Are you surprised? I’m not. Generally speaking, the short season leagues, ie rookie ball and short season ball, are generally filled with guys who were drafted in the first 20 picks, as well as guys repeating the level putting up monster numbers. The only guy who had a shot for the Phillies was d’Arnaud, not shocked to see him not make it. That begs the question, which Phillies deserve to make the NYPL list? Savery? Naylor? Make your predictions below.
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I’m not surprised by the omission of the Phillies on this list. To be fair, these lists at the GCL level are pretty bizarre because managers really only see the guys on their own team and the 3-4 other teams in their division. I thought it was kind of a joke that Monasterios and Sanchez made the list last year.
With respect to this year’s NY-Penn League, Savery only threw 26 innings so I’m not sure he’s eligible. I suspect our best shot for getting a guy on the list is among OF Dominic Brown, RHP Drew Naylor and OF Matt Spencer, probably in that order.
We didn’t have anyone who deserved to be top 20. Neither D’Arnaud nor Mattair managed a .650 OPS. Sampson and Slate hardly pitched and James put up bad numbers. Correa was the best pitcher and at an appropriate age. He probably was close to making the list. His Ks were low and ERA a little high for a top 20. Hits per IP looked good and a WHIP of 1.20 is nice, so he did quite well.
Chapman had a good NY-Penn season with the second best ERA in the league but he was one of the older guys there so how good will he be? On the other hand the Hamels like, 6′ 4″ 190 lbs, 20 year old Jacob Diekman is more than a year younger than Savery and pitched just as well in his three starts there. Savery had a 2.73 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and held opponents to a .214 BA in 26.1 innings of work over 7 starts compared to Diekman’s 2.25 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and .189 opponents avg. in 16 innings. Diekman is the one to watch. Hope Savery does not forget his batting stoke and first base glove .
The nice thing about players at this level is that, on the whole, a good performance usually means something, but when a first year player struggles, it often means absolutely, positively nothing. If you don’t believe me, take a look at any group of 20 stars and see how they did in their professional short-season debut. Even guys who ultimately rush through the minors often just meander through their professional debut. It’s not that big of a deal. Now, when players go back for a second year and still struggle, that means something.
I think we might get a surprise and see Freddy Galvis slide in at the bottom- sure his averge tanked, but he started well, and at a 17 played defense at a near elite level. There just seems to be an awareness of him that is lacking on that club (outside of Savery) in the baseball world outside of the phandom.
Savery and Naylor.
I think Savery is a definite and I think Dominic Brown may sneak in around the 17-20 area. Naylor had a great year but is a little older and I have not heard many people rave about his stuff. That does not mean he is not a prospect, just that this is a tough list to crack with 14 teams in the league. The Phillies have a slight disadvantage on these prospect lists because they tend to play in the leagues with more teams (GCL, NYP, SAL, FSL, IL all have the most teams at their level). As for Brown, I think he has the high end athleticism that BA tends to like when they are making distinctions between prospects. His stats were good, but not great, however, so he may really need a 500 at bat season in the SAL next year to make people notice.
I like Brown and would agree he would be a strong candidate if the selection was weighted toward second half of season.
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