A look at the starting pitching in the top half of the organization with Lakewood, Williamsport and the GCL to come late in the week.
Tyler Cloyd, 25, Phils 18th round pick in 2008; 23 starts; 14-1 with a 2.07 ERA; 148IP 112H 34BB 104K; 1.03 GO/AO; .213 opp. avg., .254 vs. LH, .164 vs. RH, .189 with RISP. 0.99 WHIP; 2.0BB/6.3K per nine; 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA in 7 starts since July 1. Frankly the pitching line that Cloyd has put up this year could not be better. The critics say he doesn’t throw hard enough. If you know how to pitch, that can make up for 5MPH and then some. I bought in last year before the hype and believe now he should have been in Philly at least a month ago. What is the downside of giving him a shot?
Jon Pettibone, 22, Phils 3rd round pick in 2008; 22 starts between Reading and Lehigh Valley; 11-7 with a 3.19 ERA; 135.1IP 126H 36BB 94K; 1.39 GO/AO; .246 opp. avg., 2.4BB/6.3K per nine; Pettibone looked very good with Reading and even better with Lehigh Valley early on. He knows how to pitch and is extremely consistent.
Tom Cochran, 29, SIgned as a free agent in 2012; 21 games; 6-5 with a 4.57 ERA; 104.1IP 94H 60BB 86K; 0.81 GO/AO; .244 opp. avg., 5.2BB/7.2K per nine; .268 vs. LH, .236 vs. RH, .279 with RISP; 1-4 with a 5.85 ERA in 8 starts since July 1. Has been very unimpressive since coming of the DL with shoulder problems in July.
Scott Elarton, 36, Signed as a free agent in 2012; 24 games , 5-10 with a 5.46 ERA; 127IP 151H 47BB 81K; 0.72 GO/AO; .296 opp. avg., 1.56 WHIP; 3.3BB/4.8K per nine; .321 vs. LH, .277 vs. RH, .296 with RISP; 0-4 with a 7.24 ERA in 8 starts since July 1. After an exceptional April, ELarton has been consistently bad since. This is clearly his swan song.
Austin Hyatt, 26, Phils 15th round pick in 2009;23 starts , 8-10 with a 5.39 ERA; 119.2IP 133H 47BB 90K; 18HR allowed; 0.55 GO/AO; .282 opp. avg., 1.50 WHIP; 11 starts for Lehigh Valley, 2-7 with a 6.33 ERA; 1.63 WHIP; .292 opp. avg., 4.3BB/5.8K per nine. .368 with RISP. Simply said, Hyatt has been awful for Lehigh Valley.
DL: Pat Misch–Out for the year
Brody Colvin, 22, Phils 7th round pick in 2009; 26 games (21 starts); 6-7 with a 4.76 ERA; 119IP 127H 62BB 101K; 1.10 GO/AO; .283 opp. avg., 4.7BB/7.6K per nine; 1.59 WHIP. 3 starts for Reading: 1-1 with a 8.56 ERA; 13.2IP 14H 11BB 8K; 1.83 WHIP. Colvin is turning into quite the enigma. He will have a good outing, followed by a poor one, followed by another where he can’t find home plate with a map. Promoted ahead of others to “light a fire”, he will be back in Clearwater if the control issues continue.
Ethan Martin, 23, Acquired from Dodgers in 2012; 22 starts in AA; 10-6 with a 3.38 ERA; 130.1IP 98H 63BB 120K; 0.92 GO/AO; .212 opp. avg; 1.23 WHIP; 4.3BB/8.3K per nine; Martin has been excellent this year, greatly reducing his walk rate which had been his biggest problem in the past. Having never thrown more than 113 innings in the minors, I would expect the Phils to closely monitor him the balance of the year.
Trevor May, 22, Phils 4th round pick in 2008; 24 starts; 9-10 with a 4.85 ERA; 128IP 120H 71BB 127K; 5.0BB/9.0K per nine; 1.03 GO/AO; .250 opp. avg; .251 vs. LH, .249 vs. RH, .278 with RISP; 2-4 with a 4.57 ERA in 8 starts since July 1. Not the enigma Colvin is, but a disappointing year after a phenomenal start. Sustained success simply will not come with walking 5 batters a game.
Adam Morgan, 22, Phils 3rd round pick in 2011; 22 starts; 5-10 with a 3.12 ERA; 130IP 104H 30BB 146K; 0.91 GO/AO; .219 opp. avg., 2.0BB/10.1K per nine. Morgan has only made one start in Reading and it was excellent and very similar to the year he was having in Clearwater. CLearly has placed himself high on the prospect chart.
Julio Rodriguez, 21, Phils 8th round pick in 2008; 23 games; 6-6 with 4.33 era; 120.2IP 105H 70BB 121K; 13 HR allowed; 0.52 GO/AO; .236 opp. avg., 5.2BB/9.0K per nine; .277 vs. LH, .206 vs. RH, .230 with RISP; 1-5 with a 6.81 ERA since July 1. Rodriguez has been awful as of late, really struggling with his control. Not sure if hitters have caught up with him or just a bump in the road. Without overpowering stuff, he simply will not be able to walk over 5 hitters a gain and have success.
DL: David Buchanan, 23, Phils 7th round pick in 2010; Out for the year
Jesse Biddle, 20, Phils 1st round pick in 2010; 23 starts; 8-5 with a 3.45 ERA; 122.2IP 121H 49BB 125K; 0.97 GO/AO; .254 opp. avg; 3.6BB/9.1K per nine; 1.39 WHIP; .240 vs. LH, .262 vs. RH; .227 with RISP; 5-2 with a 3.90 ERA in 11 starts post All Star game. Biddle has been very good this year but not great. Allowing too many base runners but bearing down with RISP. Threw 130 innings last year and I wouldn’t expect him to be much higher than 150 this year. Will be in Reading next year.
Perci Garner, 23, Phils 2nd round pick in 2010; 23 starts; 5-8 with a 4.99 ERA; 119IP 119H 58BB 79K; 1.39 GO/AO; .260 opp. avg.; .260 vs. LH, .278 vs. RH, .274 with RISP. 1.49 WHIP; 4.4BB/5.9K per nine. 2-5 with a 4.92 ERA in 11 post all star starts. Very mediocre.
Seth Rosin, 23, Acquired from the Dodgers in 2012; 35 games (6 starts) in High A; 2-2 with a 4.33 ERA; 10 saves; 62.1IP 52H 20BB 70K; 6 HR allowed; 0.90 GO/AO; .222 opp. avg., 2.9BB/10.1K per none. Rosin made one start after coming over in the Victorino deal and it was a fairly good one, however he was scratched from his start on Friday evening. I am not sure what the nature of the issue was.
Austin Wright, 22, Phils 8th round pick in 2011; 23 games;9-4 with a 3.23 ERA; 128IP 125H 51BB 115K; 1.31 GO/AO; .255 opp. avg., 1.37 WHIP; 3.5BB/8.1K per nine. 3-3 with a 2.44 ERA in 10 post all star game starts. Possibly the Threshers best pitcher this year. Clearly will be moving up in 2013 if not sooner.
Mario Hollands, Soon to be 24, Phils 10th round pick in 2010; 23 games (14 starts) between Lakewood, Clearwater, Reading; 6-7 with a 4.21 ERA; 92IP 96H 35BB 67K; 0.98 GO/AO; .273 opp. avg.; 3.3BB/6.5K per nine. Hollands has been a shade under good this year. Inconsistency hurts him.