

Hector Neris, 25, Signed as a free agent in 2010;48 games between Reading and Lehigh Valley; 6-3 with a 3.61ERA and 2 saves; 77.1IP 62H 29BB 70K; 8HR allowed; .219 opp avg; 1.18 WHIP; 0.81 GO/AO; 3.4BB/8.1K per 9; .264 vs. LHH; .203 vs. RHH. Neris had a very good year, getting called up for his major league debut (sent back down after one scoreless appearance) and putting himself on the radar screen as a true candidate for the future of the Phillies bullpen.  Too many home runs balls, but he has a couple of pitches that are near major league ready.  Grade: B+; 2015: Lehigh Valley

BJ Rosenberg, 29, Phils 13th round pick in 2008; 18 games, 2-1 with a 6.63ERA; 19IP 24H 12BB 17K; 2 HR allowed; .312 opp avg; 1.89 WHIP; 0.90 GO/AO; 5.7BB/8.1K per 9; Just an awful year for Rosenberg who was brutal for the both the Phils and ‘Pigs and had multiple stints on the DL.  Without options, he will come into Sprint Training in “make it or break it” mode.  With the other options the Phils now have, I suspect Rosenberg lands elsewhere in 2015, if not over the winter.  Grade: D-

Cesar Jiminez, 29, Re-Signed as a free agent in 2014; 38 games (2 starts); 3-2 with a 1.45ERA; 3 saves; 49.2IP 34H 15BB 46K; 0 HR allowed; 2.7BB/8.3K per 9; .193 opp avg; 0.99 WHIP; 0.87 GO/AO; .167 vs. LHH; .282 vs. RHH.  Jiminez dominated the International League all season with numbers that were off the charts.  Good control and didnt allow a homerun ball in 50 innings.  His command was not as good in his multiple trips to the majors but Jiminez currently has a ERA below 2 and an opp avg below .250 for the Phils.  Jiminez has no options and he will need to be re-signed over the off season if the Phils want him back.  They could do alot worse than Jiminez as an 11th or 12th man in their bullpen.  Grade: A

Luis Garcia, 27, Signed as a free agent in 2013; 39 games; 2-1 with an 0.96ERA; 22 saves; 46.2IP 35H 16BB 52K; 0HR allowed; .205 opp avg; 1.09 WHIP; 1.43 GO/AO; 3.1BB/10.0K per 9; .150 with RISP; Garcia was totally lights out for Lehigh Valley; was an IL All Star and among the league leaders in saves, even with multiple major league stints.  His first two short call ups to Philly were miserable this year, but since September 1st, Garcia has a 2.08ERA for the Phils.  Grade: A-; 2015: Garcia has an option remaining, so he certainly will be back with the organization bouncing between Lehigh Valley and Philly.

Miguel Gonzalez, 28, Signed as a free agent in 2013; 31 games (3 starts) between Clearwater, Reading and Lehigh Valley; 0-4 with a 3.11ERA; 3 saves; 46.1IP 40H 26BB 54K; .231 opp avg; 1.42 WHIP; 0.63 GO/AO; 5.1BB/10.5K per 9; For Lehigh Valley: 12 games, 0-0 with a 1.62ERA; 2 saves; 16.2IP 10H 10BB 19K; .172 opp avg; Gonzalez entered the season with very high expectations, was immediately injured and then struggled upon his return moving from the starting rotation to the bullpen.  He flourished in both the Reading and Lehigh Valley bullpens showing major league “stuff”, albeit with command issues.  He was called up on 9/1 and has struggled for the Phils in his 5 outings thru 9/25 (8.31 ERA).  Grade: C, Gonzalez pretty much ended up where I expected him to be at the end of 2014, but took a very different route than I expected to get there; 2015: I would be very surprised if he is not on the 25 man roster, making $4M again in 2015.

Reading

Matt Hoffman, 25, Signed as a free agent in 2014; 23 games between Reading and Lehigh Valley; 0-1 with a 3.71ERA; 26.2IP 26H 10BB 31K; 1.36 WHIP; .255 opp avg; 0.75 GO/AO; Hoffman was signed as a free agent mid season and did a good job in the role that was given to him.  Grade: B-; 2015: Most likely elsewhere

Colton Murray, 24, Phils 13th round pick in 2011; 47 games; 3-7 with a 2.23ERA; 8 saves; 76.2IP 55H 30BB 77K; 5HR allowed; 3.5BB/9.1K per 9; .201 opp avg; 1.11 WHIP; 0.90 GO/AO; FOr Reading: 36 games; 1-5 with a 2.29ERA; .188 opp avg; 1.03 WHIP.  Murray is probably the reliever whose stock has risen the most throughout the Phils minor leagues.  He was outstanding this year, progressing from CLearwater to Reading and dominating AA hitters.  Home run balls are a bit of a problem, but a very good year overall for Murray who will need to be added to the 40 man roster.  Grade: A-; 2015: Lehigh Valley

Mike Nesseth, 26, Phils 17th round pick in 2010; 42 games (9 starts) between Lehigh Valley and Reading; 2-7 with a 5.60ERA; 1 save; 88.1IP 112H 27BB 64K; 11HR allowed; 2.8BB/6.5K per 9; .310 opp avg; 1.57 WHIP; 1.38 GO/AO; 18 games since July 1: 1-1 with a 2.83ERA; Nesseth was simply as bad as you can be for the first three months of the season and then came around towards years end to show some of the promise that was there in 2013.  I had very big expectations for Nesseth entering 2014 and the grade encompasses the fact that I expected a major league debut.  Grade: D-; 2015: Lehigh Valley

Neifi Ogando, 25, Acquired from Boston in 2013; 48 games; 5-1 with a 6.27ERA; 7 saves; 56IP 64H 28BB 57K; 6HR allowed; .291 opp avg; 1.64 WHIP; 1.68 GO/AO; 4.5BB/9.1K per 9; .300 vs. LHH; .288 vs. RHH; .211 opp avg over last  month; Post All STar Game: 3-0 with a 3.86ERA in 16 games; Ogando was extremely inconsistent in the first half of the season, often stuggling with his control.  He did a better job in the second half but needs to show he can do it consistently before a move up.  He has very good stuff, just needs to consistently know where to throw it.  Grade: D+; 2015: Reading

Seth Rosin, 25, Acquired from Giants in 2012; 43 games between Lehigh Valley and Reading; 3-5 with a 3.86ERA; 3 saves; 58.1IP 64H 19BB 44K; 6HR allowed; .286 opp avg; 1.42 WHIP; 0.85 GO/AO; Rosin had a whirlwind year during which he made his major league debut for the Dodgers, then pitched for the Rangers in the majors, before he was returned to the Phillies via Rule 5 return.  When he returned he was simply awful for Lehigh Valley, before turning it around in Reading to have a very consistent second half of the season.  I havent lost faith that Rosin could be a help in a major league bullpen, however, the upside appears to be as a 11th ot 12th man in the bullpen, as a middle reliever.  Grade: C-; 2015: Lehigh Valley

Kyle Simon, 24, Acquired from Baltimore in 2012; 46 games; 5-4 with a 3.93 ERA between Lehigh Valley and Reading; 3 saves; 75.2IP 77H 21BB 41K; 3HR allowed; .271 opp avg; 1.30 WHIP; 2.47 GO/AO; 2.5BB/4.9K per 9; .254 opp avg over last month; For Lehigh Valley: 10 games; 0-2 with a 9.42ERA; .317 opp. avg; 10 BB in 14.1IP; Simon started the year with the ‘Pigs and was beyond brutal before being sent back to AA.  For Reading, Simon got his mojo back, pitching well.  The Phils will need to make a 40 man roster decision with Simon.  I suspect he is left unprotected and goes untaken.  Grade: D+; 2015: Lehigh Valley 

Austin Wright, 25, Phils 8th round pick in 2011; 32 games; 2-4 with a 5.06ERA; 48IP 41H 44BB 38K; 5HR allowed; .225 opp avg; 1.77 GO/AO; 0.72 GO/AO; 8.3BB/7.1K per 9; .177 vs. LHP; .250 vs. RHP; .250 opp avg over last month; .222 opp avg with RISP; All you need to do is look at the walk rate to judge Wright’s success (lack thereof) this year.  Simply awful.  Combine that with missing significant time injured and you have a very bad year. That said, he has talent.  Look at opponents batting average.  He is Rule 5 eligible, and I actually think the Phils will protect him simply because of the .177 LHH opp. avg. Grade: D-; 2015: Reading until he proves he knows where the strike zone is.

Report Card, Starting Pitching, Williamsport and GCL

Report card for starters in WIlliamsport and the GCL, albeit with limited sample sizes. Next up will be the bullpen in Lehigh Valley and Reading.

Williamsport

Alejandro Artega, 20, Signed as a free agent in 2010; 22 starts between Lakewood and WIlliamsport; 4-14 with a 6.13ERA; 111.2IP 160H 20BB 69H 11HR allowed; .341 opp avg; 1.61 WHIP; 1.09 GO/AO; 1.6BB/5.6K per 9; .289 opp avg over last month; Opponents hit Arteaga at nearly a .400 clip in his 9 Lakewood starts before being sent to Williamsport.  After a successful 2013, this year was a step backwards.  Grade: D; 2015: WIlliamsport

Mitch Guellar, 20, Phils Compensation Round Pick in 2012; 13 starts; 5-5 with a 4.69ERA; 63.1IP 65H 29BB 31K; .275 opp avg; 1.48 WHIP; 0.73 GO/AO; 4.0bb/4.4K per 9; .259 vs. LHH; .289 vs. RHH; .310 opp avg over last month; After a very good first half where Guellar was named a NYPL All Star, he had a difficult second half where many of the same issues he went through in 2013 re-appeared.  Guellar was just 1-3 with a 7.25ERA in 5 August starts.  Grade: C-; 2015: He may be back for a third season in Williamsport.

Brandon Leibrandt, 21, Phils 6th round pick in 2014; 12 games(10 starts) between GCL and WIlliamsport; 3-5 with a 2.82ERA; 60.2IP 49H 10BB 67K; .227 opp avg; 0.97 WHIP; 0.61 GO/AO; 1.5BB/9.9K per 9; For Williamsport: 7 starts, 2-3 with a 2.20ERA; .203 opp avg and 0.90 WHIP; Leibrandt was excellent generally overpowering hitters in the NYPL and GCL.  Excellent control and knows how to pitch.  Grade: A; 2015: Clearwater rotation Continue reading

Report Card, Starting Pitchers, CLearwater and Lakewood

The report card for starting pitchers who ended the season in CLearwater and Lakewood.  Reminder on grading…players are graded against pre-season expectation of themselves not each other.  A= Far exceeded expectations; B= Exceeded Expectations; C= At Expectations; D= Below Expectations; F= Far Below Expectations.  Next up, Starting pitching in Williamsport and GCL

Clearwater

Colin Kleven, 23, Phils 33rd round pick in 2009; 24 starts, 6-10 with a 4.83ERA; 136IP 155H 33BB 107K; 13HR allowed; .289 opp avg; 1.38 WHIP; 1.41 GO AO; 2.2BB/7.1K per 9; .285 with RISP; .339 vs. LHH, .252 vs. RHH; Post All STar: 12 starts, 4-3 with a 4.32ERA; Kleven’s numbers are very pedestrian until you consider that he recovered from an extremely significant back injury in 2013 to pitch a full season and become more effective as the year went on.  Grade: C+; 2015: I think he will be challenged to sink or swim in Reading.

Mark Leiter, 23, Phils 22nd round pick in 2013; 27 starts between Lakewood and Clearwater; 9-12 with a 4.35ERA; 149IP 160H 37BB 141K; 10HR allowed; .274 opp avg; 1.32 WHIP; 1.24 GO/AO; 2.2BB/8.9K per 9; For Clearwater: 11 starts; 4-5 with a 4.31ERA; .273 opp avg; 1.30 WHIP; Leiter would throw two outstanding games, followed by an atrocious game and was inconsistent all year.  His final numbers are adequate and show continued promise but he needs to work on his consistency.  2015: Reading; Grade: B-

Miguel Nunez, Soon to be 22, SIgned as a free agent in 2010; 25 games (20 starts); 6-7 with a 4.49ERA; 122.1IP 125H 44BB 95K; 8HR allowed; .263 opp avg; 1.38 WHIP; 0.71 GO/AO; 3.2BB/7.0K per 9; .269 vs. LHH; .257 vs. RHH; .243 opp avg over last month; Since July 1: 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA in 9 starts; Nunez came on to become the Threshers most consistent starter, throwing exceptionally well towards the end of the season.  Grade: B-; 2015: I think he starts in CLearwater but with a quick call to Reading when a Reading starter either falters or is called up to Lehigh Valley Continue reading

Shane Watson Suspended for 50 Games

The news keeps getting worse for Shane Watson, but this time, it is of his own doing.  Watson, the Phillies first round pick in 2012 missed all of last season with a shoulder injury and will now miss the first 50 games of next season due to a suspension for violating baseball’s drug policy.  Matt Gelb of the Philadelphia Inquirer is reporting that the violation is not for steroid use, but a “drug of abuse”.   STay tuned for more details as they become available.

Starting Pitching Report Card, Lehigh Valley and Reading

Report card for starting pitchers at Lehigh Valley and Reading.  Clearwater and Lakewood are up next.  A reminder that grades are based on pre season expectations against the players themselves not against each other.  A= Far exceeds expectations; B= Exceeds expectations; C= At expectations; D= Below Expectations; F= Disaster

Lehigh Valley

Greg Smith, 30, Re-signed as a free agent in 2014; 27 games, 9-11 with a 4.40ERA; 157.1IP 176H 37BB 92K; 17HR allowed; 2.1BB/5.2K per 9; .286 opp avg; 1.35 WHIP; 0.63 GO/AO; .297 vs. LHH, .282 vs. RHH; Post All Star Game: 2-5 with a 5.58ERA in 9 starts; .318 opp avg with RISP.  Smith was serviceable this year, transitioning into a side armor.  Best that really can be said is that he gave Lehigh Valley innings, some good, some bad.  Grade: C; 2015: Elsewhere

Sean O’Sullivan, 27, SIgned as a free agent in 2014; 25 starts; 6-10 with a 4.30ERA; 148.2IP 154H 50BB 94K; 17HR allowed; .271 opp avg; 1.37 WHIP; 0.79 GO/AO; 3.0BB/5.7K per 9; .282 vs. LHH, .261 vs. RHH, .323 with RISP; 2-1 with a 2.56 ERA in 5 August starts; There were times O’Sullivan threw well, and he was an innings eater for Lehigh Valley, but basically, it was a mediocre year for the RHP.  Home runs simply killed him and the high opponents average with RISP tell the tale. Grade: C; 2015: Could be back in Lehigh Valley providing depth but more likely, elsewhere. 

Brad Lincoln, 29, Acquired from Toronto in 2013; 27 games (22 starts); 6-11 with a 5.11ERA; 123.1IP 123H 58BB 112K; 13HR allowed; .260 opp. avg; 1.47 WHIP; 0.79 GO/AO; 4.2BB/8.2K per 9; .271 vs. LHH, .252 vs. RHH; Since July 1st: 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA; .281 opp avg with RISP; Lincoln started the year with the Phils, was awful and was sent down.  He pitched well early for Lehigh Valley but his second half turned into an unmitigated disaster.  Grade: D; 2015: Elsewhere Continue reading

Report Card, Middle Infield–Lehigh Valley, Reading and Clearwater

The report card for middle infielders at the upper reaches of the organization. Next up: Starting Pitching

Lehigh Valley

Reid Brignac, 28, Signed as a free agent in 2014; .279/.357/.471 for Lehigh Valley in 128 AB’s; 5HR 21RBI; 3SB; 11%bb/22%k rates; .211 vs. LHP; .289 vs. RHP. 16 games at 2B without an error (1.000); 8 games at SS without an error; 10 games at 3B with 3 errors (.870); 1 game at 1B with 1 error.  Brignac was up and down between Lehigh Valley and Philly, with the DL in between this year. In fairly limited action with the ‘Pigs he did a good job with both the bat and glove.  Grade: B; 2015: Elsewhere; Brignac will go where there is the best opportunity for major league time.  Looking at the Phils situation, the likelihood is that his major league chances are limited.

Cesar Hernandez, 24, Signed as a free agent in 2007; .290/.358/.394 in 259 AB’s between Reading and Lehigh Valley; 3HR 24RBI; 8/15SB; 10%bb/16%k rates; .250 over last month; 24 games at SS with 4 errors (.952); 21 games at 3B with 10 errors (.831); 23 games at 2B with 2 errors (.981); Hernandez bounced all around in 2014, between the minors and majors; between Reading and Lehigh Valley. They experimented with him at 3B which did not go well.  His stats at the plate were solid as they usually have been in the minors.  Bottom Line: Hernandez can be a  backup middle infielder that is far more solid at 2B. Grade: C; 2015: The Phils are in a dilemma as Hernandez will be out of options after this year, so he must make the major league roster in the Spring or all major league teams will have a shot at him.  At just 24, he is a likely candidate to be picked up if the Phils choose to outright him.  Continue reading

Report Card–Middle Infield, Lakewood, Williamsport, GCL

The report card for middle infielders at the lower levels of the organization.  Up next is a look at the middle infield for Lehigh Valley, Reading and CLearwater.

Lakewood

Andrew Pullin,20, Phils 5th round pick in 2012; .270/.332/.374 in 492 AB’s; 9HR 61RBI; 6/13SB; 8%bb/18%k rates; .241 vs. LHP; .282 vs. RHP; .268 last month; .317 with RISP;  123 games at 2B with 26 errors (.951);  Grade: B; 2015: Clearwater.  A very good year at the plate by Pullin who was productive throughout the year.   In his second year since transitioning from the OF, Pullin committed too many errors but worked hard and showed defensive potential.  The Phils will be faced with a dilemma with the newly acquired Jesmuel Valentin likely to start in CLearwater as well, with AB’s potentially shared until someone steps up (or down).

Drew Stankiewicz, 21, Phils 11th round pick in 2014; .239/.297/.284 in 155 AB’s between Williamsport and Lakewood; 1HR 14RBI; 5/7SB; 8%bb/17%k rates; For Lakewood: .145/.198/.145 in 76 AB’s; 0HR 2 RBI; 27 games at 2B with 6 errors (.945); 17 games at SS with 2 errors (.971); Grade: C; 2015: Lakewood.  Stankiewicz was very good for Williamsport and very poor for Lakewood with the stick.  He will need to show some success in Lakewood before any more movement. Continue reading

Report Card–Catchers

A look at catching throughout the organization.  Problems up top and some excitement down below. 

Lehigh Valley

Koyie Hill, 35, Signed as a free agent in 2014; .227/.333/.352 in 176 AB’s; 3HR 17RBI; 14%bb/22%k rates; .125 vs. LHP; .266 vs. RHP; .231 last month; .275 with RISP; 46 games at C with 2 errors (.993); 3 passed balls; 38%CS rate; (13/34). Grade: C+; 2015: Most likely another organization or retired; Hill gave the ‘Pigs exactly what was anticipated with a bit of offense through an excellent walk rate, very solid defense and organizational depth at catcher which was needed in the bigs for an extended period with Ruiz and Nieves both out.

Cameron Rupp, Soon to be 26, Phils 3rd round pick in 2010; .165/.256/.299 in 194 AB’s with Lehigh Valley; 6HR 19RBI; 10%bb/36%k rate; .218 vs. LHP; .144 vs. RHP; .160 with RISP; .194 over last month; 56 games caught with 3 errors (.992); 4passed balls; 29%CS rate (14/48); Grade: D-; 2015: Lehigh Valley.  Rupp has just an awful year with the bat, during a season in which I expected him to step up and find himself knocking on the door for the backup catcher position in 2015.  AFter an early season trip to the DL, Rupp was never the same, albeit still doing a decent job defensively. With one option remaining, next years production will make the difference between whether Rupp is the 2016 Phils backup or likely in another organization by them. Continue reading