Hot or Not 8 July 2011

An exceptional week for Lisaberto Bonilla…nice to see Josh Zeid bounce back from injury to sit near the top of the hot reliever list…”Under the radar” names such as Ruf and Susdorf destroying the ball.

Hot Starting Pitchers: Lisaberto Bonilla (15IP 9H 1ER 1BB 18K); Jon Pettibone (8IP 5H 0ER 0BB 6K); Brody Colvin (6IP 6H 0ER 1BB 5K); Garrett CLaypool (7IP 2H 1ER 2BB 7K); Ryan Feireabend (7IP 5H 1ER 1BB 7K); Colin Klevan (6IP 3H 1ER 0BB 4K); Julio Rodriguez (5.2IP 3H 1ER 3BB 6K);Ethan Stewart (5.2IP 4H 1ER 2BB 2K). Honorable MentionL Tyler Cloyd

Not Hot Starters: Josh Warner (9IP 17H 9ER 2BB 8K); Austin Hyatt (4IP 9H 5ER 1BB 4K); Trevor May (5IP 6H 6ER 1BB 6K); David Buchanan (6IP 8H 5ER 2BB 1K); Tim Redding (5IP 10H 4ER 1BB 3K).

Hot Relievers: Justin DeFratus (2W, 4.1IP 2H 0ER 2BB 8K); James Birmingham (4IP 0H 0ER 1BB 4K, 3SV); Ryan Edell (4.2IP 0ER)Josh Zeid (4IP 2H 0ER 1BB 6K, 1SV); Michael Schwimer (W, 4IP 3H 0ER 0BB 5K, 2SV);  Andy Loomis (3.2IP 2H 0ER 0BB 2K, 1SV);  Juan Sosa (3.1IP 1H 0ER 2BB 4K, 1SV)Colton Murray (3.1IP 0H 0ER 1BB 2K)Mario Hollands (3IP 1H 0ER 0BB 2K); Paul Cusick (3IP 2H 0ER 1BB 2K); Honorable Mention: Colby Shreve

Not Hot Relievers: Jordan Ellis (1IP 4H 5ER 2BB 0K); Chris Kissock (1IP 3H 4ER 1BB 1K); Jesus Pirela (2IP 3H 5ER 5BB 3K)Mike McGuire (1.2IP 1H 4ER 2BB 1K); Craig Fritsch (1IP 2H 2ER 1BB 2K);  Mike Zagurski (2IP 3H 2ER); Cody Fick (3IP 3H 3ER); Chase Johnson (3IP 4H 3ER 2BB)

Hot Hitters:Min 10 AB’s: Darin Ruf (.525, 5R 7RBI); Zach Collier (.471); Steve Susdorf (.462, 8R, 5 RBI); Drew Hillman (.400); Matt Rizzotti (.393, 5R 2HR 6 RBI);Bill Rice (.385, 4 RBI)Derrick Mitchell (.381)Geancarlo Mendez (.375, 5RBI, 3SB)Travis Mattair (.375, 6 RBI)Jorge Castillo (.364); Niuman Romero (.350, 5 RBI);Honorable Mention: Kelly Dugan

Not Hot Hitters: Jeff Larish (.000)Michael Dabbs (.063); Josh Barfield (.100)Terry EVans (.100); Troy Hanzawa (.100); Domingo Santana (.130)Brian Gump (.143); Carlos Perdomo (.158); Chris Duffy (.167); Maikel Franco (.179)

31 thoughts on “Hot or Not 8 July 2011

  1. JC Ramirez has to be on the hot starters list. His last several starts have been a complete turnaround for him and should have everyone excited.

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    1. The stats for Hot or Not are compiled from Friday thru Thursday each week. While Ramirez second start of the week was a very good one, his first start off set his stats to a certain degree and he didnt make the top 10 for that reason. I try my best to simply go by the stats.

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  2. Anybody else totally mystified by Chris Duffy (GCL version)? He’s hitting worse in the GCL than he did as a freshman in Conference USA. Clearly his senior season was a fluke (check out his college stats – he was exactly the same for three years then went berserk his senior year), but his deteriorating performance makes no sense. I always assumed this guy would be in the Slayden/Susdorf mold. Oh well.

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    1. And now, with the benefit of another days boxscores, I see he whiffed on a throw to 1B. That’s not good. Guy I seen do that- Ronnie Belliard. Duffy around .230 also. The GCL situation, Duffy’s role could go to Matthew Holland, who though much maligned on draft day as a 5th year senior, is really only slightly older than Duffy, and has hit somewhat given the circumstances. Also the L-L thing I like better than the R-L thing for 1B. Also they might want to look over the injured draftee Michael Marshall before season’s end. Could be if they wind up signing one of the HS draftee 1B types (the Canadian Brendan Hendriks -reported as visiting Philly, or Kewby Meyer) and Duffy still in need of improvement, maybe Duffy gets bounced.

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  3. How is Michael Schwimmer doing against left handed batters at AAA? I have to believe that he would be a upgrade over Carpenter and Mathieson at the MLB level.

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    1. He was getting beat up pretty badly earlier in the season but his BAA against LHBs is “down” to .282…compared to a .139 BAA vs RHBs.

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      1. Swim pitched in 3 games this month. Gave up three hits all to RH batter and for that matter terrible RH batters. Can’t say how many lefties he faced. Unless I am mistaken he hasn’t given up a hit to a leftie in quite a while

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    2. Lefties are batting .282 against Schwim (Righties .139). He has a a 4.67 ERA against lefties and a lights out 0.29 against righties. He’s given up 9 ERs in 17 innings against lefties and 1 ER in 31 IP against righties. If he only faces righties, he could be the closer in Philly but I think the lefty side of the equation has them concerned. I was looking for Carpenter’s splits in LHV but couldn’t find them.

      Interesting that Schwim, Carpenter and Brian Gordon are (were) a combined 15-0. Without them LHV mi8ght be an awful not worse.

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      1. I wonder if Schwimer’s size plus his hiding of the ball (which IIRC is the whole basis for “Schwimlocityz’, right?) give him an advantage similar to what Randy Johnson had vs. lefties.

        – Jeff

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  4. When are we going to get rid of velo and use “time from release to home plate” as has been suggested by Schwimm himself? Do those data exist? Just a stopwatch and a good view seems to be the required tools.

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    1. Pitchfx already does this…you could also extrapolate it by using the velocity at release and velocity at the plate (both of which pitchfx provides) if you were bored and good at math.

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  5. Baseball America Hot Sheet:

    Lisalberto Bonilla, rhp, Phillies. Bonilla, signed in 2008 out of the Dominican Republic, spent the first two months of the season in the low Class A Lakewood bullpen. He moved to the rotation in early June and looks comfortable in his new role. In his second start of the week, Bonilla, 21, pitched nine scoreless innings, walking none while striking out 12. He didn’t get a decision because the game went to extra innings tied 0-0, but his performance was plenty impressive, as is his 0-2, 1.49 overall line. Bonilla has learned to trust his fastball, a lively pitch that usually sits in the low 90s and can touch 95 mph. His changeup is a plus pitch, and he’s got a usable slider to go with it. Add it up and the Phillies have another intriguing arm in a system full of pitching prospects.

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  6. Baseball America Hot Sheet:

    Lisalberto Bonilla, rhp, Phillies. Bonilla, signed in 2008 out of the Dominican Republic, spent the first two months of the season in the low Class A Lakewood bullpen. He moved to the rotation in early June and looks comfortable in his new role. In his second start of the week, Bonilla, 21, pitched nine scoreless innings, walking none while striking out 12. He didn’t get a decision because the game went to extra innings tied 0-0, but his performance was plenty impressive, as is his 0-2, 1.49 overall line. Bonilla has learned to trust his fastball, a lively pitch that usually sits in the low 90s and can touch 95 mph. His changeup is a plus pitch, and he’s got a usable slider to go with it. Add it up and the Phillies have another intriguing arm in a system full of pitching prospects.

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  7. Does anyone know more about Ryan Edell? A reliever with 4.2 innings pitched and a zero ERA is pretty darn good. He’s a lefthander, too! Maybe we could use him on the Big Club. I hope he gets his chance soon.

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    1. In the past Edell seems to top out at AA. AAA seems over his head but who knows.

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    2. Edell was only pitching in relief because of a “short” rotation coming into the All Star Break. In Edell’s first performance (3 shutout innings), he gave up 5 hits, so the performance is not quite as impressive as the initial stats indicate. Each time he has come up to AAA from AA he has struggled, with this year being no exception thus far.

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  8. Rain out tonight ? That would throw everything up in the air as well as screw up local minors. cheese! used cheese!

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  9. My one concern tonight was that our bullpen is only two guys deep. There are a bunch of guys in there who are question marks, and I felt like if we got into a close game with the Braves they would beat us by attrition because they have more arms right now in their pen. When we’re healthy, I think we have five guys (Madson, Contreras, Lidge). Well, we got into the close game, and Halladay, Stutues and Bastardo were burned. So out comes this Juan Perez. I thought, we need one of these guys to step up. Boy, was he filthy. I know its just one game, but this is how I want the unproven guys in our pen to handle their opportunities. Stand out! I also think I was wrong about the depth of the Braves pen. They’ve got three guys: Venters, Kimbrel and O’Flaherty. It is interesting, though, I noticed that Venters and Kimbrel have combined for seven blown saves. I think we have two. Anyway, once you get to Proctor and Linebrink, you can navigate a little bit. Sherril is having a fine year, but he’s merely a lefthanded specialist, a one or two batter guy.

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